Sticky wicket (open thread)

Schemes hatched by WA Liberals seeking a quick path out of the wilderness; a new Tasmanian state poll; nothing doing on the federal poll front.

I was hoping Newspoll might be back in the game three weeks after election day, but it seems normal service is yet to resume. Presumably Essential Research will have numbers of some sort tomorrow, but it remains to be seen if they will encompass voting intention. I hope to have more to offer shortly on whether other pollsters are still in the game in the immediate term, or whether they have pulled stumps for the time being. That just leaves me with the following miscellany to relate by way of a new open thread post:

Joe Spagnolo of the Sunday Times reported yesterday on a plan within the Western Australian Liberals to have former test cricketer and national team coach Justin Langer lead the party into the next state election in 2025. The suggestion is that the current leader, David Honey, might be persuaded to relinquish his seat of Cottesloe, one of only two lower house seats the party retained at the 2021 election. It is an any case “widely accepted that Dr Honey won’t lead the WA Liberals to the next election”, with Vasse MP Libby Mettams “his likely replacement” – indeed his only possible replacement out of the existing ranks of the Liberals’ lower house contingent.

Katina Curtis and Shane Wright of the Sydney Morning Herald have taken the trouble to compile the results of the 75,368 telephone votes cast by those in COVID-19 isolation, finding that Labor, Greens or independents candidates out-performed on them on two-candidate preferred relative to the overall results in all but eight lower house seats. Kevin Bonham is quoted in the article noting that infections are more prevalent of left-leaning demographics, namely the young and those employed in exposed occupations, though I also tend to think there may be a greater tendency for those on the right of politics to keep their illnesses to themselves.

• One bit of poll news at least: the latest quarterly Tasmanian state poll from EMRS has been published, the first since Jeremy Rockliff succeeded Peter Gutwein as Premier. It finds the Liberals down two points since March to 39%, Labor down one to 30%, the Greens up one to 13% and others up two to 18%. Rockliff leads Labor’s Rebecca White 47-34 as preferred premier, compared with Gutwein’s lead of 52-33 in March. The poll was conducted May 27 to June 2 through telephone interviews from a sample of 1000.

Lydia Lynch of The Australian reports that Julie-Ann Campbell, Queensland Labor’s outgoing state secretary and now associate partner with consultancy firm EY, is “expected to run for federal politics” – specifically for the seat of Moreton, which Graham Perrett has held for Labor since 2007.

There’s a fair bit going on at the site at the moment, so here’s a quick run-through the subjects of recent posts with on-topic discussion threads, as opposed to the open thread on this post:

• The future direction of the Liberal Party, with debate raging as to whether it should focus on recovering blue-ribbon seats from the teal independents or cutting them loose and pursuing a new course through suburban and regional seats traditionally held by Labor;

• The three state by-elections looming in the Queensland seat of Callide, the South Australian seat of Bragg and the Western Australian seat of North West Central;

• The ongoing count from the federal election, which remains of interest in relation to several Senate contests, with the pressing of the button looking reasonably imminent in South Australia and the two territories.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

727 comments on “Sticky wicket (open thread)”

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  1. maybi william or a wa based bluger could help me but after the near wipe out of wa liberal party the obvious selution would be to get rid of petter Collier and nick guiran if they think lanyer will run look how good camble numan in qld went being parashuted in maybi they should see if bishop is interested

  2. Parts of Mordor Media seem unaware of the change in government. Here are the top of the page stories and pictures in the ‘Politics’ section of news.com.au
    .
    Treachery’: Text scandal splits Liberal Party

    .
    ‘Stare them down’: Turnbull demands action

    .
    Refugee mum’s incredible message to ScoMo

    .
    ‘Intimidation’: Barnaby blasts China

  3. Breaking…

    Dan Andrews
    @DanielAndrewsMP
    ·
    15m
    We’re opening 8 more permanent Breastscreen clinics in some of Victoria’s fastest growing suburbs.

    Because early cancer detection saves lives.

