Roy Morgan published its regular fortnightly (for so it now seems) federal voting intention poll on Wednesday, which recorded an incremental improvement for Labor on their already strong previous result. Labor was credited with a lead of 54.5-45.5 on two-party preferred, out from 54-46 last time, from primary votes of Coalition 37.5% (steady), Labor 38.5% (up one), Greens 11.5% (down one) and One Nation 3% (down half).
Two-party state breakdowns are included as usual, showing Labor leading in New South Wales with 53% (a swing of about 5% compared with the 2019 election, and a gain of one point since the previous poll), in Victoria with 59.5% (a swing of about 6.5%, and a loss of half a point), in Western Australia with 51% (a swing of about 6.5%, and a loss of three-and-a-half points), in South Australia with 57.5% (a swing of about 9%, and a gain of three points) and in Tasmania with 63.5% (a swing of about 7.5%, and a gain of six-and-a-half points. The Coalition’s only lead is in Queensland with 53.5%, a gain of 1.5% since the previous poll but a swing to Labor of around 5% compared with 2019.
The poll was conducted over the past two weekends from a sample of 2735. Assuming this was divided between the states in proportion to population, sub-samples would have ranged from nearly 900 in New South Wales to less than 100 in Tasmania.
Speaking of Tasmania, the first EMRS poll of voting intention in that state since the May election was published yesterday, although it does not capture the impact of the latest developments in the David O’Byrne saga, having been conducted from August 7 to 9. The result is almost identical to that of the election, with the Liberals on 49% (48.7% at the election), Labor on 28% (28.2%) and the Greens on 13% (12.4%). Newly restored Labor leader Rebecca White trails Peter Gutwein 59-29 as preferred premier, compared with 61-26 in the pre-election poll in February. The poll was conducted by phone from a sample of 1000.
Alpha Zero @ #189 Friday, September 3rd, 2021 – 8:43 am
No, I haven’t, although your pictures a similar to the hostel I stayed in, in Turkey.
They are amazing sights.
I think watching the show would require an electrical device called a television.
They often come up in class discussions, but I haven’t had one of my own for a couple of decades. 😆
TPOF @ #177 Friday, September 3rd, 2021 – 10:42 am
We get reminded minute by minute about how shit this and that is.
This is my thing.
Also, ‘And there is nothing Labor can do about it.’
I don’t believe you.
Asha
The point is you are not promoting send kids back to school after a Premier asks if it’s safe to do so.
Victoria @ #187 Friday, September 3rd, 2021 – 10:49 am
Joshy on skins is pretty weak.
Little Ghunt on bass wouldn’t know a first inversion triad from a hole in the ground. Scotty on vocals can’t ever seem to get his lyrics right.
Still, if that’s your bag.
At 6 45 this morning a Toorak matron laid into Jeanette young for promoting vaccine hesitantancy. Claimed that Young had said no Qlder should have AZ, obviously didn’t listen to that press conference, cos her husband works for Pfizer
Would not countenance that Scummo had a panicked late night press conference
Must be in LNP talking points, along with Dan Andrews drunk at Lindsay fox Portsea house
mundo
They are not allowed.
Michael West is consistently refused permission.
Sceptic:
To be honest, I think people greatly overestimate Rupert Murdoch’s role in the reporting of his various media outlets. I imagine in many cases, its more about hiring management, editors, and reporters who share his political leanings and making it clear that he objectivity is not what he wants from them. Then he just lets them do their thing, occasionally prodding them in certain directions as he sees fit. It’s not that the papers/Sky are doing his bidding so much as those in charge are reactionaries too.
The media are just abominable, generally speaking. I avoid them as much as possible. I do not consume their products. I do not share their products. They are scavengers.
Douglas and Milko @ #206 Friday, September 3rd, 2021 – 10:54 am
Why doesn’t Dan just prohibit the riff raff then.
Isn’t he allowed to?
Is he too ‘professional’, too ‘grown-up’, too ‘nice’?
mundo
Andrews stays until every question is exhausted. Other day presser went for more than 2 hours.
Seriously no longer necessary for such long pressers. But there you go.
Mundo
Perhaps Dan Andrews knows he is competent. Believes in government being held to account in a democracy.
