As reported by The Australian, the normally stable Newspoll series has recorded a solid bump in favour of Labor, who now lead 53-47 on two-party preferred, out from 51-49 at the previous poll three weeks ago. The Coalition and Labor are both on 39% of the primary vote, which is a two-point drop for the Coalition and a two-point gain for Labor, with the Greens down one to 10% and One Nation steady on 3%.
Scott Morrison is down four points on approval to 51% and up four on disapproval to 45%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively down two to 38% and up one to 46%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 51-33, narrowing from 53-33 last time. The Australian’s report also relates that approval of Morrison’s handling of the pandemic is down nine to 52% (UPDATE: disapproval is up nine to 45%), and that the government now records a net negative rating on handling of the vaccine rollout for the first time, with approval down 10 points to 40% and disapproval up 11 to 57%.
The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1506.
C@tmomma @ #1547 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 10:10 pm
How good are leaking borders.
@Cat
First time I met Gough was a work function around ’95 and got him to sign a copy of his book The Whitlam Government and a woman came up and said to him
“Oh my I voted for you in 1974 and have never voted Labor since”
The reply was
“Well there’s still Time”
I agree that the Fraser legacy is affected by his entry as PM. However, while his was the most spectacular (and Whitlam is more associated with the spectacle), Keating and Gillard also entered under a cloud. Keating outlasted his cloud.
But Morrison is the most cunning of all 🙂
Zerlo @ #1541 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 8:07 pm
Why shouldn’t we?
It’s our back door and we have as much right as China to show an interest.
Anthony Albanese
@AlboMP
· 2h
Australia has lockdowns in three states and the PM hasn’t been seen in three days.
Whenever there’s a crisis, Scott Morrison goes missing
Have to disagree, Morrison is lucky and benefits from the stunts and stupid people who take it in, Howard was the master of the rat cunning, the 2001 election is an example.
C@tmomma,
Perhaps a response to “Technology not Taxes” is “Action Today, not Tomorrow”
Y’all know Wally Funk? She’s 82, and she’s about to get rocketed into space with Bezos.
Dr Fumbles Mcstupid,
The Rodent would be the winner, agreed. Although everyone knew who he was at the last. Morrison would be on the podium for his ability to appear gormless, yet be able to slip the knife in.
Barney in Tanjung Bungasays:
Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 10:19 pm
I thought there is already backdoors, NSA, Microsoft, undersea cables?
So why is West allowed to have a monopoly on Spying?
@ItzaDream
That is worth watching it for, the story of the 13 Women who trained on Mercury is worth telling, about time to even it up.
The response by China is two wrongs make a right?
The appalling state of the duopoly in auspol, Labor partisans hoping some other people from other countries do something about the LNP, because they’re too shit themselves to have any ambition or ideas on targets.
Or perhaps the Labor party is just as moribund and sold out to the carbon club that they really can’t say or do anything to upset their sponsors.
Seriously is the state of the Labor party, fucking hoping someone else can do something in Glasgow because they can’t, or they can’t even be bothered arguing or making any case against Smoko themselves, or for Australia to transition to a renewable economy… pathetic
Dr Fumbles Mcstupid @ #1561 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 10:26 pm
They have to climb up these flights of stairs to get to the capsule part. (No lift!) Wally made it. Now for 3G.
@Griff, that is true, the ascendancy of Sfm was a political masterclass in backstabbing duplicity, he gets points for just being there against the odds. Maybe a Jim hacker prize as the compromise candidate
a r
“Nobody should follow their example.”
But there’s a lot of people here in Australia who are for all intents and purposes advocating that Australia follows the UK down the same path. The logic of this is pretty simple. They’re saying we should all get vaccinated and then “open up”.
They like to apply a veneer of caution. We’ll only “open up” gradually. But what does this really mean? It means we’ll weaken quarantine and introduce carriers of the Delta strain (or worse). This will spread rapidly through the community. The case fatality rate will of course be lower, thanks to vaccination, but cases will soar.
Testing and tracing will be overwhelmed. There will be arguments for not locking down, so the virus will spread even faster.
In other words, what is being advocated here in Australia is indistinguishable from what is happening now in the UK.
