Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor

Anthony Albanese draws level on preferred prime minister as Labor maintains its commanding lead on voting intention.

As reported in The Australian, the latest fortnightly Newspoll records no change for either major party on voting intention, with Labor retaining a lead of 55-45 on two-party preferred and 41% to 35% on the primary vote. For the minor parties, the Greens are down a point to 8%, One Nation is steady on 3% and the United Australia Party is down one to 3%, with all others up two to 10%. Anthony Albanese has drawn level with Scott Morrison on preferred prime minister for the first time since Morrison’s post-bushfires nadir in February 2020 at 42-42, after Morrison led 42-40 last time. Morrison’s approval rating is down two to 41% with disapproval steady at 55%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively steady at 44% and down one to 42%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1520.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,117 comments on “Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor”

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  1. The Victorian hospitals are in a state of crisis and does threaten the Andrews government if it doesn’t act quickly.

    Its not clear who Morrison thinks will be impressed by going after Albo about getting fitter.

  2. I see Firefox has posted an article featuring the same polling, thanks.

    42% PV in WA should make Bludging happy, even if there’s a narrowing over the next couple of months.

  3. Congratulations, BK. I think Newcastle could do with your Board’s expertise.

    I don’t like the term ‘consumer’ tho. It sounds so cold when referring to those who make it their home. ‘Residents’ is immediately more warm and caring, surely.

  4. I don’t watch sky news but I knew it was home to some crazies.

    Just caught up with last night’s Mediawatch and their look at Sky’s response to the floods and links to climate change revealed something much worse than I could imagine.

    Linking Greta Thunburg to the Russian invasion of Ukraine?

    You know it makes sense.

    And some of these people are Morrison’s preferred choice of interviewer.

  5. Thanks for the Dawn Patrol BK. Not so thankful to see this one…

    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/insiders-leads-coalitions-election-campaign-on-economic-supremacy,16146

    The ABC continues to violate its charter by boosting one side of politics with false information, as Alan Austin reports. He says the ABC’s current flagship current affairs program, Insiders, included an intriguing exchange on Sunday 6 March. This helps explain why most Australians, according to opinion polls, erroneously believe the Coalition manages the books better than Labor.

    Can we have a ‘defund THEIR ABC’ campaign?

  6. Pi
    Still a little cold but much better than consumer which sounds like a Morrison marketing grab.

    Must admit I’m stunned that Morrison so openly criticised Albo for doing the hard work in getting fit. Therein lies the difference between them. I really think Morrison is a lazy sod who is way out of his depth. Albo, on the other hand, is a doer. He may not be charismatic but he is probably what we need atm.

  7. The court of public opinion would overwhelmingly find in favour of children’s right to a duty of care by Govt re effects of human induced climate change.

  8. Morrison has gone the way of all Ponzi schemes. The polls are reflecting the catastrophic end point as every request is answered with an announcement.

  9. @a r says:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 12:39 pm

    Its not clear who Morrison thinks will be impressed by going after Albo about getting fitter.

    Lazy obese people?
    _______________________________

    Dunno, Palmer, Craig Kelly?? IT is inverse body shaming – superfical garbage from no doubt an insecure, deperate and jealous man who will stop at absolute nothing.

    On a serious note, the Albo transformation is great to see, not just campaign TV optics but it gives a lot of people who struggle to walk past a cake shop and not put on a kg an example that you can change.

    It is also terrific for the blokes, particularly the rounder than usual middle aged types who want to change but are stuck in the oh i am fat, thats how i am and it is all too hard – precisely the negative mindset the SfM is pushing.

    My question is how has he done it? I am assuming the same diet I did/doing. I dropped from 110kg to 90kg and still improving but it takes commitment, and if thats how he has done it more kudos, especially in a very public role.

    I know it is deeply up-PC to comment on this stuff, especially political leaders but if Albo was on, say, the Footy Show, or presenting The Block it would be a different story.

