The Australian reports the latest Newspoll credits Labor with a two-party lead of 53-47, down from 54-46 in the last poll three weeks ago, from primary votes of Coalition 37% (up one), Labor 38% (down two), Greens 10% (steady) and One Nation 3% (steady). On personal ratings, Scott Morrison records his weakest results since his early pandemic bounce in March last year, with approval down three to 46% and disapproval up three to 50%, but Anthony Albanese also records his weakest net rating to date, with approval down three to 37% and disapproval up one to 48%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister has narrowed from 50-34 to 47-35. No hard details yet, but the poll will have been conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of between 1500 and 1600.
UPDATE (21/9): As reported in The Australian today, it turns out the poll had a larger-than-usual sample of 2144, which was done to produce sufficient sub-samples from the three largest states for meaningful results on the performance of state leaders. On personal ratings, Daniel Andrews leads the field with 64% approval and 35% disapproval, with Gladys Berejiklian (56% approval and 40% approval) and Annastacia Palaszczuk (57% approval and 38% disapproval) similarly placed. Separate questions on handling of COVID-19 give Berejiklian (56% good, 41% bad) and Andrews (63% and 35%) results almost identical to their personal ratings, whereas Palaszczuk does quite a lot better at 67% well and 31% badly.
We also learn that Scott Morrison’s personal ratings are strong in Queensland (56% approval and 41% disapproval), neutral in New South Wales (46% and 49%) and weak in Victoria (41% and 57%). Morrison is deemed to have handled COVID-19 well by 48% out of the national sample and badly by 49%, reflecting no change since the question was last posted in August. This breaks down to 47% well and 49% badly in New South Wales, 40% and 58% in Victoria and 61% and 36% in Queensland. Fifty-three per cent express more concern with moving too fast on relaxing restrictions compared with 42% for too slow, compared with 62% and 34% when the question was last asked in late January.
”
Socratessays:
Monday, September 20, 2021 at 6:19 am
Morning all. While this seems a steady as she goes Newspoll result, I see no sign of any Khaki bounce from the subs deal. Best case, the new deal exposes the Liberals wasted five years and a few billion on the subs contract.
I think the cancelled subs contract adds to a narrative that Scomo is quite poor at managing money and delivering, as with jobkeeper, vaccines and quarantine.
I think Labor could also pursue a specific Adelaide angle on the subs contract bungle. Despite past promises dating back to Chris Pyne, Adelaide has not seen a bonanza of jobs from ship building, and now faces another “valley of death”.
”
Socrates
What stuck in my craw is the betrayal of US and Australia of a close and NATO ally (to US).
What is the biggest strength of USA. It is not its Military power because wherever and whenever they used it since WW2 it has been a disaster either for them or the local populace or both. USA biggest strength is its soft power like its image that it has the back of its allies. That is the reason Soviet Union or Russia or China never dared to harm US allies, whether NATO or otherwise.
Trump trashed and showed contempt for NATO allies in preference of Russia but he did not individually singled out one particular allied country. He treated all of them badly. The US allies whether it Europeans, Canada or some other allies come to the conclusion that they will have to live with US contempt as along Trump is President and hoped for better times after that. Biden even said that his admin will give high priority to repairing ties with allies.
Now US betrays one ally to support another. It is not just any other ally. It is France. France is UN Security council member. France is second most powerful country in EU after Germany. France is an important NATO member.
France has never recalled their ambassador from USA till now. This is the first time they did it. They did not do it even during Trump or Bush jr. years. The allies thought they would get humiliated only by Republicans but now they know that Democrats are no better.
The US MSM other than NYTand CNN to some extent remained blaze about it.
And why does Clive Palmer want to abolish the States and Territories and replace them with Regional governments? (Obviously this is the reason for his court challenges to the States). He wants a federal Coalition government to write the legislation in such a way that it would be advantageous to bumptious bullying businessmen like him.
