Essential Research released its fortnightly poll yesterday, the headline “2PP+” reading of which had Labor on 49% (steady), the Coalition on 44% (down one) and undecided 7% (down one). Labor’s marginal improvement was in fact down to better preference flows, since it was down three points on the primary vote to 35%, with the Coalition up one to 36%, the Greens up one to 10%, the United Australia Party is steady on 3%, One Nation down two to 3%, others steady on 4%, and undecided up one to 7%. Labor did notably less well on the Queensland breakdown than last time, their primary vote down ten points to 29% with the Coalition up six to 40%.
Further questions record no advantage for the government on handling of the Ukraine onflict, with the Coalition and Labor tied at 24% on best party to handle, and 33% reckoning there to be no difference. Fifty-eight per cent support Australian financial support to supply weapons to Ukraine, with only 15% opposed, and 68% support additional refugee and humanitarian places for arrivals from Ukraine, with 10% opposed.
An occasional question on whether the government deserves to be re-elected finds an ongoing trend against the government, with 32% holding that view, down two on November, and a three point increase to 48% for the alternative proposition that it’s “time to give someone else a go”. A series of questions on gender equality, presumably to tie in with International Women’s Day, finds 67% believe there is still a long way to go on gender equality, although it seems question wording weighs heavily on such findings, since 48% also agreed gender equality had come far enough already.
The regular questions on COVID-19 management find the federal government’s ratings little changed, with approval down one to 39% and disapproval up one to 35%. The small-sample state government results find the Western Australia government back up by seven points to 71%, ahead of South Australia on 58%, Queensland on 51%, New South Wales on 46% and Victoria on 42%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1020.
C@tmomma @ #1449 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 5:13 pm
Yes, that he does, but it’s so clumsy, and poorly thought through. He thought no one would notice? That’s what I meant by misreading the electorate. I had that ‘votes with the govt’ sentence in my post with *every.single.time* as the feature words, but deleted it; seemed redundant, no nasturtiums at you.
Catherine Renshaw has posters up on the fence of a rather ramshackle house in Naremburn (North Sydney). Got to get a little close to see the ALP logo.
shellbell,
Are you feeling frisky?
Coming back from an appointment on the other side of Melbourne today, saw lots of yellow and black UAP billboards. He is spending heaps – for what I wonder.
Itza,
No nasturtiums and hopefully no brickbats either. I’ve had enough of them lately. 🙂
Black snake on the lawn off the verandah. I mean really guys, there’s no shortage of other places to go.
laughtong @ #1455 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 5:22 pm
This isn’t 2019 when the Clive Palmer schtick was somewhat new, a bit like Scott Morrison in that respect. All the money in the world can’t sell ice to the Eskimos. 🙂
Greensborough Growler @ #1450 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 5:17 pm
I’m not sure what you’re referring to ..?
Are you suggesting Shorten wouldn’t have been involved in backing Kitching …?
ItzaDream
The safest thing to do is sell.
laughtong @ #1454 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 5:22 pm
The petty juvenile thrill of disruption, like some wally who thinks kicking someone’s sand castle over is fun.
Plus anything to keep the fossil fuel profiteers in business of course.
‘I’ve always been on the blue spectrum’: Dave Sharma denies mimicking independent rival’s colour scheme
I think he meant to say “I ’ve always been on the spectrum “
shellbell @ #1459 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 5:28 pm
LOL. I had a patient once who was telling me they had just bought in theHighlands, kinda like you know where-ish, and the day they saw a snake on the drive is the day they rang the agent. They’d been there about a month. Something about protecting the grandchildren.
Would love to see Morrison face a spill, win it by 1 vote and limp into the election bleeding political blood …,,,,if we cant have that A dutton rise to power and we get on the phone to Jordies to continue to do a number on him….win-win for the goodies.
ItzaDream @ #1461 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 5:29 pm
Our Australian polity is chokkers with fossil fuel scammers.
“laughtongsays:
Friday, March 11, 2022 at 5:22 pm
Coming back from an appointment on the other side of Melbourne today, saw lots of yellow and black UAP billboards. He is spending heaps – for what I wonder.”
At the last election apparently Libs were handing out HTVs for UAP
Wouldn’t shock me if that is where we end up again.
Splitting the election is such a momentously stupid idea that the PM’s office is probably brainstorming the logistics as we speak.
