Roy Morgan has produced its second federal poll in a fortnight, and will hopefully make a regular habit of this going forward. The poll credits Labor with a bare lead of 50.5-49.5 (Morgan’s rounding being done to increments of half a percentage point), down from 51-49 last time. On the primary vote, the Coalition is up 1.5% to 41.5%, Labor is down half a point to 34.5%, the Greens are up half a point to 12% and One Nation is up half a point to 3.5%. State two-party breakdowns have the Coalition leading 51-49 in New South Wales, 56-44 in Queensland and 52-48 in Western Australia, but with Labor leading 55-45 in Victoria, 52-48 in South Australia and 57-43 in Tasmania.
The poll was conducted by telephone and online surveys over the previous two weekends from a sample of 2782. Since we will presumably be hearing more from Morgan in future, it’s worth pointing out that the company is not a member of the Australian Polling Council, and thus does not observe the standards of transparency demanded of its code of conduct.
Other news:
• Peter Law of The West Australian reports that Labor’s candidate for the key Perth seat of Swan will be Zaneta Mascarenhas, an engineer who runs an energy management consultancy. This comes after the state party’s Left-dominated administration committee blocked the nomination of the only other contender, former South Perth councillor Fiona Reid, on the grounds she had run as an independent candidate at the 2017 state election, to the displeasure of the Right faction Shop Distributive and Allied Employees Association. Mascarenhas is aligned with the Left faction Australian Manufacturing Workers’ Union. The West’s report also relates that Tania Lawrence, a manager at Woodside who ran unsuccessfully for Labor in Darling Range at a state by-election in 2018, is the party’s only nominee in the seat of Hasluck.
• Pollster John Utting has told The West Australian that his recent polling leads him to expect that Labor will win Swan and possibly Pearce. He also believes that Labor will “probably” win the election off the back of wins in Chisholm, Boothby, Longman and potentially Leichhardt, Braddon and Bass, although they could potentially lose Eden-Monaro and Macquarie. Utting has polled extensively for Labor and provided polling for The West Australian five months out from the March state election that had the measure of the eventual result.
• Roxanne Fitzgerald of the ABC reports a complaint has been lodged with the Human Rights Commission accusing the Australian Electoral Commission of discrimination against indigenous voters, having failed to provide sufficient polling facilities to remote communities and directly enrol people who do not receive mail at a residential address. The complainants are Matthew Ryan, mayor of West Arnhem Regional Council, and Ross Mandi, chairman of Yalu Aboriginal Corporation in Galiwinku, with the support of the Maritime Union of Australia and the United Workers Union.
“ Stephen Koukoulas
@TheKouk
The decision of Ms Berejiklian to postpone the lockdown is shaping up to be one of the worst by an Australian politician in many decades.”
Well she has form. Except you’d never know it from the MSM media coverage of her time as a Minusrte and now Premier over the past 10 years.
I know that OC likes to gloss over the Ruby Princess, and is quite happy to allow the blame shifting to rest with one of his hard working colleagues who was put in an impossible position in making the call on that fateful night on 19 March (as pr the findings of the Walker Inquiry), but how ‘lucky’ was Glad to have the question framed in such a narrow and tangental way?
Her responsibility THEN is as it NOW – too little, too late. The Diamond Princess disaster had unfolded fully six weeks before. Even though Cruise ships have been long identified as being at particular risks of spreading infections in pandemics SHE spent most of the intervening period talking up the cruise liner industry (a particular and enduring obsession of her government), allowing the Diamond Princess’s sister ship to use NSW Port facilities, not just once, but twice. Given what was a ‘known known’ back at the beginning of March (the Diamond Princess) and the known unknowns’ (cruise-ships are particularly risky) she should ahve denied the Ruby Princess port facilities and also effectively shut down the industry within days of the full extent of the Diamond Princess becoming apparent.
I am not afraid of getting political over this: there is a particular malaise with Centre-right, neo-libreal political thought processes that make the modern Tories completely unsuited to governing through global crises like this pandemic. Whilst both Gladbags and ScoMo have been astute enough to copy from Labor, they simply don’t have the feel for what is required. We have seen it time and again over the past 15 months: Labor’s ‘jobkeeper’ not extended to certain vulnerable sectors, and withdrawn without regard to other sectors that are and will still struggle. Morrison engaging ina series of announceables on vaccines ‘to put us at the head of the queue’ without tying down either Pfizer or Modena. Gladbags going along with both the hotel quarantine system and also the obviously lax system that applies to the airport and airline workforce through KSA. And so on, and so forth.