Can I just say that the NSW Coalition have started down this ‘Regional Government’ path in NSW with their Council mergers under the ‘Fit For the Future’ program. It hasn’t worked out too well for them. Liberal Councils refused to be merged and councils that were merged, like the Central Coast and Inner Sydney, voted for Labor. So what did the, still existing, State government do? Starve the Council of promised funds in order to create a financial crisis and then sack the Labor-controlled Council and put in a hand-picked Administrator to do the bidding of the Coalition.
Essentially, ‘Regional Government’ is just an artifice for top down control by the federal government. Which Clive Palmer is more than happy to finance into being at election time.
Fran introduces the 7:00 news as, labor set to pursue it’s political pursuit of CP.
pukka
No ‘political opponents’ are on the ‘other side’. A FIGJAM like Porter would be adept at producing ‘opponents’ from all sides 🙂
confessions
I’ve not yet seen economists (like that nasty piece of work Gigi Foster) doing an analysis of the cost of long covid – especially on younger people.
😆 Porter ‘sacrifices’ himself for the donors. What a noble act 😆
pukka @ #58 Monday, September 20th, 2021 – 7:12 am
And it’s absolutely correct of them to try and hound him out of parliament. The guy can’t keep it in his pants and he’s onto his 3rd divorce as a result! Even after his behaviour when he’s playing away in Canberra has been exposed by the ABC. he’s just the sort of person we don’t need in federal parliament.
pukka @ #103 Monday, September 20th, 2021 – 7:12 am
See the Oz front page from earlier this morning regarding the mob rule. I keep saying, and keep being proven right that RN Breakfast takes its reporting from what’s in the Australian newspaper.
The only reason anyone would read The Daily Telegraph or The Australian is for confirmation bias purposes only.
”
citizensays:
Monday, September 20, 2021 at 6:39 am
Murdoch’s Oz front page today – poor mistreated Porter, Newspoll never happened and Palmer/Kelly at the bottom.
[EDIT] Oops – I missed the little Newspoll bit at the top.
”
So it appears Murdoch hacks think that this Newspoll is bad news for PM because even when it was 54-46 in favour of ALP that spun it as if it was good news for PM. Now wonder he “accepted” Porter resignation from cabinet.
Confessions @ #63 Monday, September 20th, 2021 – 7:20 am
Probably due to some misguided perception that The Australian is the only remaining national broadsheet newspaper that reports the news ‘seriously’. 🙄
Good morning Dawn Patrollers
Shane Wright looks at the growing level of mortgage stress and the way the tax system in influencing. But no major party has the inclination to do anything about it.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/mortgage-stress-soars-as-rba-says-tax-system-pushes-up-house-prices-20210919-p58sw3.html
Nick Bonyhady and Shane Wright tell us about Christian Porter and his resignation from the ministry.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/christian-porter-resigns-from-front-bench-20210919-p58szq.html
Here’s what Amy Remeikis had to say about it.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/sep/19/christian-porter-takes-appropriate-action-by-quitting-as-minister-scott-morrison-says
Josh Butler writes that Labor is still demanding to know where the money came from and how much Mr Porter received, claiming the situation was “absurd”.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2021/09/19/christian-porter-blind-trust-resignation/
Last week’s nuclear submarine pageant has made the state of Australia’s federation even clearer than it was: The federal government runs external affairs while domestically the nation is now a series of fiefdoms run by warlords (premiers), says Alan Kohler.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/finance-news/2021/09/20/state-premiers-morrison-alan-kohler/
The AUSUK security pact is another provocative alliance that can only end in blood and tears. And for no good reason other than a nostalgic addiction to imperial power, opines Joseph Camilleri.
https://johnmenadue.com/ausuk-security-pact-a-story-of-recklessness-and-delusion/
Michelle Grattan begins this article with, “Scott Morrison, whose COVID face masks have the Australian flag emblazoned on them, likes to talk about “the Australian way” of doing things and Australian values. But it is not “the Australian way” to secretly plan, over a very long time, to deceive a close friend of this country, and then to treat them in a most humiliating and disdainful manner. That does not align with “Australian values” of honesty and fair dealing.”
