As reported by The Australian, the normally stable Newspoll series has recorded a solid bump in favour of Labor, who now lead 53-47 on two-party preferred, out from 51-49 at the previous poll three weeks ago. The Coalition and Labor are both on 39% of the primary vote, which is a two-point drop for the Coalition and a two-point gain for Labor, with the Greens down one to 10% and One Nation steady on 3%.
Scott Morrison is down four points on approval to 51% and up four on disapproval to 45%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively down two to 38% and up one to 46%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 51-33, narrowing from 53-33 last time. The Australian’s report also relates that approval of Morrison’s handling of the pandemic is down nine to 52% (UPDATE: disapproval is up nine to 45%), and that the government now records a net negative rating on handling of the vaccine rollout for the first time, with approval down 10 points to 40% and disapproval up 11 to 57%.
The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1506.
And deaths…
Douglas and Milko @ #148 Sunday, July 18th, 2021 – 10:12 pm
Easy way to check if there is a leak, just email a wrong number.
You can correct it after TicTok guy does his post.
Also – why (dafuq) are people following that number? See the difference between Last 14 days (new) and Last 14 days (true) in (for example):
– https://www.covid19data.com.au/nsw
– https://www.covid19data.com.au/victoria
I’m not sure whether one calls it process noise exactly, but there’s a whole lot of variation as Last 14 days (true) converges to a track over time.
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #152 Monday, July 19th, 2021 – 12:32 am
You’re halfway there. The thing to do is email a different wrong number to each recipient on the mailing list. Then if there is a leak, you also know from where.
Though all in all, not a beneficial or appropriate use of government resources anyways. NSW has far bigger problems than the public getting relevant public health info a few hours early.
Barney in Tanjung Bunga (Monday, July 19, 2021 at 12:32 am):
I can’t see how to do it, but if there is some way to apply the standard prediction fraud (usually it involves horse racing, of course) then it would also be immune to that probe.
(the fraudster makes all predictions in a reasonable range, but only continues with the prediction that “happened” to be correct…)
https://www.sbs.com.au/news/boris-johnson-will-work-remotely-after-public-backlash-over-covid-19-isolation-rules-ahead-of-freedom-day
The UK government was thrown into turmoil by its own rules on COVID self-isolation just as it controversially prepares to ditch pandemic curbs in England.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson and Finance Minister Rishi Sunak will be working remotely in the week ahead after they came into contact with a person infected with COVID-19, Downing Street said.
Shameless! But expected!
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/sydney-s-transport-services-cut-limited-staff-at-schools-to-stop-mobility-20210718-p58arp.html
Public transport services will be slashed and schools will operate on skeleton staff from Monday with a renewed push for parents to keep children home as COVID-19 infection rates in the community remain stubbornly high.
With the number of people infectious in the community continuing to hover in the high 20s – reaching 27 on Sunday – the NSW government moved to further slow the spread of the Delta strain across metropolitan Sydney.
——————–
Service Cut under a pandemic is Shameless!
Richard D. Wolff
@profwolff
·
12h
Mass denial: when a country can but wont vaccinate itself against a deadly disease, sees economic difficulty overtake millions while billionaires compete to fly into space, and renames defeat in Afghanistan as a “personnel drawdown.”
Thanks for the reply Mavis. Couldn’t access the link you posted.
Finally the government’s bungling of Covid management and its vaccination program starts to show up in voting intention.
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/16/us/politics/biden-facebook-social-media-covid.html
He shouldn’t limit it to social media. Fox News has been doing its best recently to discourage people from being vaccinated.
Confessions @ #160 Monday, July 19th, 2021 – 5:21 am
Let’s hope it sticks.
Apparently Morrison and cronies covid app releasing NSW numbers before the ticktock man , has made the ticktok man already irrelevant , quite embarrassing for him
Would Gladys really care if tic tok guy publishes tomorrow’s numbers at 10 pm?
Leaking bad news is a method of dissipating anger
Scott:
I doubt it. Most people wouldn’t even know he existed. Certainly I never knew of him until yesterday and that was only from reading these pages.
Tradies still driving past the house on their way to work around here. 😡
Confessions says:
Monday, July 19, 2021 at 6:39 am
Scott:
I doubt it. Most people wouldn’t even know he existed. Certainly I never knew of him until yesterday and that was only from reading these pages.