  10. Snappy Tom says:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 12:55 pm

    This same issue arose on the Drum yesterday, even though the panel were dishing the LNP someone mentioned LNP good economic managers Labor good social mangers etc.. they just let the former comment through without challenge.. what hope changing public perception .. none

  11. The court of public opinion

    The ‘court of public opinion’ voted for a government that would have Ley as environment minister.
    We’ll see shortly if they are willing to make the same judgment again.

  12. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/mar/14/boy-3-accidentally-shoots-mother-chicago-suburb

    This was from BK’s ‘only in America dept’.

    My last parish contained several members with (adult) children (and often resultant grandchildren) living and working in the US. Such members often didn’t like it when I would say things like ‘a person is 250 times more likely to die from a gunshot in the US than Australia.’ (It varies from year to year, but that’s about the number.)

    Failed States of America.

  13. Jackol @ #756 Tuesday, March 15th, 2022 – 1:02 pm

    The court of public opinion

    The ‘court of public opinion’ voted for a government that would have Ley as environment minister.
    We’ll see shortly if they are willing to make the same judgment again.

    I’m tipping catastrophic fires and floods since 2019 will have an impact on their judgement ..?

  14. a r
    there isn’t any political benefit in attacking someone for losing weight but there is plenty of danger of losing support among people that might want to lose weight but struggle to do so and people that take fitness seriously.

  15. Mexicanbeemer

    As anybody who has struggled with their weight and the associated health issues knows, losing weight and keeping it off requires great discipline.

    People who do it are to be admired, not sneered at.

    Did Morrison sneer at Joe Hockey when he had stomach banding surgery?

    But sneering is what Liberals and their media cheersquad do best.

  16. AZ about 11am…

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/mar/14/boy-3-accidentally-shoots-mother-chicago-suburb

    Albo loses weight and thus not being true to himself? Really? Is this today’s Morrison-the-desperado attempt to find something wrong with Albo, or is there another?

    Not to mention, we are one of the most obese nations on earth and our overweight PM claims the ‘true to self’ moral high ground? FFFFFS!

    On the other hand, yet another way in which Albo is doing his head in…

  17. Yabba at 11.12am re Newspoll on Morrison vs Albo trustworthiness etc

    So, basically every metric in favour of Albo – some by wide margins.

    Yet Simon Benson, in The Australian, wrote about how challenging/problematic these results were for Albo.

    Liar. Media conspirator.

  18. That Greens commissioned WA polling that Firefox linked: was that relating to senate voting intentions, or HR intentions? If it is the former, then Labor would have to be a good chance of picking up 3 quotas – a far cry from the terrible, awful, no good 2013 result – with the Greens picking up another. The LNP limited to two? With no RWNJ fringe parties (ON, LNP, Palmer) having a look in.

    Inshallah.

  19. Albo loses weight and thus not being true to himself?

    No wonder Bullshit Man was a bit snarky over Albo’s weight loss. Check out the spare (truck) tyre. He’d be veeery envious.

  20. Is anyone else using Starlink? After some finessing, we’ve had almost faultless service with speeds 100-200Mbs. It’s been totally blacked out since mid-morning, which has not ever happened before. It is still beta testing, but this is something else. I am even wondering if the Russians are jamming things somehow, or trying to, after Musk gave Ukraine as multi-million supply of his dishes etc. I imagine there’s a team of techies 24/7 problem solving, ordinarily. I’m on the old ADSL2+ now which we have, and will keep, as a backup.

    Just found this:

    Can Of Worms, and a possible explanation for Musk’s unexpected, even for Musk, challenge to Putin to come out the back of the shed and sort it out man-to-man.

    Elon Musk is always ready for a fight. Even with a nation as powerful as Russia. But supplying his satellite internet service to Ukraine has opened up a whole new can of worms.

    Musk says his Starlink signals are being jammed.

    About the same time, Russia’s space agency chief Dmitry Rogozin declared: “Offlining the satellites of any country is actually a casus belli, a cause for war.”