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2021/09/20/view-from-the-hill-for-morrison-aukus-is-all-about-the-deal-never-mind-the-niceties/
Michael Pascoe asks, “Who sold the nuclear submarines – and our sovereignty?”
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2021/09/20/nuclear-submarines-sovereignty-pascoe/
In what must be a massive frustration for federal Labor leader Anthony Albanese, another ALP factional fight has broken into civil war on the Left, distracting attention away from the clear failures of the Morrison government, writes Emma Dawson.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/left-s-identity-politics-crisis-a-progressive-problem-20210918-p58suc.html
The coronavirus pandemic is revealing just how deadly the NSW government’s attitude towards high-density apartment communities could be. It is a simple fact that strata living presents a higher risk of COVID-19 transmission than in freestanding homes, explains Jane Hearn.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/covid-secrecy-could-spell-disaster-for-apartment-residents-20210919-p58swc.html
Liam Mannix tells us that modelling conducted for the Victorian government predicts its road map out of lockdown has a better than one-in-two chance of exceeding the state’s hospital and ICU capacity and will lead to the deaths of between 1455 and 3152 people.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/hospitals-likely-overwhelmed-road-map-modelling-shows-20210919-p58sz8.html
The Doherty Institute’s Sharon Lewin tells us that Victoria’s roadmap to reopening will see its hard work pay off. It’s a good call to arms, this.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/victoria-s-roadmap-to-reopening-will-see-our-hard-work-pay-off-20210919-p58t0j.html
The New Daily reports that Victorian businesses have described the state’s roadmap out of lockdown as a “roadblock” and say it is too conservative compared to NSW’s path to freedom.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2021/09/20/coronavirus-victoria-roadblock-to-opening-up/
Jennifer Duke explains the economic consequences of working from home that no one is talking about.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/the-economic-consequences-of-working-from-home-that-no-one-is-talking-about-20210916-p58s4g.html
Some of Victoria’s most marginalised citizens are caught up in a dispute as rival disability accommodation and support businesses fight for the right to access their funding packages under the NDIS. Isn’t privatisation grand!
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/ugly-turf-war-as-service-providers-tussle-over-ndis-clients-with-disabilities-20210919-p58syy.html
Big pharma is fiercely opposing measures to scale up production and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines around the world. This corporate genocide must be named. David Legge says it’s time to stop protecting crooks.
https://johnmenadue.com/genocide-by-big-pharma-millions-will-die/
The federal government is preparing for the cost of its planned fleet of nuclear-powered submarines to easily surpass $100 billion, putting pressure on a budget already reeling from the fallout from the coronavirus pandemic.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/subs-set-to-sail-past-100-billion-as-defence-call-on-budget-grows-20210917-p58sj4.html
Greg Sheridan gets right to the point in telling us that the French have no right to be aggrieved.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/aukus-alliance-french-submarine-fury-is-a-farce/news-story/556f5967656ef039a21d5389285b7065
Australia plans to lease and share existing nuclear-powered submarines years before acquisition, narrowing a risk the American or British subs arrive too late to counter China’s rapid military expansion in the Indo-Pacific.
https://www.afr.com/policy/foreign-affairs/leased-submarines-to-fill-security-gap-20210919-p58syl
Peter Hannam reports that the NSW government sought to increase the amount of water permitted to be extracted from the Murray-Darling Basin, revealing in an email that the Commonwealth body in charge was “desperately afraid” of the media coverage when the plan was made public. What a racket!
https://www.smh.com.au/environment/sustainability/nsw-sought-to-beat-basin-plan-water-limits-20210919-p58szi.html
It’s not often a court case has a date set aside for an appeal before the first judge has made their decision. But a case heard in the Federal Court last week into business interruption insurance has done just that, writes Adele Ferguson about a Covid-19 business interruption insurance test case.
