I had a piece yesterday on Campbell Newman’s break with the Liberal National Party and plans to run for the Senate in Crikey, which I believe has its paywall down for a limited time only. The upshot is that Newman’s anti-lockdown message may struggle to gain traction in a state that hasn’t had many of them; that he is unlikely to benefit the conservative cause even if he wins; and that his presence on the ballot paper could even contribute to a seat currently held by the Liberal National Party (specifically Amanda Stoker) or Pauline Hanson instead going to Labor or the Greens.
The article includes a reference to a poll conducted by Ipsos in June from a sample of 500 Queensland respondents for conservative podcast host Damian Coory, who published approval ratings for state political figures among its small sample of 173 LNP voters. Newman was credited with an approval rating of nearly 60%, substantially higher than any of his four successors as party leader, which may have encouraged him in his present course. Newman has also maintained high name recognition, with only around 20% of respondents uncommitted, compared with around 40% for Lawrence Springborg and Deb Frecklington and 60% for David Crisafulli, who replaced Frecklington after the election defeat in October.
Rightly or wrongly, some media accounts have tied Newman’s abandonment of the LNP to a crisis in the party that was laid bare by Saturday’s Stretton by-election, which delivered it an unimpressive swing of 1.6%. My live results display for the by-election continues to be updated here, if on a somewhat irregular basis. The Electoral Commission of Queensland helpfully publishes preference flows by candidate, which may be of some interest: these show that preferences of the Informed Medical Options Party broke 60-40 to the LNP, while the Greens went 82-18 to Labor and Animal Justice went 56-44.
Elsewhere, Antony Green offers his estimated new margins for the finalised federal redistribution of Victoria.
Henry @ #860 Wednesday, July 28th, 2021 – 9:47 am
It’s not her job to approve of any measure.
She advises what needs to be done.
The Government then decide what to do.
The reported 5 hr Party room meeting gives an indication of how political the decision making process is.
The only situation where she should break from this is if someone falsely claimed or represented something as advice, where this was not the case.
She should them be able to correct the record.
Plenty of Gold for our athletes this morning.
One of the more bizarre of Australia’s national priorities is to fund olympic gold medals instead of community health and sport initiatives.
How much does each gold medal cost Australia?
Around $40 million.
A bloody disgraceful waste with huge opportunity costs.
Gladys Berejiklian and Brad Hazzard have sent a message of personal congratulations and thanks to Ariarne Titmus, for winning the gold medal that will hopefully distract so many from their press conference omni-shambles.
As for NSW, a tougher lockdown but with financial assistance to encourage workers to stay at home is essential to getting their outbreak under control.
Jackol
Yes Victoria and SA did both introduce density reqirements at workplaces. In fact, even after lockdown has eased, those restrictions still remain.
Presumably this figure includes unused stocks at GPs etc around the country. But what a debacle.
Jackol @ #894 Wednesday, July 28th, 2021 – 12:11 pm
The Vic workplace restrictions were well thought through and very very detailed. Gladys, foolishly I thought, today made a snide remark about something Victorian being 17 pages (I missed the lead in), as if too long, and comparable would be either too hard for NSW to do, or too hard for its citizens to comprehend, or more likely both.
Boerwar
I have posted several times now in response to this question.
In the years I worked in the Library at the AIS/Sports Commission there was quite a bit of research showing pay-offs from Olympic medals in grass roots participation of adults and children. Of course with a big assumption that appropriate facilities are available
The Green Stooges:
‘laughtong says:
Wednesday, July 28, 2021 at 12:30 pm
Boerwar
I have posted several times now in response to this question.
In the years I worked in the Library at the AIS/Sports Commission there was quite a bit of research showing pay-offs from Olympic medals in grass roots participation of adults and children. Of course with a big assumption that appropriate facilities are available’
________________________________
Direct funding of grass roots by hundreds of millions would be far more effective.
From Murdoch’s Oz:
C@t
The ALP candidate for Chisholm is Carina Garland.
Thanks. Could that be a mistake to not target the Chinese in Chisholm?
Are you assuming the people of Chisholm are racists?
boerwar @ #909 Wednesday, July 28th, 2021 – 12:32 pm
You know that for a fact?
I think that the absence of role models would be significant.
The claims aren’t wrong, just misconstrued. It’s lack of Pfizer/mRNA vaccines specifically that’s hampering the rollout. How many unused mRNA doses are there?
”
Reconsays:
Wednesday, July 28, 2021 at 11:42 am
Ashasays:
Wednesday, July 28, 2021 at 11:39 am
Before the dismissal, Gough Whitlam was loathed by many in the left for his efforts to modernise the ALP and abandon the sacred cows that had kept them in opposition for so long.
_________
I seem to recall from somewhere that a member tried to punch him in the face but Whitlam was too tall to be struck.