Lucky for us, they have been mostly lucky themselves over that period. I just hope their luck holds for a few months longer still.
lizzie says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 4:10 pm
Recon isn’t as nasty as Nath.
____________________________
Scum always rises to the top. It’s on the way up right now.
Arthur @ #2198 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 4:38 pm
I’m less familiar with your work, but you seem like a troubled individual. Hope everything’s ok.
Taylormade
The desperation and whatabouterry in your comment says it all.
Gladys and her procrastinating to maintain her “gold standard” has just about sent Australia into lock-down.
Unfortunately lives and livelihoods will be lost.
Don’t bring numbers into it, because to your lot ,the only numbers that count are profits.
“Quite a large correction has just been issued by NSW Health.
On Saturday, NSW Health incorrectly listed the Crossroads Hotel in Casula as a venue that had been visited by a confirmed case of Covid-19.
It turns out, it was the Crossways Hotel, 482 Liverpool Rd, in Strathfield South.
The two pubs are about 25km apart.”
C@tmomma @ #2180 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 4:33 pm
There’s no reason why he shouldn’t move to the crossbench as an Independent with Haines.
C@t
“That is true, though I felt I needed to draw the truth out in this instance because I asked him straight up if he was ‘nath’ and he lied to my face and said he didn’t know who I was talking about. Now we know the truth he can be ignored. ”
Way to go.
I hope others take note and leave Recon and Lars to their lovefest.
Taylormade says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 3:40 pm
Lets just wait and see if it costs the lives of over 800 NSW citizens.
Are you referring to the poor souls that died partly under Commonwealth duty of care?
Rex Douglas @ #2041 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 4:48 pm
He has threatened to do it before today, if Joyce was returned. Let’s just see if he is a man of his word?
Griff @ #2200 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 4:40 pm
Griff, it sounds like the same confusion I mentioned to D & M. It seemed that you were saying that Dr Chant knew the index case and was keeping it hidden. That would be quite a thing. Now it seems you’re referring to the identity of the couple that were known to have spread it, in which case of course she’s not going to name them.
So Barnyard has taken Emergency Management, and it’s billions of recovery funds, off LittleProud and given it to the doyenne of ethical granting, Bazza McKenzie.
This is formalising and giving a more photogenic focus to the looting of taxpayers money – plus giving LittleProud a clip around the ears for wanting to negotiate on net zero 2050.
NATIONALS MINISTERIAL ROLES
Barnaby Joyce – Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Development
David Littleproud – Minister for Agriculture and Northern Australia
Bridget McKenzie – Minister for Regionalisation, Regional Communications and Regional Education and Minister for Drought and Emergency Management
Keith Pitt – Minister for Resources and Water (no longer in cabinet)
Andrew Gee – Minister for Veterans’ Affairs and Defence Personnel
David Gillespie – Minister for Regional Health and role of Deputy Leader of the House
Kevin Hogan – Assistant Minister to the Deputy Prime Minister and Assistant Minister for Local Government
Michelle Landry – Assistant Minister for Children and Families
Susan McDonald – Envoy for Northern Australia
OUT
Michael McCormack – former Nationals leader and deputy prime minister
Darren Chester – former veterans’ affairs minister
Mark Coulton – former regional affairs minister
Seems like the States are going hard early with the lockdown option (apart from NSW) is because of the high rate of infection of the Delta variant.
Taylormade loves pointing out the 800 tragic deaths in Victoria. No doubt he will read my post above and regurgitate.
He – and the MSM media love ignoring the fact that over 600 of those deaths happened in aged care homes – a federal responsibility and one for which they were hopelessly prepared for – notwithstanding that sector was clearly another ‘known known’ when it came to risk management.
What is also carefully overlooked by the Tories – and their boosters in the media – is that ScoMo spent the period between declaring the virus to be a pandemic at the end of January 2020 and the end of march … doing sweet fuck all … in terms of planning for the inevitable necessity of bringing stranded Australians home safely. Pre covid over 1 million Australians at any given time lived, worked or were just travelling OS at any given time. Again, from the post SARS 1.0 and Bird Flu national disaster planning programs this was another known known that had to be accommodated.