https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/insurers-set-for-covid-claims-appeal-20210919-p58sy4
Education Minister Alan Tudge should look closely at history before criticising expert’s proposed curriculum changes, suggesting school students challenge ideas about Anzac Day, writes Dechlan Brennan.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/tudge-sore-over-suggestion-we-question-anzac-day,15528
The government is putting another $150 million towards hydrogen industry hubs as it burnishes its environment credentials ahead of a UN conference.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/government-sinks-another-150-million-into-hydrogen-industry-20210919-p58sym.html
A small group of powerful men, and increasingly women, dominate the boards of Australia’s biggest companies. And some fear the group is too small, writes Anne Hyland.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/board-games-is-a-cosy-directors-club-a-risk-to-corporate-australia-20210906-p58p4z.html
Oh dear! Clarence House is facing fresh questions over further revelations in the royal “cash-for-honours” scandal involving middlemen who reportedly took cuts for setting up meetings between wealthy donors and the Prince of Wales.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/sep/19/prince-charles-cash-for-honours-scandal-grows-with-fresh-allegations
Cartoon Corner
Alan Moir
David Rowe
Peter Broelman
Jim Pavlidis
Matt Golding
Michael Leunig
Warren Brown
Lethebridge
Glen Le Lievre
Mark Knight
Leak
From the US
Good morning Dawn Patrollers
Shane Wright looks at the growing level of mortgage stress and the way the tax system in influencing. But no major party has the inclination to do anything about it.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/mortgage-stress-soars-as-rba-says-tax-system-pushes-up-house-prices-20210919-p58sw3.html
Nick Bonyhady and Shane Wright tell us about Christian Porter and his resignation from the ministry.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/christian-porter-resigns-from-front-bench-20210919-p58szq.html
Here’s what Amy Remeikis had to say about it.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/sep/19/christian-porter-takes-appropriate-action-by-quitting-as-minister-scott-morrison-says
Josh Butler writes that Labor is still demanding to know where the money came from and how much Mr Porter received, claiming the situation was “absurd”.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2021/09/19/christian-porter-blind-trust-resignation/
Last week’s nuclear submarine pageant has made the state of Australia’s federation even clearer than it was: The federal government runs external affairs while domestically the nation is now a series of fiefdoms run by warlords (premiers), says Alan Kohler.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/finance-news/2021/09/20/state-premiers-morrison-alan-kohler/
The AUSUK security pact is another provocative alliance that can only end in blood and tears. And for no good reason other than a nostalgic addiction to imperial power, opines Joseph Camilleri.
https://johnmenadue.com/ausuk-security-pact-a-story-of-recklessness-and-delusion/
Michelle Grattan begins this article with, “Scott Morrison, whose COVID face masks have the Australian flag emblazoned on them, likes to talk about “the Australian way” of doing things and Australian values. But it is not “the Australian way” to secretly plan, over a very long time, to deceive a close friend of this country, and then to treat them in a most humiliating and disdainful manner. That does not align with “Australian values” of honesty and fair dealing.”
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2021/09/20/view-from-the-hill-for-morrison-aukus-is-all-about-the-deal-never-mind-the-niceties/
Michael Pascoe asks, “Who sold the nuclear submarines – and our sovereignty?”
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2021/09/20/nuclear-submarines-sovereignty-pascoe/
In what must be a massive frustration for federal Labor leader Anthony Albanese, another ALP factional fight has broken into civil war on the Left, distracting attention away from the clear failures of the Morrison government, writes Emma Dawson.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/left-s-identity-politics-crisis-a-progressive-problem-20210918-p58suc.html
The coronavirus pandemic is revealing just how deadly the NSW government’s attitude towards high-density apartment communities could be. It is a simple fact that strata living presents a higher risk of COVID-19 transmission than in freestanding homes, explains Jane Hearn.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/covid-secrecy-could-spell-disaster-for-apartment-residents-20210919-p58swc.html
Liam Mannix tells us that modelling conducted for the Victorian government predicts its road map out of lockdown has a better than one-in-two chance of exceeding the state’s hospital and ICU capacity and will lead to the deaths of between 1455 and 3152 people.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/hospitals-likely-overwhelmed-road-map-modelling-shows-20210919-p58sz8.html
The Doherty Institute’s Sharon Lewin tells us that Victoria’s roadmap to reopening will see its hard work pay off. It’s a good call to arms, this.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/victoria-s-roadmap-to-reopening-will-see-our-hard-work-pay-off-20210919-p58t0j.html
The New Daily reports that Victorian businesses have described the state’s roadmap out of lockdown as a “roadblock” and say it is too conservative compared to NSW’s path to freedom.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2021/09/20/coronavirus-victoria-roadblock-to-opening-up/
Jennifer Duke explains the economic consequences of working from home that no one is talking about.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/the-economic-consequences-of-working-from-home-that-no-one-is-talking-about-20210916-p58s4g.html
Some of Victoria’s most marginalised citizens are caught up in a dispute as rival disability accommodation and support businesses fight for the right to access their funding packages under the NDIS. Isn’t privatisation grand!