”
Before Whitlam became leader of ALP, the party had all the policies/ goals of party of USA called ‘Know ‘ Nothing’ party of 1850s. Whitlam modernised the ALP party and made it social democratic party
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Know_Nothing
boerwar
Oh indeed and the government has lots of color coded spreadsheets
waiting to be reused.
5 out of 6 gold medals of Australia at Tokyo Olympics are won by women.
P1
Isobel Roe
@isobelroe
Sydney people looking for vaccines: Bourke Street Clinic in Surry Hills just sent a mass text saying they have new Astra appointments, if you’re looking! #covid19nsw
12:25 PM · Jul 28, 2021
ItzaDream @ #917 Wednesday, July 28th, 2021 – 12:48 pm
Thanks. Will pass it on.
You would think warmongers would love gold medals. The Olympics is war by other means.
There are ~8 million people living outside of Autralian capital cities. The mining sector employs 150 thousand people. I guess we should conclude that regional Australia is mooching off the mining industry too.
”
Jaegersays:
Wednesday, July 28, 2021 at 11:19 am
NSW man shows no remorse over Brisbane COVID-19 scare after escaping Sydney lockdown
https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/queensland/nsw-man-shows-no-remorse-over-brisbane-covid-19-scare-after-escaping-sydney-lockdown-20210728-p58djs.html
Sydney tradesman George Thompson sparked Queensland COVID alert after border breach with flight attendant
Police said the flight attendant had not been fully cooperative with contact tracers and had engaged a lawyer.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-28/queensland-coronavirus-george-thompson-fined-border-breach/100325698
“It is quite possible that tradie is Morrison supporter.
DisplayNamesays:
Wednesday, July 28, 2021 at 1:04 pm
There are ~8 million people living outside of Autralian capital cities. The mining sector employs 150 thousand people. I guess we should conclude that regional Australia is mooching off the mining industry too.
____________________
And many of those in the mining sector are FIFO from the cities of course.
DisplayName at 1:04 pm
A shitload of those 150,000 would be ‘city folk’ .The FIFOs and the HO workers.
Recon
Too quick for me 🙂
I see the small target/big target debate is doing its rounds again. Shame it’s such a pointless term that can be morphed to mean whatever confirms ones priors. Some of the examples cited are almost as comical as those posts from last year which labelled every successful Democratic Presidential candidate as a leftist and every losing one as a centrist.
Poroti, are we the same person, you being the nicer half?
”
Steve777says:
Wednesday, July 28, 2021 at 11:22 am
The Greens get the votes of people who don’t care about money or at least don’t regard it as the most important thing in life – about 10% of the voters. Labor needs to attract votes from the other 90%.
”
I don’t know whether Greens voters are what you say because there is study or atleast poll tp show that.
However, IMO money is not the most important thing in life. A person who think that is not a happy person.
BTW, I am not a Greens voter.
Lol!
Collignon gets an interview on The World Today
“The reality is that its not getting out of control”.
Yes, he said that.
Recon at 1:08 pm
Hello Mr Hyde.
Ven,
Money is important especially in Australia.
If you are a single mother? Under 40? Money matters. And it’s not because it’s intrinsicly great. It’s because it means options
Most people who say money doesn’t matter came from atomic middle income familes. Hence why they can have views that money isn’t the most important thing. They’ve already got a ton.
Matt Canavan interviewed on Steve Bannon’s War Room. Apparently, it’s all the Commos fault.
https://rumble.com/vkeskp-the-5th-column-in-australia-is-causing-problems-for-the-country.html
Cud Chewer 1 at 1:16 pm
There must be a Comical Ali competition on today. That’s no.2 for the day.
The hard thing for Labor to do at the Federal level (rather than State level) to convince a larger proportion of the electorate that Labor should be a party of government.
I weary of hearing about “We need a strong Opposition” from mealy-mouthed supporters of the so-called democratic system – meaning Labor.
Labor is there to serve a useful role keeping the other bastards honest.
At the moment too many of our fellow citizens see Labor as the fire engine in the shed….just in case….the LNP stuff it up so badly, that there is no alternative.
It is a damned shame that the Nationals can gather 13 seats in the Reps when they get something like 800,000 of the PV.
At the end of the day, the LNP run the place on about 40% of the PV and this seems so intrenched in the minds of many, that is is the way it should be…..
poroti
Getting really disappointed with Kerry. Claiming it can be turned around. Why doesn’t she attempt a reasonable argument or table the modelling.
The AIS should be abolished, not least because it’s the premier manifestation of the corrupting notion that in sport, it’s winning that matters. Its creation was Malcolm Fraser’s biggest mistake.