——————-
Me either , but still the tiktok man might have thought he struck gold that people were starting to give him publicly, now that is gone
I think it is hilarious
Tiktock man outsmarted by a failed Morrison government app
C@t:
By contrast the site nextdoor is vacant save a ute and a couple guys wandering around, and the place looks to be locked up.
Scott:
And what’s more, an app nobody uses.
53-47!
It looks like the promised tax cuts required to turn this around will have to be big ones.
These are the rules for Construction sent to me by Services NSW:
Pause on construction activity
Until Friday 30 July, all constructions sites in Greater Sydney, which includes the Blue Mountains, Central Coast, Wollongong and Shellharbour, must close unless it’s to carry out urgent or critical work:
*to ensure the safety or security of the construction site
*to deal with environmental risks
*to maintain critical plant or equipment that would otherwise deteriorate
*to receive deliveries of supplies that would otherwise deteriorate
*to maintain public utilities
*to ensure the safe operation of existing transport infrastructure
*by or on behalf of NSW Health in response to the COVID-19 pandemic
because of an emergency
That’s not the case around here, that’s for sure.
Morrison went missing during the bushfires , drought , took Australians into a recession before last years covid outbreak , did nothing but told lies every week during last year and this years covid outbreak .
Morrison and his cronies tried to take credit from the states/territories who closed borders and lockdowns despite joining in court action to stop W.A and Qld closing their borders, Morrison and his cronies with NSW government want people to live with the virus
Morrison and his cronies with NSW government are in the Trump camp ,Economy over health
I will not be confident about Morrison losing the election until after it with a win to Labor.
The backing of the media is a huge advantage and he will lie as much as needed.
eg. Sky news stating that Morrison encouraged NSW into lockdown after the exact opposite occurred and Morrison congratulated them for not doing so.
Good morning Dawn Patrollers
Here’s Simon Benson’s evaluation of the Newspoll.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/newspoll-coalition-pm-marked-down-as-vaccine-frustration-builds/news-story/31c5e300a481a59013c06770b36a2d09
And Michelle Grattan says Morrison and the Coalition have sunk in Newspoll on the back of the rollout shambles.
https://theconversation.com/view-from-the-hill-morrison-and-coalition-sink-in-newspoll-on-the-back-of-rollout-shambles-164699
Sean Kelly explores how Morrison could ride the national tide of impatience. He looks to Boris Johnson to make his perverse point.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/how-morrison-could-ride-the-national-tide-of-impatience-20210718-p58ar2.html
Sara Martin tells us what a new study from The Australia Institute has found. It reported that support for Morrison government’s handling of coronavirus outbreak is dropping, while states and territories ‘have shone’.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/jul/19/australians-believe-states-managing-covid-pandemic-better-than-canberra-study-finds
A thoughtful contribution, this Year 11 student nicely sums things up, asking, “Is honest and transparent leadership too much to ask for?”
https://www.smh.com.au/national/is-honest-and-transparent-leadership-too-much-to-ask-for-20210718-p58aoz.html
Tony Abbott has decried the “dog’s breakfast” of federal-state relations during the Covid-19 pandemic, saying there is no certainty “about who’s in charge” and the national cabinet of Scott Morrison and premiers is making it worse.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/national-cabinet-adogs-breakfast-abbott/news-story/8f778ac026559321eebf428a550c6ede
Tony Blakely explains how the Sydney and Victoria lockdowns taught us a valuable lesson.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/sydney-and-victoria-lockdowns-taught-us-a-valuable-lesson-20210718-p58ar4.html
What hope has NSW got when this is going on? As people in the city’s south-west begin hard lockdown this week – unable to leave their council areas unless they are on a government list of authorised workers – there are growing calls from state and federal politicians to ease restrictions in areas of Greater Sydney and surrounds less afflicted by COVID-19 such as the northern beaches, the Central Coast and Shellharbour.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/growing-calls-to-liberate-areas-outside-sydney-s-covid-19-hotspots-20210715-p58a0i.html
Alarmed corporate leaders have successfully pushed the NSW government to keep open western Sydney’s vital distribution hubs, reports Jacob Greber.
https://www.afr.com/politics/business-fights-for-supply-chains-as-nsw-construction-pushed-to-brink-20210718-p58aof
Susan Butler defends Dan Andrews after he was labelled a “whinger”.