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/ugly-turf-war-as-service-providers-tussle-over-ndis-clients-with-disabilities-20210919-p58syy.html
Big pharma is fiercely opposing measures to scale up production and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines around the world. This corporate genocide must be named. David Legge says it’s time to stop protecting crooks.
https://johnmenadue.com/genocide-by-big-pharma-millions-will-die/
The federal government is preparing for the cost of its planned fleet of nuclear-powered submarines to easily surpass $100 billion, putting pressure on a budget already reeling from the fallout from the coronavirus pandemic.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/subs-set-to-sail-past-100-billion-as-defence-call-on-budget-grows-20210917-p58sj4.html
Greg Sheridan gets right to the point in telling us that the French have no right to be aggrieved.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/aukus-alliance-french-submarine-fury-is-a-farce/news-story/556f5967656ef039a21d5389285b7065
Australia plans to lease and share existing nuclear-powered submarines years before acquisition, narrowing a risk the American or British subs arrive too late to counter China’s rapid military expansion in the Indo-Pacific.
https://www.afr.com/policy/foreign-affairs/leased-submarines-to-fill-security-gap-20210919-p58syl
Peter Hannam reports that the NSW government sought to increase the amount of water permitted to be extracted from the Murray-Darling Basin, revealing in an email that the Commonwealth body in charge was “desperately afraid” of the media coverage when the plan was made public. What a racket!
https://www.smh.com.au/environment/sustainability/nsw-sought-to-beat-basin-plan-water-limits-20210919-p58szi.html
It’s not often a court case has a date set aside for an appeal before the first judge has made their decision. But a case heard in the Federal Court last week into business interruption insurance has done just that, writes Adele Ferguson about a Covid-19 business interruption insurance test case.
https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/insurers-set-for-covid-claims-appeal-20210919-p58sy4
Education Minister Alan Tudge should look closely at history before criticising expert’s proposed curriculum changes, suggesting school students challenge ideas about Anzac Day, writes Dechlan Brennan.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/tudge-sore-over-suggestion-we-question-anzac-day,15528
The government is putting another $150 million towards hydrogen industry hubs as it burnishes its environment credentials ahead of a UN conference.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/government-sinks-another-150-million-into-hydrogen-industry-20210919-p58sym.html
A small group of powerful men, and increasingly women, dominate the boards of Australia’s biggest companies. And some fear the group is too small, writes Anne Hyland.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/board-games-is-a-cosy-directors-club-a-risk-to-corporate-australia-20210906-p58p4z.html
Oh dear! Clarence House is facing fresh questions over further revelations in the royal “cash-for-honours” scandal involving middlemen who reportedly took cuts for setting up meetings between wealthy donors and the Prince of Wales.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/sep/19/prince-charles-cash-for-honours-scandal-grows-with-fresh-allegations
Cartoon Corner
Alan Moir
David Rowe
Peter Broelman
Jim Pavlidis
Matt Golding
Michael Leunig
Warren Brown
Lethebridge
Glen Le Lievre
Mark Knight
Leak
From the US
Confessions – 7:12 am
Has been like that for years. Quite some time back on RN there was an interview with someone who had looked at sort of thing. He reckoned that ,despite having such a small share of the market (15% from unreliable memory), the Australian se 70% of the ‘daily agenda’. This was 10 years or so ago
Christ, is Palmer seriously running on an “abolish the states” platform? Read the bloody room, mate!
