EMRS: Liberal 41, Labor 31, Greens 12 in Tasmania

A regular Tasmanian state polling series records a narrowing after a long period of Liberal dominance.

EMRS has published its quarterly-or-so poll of state voting intention in Tasmania, which records a sharp downturn for the Liberals after a long period of overwhelming dominance. The party is down eight points on the primary vote since December to 41%, with Labor up five to 31%, the Greens down one to 12% and “others” up four to 16%. Peter Gutwein’s lead over Labor’s Rebecca White as preferred premier has likewise narrowed, from 59-28 to 52-33. The poll was conducted by phone on Monday and Tuesday last week from a sample of 1000.

While on Tasmanian affairs, it’s worth repeating here that Lara Alexander was sworn in last week as one of the three Liberal members for Bass, having won the recount to succeed Sarah Courtney after her resignation last month. This involved counting the ballots that elected Courtney at the election last May, which found Alexander prevailing over rival Liberal candidate Simon Wood by 5671 votes (52.9%) to 5051 (47.1%).

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2 comments on “EMRS: Liberal 41, Labor 31, Greens 12 in Tasmania”

  1. Thanks William. A lot of people I spoke with were not happy with Gutwein throwing open the borders in December. Although masks are being eliminated in most places over the next few weeks, most people I know are opting to continue wearing them. Ditto, continuing to work from home when possible.

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