“I think he meant to say “I ’ve always been on the spectrum “”
None of the neurodiverse people I know would ever even consider voting LNP let alone being and LNP member, and all of them would be more competent local members than dodgy dave.
Splitting the election is such a momentously stupid idea that the PM’s office is probably brainstorming the logistics as we speak.
“How good are elections!”
Rex Douglas @ #1465 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 5:32 pm
Did anyone see Gina donate a pearl or some other trinket into a re-house the flood destitute? Didn’t think so. Did you see that couple tying to get to talk with Morrison? She was crying; he said he didn’t want to go up him or anything, but just wanted to say – we’ve lost everything, everything, and all I need is a caravan for us and the two children. Morrison was too busy being late. For everything.
I wonder what delicious goodies Newspoll will have for us on Sunday evening….can’t wait.
Asha at 5:36 pm
If it means keeping your arse on the throne a few months longer why not ? They say the best day in opposition is not as good as the worst day in government. Imagine if the choice was between an extra day as ‘Lord of Australia’ or an extra day as yesterday’s man.
Had a good working relationship with a tiger snake that dwelled next to the rainwater tank off the back verandah for years. Didn’t bother me or the dog at all. But when snake babies came along, it was time to call in the catcher out and move the family to greener pastures at the bottom of my block. We occasionally see out friend when we go down to the river to swim in summer.
C@tmomma says:
Friday, March 11, 2022 at 8:45 am
This is frightening but doesn’t surprise me. It’s a comment from Waleed Aly’s article:
Coco
It’s the terrifying level of disinterest or active opposition, then dragged kicking and screaming late to the critical problem. This persistent, abject fatalism to disasters is a deep character flaw and harms us all. My fundamentalist Christian friends are now all referring to these successive natural disasters as biblical level plagues and more recently to Putin and the invasion of Ukraine as biblical proof the “end days” are here. Christian fundamentalist eagerness for the end days to hasten the righteous being reunited with their saviour ( and non believers abandoned ) is one potential explanation for the persistent, egregious and strange disinterest and slowness to act (of Morrison).
———————————————
Bludging says:
Friday, March 11, 2022 at 9:47 am
Yup. In the Pentecostal mind, the will of god is to be seen everywhere. Wars, plagues, famines, floods, fires, earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, tempests, plagues and all….as much as ‘miracles’ are the mercy of the deity, so are these tribulations the will of god.
We’re in the hands of complete idiots.
————————————————–
I was raised as a Jehovah’s Witness, that is EXACTLY how they think. Complete defeatism in the face of adversity.
Petrol now $2.09 in Melbourne – highest seen with average $1.89 to $1.99
Diesel is now $2.20 in Melbourne
Greensborough Growler @ #1474 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 5:58 pm
Wha ..??
Sandman
was visiting a camp ground near Bremer Bay on WA’s south coast a few years ago when we saw a tiger snake near the kitchen/amenities block.
Camp owner explained that it was the young snakes he was a mostly concerned about. As they got older they seemed to be aware that humans were (mostly) no threat and pretty much ignored us.
But mind were you walk just the same.
Vince O’Grady Retweeted
Henry The Democratic Socialist
@Biggy1883
·
5h
Replying to
@GailDianne1
@SuxHypocrisy
and
@Greens
here`s why
And they wonder why people are jumping off the Greens band-wagon.
Bludging at 9:47 am
Perhaps more importantly they see satan ‘everywhere’ ……… .Pentecostalism is obsessed with the Devil to an extent that is heretical to mainstream Christianity. “Satan” is not an abstract idea but a highly personal fallen angel who, through his ability to manipulate and direct nonbelievers, largely runs the “world”. To be baptised in the Spirit is to be personally conscripted into the struggle, intimately experienced in daily life, between the forces of good and ever-present evil. .
With Satan ‘obviously’ behind any effort to thwart a ‘Pentecostal’ like SfM their ‘righteous gland’ would be inflamed at any opposition lol .
https://www.themonthly.com.au/issue/2019/february/1548939600/james-boyce/devil-and-scott-morrison#mtr
Autocrat
“parochial” you say. My fellow constituents in Dickson were born parochial but they grew far worse. They are devotees, cultist in their adoration for Brian Pegmatite’s boss. I have no logical explanation for it but when we all meet weekly for drinks and nibbles I can assure you that as an ALP supporter I am viewed in the same way as ET might have been so long ago. My jokes about Dutton go entirely unappreciated. I am after all a Micallef fan during which they’re all watching Sky After Dark. It’s like living in an alternative reality.