Yep. I remember when ‘The Australian’ went behind the paywall, and the local ABC was obviously lost for stories. Then they worked something out and normality resumed.
It’s a bit sad that we have a nation filled with journos who have to outsource their opinion making.
On Newspoll, I think Albo’s deteriorating approval ratings are cause for concern, but otherwise it all remains very encouraging for the ALP.
OMG.. the Leunig is disturbing 🙂
It’s another good poll for Labor, but I’ve long believed that governments of any political colour often recover from bad polling positions as election day nears, but had never seen any data to confirm that. The link posted by Ethan K above was therefore a great read-the data on past polls does indeed show that effect is real. I don’t think there is any chance at all that Morrison will be replaced as leader. I also don’t see any chance of a November election, I think Morrison will leave it pretty late, in the expectation that the Covid crisis abates and that pent-up demand leads to a spending surge and good economic numbers next year. He’ll also want the spotlight to be on Albanese in the campaign-I cringe every time I hear Albanese speak, and I can’t help but feel that he’s a liability rather than an asset to Labor’s campaign. I think we are heading towards a very tight election, with a hung parliament a big possibility.
It will be fascinating to look at the state breakdowns of the latest polling data. Given that the states have had such widely differing experiences with Covid, how will that play out on election day? I continue to worry about the large number of Labor marginals in NSW, it’s the one state where the LNP could conceivably flip a substantial number of Labor seats. And what’s happening in northern Tas? Getting Bass and Braddon back is going to be critical, it’s hard to see a Labor majority if they can’t win those two.
Asha
There’s only one issue and that’s covid. And of a thousand possible futures, only a small handful are favourable to the Liberals.
PM
My understanding is that Labor is already benefited notionally once you take into account redistributions? Or did I get that wrong? Also, there’s no way Labor isn’t gaining in QLD and WA.
And in NSW public sentiment is welded onto the covid issue. Not saying the Libs can’t pick up seats, but people do actually care about their health and those close to them. Scomo’s vision of “freedom” only resonates with some people and I dare say that most of those that really give a shit about being able to fly overseas are already Liberal voters.
That’s around the time I stopped listening to RN Breakfast. It became like the audio edition of the Oz.
Confessions
I had the same experience with ABC newsradio. Originally it was fairly neutral and independent. But by the time of Rudd, it had fallen into having its lead items and agenda set by Murdoch.
From over the Tasman Sea. Apologies needed for Nirvana fans.
Who is holding the fishing line?
Fran Kelly really needs to be replaced on Radio National Breakfast.
Cud Chewer @ #123 Monday, September 20th, 2021 – 7:52 am
Yep, every news story led with “The federal opposition says…” almost immediately after the Howard govt got turfed.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-08-18/nsw-covid-19-vaccination-map/100387416
This is one of the many insidious and subtle ways that Scomo/Gladys frame the issue. On the graphics the colour scheme only goes to “70+” for fully vaccinated. The complete picture (literally) can only be shown if there were colours for 80+ and 90+. Likewise on the “at least partially” map there’s no unique colour for 90+. As a consequence the map is filling with the same undifferentiated shade of green and its hiding those suburbs that are now 90+ – the picture should be telling the story that we need to go a lot further than Scomo’s 80.
From my partners Manufacturing website……on Industry Ministers
Q: It is worth doing the rollcall. Each name will trigger mass eye-rolls at all of the new initiatives, new reports, new reviews, new directions, new “fresh-thinking”, new priorities, new agendas that each new minister has brought with them.
First came Ian Macfarlane (two years). Then Christopher Pyne (nine months). Greg Hunt (six months). Arthur Sinodinos (11 months). Michaelia Cash (eight months). Karen Andrews (18 months). Christian Porter (less than 6 months). And now acting minister Angus Taylor.