What actually preceded the seemingly mysterious decision to use private security guards was two whole months of federal government inaction. Border entry is a federal responsibility. Shit, how many elections have the federal Tories run on with THAT as a key campaigning plank?
So, the week before hotel quarantines started, ScoMo simply announced that it was all happening on the following Monday to national cabinet and told the states to effectively put it all together over the course of one weekend: ‘off you go’. As it turns out Victoria wasn’t the only state to use private security. It is probable that no one knows four sure WHY they were used, other than it was really a fait accompli once Vic Police decided they didn’t want to be involved.
It is probable that the feds lost a lot of ‘corporate knowledge’ on disaster pandemic management post SARS 1.0. That’s on them for scrapping the relevant programs back in 2014. Fucking hopeless. However, ScoMo still squandered two whole months early last year. That’s on him. Directly.
Giving a Nat a ministry with the word “regional” in title is like giving them keys to Treasury.
Pork in barrels delivered by the tonne.
Australian Vaccine Tracker
@AusVaccine
5.68% of all Australians are fully vaccinated.
23.05% are partially vaccinated.
1st & unknown doses: 5,876,688
2nd doses: 1,449,632
sprocket,
The new Nationals Ministery are the rorting, rooting and ratting team!
Sohar at 4:47 pm
Victorian Bludgers may be able to help. I seem to remember there was a location mix up like this in Victoria during the last outbreak. Well wherever it was the Murdoch orcs went ,as they say , ape shit over such ‘incompetence’ . I look forward to a repeat………………..as if they will 😆
The incompetence of this lot is simply astounding …
From the Guardian live blog …
Morally Corrupt Country Party leader shows his true colours.
Water and Resources Minister Keith Pitt retains his portfolios, but has been pushed out of Cabinet.
His new leader has defended that decision, denying the Nationals are not giving the resources industry enough prominence in the ministry.
So water isn’t that important after all?
Poroti,
It was that the wrong Woolworths in the same suburb (Epping, I think) was listed. Not quite the same as a different city.
Somewhat surprised that Canavan has been overlooked, after doing the donkey work for Barnyard’s putsch..
Rossmcg at 4:56 pm
Which is exactly why no matter how ‘angrified’ the Nats may appear to be they will cling on to the Coalition for dear life. Politically it may well be for ‘dear life’ . Without a source of such large volumes of pork their political ‘life expectancy’ would be greatly reduced.
Sohar
Yep. And the contact tracers used the receipt from the person that attended the store and the receipt just displayed epping rather than epping north.
“They stuffed up the management of that case with an unmasked, unvaccinated limo driver”
Hang on a minute. The driver said he was masked at all times, was not vaccinated because of a medical condition, and cleaned his car after every pick-up.
The protocols, i.e. for limo drivers, were put in place after this outbreak, that’s why NSW police could not charge him with any offence. So blame NSW officials, if not Glad.
Leave the poor bugger alone.
And that goes for all the commentators who have published shite about this situation.
And for those interested in the minutiae of ministerial perks, the Susan MacDonald granted the honour of Envoy for Northern Australia, is NOT the pisspot Samantha MacDonald.
In fact the ex-butcher, Susan MacDonald inherits the perks which Barnyard was gifted by Malcolm Turnbull after his denouements to pub crawl the outback and text in his reports – include the infamous ‘It’s bloody dry out here!’
Kezza,
First they came for the taxi drivers…….
C@tmomma @ #2197 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 4:08 pm
We have a lot less days over 35 than Melbourne. Less than Sydney too. So doesnt get that hot here. But there are the occasional days I wish I had AC. Those are they days I turn up to the neighbours pool with a carton of their favourite.
Maybe it is because my favourite boots just sprung a leak. Just got back from splitting wood and my sock is soaked. I suspect a Port Adelaide supporter slashed it yesterday when I thought Buddy was going to win it for the Swans in the final qtr.
“The ABC has just reported that the woman in Perth who tested positive after a trip to Sydney had received her first dose of AstraZeneca.
The WA health authorities are hopeful that this will limit the spread of the virus in Perth. It is believed that she contracted the Delta variant that is spreading in Sydney.”
This will be an interesting one for efficacy?
Now that SA has closed its border with W.A. i suspect that W.A. will close its border with the NT based on how many new cases they get there over the next day or so.
Honestly, for those outside of the eastern states i think the biggest worrying unknown is the NT Mine-site outbreak and the FIFO’s dispersed all over. This will have big implications for how resource companies conduct operations.