Albo has questions to answer over Kitching?
https://www.perthnow.com.au/news/anthony-albanese-responds-to-kimberley-kitchings-sudden-death-c-6020963
Gutter journalism.
Why am I not surprised
poroti @ #1478 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 6:09 pm
Morrison’s merry band of Pentecostals has taken us back 2000 years in time.
Bandt is whistling in the dark imho.
With the Teals stripping votes off them in traditional Lib seats and Labor’s Primary resurgent it is shaping up as a bad Election for the Greens.
I basically agree with Antony Green that the split election strategy would be political suicide for the coalition. However, the real question is how the coalition sees it. If they were to form the view that it improves their chances of holding government they wouldn’t hesitate. Holding and maximising political power is their raison d’être. When the odious Christopher Pyne said the coalition was an election winning machine, regrettably he wasn’t entirely wrong.
It’s difficult to imagine that the coalition would see the split election as a viable political strategy given that the potential upside (holding on in September) is highly speculative, and the downside risk (ie a much weakened position in the Senate and receiving the thumping of all thumpings in September) is very real.
However getting rid of a relatively popular PM shortly before an election without a clear reason would have once seemed so politically risky that no one would have considered it a realistic possibility. And yet in 2010 it happened – and triggered the ongoing fashion for dumping incumbent (less popular) PMs before elections.
But it feels like the split election tactic would carry orders of magnitude greater political risk than dumping a popular PM mid-stream. If it were to happen though, and especially if it ultimately led to the thumping of all thumpings scenario in September, it would make for great political entertainment over the next few months.
AJM
“ For the 492nd time, don’t assume that Dutton would be a positive for the coalition in Queensland. he’s no Kevin07”
No he’s not but the existing and strong Coalition support base up here absolutely love him. I’m not exaggerating, they love Dutton. It’s QLD after all.
Rossmcg @ #1481 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 6:12 pm
I’m not surprised at all. The information warfare against Albanese and Labor is getting into full swing before the election.
Rossmcg @ #1480 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 6:12 pm
I don’t think any fair-minded Labor partisan could disagree with the efforts to manage out all those under the Somyurek umbrella …?
Cronus @ #1485 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 6:15 pm
And, as I said earlier, everyone below the Dickson line loathes him.
It was more likely than not Kimberley Kitching’s recently diagnosed thyroid-related heart problems that killed her, not factional warfare, as the Paul Sakkal/The Age article quoted earlier laid out. She was more likely than not to have retained her Senate position but had not been endorsed because the endorsement of Kim Carr has not yet been finalised and they needed to be done together.
C@T
“ It’s like putting on a new coat to go out to dinner while you still have your dirty tracky daks on.”
I think you’ve just described the last three elections perfectly and yet the electorate didn’t bat an eyelid, just kept knocking the froth off their beers, nothing to see here, move right along.
C@tmomma @ #1488 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 6:20 pm
It was Bill Shorten who raised the ‘factional stress’ as a likely contributor.
@Cronus – I think it’s not an accurate reflection.
– Rudd was miles more popular than Gillard. Saved seats. But the loss was baked in.
– Turnbull – MILES more popular than Abbott, got huge poll bounce, blew his advantage and still nearly lost.
– Morrison – was a neutral figure to most people, was seen as having clean hands in the change, had 9 months.
Dutton is not popular – except with the fervent base.
Saved seats that he helped imperil …?
Cronus @ #1485 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 5:15 pm
Utter garbage. What’s your evidence?
@Rex – marketing 101 – if no one wants your product, you create the market for it. But regardless … the point is still true.
I maintain the view – THE only reason Dutton would challenge is he thinks being PM would give him a better chance of holding his seat.
These are the easy election points to make in the campaign. Morrison’s finished.
Cronus @ #1480 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 5:11 pm
You obviously mix with a very strange group of people, and not a very representative group.
In breaking news, 2022 is not 2013.
Voters really don’t care about history in politics.
The Question is always what have you done for me lately?
Pay your money and make your choice.
Rex Douglas @ #1491 Friday, March 11th, 2022 – 6:22 pm
But not the cause of her passing. She had a thyroid irregularity. It causes heart irregularities.
Dutton would be loved by the Liberal base, the talkback crowd, who are very right wing.