Now that’s a conga-line if ever there was one.
https://www.aumanufacturing.com.au/rudderless-the-instability-of-the-industry-portfolio-is-shocking
Confessions
And then it was “The Federal Opposition leader Tony Abbott…”
Even in government, Labor was getting 2nd billiong.
torchbearer
One of Deming’s 14 points – Create constancy of purpose.
https://www.aumanufacturing.com.au/rudderless-the-instability-of-the-industry-portfolio-is-shocking
This mob is beyond hopeless!
Obviously this is the only bit of Newspoll that matters – headline in The West:
citizen @ #87 Monday, September 20th, 2021 – 8:10 am
Honestly, I don’t think people are taking much notice of stories like that. Except us, of course. 😀
Fran Kelly should be permanently replaced with Hamish McDonald, who I know a lot of you don’t like, but he’s way better on radio than she is and he’s a good probing interviewer.
As for the election, it’s a worry that NSW Labor hasn’t yet preselected candidates for Reid, Banks, Lindsay, Robertson and Page, which are all marginal seats.
Labor need 7 seats to get to a majority government, that probably means they need an extra 1 from Tasmania, 2 from WA, 2 from Victoria, 2 from NSW and 2 from Qld(and I think the only possible chances for Labor in state in terms of seat pickups are Flynn and Longman).
Red Laura singing from a non-ABC-approved song sheet.
Hello Cud. Redistributions abolished the Lib seat of Stirling in WA, and created a new safe ALP seat in Vic. So Labor starts the next election with a notional 69 seats, LNP 76, cross-bench is 6. Labor needs to win a net 8 seats from the LNP to have a comfortable majority, after providing for a speaker. Labor you’d think would need to win a minimum net 5 from the LNP to get to minority government, supported by Bandt and Wilkie. Anything less than that, and the independents in conservative seats are needed as well.
PM
Cool thanks.
Still boils down to covid and I can see a thousand ways this goes wrong in NSW.
Coalition 37, Labor 38, Green 10, One Nation 3, None of the Above 12.
For 2PP I get Labor 0 + 38 + 8 + 1 + ? —> 47 + ?
“None of the above” is being split 50:50. That would include independents, Palmists, Christian Right, single issue groups and assorted ratbags. Who knows how that will split.
A movement from 54-46 to 53-47 is not statistically significant, probably just noise, although that being said it is a movement in the same direction as Morgan. We’ll see how it goes in due course.
Prices have rocketed since then. One lender I spoke with this month was willing to value my property at more than $1.3 million. I’m frankly astounded and find myself in the enviable position that I can now use this equity to borrow against for an investment property.
Quite why I’m allowed to enjoy all this $400,000 gain – for which I did not lift a finger – entirely free of tax, I’m not sure. But I am – such is the state of Australia’s utterly nonsensical and amoral property market.
https://www.smh.com.au/money/investing/i-d-hate-me-too-why-i-ve-decided-to-become-a-property-investor-20210916-p58s1p.html
A shame Labor can’t revisit the good policies it took to the last election
Edit… how is it the SMH has such a left wing journalist.. even wants to stop negative gearing
Where the real power lies.
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202109/1234649.shtml?id=12
So the “others” vote rises again, primarily at the expense of the ALP. That’s not entirely surprising. If the government hadn’t pulled out a few big stops, I think the result would have also been worse for them. As it has turned out, the fear-mongering and beating the drums of war probably saved them from a dip of a point or two as well. They will no doubt keep it up.
Both Albo and Morrison seem to be about as popular as a fart in a lift. Again, not entirely surprising.
I think this trend away from the major parties is quite healthy, and we can all hope it eventually leads to a more responsive parliament.
Sceptic
The housing market (or more correctly the land market) is a corrosive on so many things in our society. We need to spend big on social housing and sadly I don’t see Labor doing that. Giving the homeless and poor decent housing is also going to take the heat out of inflated land prices.
That and a decent, fast public transport system that includes high speed rail.
Ven
“ Socrates
What stuck in my craw is the betrayal of US and Australia of a close and NATO ally (to US).”
I fully agree the treatment of France over the whole sub-contract was disgracefully bad. This was both unethical and foolish.