https://johnmenadue.com/susan-butler-on-daniel-andrews-being-labelled-a-whinger/
Human rights activists, journalists and lawyers across the world have been targeted by authoritarian governments using hacking software sold by the Israeli surveillance company NSO Group, according to an investigation into a massive data leak revealed by The Guardian.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/18/revealed-leak-uncovers-global-abuse-of-cyber-surveillance-weapon-nso-group-pegasus
Kate Jenkins was worried for her inquiry into Parliament as a workplace but is glad to write that was wrong.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/i-worried-for-my-inquiry-into-parliament-as-a-workplace-i-m-glad-to-say-i-was-wrong-20210718-p58ao3.html
Mike Foley reports that experts are saying Australia cannot hit net zero emissions by 2050 without a policy for the transport sector, and it must be focused on driving people to buy electric vehicles.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/net-zero-2050-impossible-without-electric-vehicle-policy-20210716-p58ach.html
Ross Gittins pointedly says that reality is catching up with our freeloading, populist climate deniers. He writes that it is a condemnation of our business people that, when their own side of politics offered them a way to postpone the inevitable costs of adjusting to a low-carbon world, they happily embraced it.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/reality-is-catching-up-with-our-freeloading-populist-climate-deniers-20210718-p58apl.html
Alan Kohler declares that the climate change panic button is coming.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/finance-news/2021/07/19/climate-change-panic-alan-kohler/?breaking_live_scroll=1
The AIMN’s Rossleigh piles into Barnaby Joyce over his net zero antics.
https://theaimn.com/barnaby-has-already-achieved-net-zero/
And the SMH editorial proclaims that the floods in Germany and heatwaves in North America show the dangers, but the federal government makes only lazy excuses.
https://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/northern-hemisphere-s-awful-summer-demands-climate-action-20210718-p58aqw.html
Alexandra Smith writes that MPs from across the political divide, including the Nationals, Labor, Greens and Shooters, Fishers and Farmers, have confirmed they will support a voluntary assisted dying bill when it is introduced to NSW Parliament.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/greenwich-releases-assisted-dying-bill-with-support-from-mps-unions-20210718-p58anh.html
Scaring people into action can work, but it comes at a price, writes Andrew Hornery.
https://www.smh.com.au/culture/celebrity/scaring-people-into-action-can-work-but-it-comes-at-a-price-20210713-p58960.html
There was a 75 per cent rise in business administrations in the last week of June, prompting warnings this will continue if the government does not reintroduce safe harbour rules for companies, writes Jennifer Duke.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/call-for-more-lockdown-insolvency-protections-after-rise-in-business-closures-20210716-p58adx.html
Jenny Wiggins writes about the mistakes underpinning Greensill Capital’s collapse. It seems they made a mess of not respecting the planning rules of planned, firm planned and released purchase orders.
https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/greensill-capital-s-algorithms-didn-t-wait-for-invoice-approval-20210716-p58af3
“Defence Minister Dutton has upped the ante in some interesting comments on China and Afghanistan. He reinforces some myths we accept and states unequivocally our dependence on the US to protect us from evil for Thou art with us, Thy nukes and Thy military they comfort us”, writes former Australian diplomat, Cavan Hogue.
https://johnmenadue.com/the-harmful-myths-we-live-by-about-the-us/
Britain is opening up on Monday even as COVID numbers rise. Boris Johnson’s government appears to have chosen the path of recklessness, argues Australian epidemiologist, David J Hunter. He concludes the contribution with, “Getting back to zero, and then keeping the virus out until the two-dose vaccine rollout is complete, is not hyper-caution or authoritarianism. It is the only sensible way to react until the results are in for the speculative bets under way in Britain and some US states.”
https://www.smh.com.au/national/you-call-it-freedom-day-i-call-it-a-reckless-gamble-20210718-p58anm.html
Facebook has pushed back against the Biden administration’s denouncing of the social media giant for spreading misinformation about the COVID-19 vaccines, escalating tensions between the Silicon Valley company and the White House.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/facebook-pushes-back-against-biden-claim-that-social-media-is-killing-people-20210718-p58apz.html
It is not at all clear how much more stress, how many more incendiary inputs into its inflammable politics, the American Republic can stand before it becomes fully dysfunctional and unworkable, argues Mike Scrafton.
https://johnmenadue.com/the-enemy-within-the-gates-the-key-to-american-politics/
Bruce Wolpe tells us why Trump’s class action lawsuit is doomed.