  4. As a cave dweller I may be a little late to the party, but we do have a serious conundrum this morning, who to back for a liberal leadership position, Margaret Court’s mate Justin Langer or Tony Abbott’s mate Peta Credlin.

    I am leaning towards Peta for my vote who has far more wrecking experience. I wonder if Taylormade has a view on this little question?

  5. I see Vic Lib Tim Smith is providing more evidence that he’s a moron by supporting the extremely expensive nuclear energy option.

  6. “Credlin and Abbott couldnt govern to save themselves…” The laughable part is that Credlin still thinks shes good at what she does.Shes a legend in her own mind.

  7. Did anyone mention Dr Kerry Chant got a gong? Well deserved I reckon, for Services to Public Heath, and Dealing with Gladys and Dom.

  8. Nuclear energy would be objected to, wherever it was planned in this country. Its as toxic politically like the waste itself.

  9. Premier Daniel Andrews says he doesn't know if Victoria's CHO Brett Sutton was nominated for a Queen's birthday honour. Australia's former chief health officer Brendan Murphy, NSW CHO Kerry Chant and Queensland's former CHO Jeannette Young all got a nod. https://t.co/lB6DrHntn6— Benita Kolovos (@benitakolovos) June 13, 2022

    "Professor Sutton has done an amazing job and knowing him very well, I don't think that he'd been troubled by that. I think he's far more focused … on getting the job done not necessarily on gongs. But again, that's not a matter for me," Andrews says.— Benita Kolovos (@benitakolovos) June 13, 2022

    Brett Sutton is a Victorian hero.

    Brendon Murphy is a Lib hack.

  10. do we know who labors pick fore speaker is and albanese senyor staff such as cos is do not know whiy labor members such as graham richardson and millner sell out to news corp and start baging labor same with bramstone

  11. We are saved:

    Peter Dutton heads west with shadow cabinet as he tries to woo disenchanted WA voters.

    Headline in the online version of the Westb Australian, sadly behind the paywall. I wonder if Peta will come along to keep proceedings on track as try try to locate that disenchanted voter.

  12. Granny Anny @ #105 Monday, June 13th, 2022 – 12:05 pm

    We are saved:

    Peter Dutton heads west with shadow cabinet as he tries to woo disenchanted WA voters.

    Headline in the online version of the Westb Australian, sadly behind the paywall. I wonder if Peta will come along to keep proceedings on track as try try to locate that disenchanted voter.

    Will he listen to people in WA or will he just tell them what’s good for them like a cold , nasty fascist would …?

  13. steve davis at 11:56 am

    ……………Credlin still thinks shes good at what she does.Shes a legend in her own mind.

    This photo still ‘jaw drops’ me. Credlin in parliament to a senior/cabinet MP..

  14. poroti

    ‘Intimidation’: Barnaby blasts China

    ————

    Talk about The Mouse that Roared …. Or …… is it The Beetroot that Whimpered?

  15. Aaron newton @ #104 Monday, June 13th, 2022 – 12:03 pm

    do we know who labors pick fore speaker is and albanese senyor staff such as cos is do not know whiy labor members such as graham richardson and millner sell out to news corp and start baging labor same with bramstone

    They’re more self-promoters, aren’t they ..?

  16. Rex Douglas @ #107 Monday, June 13th, 2022 – 10:06 am

    Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #103 Monday, June 13th, 2022 – 12:02 pm

    Rex Douglas @ #99 Monday, June 13th, 2022 – 9:55 am

    I see Vic Lib Tim Smith is providing more evidence that he’s a moron by supporting the extremely expensive nuclear energy option.

    Surprised you’re not with him.

    I must be deep in your head for you to continue stalking me like a creep.

    No stalking, you just provide such a target, it’s difficult not to always walk past.

