Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor

Anthony Albanese draws level on preferred prime minister as Labor maintains its commanding lead on voting intention.

As reported in The Australian, the latest fortnightly Newspoll records no change for either major party on voting intention, with Labor retaining a lead of 55-45 on two-party preferred and 41% to 35% on the primary vote. For the minor parties, the Greens are down a point to 8%, One Nation is steady on 3% and the United Australia Party is down one to 3%, with all others up two to 10%. Anthony Albanese has drawn level with Scott Morrison on preferred prime minister for the first time since Morrison’s post-bushfires nadir in February 2020 at 42-42, after Morrison led 42-40 last time. Morrison’s approval rating is down two to 41% with disapproval steady at 55%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively steady at 44% and down one to 42%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1520.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,117 comments on “Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor”

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  1. This is interesting regarding the Women’s Network logo.

    The department said the logo was the result of a 2019 rebrand of staff diversity networks “to establish a consistent look and feel” between insignia for groups including the women’s network.

    So more than 2 years for someone to notice it.

    What have they been doing?

    Says much about this Government’s attitude and response to women.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/mar/15/australian-pms-department-drops-widely-mocked-phallic-womens-network-logo

  2. Alpha Zero @ #689 Tuesday, March 15th, 2022 – 10:59 am

    https://www.news.com.au/national/federal-election/prime-minister-reveals-two-election-priorities-in-pub-test-on-sky-news/news-story/a53d13ea15eebd67cff376f3388fb606

    Scott Morrison says Anthony Albanese’s drastic weight loss and restyled image is proof he doesn’t know who he is.

    Mr Albanese has shed 18kg since becoming Opposition leader and created headlines with his stylish apparel in a recent photo shoot for Women’s Weekly.

    The Prime Minister is now attempting to turn his opponent’s incredible transformation into a campaign issue.

    “I’m not pretending to be anyone else. I’m still wearing the same sunglasses. Sadly, the same suits. I weigh about the same size and I don’t mind a bit of Italian cuisine … I’m not pretending to be anyone else,” Mr Morrison told Sky’s Paul Murray Live.

    We should be encouraging all of our politicians to be fit and healthy. John Howards morning walks, Abbotts rides/swims, Shortens jogging, etc should be promoted.

    Morrison really is a clown.

    So many people out there trying to improve their physical and mental health. All should feel insulted by that snark.

  3. Guardian:

    According to Newspoll results reported by the Australian this morning, voters believe Anthony Albanese is a fraction more trustworthy than Scott Morrison.

    Only 40% of voters polled believed Morrison was trustworthy, while 44% believed Albanese to be trustworthy. The result means Morrison remains the least trusted prime minister in more than a decade.

    About 60% of voters believed Morrison was arrogant, compared with 38% for Albanese, with 48% believing Morrison was decisive and strong, a 22-point dip from his peak at the height of the pandemic in 2020.

    That is the lowest score for a prime minister since the attribute was first listed.

    Albanese meanwhile, was considered experienced by 59% of voters polled, and was considered more in touch with voters than Morrison. He was also rated as more caring than Morrison, with the poll showing voters believed he has more understanding of the major issues facing Australians.

    Finally, Albanese was considered more likeable than Morrison, by 51% to 44%.

  4. In the good old days the Communist Party – very deeply anti-Labor – looked for support among working people. It found some isolated support there. They were splitters on the Left and eventually they shut down after 60 years of failure to ignite a revolution.

    The latter day Left-splitters, the Greens, are run by remnant comms. In this incarnation they have chosen not to seek support from working people, but to seek out and cultivate support among crystal-gazers and a politically homeless radical-Labor-hating, self-gratifying intelligentsia.

    This is not going to work for them. The crystal gazers and the radical-Labor-hating intelligentsia eventually lose their mojo and become supporters of the Lying Reactionary Party or surrender their pretensions and align with their old flame, Labor.