Maybe he thinks that’s a good way to win elections.
In my short classroom teaching stint I had some kids who were remote learning. It was obvious that they could knock off 3 weeks work in an afternoon because
1. They were motivated
2. They weren’t wasting time while teacher regained control of class.
Do not underestimate the amount of time wasted in classroom management, this was a good school
ok nearly time for binchicken lotto!
Rise and shine campers, but don’t forget your booties, it’s Groundhog Day!
Asha says:
Friday, September 3, 2021 at 10:54 am
Do you really think Rupert relies on a personality test before hiring anyone in a senior role.. he’s an on the blower control freak.
Crikey
@crikey_news
If Rupert Murdoch isn’t a control freak, then why are his employees so reluctant to criticise their boss? http://ow.ly/IE4HK [$]
11:36 AM · Feb 7, 2015·Hootsuite
It’s worth noting that few if any of the women in Rupert’s life .. from mother, previous wives , daughter seem to like him.
Asha @ #199 Friday, September 3rd, 2021 – 8:49 am
Like most decisions around the pandemic, the health considerations should be the main factor.
Here in Indonesia, the schools were the first places closed when the pandemic hit and they still are 18 months on.
The Government is working towards reopening them with teachers being a high priority group for vaccinations and they have already started vaccinating school kids 12 and older.
My school has just started having a couple of offline classes again, which will hopefully allow us to get the protocols in place to allow more in the near future.
Like Zoomster, I can’t wait to be back in a classroom with kids all the time, but it’s got to be done safely for everyone.
1,431 new cases in NSW and 12 deaths.
”
zoomstersays:
Friday, September 3, 2021 at 9:52 am
Dan fell for the ‘it’s unfair for these areas with no cases to be closed down’ spiel and locked down Melbourne harder than the regions.
So COVID spread to the regions.
Dan’s problem appears to be that he tries to be TOO reasonable at times. It’s why he opened up Victoria originally more quickly than he sho
”
Now some LNP types, who advocated living with COVID-21, will breathe a sigh of relief that Gladys no longer has to any blame. All that can be shifted to Andrews, whether it is locdowns, vaccination rates, economy etc. Pivoting from Andrews they can blame WA and QLD for living with COVID, which they are already doing.
Presumably they want to do this to win next federal election.
Forget calling her Gaslight Gladys.. it’s the Butcher from Willoughby!
Dan Andrews deals with the riff raf daily
Rachelbaxendale, the Australian
Sophie Ellsworth the Australian
Julia Bradley channel 7
Summeya ilanbeya the age – occasionally joins the feeding frenzy
Richard willingham abc joins the fray
The main stream media are feral at Vic press conferences
Ven @ #217 Friday, September 3rd, 2021 – 11:02 am
‘he tries to be TOO reasonable at times’
It’s the Labor way.
No cream-puff can’t do with a little extra cream in it’s puffiness.
Ashleigh Raper is the classic example of a Bright Young Thing, a keen new journo given a backyard gig in State politics, gradually turned into an arse-kissing Liberal lovin’ zombie, more interested in staying on the Premier’s speed dial than in any way being seen as rocking the boat, or seeking the truth.
12 deaths mentioned almost as an afterthought..
Buy hey, we’re all gonna die right.
”
Holdenhillbillysays:
Friday, September 3, 2021 at 11:01 am
1,431 new cases in NSW and 12 deaths.
”
Deadliest day todate cases wise and deaths wise and hospital admission wise.
Sceptic @ #218 Friday, September 3rd, 2021 – 11:03 am
Just another Killer.
Victorias at 10:22 am
The presstitutes move as a pack and it seems Qld is the target de jour. I heard a short bit of someone from Qld. government being interviewed on RN this morning. I don’t know who was interviewing them but FMD they were going at the Qld. person as if they had 1000 cases a day and clubbing seals in their spare time. I don’t mind hard questioning but I sure as hell haven’t heard any directed at the Gladystan Premiermade Disaster .
guytaur @ #211 Friday, September 3rd, 2021 – 10:58 am
Gladys is cooked then.