At least we’ll have the benefit of seeing what happened to the UK and maybe we’ll do something less stupid. Maybe.
I’m surprised that no one on this blog has commented on my posts regarding what following the UK path actually means. Presently the death rate in the UK is equivalent to 10,000 deaths per year in Australia (population adjusted). I’m surprised no one on this blog has ventured an opinion on what actually is an acceptable death rate. It won’t be “like the flu”. That only kills 800 to 1,800 Australians in a typical year. It’ll be a lot, lot worse.
@ItzaDream
ally
As much as internet/tech billionaires give me the shits,especially the one with electric cars and the Face-ache guy, despite Benozos appalling labour relations reputation, the choice of passengers (I wont say astronauts as this is fully automatic) is pretty inspired with Wally and the 18yo guy. Also apparently donating the $$ from fares to the Smithsonian and other causes seems almost reasonable.
Zerlo @ #1560 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 8:24 pm
What’s that got to do with a private company looking to buy telcos in the Pacific?
Australia and New Zealand have long relationships with countries in the region, so it’s not surprising that the Government is supportive of Telstra’s bid.
China has been trying to gain influence in the region, so it’s hardly surprising to see Australia push back against that.
Quoll
Do you understand the Liberal Party has the numbers in the House of Reps so they are the government?
Action Today, not Tomorrow
“If not now, when?” had a better ring to it.
But in any case, it seems to assume that the Coalition intend to address global heating “tomorrow”. They don’t.
cud chewer,
Just to comment that I agree and say that is just with current variants. So much opportunity for mutation! 🙁
CC,
There’s quite a few countries on the watch list at the moment as far as Delta is concerned. UK, Netherlands, Spain and Greece to name but a few.
The graphs when there is a wave go through are scary steep!
Steve777,
You would no doubt win on the Gruen Transfer 🙂
Mexicanbeemer @ #1569 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 8:37 pm
Maybe the Greens will send a delegation?
They could set up a Government in exile and assume Australia’s seat.
Alpha
The same thing happened to India, only their reporting systems were overwhelmed. Its quite likely the Delta strain infected over a third of India and that the current drop off is pretty much the result of natural immunity. How bodies floated down the Ganges? we’ll never know.
Btw check out the “pingdemic” in the UK…
https://www.bmj.com/content/374/bmj.n1822
Seems the only thing stopping the curve going even steeper is the app and clearly somethings gonna give..
I agree that the Fraser legacy is affected by his entry as PM. However, while his was the most spectacular (and Whitlam is more associated with the spectacle), Keating and Gillard also entered under a cloud. Keating outlasted his cloud.
But Morrison is the most cunning of all
I disagree with alot of this. Paul Keating challenging Bob Hawke in his fourth term after he was Prime Minster for almost nine years was never equated to what Julia Gillard did.
If any thing it was considered a masterstroke as it revitalised the government and Keating won the unwinnable election in 93. Even the media at the time thought Hawke had been there long enough and it was time for a change.
Gillard challenged a first term Prime Minster, called an opportunistic snap election, and then barely clung on to a minority government. All these missteps to voters made her seem illegitimate. And as you say correctly there was a cloud over her Prime Minstership.
UK Tories….. Say Vaccine Passports is like what they give in China.
Iain Duncan Smith MP
@MPIainDS
#freedomday is more like Freelock Day, #VaccinePassports could lead to social controls similar to those in China.
“In China you cannot go anywhere, buy anything, see anyone or travel anywhere without the government knowing”
ROFL ROFL ROFL.
Political Nightwatchman,
If I parsed your comment correctly, you disagree that Keating entered under a cloud? Was there anything else?
It may come down to perspective. My recollection of the time was that the media and public perceived that Keating did the dirty to a sitting PM. A bit of a thing. But no matter 🙂
I certainly agree that it is not what comes to mind when thinking of his period as PM now. But we are in agreement there.
All this focus on leaders, how about some focus on the team? The prime minister is 1 of 150 odd members in the lower house…
For all of that, you ‘d have to think that the drag effect on Turnball was heaviest of all.