Sohar
Thanks. I thought it was Victoria but could not remember for sure. I do however remember the Rupertariat’s reaction 🙂
Agree kezza2!
And Spray, I did not ask for the first known cases of the Avalon cluster to be named. I asked for consistency. In your haste to respond perhaps, you are mistaking what is said.
Edit: and in my haste I am not proofing my posts 🙂
NSW health are continually updating Covid Venues in Sydney, at the rate they are coming in lockdown for 6 weeks looking on the cards.. thank YOU Gladys.
Edit.. 23 venues added today, so far !
Long may the bollocking continue.
Sprocket:
Nor is it Samantha McMahon, the NT senator. 😉
Go kezza2! Still got the fire in the belly. 😀
imacca
Another one to go with the ‘Delta variant’ plague carrier who went to NZ and did a whirlwind tour of the capital. He had received his first dose of AstraZeneca 5-6 weeks earlier. So far no cases of transmission has been detected despite giving himself every chance of doing so. Get a few more of these sorts of cases (although I hope there is 0 ) and we’ll start to get an idea of real world effects of vaccines on transmissibility.
Thanks Gladys. ACT is mandating masks in all indoor settings (public transport, shops etc) from midnight. This is due to the large number of Canberra people who have registered as having visited Sydney in the specified period.
(SMH updates at 16:31)
Thank,you Bird of Paradox
Those Scottish names look all the same to me 🙂
@AmyRemeikis tweets
With Bridget McKenzie’s return to the cabinet, there is now no one who has suffered any long term consequences for any actions in this government. They’re all back where they started.
The Case of the Maskless Limo Driver seems to be the latest in a long and (dis)honourable history of scapegoating and blame-shifting during this pandemic.
Remember the “illegal party” in Devenport when things were looking iffy in Tasmania early in the pandemic. The (non-existant) “bonking security guard”? The Black Lives Matter marchers? The beachgoers in Sydney on a hot day just before the first lockdown, who broken no laws and no public health guidelines (because at that stage there weren’t any)? A couple of these seem to have been a pre-emptive blame allocation for what was about to happen. There were other examples.
Then going back to the Fires, the “greenies” who had prevented “back-burning”.
The Morrison Government has thoroughly botched its pandemic response, State Governments have by and large done their best to fill the gaps.
The buck stops at the PM’s desk.
lizzie @ #1931 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 5:14 pm
TOAST I TELLS YA!#*&*^$%!!!!!!!!!!!!&^#&^$%*&$%#*&^@&*
CALL AN ELECTION!!!
SNAFU
sprocket_ @ #1920 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 5:03 pm
Me too. I expected him to be one of the big winners.
Thank goodness for small mercies.
@SimonCopland tweets
So over seeing people on here having a go at others for daring to go to the beach or a park.
It’s not just rude, it’s bad science. COVID is far more likely to spread inside than outside. We should be encouraging people to go outside, not attacking them for it. #COVID19aus
_________________________
@jamie86 tweets
Members of the public will be excluded from physically attending the Ben Roberts-Smith defamation trial from Monday until further notice due to the COVID lockdown in Sydney, but may watch over a video link, the Federal Court has said. @abcnews @abcsydney
Doug Cameron
@DougCameron51
·
9h
Sky reporting that
@GladysB
held off on the lockdown to preserve her “reputation” for keeping business open.
@JohnBarilaroMP
in a Freudian slip describes the lockdown as a “rash” decision before correcting himself Man shrugging
Well, i was just out and about about 2:30 pm in W.A.. Couple of shops and a servo.
Lots of people (almost all) masked already and using the login QR codes. TV news not reporting any insurrection at the footy as fans arrived to find themselves locked out. Seems no panic, but i think everyone will be nervous as to cases detected in the next couple of days.
Steve777, you forgot Dutton’s arsonists lighting the bushfires.
Comment on a Herald Sun article re Covid.
Amazed to see this on there
Not since WWII has the nation needed a true leader… A leader that is proactive in their legal and moral responsibilities towards the safety of the nation and its people… Instead we have morrison and his utterly incompetent and wilfully negligent government who have literally walked away from every responsibility they have faced…
Well Matt Canavan is well-qualified to do donkey work…
Arthur
Threatening violence is against the new rules of legislation passed the other day on online abuse.
It’s up to the individual the government appointed so you may get away with it.