    The rise of the Lite from within the ranks of the educated, well-heeled urban Lib-born is a serious threat to the Greens. And yet the Greens will pref them ahead of Labor, whom the Greens utterly detest. Those prefs will help elect the Greens’ mortal political enemies.

  5. It’s true, though, Morrison is the same slovenly, arrogant pissant he was when he was screwing up at Tourism Australia. He’s never pretended to be anything other than a smug knock-off of a real human.

    That’s the guy the electorate chose last time as representative of their interests. Mark Latham would say the electorate never gets it wrong (though he’d probably wonder why, if Morrison’s their guy now, he wasn’t their guy in 2004).

  6. Morrison’s comment is a real reflection on his character- fat, lazy, totally uninterested in improving himself.
    And sneering of those who attempt to be a better version of themselves.

    What a bogan pig…

  7. yabba says:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 11:12 am

    Sounds like the revolt of the Queenslanders may be coming. If they can find a sense of personal likability in a Labor leader Queensland voters will support them.

    If Labor can achieve 50/50 2PP in Queensland, they will win 10-11 seats. On each occasion since 1949 when Labor have won Federal elections they have scored around 50/50 in Queensland. Hopefully history is about to repeat itself.

  8. “So many people out there trying to improve their physical and mental health. All should feel insulted by that snark.”

    Screw you with the rough end of a pineapple Morrison. That one was just nasty.

  9. the trouble is there are so many more of us who are Not trying to improve ourselves and are going backwards aginst the forces of gravity, sugar and fat….and those pants that fitted last year are pushed guiltily to the back of the closet

  10. I’m not pretending to be anyone else.

    I suppose when your entire existence is dedicated to confecting a superficial image to con the punters it gets hard to tell where the pretence begins and ends.

  11. I think if your trying to shove it in we’re the sun don’t shine , then one ends going to feel a bit smoother than the other, ….. just saying

  12. We have just been advised that, following a detailed three-day quality audit, the residential aged facility with which I am associated has been given the maximum full accreditation having passed all 42 requirements.
    The audits now are very much more thorough and are quite focused on the experiences conveyed to them by residents and their families.

  13. yabba says:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 11:12 am

    Guardian:

    Finally, Albanese was considered more likeable than Morrison, by 51% to 44%.
    …’
    ———————————-
    I imagine there are individuals in the pentecostal freak shows who actually like Morrison. I imagine there are crooks and liars who ‘like’ Morrison. But beyond that…

  14. ‘BK says:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 11:28 am

    We have just been advised that, following a detailed three-day quality audit, the residential aged facility with which I am associated has been given the maximum full accreditation having passed all 42 requirements.
    The audits now are very much more thorough and are quite focused on the experiences conveyed to them by residents and their families.’
    ——————————-
    That is wonderful, BK.
    Give Colbeck the arse and rope in BK, I say.

  15. “some massive group” – You mean, constituents? Hard to see how the government owing its constituents a duty of care would be a bad thing.

  16. Not terribly surprised at the Federal Court outcome. I found the initial decision interesting. Was it a unanimous or split decision?

  17. a r

    “Hard to see how the government owing its constituents a duty of care would be a bad thing.”

    If it set by the legislature, ok but not by a court otherwise every tempest, rain event whatever will be a class action.

    Evidently, the legislature should define what needs to be taken into account in environmental assessments.

  18. I imagine there are individuals in the pentecostal freak shows

    Remember, Jim Jones convinced a whole lot of people to drink the kool aid.
    Of the 44% of people who say they trust him probably the majority haven’t had any reason to notice his behaviour as they are not politically aware or would have drank the kool aid.

  19. “If it set by the legislature, ok but not by a court otherwise every tempest, rain event whatever will be a class action.”

    I was taught at lawschool how bad class actions are, and hownbad the US was litigation wise, but practically on the ground they seem one of the few tools in the US available to ordinary citizen to get justice against power.

    Clearly here the courts are much likely to help the powerful than deliver justice to ordinary citizens, so probably for the best if they leave it to the Parliament.