France is a long-time ally and a much more powerful country than Australia. There are many ways they could pay us back, not least on trade and tariffs after COP26, where we will again be shown to be far short of the action required. Carbon tariffs on our exports will hurt many Australian businesses, especially farming.
However I did not comment much on this simply because I have perceived for a long time that the vast majority of Australian voters pay little or no attention to international matters when they cast their vote.
Most will be more annoyed about the years and billions wasted that the loss of Australian credibility and risk of far more damaging trade sanctions. Afghanistan and Iraq have also been examples of foreign policy disasters by Liberal governments and they have paid little electoral price for them.
Thanks BK, your efforts are always worth reading twice.
This stuck out in Amy’s article on Porter.
Who set up the blind trust?
How were these supporters made aware of its existence?
His statement makes it sound like he was aware of the trust from it’s beginning and that he may have directed supporters to it.
Was this a deliberate act by him to try and circumvent disclosure rules?
Steve777 says:
Monday, September 20, 2021 at 8:27 am
Coalition 37, Labor 38, Green 10, One Nation 3, None of the Above 12.
A movement from 54-46 to 53-47 is not statistically significant, probably just noise, although that being said it is a movement in the same direction as Morgan. We’ll see how it goes in due course.
————
Also, noting Kevin Bonham’s comment last night that from the primaries it looked more like another 54-46 to him. Having said that, and not just because of the 2019 experience, I’m taking the polling with a bucketful of salt. We are not in election mode yet. Once the campaign begins things can quickly change (note the fall in Justin Trudeau’s favourable polls once the campaign started, though it seems likely he will get back in minority). COVID, and what happens during the path out of lockdown for Vic and NSW, is a complete wild card. The way that COVID ultimately plays out in WA and Qld is also practically impossible to predict. The scenarios of those states having a major Delta outbreak vs a “soft landing” over coming weeks and months also throw up potentially very different alternative futures. Timing is likely to be everything. If the stakes weren’t as high as they are, with the overwhelming hope that Morrison and co will be out on their backsides and the simultaneous fear that they won’t be, it would be a fascinating political drama.
You can always rely on Barnaby …
I wonder exactly whose money he is going to put on it?
EDIT: Added first para to make context clearer.
”
The AUSUK security pact is another provocative alliance that can only end in blood and tears. And for no good reason other than a nostalgic addiction to imperial power, opines Joseph Camilleri.
https://johnmenadue.com/ausuk-security-pact-a-story-of-recklessness-and-delusion/
”
Unfortunately, I agree with that assessment. It could result in AUSFUK
Climbing up once again. Sigh……
Reported yesterday: 567 new local cases and 0 cases acquired overseas.
– 39,939 vaccines administered
– 50,915 test results received
– Sadly, 1 person with COVID-19 has died
More later: https://t.co/OCCFTAtS1P
#COVID19Vic #COVID19VicData https://t.co/Mp0JUSkTll
This drop would have been caused by the rise of KK, the fact that Newscorp and 2GB have not said much about her means they are keeping their powder dry for the campaign proper. I can’t see an upside of this despite what the “group think” says.
Go out to a BBQ in Western Sydney and people will have a definite opinion on her, and it is not good. She likes to play the Catholic card, but forgets that people who do attend mass i.e those contributing to the plate hate her because of her modernist theology which has nothing to do with either scripture or tradition. And then there is that voice, which if that is not picked up in the focus group research shows Sussex St needs to get both new pollsters and focus group researchers.
”
Michelle Grattan begins this article with, “Scott Morrison, whose COVID face masks have the Australian flag emblazoned on them, likes to talk about “the Australian way” of doing things and Australian values. But it is not “the Australian way” to secretly plan, over a very long time, to deceive a close friend of this country, and then to treat them in a most humiliating and disdainful manner. That does not align with “Australian values” of honesty and fair dealing.”
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2021/09/20/view-from-the-hill-for-morrison-aukus-is-all-about-the-deal-never-mind-the-niceties/
Could it be his “Australian way” and could he be implementing his “Australian values”?