City inhabitants have very little control over their environment. Much of a city will be older than many of its inhabitants. The various levels of government have control over any changes. Heck, property developers have more control. Residents need to work with other residents over years to effect any change. If you’re in the inner city, you have direct control over what, a few tens of square meters?
boerwar’s narrative of the “inner urbs” is a fiction.
”
Cud Chewersays:
Wednesday, July 28, 2021 at 12:02 pm
Griff
No modelling. Nailed it.
Single most troubling aspect.
Surprised we are not seeing more independent modelling showing up
”
Maybe the Independent Modellers are put under some pressure. When it was Labor, Murdoch hacks went ahead and published a Modelling report and implied that that is State government modelling. Why are they are not publishing one now? We all know the answer for that. Even LNP supporters on this blog.
”
boerwarsays:
Wednesday, July 28, 2021 at 11:49 am
The mob in Rome was kept in some sort of check with… bread, circuses, and the Praetorian Guard.
Rome was thus a massive resource sump.
In some vague sort of ways it is a bit like your inner urban yappies in today’s Australian cities.
They want others to supply them with food, materials, goods, clothing, recreation infrastructure, health infrastructure, education infrastructure, grog, drugs, housing, transport, water, and then to take care of their dirty air, sewage, dirty water, and material wastes while insisting that the inner urbs values must be applied to everyone who does the hard yakka.
”
Well all colonial powers 1800s and 1900s did that to their colonies. They fleeced their colonies.
Yeah, bipartisan mediocrity from Australia at best, or just purposeful disregard for the future of everyone for corporate fossil fuel interests?
No wonder the rest of world is talking about us, not to us
Who believes the climate driven disasters of the northern summer won’t be visited upon the southern summer countries?
Climate emergency not slowed by COVID-19 pandemic and planet’s ‘vital signs’ worsening, scientists say
https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2021-07-28/climate-emergency-pandemic-planet-vital-signs-worsening/100329094
Key points:
Scientists have declared Earth’s “vital signs” are worsening, despite a change in habits because of COVID-19
Emissions have reached an all-time high even though air traffic has declined
Australia is an outlier in both setting targets and strategies to reduce emissions
DN
Much more fun to be had outside those evil inner urbs by a chap and his ‘bully’ .
‘DisplayName says:
Wednesday, July 28, 2021 at 1:04 pm
There are ~8 million people living outside of Autralian capital cities. The mining sector employs 150 thousand people. I guess we should conclude that regional Australia is mooching off the mining industry too.’
_____________________________________
I appreciate the honesty in your ‘too’.
Wat Tyler
” Some of the examples cited are almost as comical as those posts from last year which labelled every successful Democratic Presidential candidate as a leftist and every losing one as a centrist”
I’m also really tired off this one. It’s just wrong. So wrong it’s boring.
‘poroti says:
Wednesday, July 28, 2021 at 1:36 pm
DN
Much more fun to be had outside those evil inner urbs by a chap and his ‘bully’ .’
__________________________________________
That looks like a wonderful site to put an inner urb.
D&M
LOL.
quoll
You do realize that per capita by far the most expensive CO2 emitters live in the inner urbs?
‘Ven says:
Wednesday, July 28, 2021 at 1:34 pm
”
boerwarsays:
Wednesday, July 28, 2021 at 11:49 am
The mob in Rome was kept in some sort of check with… bread, circuses, and the Praetorian Guard.
Rome was thus a massive resource sump.
In some vague sort of ways it is a bit like your inner urban yappies in today’s Australian cities.
They want others to supply them with food, materials, goods, clothing, recreation infrastructure, health infrastructure, education infrastructure, grog, drugs, housing, transport, water, and then to take care of their dirty air, sewage, dirty water, and material wastes while insisting that the inner urbs values must be applied to everyone who does the hard yakka.
”
Well all colonial powers 1800s and 1900s did that to their colonies. They fleeced their colonies.’
__________________________________
Same principle. Same consequences.
Not A Race Morrison will suck off anyone and anything. As moronic as he is parasitic.
(guardian)
It is no accident that the global decline in biodiversity is directly related to the global rise of cities.
Hey there Hazza re the % of Chinese people living in Chisholm…..from memory at the 2016 census parts of the then Chisholm electorate were in the range of 25-30% – so nowhere near 50% but still a very large slice of the potential voters. The new boundaries for Chisholm have moved the boundaries somewhat to the south and east. Within these new areas are similar numbers of people with a Chinese background. I had some grassroots involvement in the 2016 federal election in Chisholm and my impression was that Labor’s candidate for Chisholm was not a very effective campaigner. Gladys Liu is by no means liked by all people of Chinese background in Chisholm. The tiny two party margin of less than 1% on the new boundaries between Liu and the new ALP candidate will mean it will go down to the wire….but if the current swing away from the Liberals continues through to the next federal election, I would think Labor should comfortably win Chisholm on the backs of a strong preference flow from the Greens candidate.