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/7345066/silence-of-the-trump-why-the-ex-presidents-lawsuit-is-doomed/?cs=14264&utm_source=website&utm_medium=home&utm_campaign=latestnews
Cartoon Corner
David Rowe
Jim Pavlidis
Peter Broelman
Matt Golding
Alan Moir
Effing Johannes Leak
Michael Leunig
From the US
And the Daily ToiletPaper has been out tracking GladysB and her Boo going to a coffee shop, where despite the rules, she failed to wear a mask….
Gladys needs to resign , just imagine the reaction from the corrupt lib/nats propaganda media units catching Daniel Andrews, or even Anthony Albanese without a mask in public during lockdown
People are allowed to take their mask off if they are drinking or eating but most people only lower the mask.
Morning all
Thanks BK!
The optics with GladysB and the covid response has never been good
It seems Katie Hopkins is being deported because of her appalling behaviour while in quarantine.
Her previous appalling behaviour was OK.
This is modern Australia.
Is this how much pain we all have to suffer just to take the shine off ScottyFromMarketing?
What??!!! They always say that money has no conscience.
Re: Katie Hopkins, it would appear the Federal Immigration rubber stamps requests for celebrities to bypass border rules – in her case, the GladysB government…
‘Further details have since come to light on how Ms Hopkins came to be in the country. It turns out that international and interstate Big Brother contestants were granted a travel exemption by the NSW state government.
As part of those arrangements, the NSW government approved hotel quarantine for the contestants above the existing cap.’
https://www.smh.com.au/national/australia-news-live-fresh-rules-for-sydney-s-lockdown-covid-19-cases-spread-into-regional-victoria-20210719-p58atn.html
This is the best Katie Hopkins video, worth the ten minutes:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eRIdtMlqwNA
July 17, 2021 – NASA Returns Hubble Space Telescope to Science Operations
https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2021/operations-underway-to-restore-payload-computer-on-nasas-hubble-space-telescope
Thank goodness we were never fully infected with the Katie Hopkins virus. We have eliminated it. 🙂
Perhaps rather than swearing at @#$#@! Leak we should thank him. His daily offering of faeces would be an insight into what is the current ‘official position’ within the Rupertarium . For if he did not reflect that then he’d have been out of a job ages ago.
He may not be too far off the truth.
poroti
I despair some mornings when compiling the Dawn Patrol at some of the stuff I see. Hence my adjectival embellishment.
Mexicanbeemer says:
Monday, July 19, 2021 at 7:46 am
People are allowed to take their mask off if they are drinking or eating but most people only lower the mask.
Full marks for trying mate, full marks for trying.
Do you ever despair at trying to defend these nincompoops?
People are getting unduly confused.
The screen shot of the covid safe app was giving information relating to the NSW figures for 18th July.
Tik tok guy has given figures for the 19th July.
Ie today.
Will Morrison come out of hiding this week, or will the coward get few of his cronies to tell the same lies over and over
13 – which includes Mildura Man announced at yesterday’s presser. All linked to current outbreaks.
Now we wait.. to see if there’s a Lockdown-The-Next-Steps announcement to come
Quote Tweet
VicGovDH
@VicGovDH
· 4m
Reported yesterday: 13 new local cases and 1 new case acquired overseas (currently in HQ).
– 14,758 vaccine doses were administered
– 54,839 test results were received
More later: https://dhhs.vic.gov.au/victorian-coronavirus-covid-19-data
#COVID19Vic #COVID19VicData
Victoria says:
Monday, July 19, 2021 at 8:25 am
People are getting unduly confused.
The screen shot of the covid safe app was giving information relating to the NSW figures for 18th July.
Tik tok guy has given figures for the 19th July.
Ie today.
————-
The number shows 109 in the last 24 hours and the tiktok man repeated the same numbers off the app which is today
109
BK your embellishment is applauded!
frednk
Dan Andrews allowed people to take masks off to eat and drink.
Scott
He is getting information from Dept Health in advance.
18th July was 105 plus 4 quarantine.
19th July is 109 locally acquired.
Thank you, Desert Qlder. 🙂