  17. As a non- Tesla EV owner, can I just add that Tesla owners are well catered for as they have their own fastchargers which only charge Teslas and then there are the others that provide charging for all cars , including Teslas.
    NRMA provide free charging for members and so I found myself in Bathurst waiting for a Tesla (using the NRMA charger) to finish and when I asked him why he didn’t use one of the 5 Tesla chargers provided , he said that he wouldn’t use them because they cost money! After waiting an hour , I later kicked myself for not offering to pay the measly charge rather than wait .
    The lack of solar panels on apartment buildings is also something that doesn’t seem to have been addressed.

  18. Rex

    I presume we taxpayers are picking up the bill for this. I doubt they will meet any disenchanted voters or listen to any liberal functionary who might know why few people vote for them.

    The reason people don’t vote liberal is that they don’t deliver what people want and that is coupled with waining influence of the billionaires media outlets who consistently tell us the liberals are the best thing since sliced bread was invented.

    The visit is all about optics. It will show us what a great leader and visionary St. Peter Dutton really is and how lucky he is to be surrounded by a bunch of equally great visionaries. I note that he is said to be bringing the shadow cabinet so that will include the Nationals. There is no federal version of the nationals in WA.

    Just another waste of time and money.

  19. poroti says:
    Monday, June 13, 2022 at 12:10 pm
    steve davis at 11:56 am

    ……………Credlin still thinks shes good at what she does.Shes a legend in her own mind.

    That photo along with the short video of her remonstrating with Stuart Robert would surely be replayed endlessly if Credlin entered politics, they are absolute classics.

  20. Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Monday, June 13, 2022 at 12:12 pm

    No stalking, you just provide such a target, it’s difficult not to always walk past.
    ______
    You used to do the same thing to Pegasus too. Never left her alone.

  21. For anyone wishing to peruse the Honours List there are links to the various categories on this page.
    https://www.gg.gov.au/queens-birthday-2022-honours-list

    The page ends with this.

    “Please consider nominating someone outstanding from your community for recognition. The Order belongs to each of us and we all have a part to play. The only way a person can be recognised through the Order of Australia is for someone to nominate them.”

  22. I wonder what ‘gifts’ Herr Spud will come bearing for we peasants on his trip to The Cave ? I’m trying to think what he could offer that would change any minds here.but ???? Apologise for SfM’s throwing shite at WA’s covid response ?

  23. The Sydney Morning Herald covering itself in “glory” again.

    Having told her that she was going to be outed by them, they’re now whinging that she then chose to announce her relationship before they could release their story.

    I can see a Media Watch coming to your TV soon.

    On Saturday, Andrew Hornery, who pens the Private Sydney column in the Sydney Morning Herald, wrote that Wilson “opted to gazump” his scoop about the relationship.

    “In a perfect world, “outing” same-sex celebrity relationships should be a redundant concept in 2022. Love is love, right?”

    “As Rebel Wilson knows, we do not live in a perfect world.

    “So, it was with an abundance of caution and respect that this media outlet emailed Rebel Wilson’s representatives on Thursday morning, giving her two days to comment on her new relationship with LA leisure wear designer Ramona Agruma, before publishing a single word.

    “Big mistake. Wilson opted to gazump the story, posting about her new ‘Disney Princess’ on Instagram early Friday morning, the same platform she had previously used to brag about her handsome ex-boyfriend, wealthy American beer baron Jacob Busch …

    “Considering how bitterly Wilson had complained about poor journalism standards when she successfully sued Woman’s Day for defamation, her choice to ignore our discreet, genuine and honest queries was, in our view, underwhelming.”

    I love the admission that he’s doing something that he knows he shouldn’t do, but the world’s not perfect, so it’s ok to be an arsehole.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-06-13/rebel-wilson-sydney-morning-herald-andrew-hornery-column/101147322

  24. sprocket_says:
    Monday, June 13, 2022 at 10:36 am

    Anne Green is a lovely lady and was a very nice neighbour for about 15 years. Her husband, Harvey was an executive at Egon Zehnder consultancy.


  25. Quasar says:
    Monday, June 13, 2022 at 12:15 pm

    As a non- Tesla EV owner, can I just add that Tesla owners are well catered for as they have their own fastchargers which only charge Teslas and then there are the others that provide charging for all cars , including Teslas.