    So, could the clash between Musk’s commercial enterprise and Moscow’s military activities become a cause for escalation?

    https://cosmosmagazine.com/space/elon-musk-starlink-attack-russia/

  21. What’s interesting about the Greens polling being reported in the Sydney Morning Herald is that it doesn’t appear to be reported on Nine’s WA masthead website WA Today.

  22. Boerwar at 12.33pm re Morrison and ‘pretending’

    I could imagine an anti-Morrison ad backed by ‘Oh yes, I’m the great pretender…’

  23. Rewi at 1:31 pm

    We can be critical of Morrison’s snark without resorting to fat-shaming, surely.

    Bullshit Man brought in Albo’s weight so he’s fair game. As for ‘fat shaming’ . He’s obese. That’s a fact. Whether or not that is ‘shameful’ is another issue. Seems you think it is shameful.

  24. Rewi

    The greens poll is reported on WAToday as I see it.

    The author, Nine newspapers WA political reporter, never missed a chance to sneer at Labor.

    For instance, Labor’s candidate in Swan is described as “left aligned”

    But does he describe the Liberal candidate in Pearce as “Margaret Court aligned”.

    It’s subtle, but it just emphasises the way the man thinks. He has a lot of mates in the media.

  25. “I have no skills in these matters but it seems to me that the style of the interventions by Moses may actually be counterproductive. How otherwise he might behave, I have no idea.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-03-15/former-soldier-gives-evidence-in-ben-roberts-smith-trial-/100910542”

    I hear around the traps that Squadron Leader Arthur Moses, SC is being considered at the highest levels of Government to head a secret mission: He and his client, army reservist Ben Roberts-Smith, VC MG will be airlifted over Ukrainian air space before executing a HALO parachute insertion: linking up with the Klitschko brothers to form a 4 man brick and make directly for Moscow on a Kill-Capture Mission.

    Good luck, gentlemen.

  26. The other revelation on Snowy 2.0 was that it was a brainfart.

    2 weeks from the idea’s origination to the announcement.

  27. ‘laughtong says:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 1:39 pm

    Not sure if this provides any enlightenment’
    ————————————-
    Meh. It gives the sample size and provides a noise amplifier for Bandt who is, by now, truly desperate.

  28. I am not sure what Bloggers have had to say so far today but apparently Frydenburg’s answer to the sky rocketing cost of living is tax cuts.

    Who will that benefit exactly? Not the low income people who are impacted most by increasing costs that’s for sure.

  29. Imagine if you turn Morrison’s comment towards a woman- let’s say the stunning Rebel Wilson at the BAFTAS yesterday (she has lost 30kg)..

    Rebel is a fake, a liar (now she is thin) she a fraud, unhappy about who she is…..she is having an identity crisis unhappy in her own skin.

    What a pig he is.

  30. A-E
    LOL. I must say that, after watching the Coalition exploit the Afghanistan War electorally for two decades, it is refreshing to see them suffer a bit of the old collateral.

  31. “About 1000 West Australians were polled for the survey which was conducted by Online Research Unit.”
    “In the Senate, the polling tips the Liberals to pick up 31 per cent of the primary vote, Labor 39 per cent, Greens 12 per cent, Nationals 2 per cent & independents 11 per cent.

  32. Q: Frydenburg’s answer to the sky rocketing cost of living is tax cuts.

    It could work- cut the GST to 8 percent for example………that would cut the cost of living for everyone!! 🙂

  33. Even ignoring Morrison’s shape, his behaviour seems to be totally out of place in the VIP stand. note the fellow behind him in suit and tie. The fellow in front is probably part of his security detail. Essentially, Morrison is a big f@t slob just like his UK counterpart Boris and former US counterpart Trump.

  34. Maybe some of our WA psephologists (Messrs Bowe? Bludging?) could have a stab at ‘if ALP in WA gets 42% lower house PV, how many seats do they gain? If they get 39% Senate PV, how many seats?

    That might be a nice dream.

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