Zerlo @ #1577 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 8:56 pm
WOW a Tory politician using hyperbole to criticise something domestically.
Alpha Zero,
Another good thought experiment! Kudos!
Yes, there was a strong disconnect for Malcolm. There was a disconnect with Kevin as well. Both got rolled which is the ultimate disconnect. Malcolm had it worse though, as he had less internal political capital, not bringing his party to power out of the wilderness. Therefore, I agree 🙂
There was discussion of Jethro Tull last night.
Here’s a song for Zerlo.
https://youtu.be/u9bk2MrMGaA
“There was discussion of Jethro Tull last night.”
There was no discussion, just dismissal.
Reconsays:
Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 9:26 pm
I assume the Packer/Andrews alliance is now over.
________________
That pesky Gladys and her Bergin inquiry.
No wonder Andrews is so pissed off with her.
Norman Swan here.
Good info on rapid antigen tests.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-xGe9taKYkE
Also, we need to vaccinate children
Also, he rips into what they are doing in the UK
Taylormadesays:
Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 11:30 pm
Reconsays:
Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 9:26 pm
I assume the Packer/Andrews alliance is now over.
________________
That pesky Gladys and her Bergin inquiry.
No wonder Andrews is so pissed off with her.
________________
There will be no RC into the relationship between Crown and the Vic government. That’s for sure.
“Crown may owe the state nearly half a billion dollars in unpaid taxes, the inquiry heard. It has agreed to repay $50 million”
________________
Expect the Greens to have something to say about that little arrangement. The missing 450 million could be put towards problem gambling or social housing for example.
I expect Andrews is not going to let Crown get away with it but you just never know.
Is multiculturalism a good thing?
I tend to disagree, it promotes division…
We can be a multiracial country and not multicultural…
Political Nightwatchman,
If I parsed your comment correctly, you disagree that Keating entered under a cloud? Was there anything else?
It may come down to perspective. My recollection of the time was that the media and public perceived that Keating did the dirty to a sitting PM. A bit of a thing. But no matter
I certainly agree that it is not what comes to mind when thinking of his period as PM now. But we are in agreement there.
I guess its just no one attributes the Paul Keating challenge with with all the amature hour challenges that have happened the last 10 years. The Labor caucus are viewed as smart operators back then that didn’t change the Prime Minstership at a whim. They used the power of changing the Prime Minster wisely.
There is also one Bob Hawke backer in the documentary “Labor in Power” who described the media ‘biased’, ‘bigoted’, and ‘blood thirsty’. And felt the media didn’t give Hawke a fair shake. If there was a cloud it dissipated after the 1993 election. That same Hawke backer acknowledge that the challenge won more backers after Keating won the election then it did at the time.
Cameron @ #1590 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 11:57 pm
If you want to be totalitarian/fascist, maybe.
Zerlo says Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 10:24 pm
They don’t, and no one is suggesting they should. The issue is around China, and Russia, targeting private companies rather than governments. State security agencies have capabilities and budgets far beyond anything that all but the very largest of tech enterprises (Google, Microsoft and Amazon) have any hope of dealing with.
Cameron @ #1590 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 9:57 pm
Yes, it promotes acceptance and diversity.
Which stereotype do you think we should all conform to?
bcsays:
Wednesday, July 21, 2021 at 12:50 am
They are targetting China only, especially ASPI.
Isreal, Russia has been completely ignored since Biden met with Russian PM Putin a few weeks ago, since then the focus is entirely on China.
Resolve Strategic poll: Coalition 38 (-2), Labor 35 (-1), Greens 12 (+2), One Nation 4 (+1).
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/voters-mark-down-morrison-joyce-s-popularity-extraordinarily-low-20210719-p58b3c.html
Which stereotype do you think we should all conform to?
I would say the Anglo way is what should be encouraged…
Look people are going to do what they want… But my point is the government shouldn’t be promoting division… They shouldn’t be encouraging division… They should be encouraging unity
New thread.
While conceding that the Rodent set a gold standard in rat cunning, it should be remembered that his opposition was led by the excessively slothful and prolix Bomber Beasley. And now we’ve got him as our Governor and his progeny is ensconced in a safe seat. Shame.