    And the right to free political speech that doesn’t seem to stretch any protection to anyone but media moguls is so embarassingly bad it should be gotten rid of.

  20. It’s all about OIL (&gas) always has been & will be until the inevitable renewables take over.. & as a bonus give us real World Peace

    White House officials were in Caracas for the first such talks in 20 years. Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro government has signalled its willingness to cooperate with the White House by releasing two political prisoners in a goodwill gesture. Venezuela’s oil output could rise by at least 400,000 bpd, the country’s petroleum chamber said on Friday. But Biden has to tread carefully since the idea of reconciliation with Maduro is leading to a reaction in Congress.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/14/west-putin-sacred-cash-cow-russia-ukraine-gas

  21. If Greens really believe that voters don’t follow HtV cards, then they should stop issuing them out on polling day.

    Would save a tree or two as well.

  22. The Federal Court and the Victorian Supreme Court have been very welcoming to class actions. Other than in the pelvic mesh action, whether they have done anything other than line the pockets of lawyers and overseas funders seems to be an open question.

  23. BK
    Congrats to you and the staff. It can be a gruelling 3 days, usually preceded by months of hard work making sure everything is perfectly documented.
    The original standards were about the outcome but for too long it became an audit of the paperwork and the resident outcomes became less important. I hope that this has been reversed.

  24. “The Federal Court and the Victorian Supreme Court have been very welcoming to class actions. Other than in the pelvic mesh action, whether they have done anything other than line the pockets of lawyers and overseas funders seems to be an open question.”

    So either the legal fees should come right down, or the awarding of costs in such cases needs to fully shift the costs to the unsuccessful defendant.

    I don’t know but I hate out of court settlements on important questions, not sure how I’d fix it, empower/require the court to rule anyway.

    There are way too many ways for the powerful to buy an injust outcome and way too few ways for your average citizen to get anything like justice.

  25. Federal Election 2022: Polling shows big swing away from Liberals in WA

    The federal Liberals face a catastrophic swing away from the party in Western Australia in the coming election, which could deliver Labor its best WA outcome since the 1980s, Greens internal party polling suggests.

    The Greens commissioned Online Research Unit’s polling of 1016 West Australians from February 22 to March 2 to assess the likelihood of WA Senator Dorinda Cox retaining her seat. It is the first WA-focused polling to be released publicly ahead of the federal election.

    It found she would, with the Greens’ primary vote in the Senate remaining stable at 12 per cent, but the most shocking results were found in responses to the first preferences question.

    The poll predicted the Liberals would hemorrhage 12.8 per cent of its first preference voters from the 2019 election to record its worst election result in this state in modern history, with a primary vote of 31 per cent.

    The polling predicted Labor would gain a 12.2 per cent swing, for 42 per cent of the primary vote.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/polling-reveals-federal-coalition-faces-big-trouble-in-the-west-20220314-p5a4my.html

  26. The original standards were about the outcome but for too long it became an audit of the paperwork and the resident outcomes became less important. I hope that this has been reversed.
    ______
    Very much so, Assantdj. Almost all standards and their evaluation have the resident (or “consumer” as they are now described) at their centre. The auditors spend a lot of time talking to the residents and their families as well as inconspicuously observing their interactions with staff.
    Their 97-page report was redolent with references to these interviews and observations in support of their evaluations.
    All in all, it was a well-conducted audit.

  27. Apologies if this has already been posted.

    I can’t access the paywalled article on the West online, but the headline reads “Greens polling forecasting big swings against Liberals in WA”.

  28. Interesting point in this comment from the Guardian blog – caps in the original comment

    Regardless of the court’s decision today, the ANTI-Environment Minister Sussan Ley should be asked HOW MUCH HAS IT COST to go to court to fight against the Federal Court finding that the government owes a DUTY OF CARE to protect Australian children from harm from decisions that cause more Climate Change.

  29. Inner Westie says:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 12:29 pm

    I’m not pretending to be anyone else.
    ….’
    ——————————
    Morrison’s paradox: How can he pretend to be a pretender?

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