    It is a pity that we don’t have Australian standards in line with European standards legislated to stop the potential nonsense of have a duel system. In the end however I think the Tesla only stations will become redundant.

  26. nath @ #117 Monday, June 13th, 2022 – 10:23 am

    Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Monday, June 13, 2022 at 12:12 pm

    No stalking, you just provide such a target, it’s difficult not to always walk past.
    ______
    You used to do the same thing to Pegasus too. Never left her alone.

    I regularly commented about Pegasus’ tendency to cut and paste without any attached opinion.

    So what?

    I’ve made the same point regarding Firefox.

  27. “Julie-Ann Campbell, Queensland Labor’s outgoing state secretary and now associate partner with consultancy firm EY”

    Zero stars would not recommend.

  28. frednksays:
    Monday, June 13, 2022 at 12:36 pm

    The Tesla charging network in Europe and the US is by far the preferred choice.

    Tesla is opening their network to other manufacturers and is beating competitors at every level, speed of charging, reliability and availability.

    They are not going away.

  29. The nearest compatible public fast charger for my car is 70km away.
    Needless to say I only use the car for local trips


  30. poroti says:
    Monday, June 13, 2022 at 12:14 pm

    Oh noes, Katherine Deves will be muchly outraged.

    Up Late: Why we need a trans-Australia gas pipeline
    https://thewest.com.au/news/up-late/up-late-with-ben-harvey-why-the-nation-needs-a-trans-australia-gas-pipeline-c-7108857

    Why, we have export terminals now, all that is need is an import terminal on the east coast, hell of a lot cheaper. The days for Australian gas pipeline expansion are over.

    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/282119705_Predicting_the_future_of_LNG_market_A_review_and_comparison_of_oil_and_LNG_industries_performance_indicators_and_risk_factors/figures?lo=1


  31. Themunz says:
    ..
    Tesla is opening their network to other manufacturers
    ..

    And that is the key. Tesla will become one of many. We need a standard.

  32. “It is a pity that we don’t have Australian standards in line with European standards legislated to stop the potential nonsense of have a duel system. In the end however I think the Tesla only stations will become redundant.”

    Europe is moving to standardise usb c on devices, it would be insane for Australia to adopt a standard that was proprietary. In fact tesla chargers should have to acquire their own land / space and electricity at commercial rates, while free land, and non-proprietary should be the back bone of a network for everyone.

    If tesla is so great it can expose it workers who can’t work from home to their third of fourth round of covid while they design, no doubt on unpaid overtime, a fix / adaptor so tesla drivers can use the main Australian standard charging network.

  33. “Why, we have export terminals now, all that is need is an import terminal on the east coast, hell of a lot cheaper. The days for Australian gas pipeline expansion are over.”

    I wonder if gas from WA to help save the east coast from their own suicidal stupidity, comes out of the domestic 15% cap (I would hope not as someone in WA) or is from the export portion.

  34. frednk, Yes. It made sense. It’s “a bit” US centric, so if you haven’t been following the Lake Mead “reveals” it might be a struggle. And I find I have to listen to her a couple times to hear it all.

  35. Transcontinental Gas pipeline?? Nah, its something that within its projected service life will end up a stranded asset. Better to put the $ into an import terminal in NSW, AND a transcontinental HVDC line / lines that can link big renewables projects at longditudes west to the East coast grid.

    Follow that up with north / south HVDC lines to the Pilbara and Darwin. Maybe use existing rail corridors where possible as rights of way for that??

    W.A’s isolation from the national energy market has actually served those of us in the Cave quite well, but joining the broader Australian energy market may be the way ahead, provided we have a rational national energy policy that at least incorporates the good bits of W.A.’s in some way??

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  37. I just twigged. You people south of Queensland are celebrating the Queen’s Birthday today! Up here in *Queens*land it’s the first Monday in October. (I see that WA too is eccentric like that.)

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