Don’t mention the Armenian Genocide
Poroti
It is disgraceful
Ven @ #223 Friday, September 3rd, 2021 – 11:04 am
All going well then. Keeping to the plan.
A 30 yr old woman dies at home. But hey, Gladys got drawings from children.
“Remember when we were being told the Greens in Germany were a shoe-in, and were being asked to admire their leader because she could do hand stands?
Apparently her lack of political experience turned out not to be a plus after all….”
***
Oh dear. I’ve seen some spin in my time posting on this blog but this is right up there. Looks like I picked a good day to check in on PB!
The German Greens received 8% of the vote at the last election. If this poll is correct, it would mean that they have literally DOUBLED their support since then. That would be nothing short of a fantastic result for them, especially considering the torrent of “fake news” that has been directed at the party since they nominated Baerbock as leader and considering it’s the first time they have contested the chancellorship. But I’m sure the Labor supporters here will come up with some explanation as to why a doubling of electoral support is somehow a bad result.
On another topic, as I type this Gladys is updating us on the disaster she is presiding over. 1400+ today. Those of us (pretty much everyone on the blog from memory) who called on her to lock down hard early have been totally vindicated. But most of the blame for the current situation surely lays at the feet of Morrison for the way he has totally botched the vaccine rollout. Liberal incompetence everywhere you look.
mundo @ #194 Friday, September 3rd, 2021 – 10:46 am
Until Labor finds its voice.
Aunty Gladys says “Thank you boys and girls for sending me your lovely stories and drawings. I love every one of them,” spending more time and emotion on that than in announcing another record day of death and disease.
Psychopath.
If she opens up NSW, it’ll be carnage.
@poroti – don’t lump sex workers in with the gutter press – one group are definitely more effective than the other.
Bruz’s “thoughts and prayers” just don’t seem to be cutting it at the minute.
Must pray harder.
I know why jurnos attacking QLD Premier, because they jealous of QLD Record.
Zerlo
It’s not jealousy. It’s all politically motivated.
P1
The problem for the Liberals is that Daniel Andrews voice has spoken to the nation.
Bushfire Bill @ #233 Friday, September 3rd, 2021 – 11:09 am
‘Aunty Gladys’
Clever ain’t it?
We’ll see.
Zerlo
The MSM hate successful Labor premiers. Sour grapes.
Billie @ #220 Friday, September 3rd, 2021 – 11:03 am
Oh, I thought he was a ‘cream puff’? mundo said so!
Henry @ #236 Friday, September 3rd, 2021 – 11:10 am
Maybe his prayers are going to the devil instead? 😉
Bushfire Bill @ #234 Friday, September 3rd, 2021 – 11:09 am
Did she say if any of them came from hospital?
I have no doubt NSW will be the first to open up. The way Gaslighter was talking yesterday deaths will just be the new normal and she doesnt give a monkeys.
Glady’s has been “very transparent” with the information dontcha know.
guytaur @ #238 Friday, September 3rd, 2021 – 11:12 am
Sadly, Dan Andrews is not the voice of Labor. Who is?
Live footage showing portacabins arriving in Wilcannia for emergency workers.
The campervans won’t arrive for days.
Surely it is quicker to get into a Winnebago, turn on the ignition and drive it to Wilcannia than it is to load portacabins onto the back of a truck.
Priorities??
Gladys keeps rabbitting on about the modelling.
Why not go through it?
“We’re predicting a peak in cases of about XXX by YYY, but after that date, numbers will trail off steadily and by ZZZ we’ll be down to AAA cases…”
This would give people some sense that things were working.
Steady as she sinks in NSW with 1400 cases. That exponential growth curve looks a much more reliable predictor than Gladys.
I’m half surprised Gladys didn’t talk up the 12 deaths as a neat way of freeing up ICU space. Half the intubated ones will die. Problem solved.
I just can’t watch Gladys for more than a minute. Her comments are so sickeningly in denial of the human tragedy. She is as big a sociopath as Morrison, just better at hiding it in the past.
There’s that ‘quadrupled’ word again, re ventilators this time.
Michael Pacsoe has some thoughts on that little sop to reality –
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2021/09/03/michael-pascoe-missing-icu-beds/?utm_source=Adestra&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Morning%20News%20-%2020210903