Spillover effects

Another Nationals leadership spill may be brewing, amid growing discontent with low-key incumbent Michael McCormack.

A big but not necessarily good weekend for former and current Nationals leaders:

• Moves to topple Michael McCormack as Nationals leader could come to a boil at today’s party room meeting, which The Australian reports could see a spill or no-confidence motion being moved against him. Barnaby Joyce, David Littleproud and Keith Pitt are all identified as potential successors, though presumably the latter is a long shot. The Australian reports Littleproud will not challenge McCormack directly, meaning he will only nominate if the motion passed is one of no confidence, which would exclude McCormack from contention. Samantha Maiden of News Corp says she “can count to ten votes” for Joyce, which is one fewer than he needs. A spill motion moved by Joyce’s backers in February last year was unsuccessful.

Andrew Clennell of Sky News reports former Nationals leader John Anderson has failed in his bid to return to politics, having lost a preselection vote for the New South Wales Senate ticket to former state party director Ross Cadell by a margin of 42 to 39.

On the other side of the fence:

• Labor’s national executive has endorsed former state party secretary Sam Rae as its candidate for the new seat of Hawke on Melbourne’s north-western fringe, after a process which had been delayed by a Supreme Court injunction and may yet be overruled should the court strike down the national executive takeover of the state party’s preselection process. The Herald-Sun reports that Rae won 18 votes against three for rival candidate Sarah Carter, a former mayor of Maribyrnong.

• Labor’s leadership selection process in Tasmania, which was determined half by party members and half by state conference delegates, has been won by David O’Byrne, a powerful figure in the Left faction. Adam Langenberg of the ABC reports O’Byrne easily defeated rival candidate Shane Broad with 72% of the votes from the ballot of more than 1200 party members and 75% of the state conference votes. A similar process in New South Wales did not proceed after Michael Daley withdrew from contention, leaving Chris Minns to be elected unopposed.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,613 comments on “Spillover effects”

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  1. No way I could afford to visit England. I traced my family history through Ancestry several years ago and it took more effort than I imagine ScoMo has ever given to anything in his life. Visiting a cemetery is the final act in a long line of research, and it seems he found nothing.

  2. How old is Morrison? He couldnt visit his ancestral home by now? On his own coin?
    I did it when I was 30. To a place harder to get to than bl00dy Cornwall.

  3. @normanswan tweets

    SARS-CoV-2 elimination, not mitigation, creates best outcomes for health, the economy, and civil liberties – The Lancet

  4. frednk @ #150 Monday, June 21st, 2021 – 11:15 am


    Mexicanbeemer says:
    Monday, June 21, 2021 at 10:58 am

    Sutton puts the state into lock down then exempts himself. The guy forced the cancellation of funerals and weddings and has caused widespread disruption then goes and enjoys a trip on taxpayers money.

    Sutton has to go.

    Working to ge thte CMO sacked, is this where the state Liberals are at, or is this Qannon nonsense?

    Certainly HS etc are actively undermining Sutton. Encouraging non compliance with health orders. Almost QAnon crazy

  5. Simon Katich says:
    Monday, June 21, 2021 at 11:18 am
    How old is Morrison? He couldnt visit his ancestral home by now? On his own coin?
    I did it when I was 30. To a place harder to get to than bl00dy Cornwall.

    ——————————–

    53 , Morrison probably didn’t bloody know where the hell Cornwall was

  6. From the Guardian live blog …

    You can’t imagine the Nationals latest leadership crisis will take too long.

    There’s only 21 people in the party room. They only have to count to 11. That’s it.

    Let’s all hope one of them elects to take their shoes off, before Barnaby takes his trousers off to count the votes 🙁

  7. The spill has been called. Interestingly is was not a vote of no confidence. It was called by Joyce supporter Matt Canavan. That can only mean one thing – Barnaby with a triple bypass. And the coalition at war.

  8. C@tmomma says:
    Monday, June 21, 2021 at 11:09 am

    poroti @ #119 Monday, June 21st, 2021 – 10:58 am

    Recon
    It may well be ‘It’s time’ for Kim il Carr . However, have they got someone with the talent/capability of replacing him ?

    Ryan Batchelor, Alice Dawkins?
    _______________________
    Ryan Batchelor would probably be a good replacement but I’m dead against political dynasties.

  9. Lizzie
    Two day meetings can be held online and being in the fresh can be better but he can phone anyone he needs to speak to.

  10. Simon Birmingham is asked about Bevan Shield’s story in the Sydney Morning Herald that the prime minister made a long-planned side trip to trace his family’s convict ancestry while in the UK, despite telling Australia it’s still too dangerous to travel (and while thousands of Australians are still stranded overseas, unable to come home because of quarantine caps). He says Scott Morrison was engaging in “soft diplomacy”.

    No, it’s absolute crap, Simon.

  11. You can’t imagine the Nationals latest leadership crisis will take too long.

    There’s only 21 people in the party room. They only have to count to 11. That’s it.

    But they have to give MickMack plenty of time for a few homely quips and a song or two.

  12. Recon @ #163 Monday, June 21st, 2021 – 11:22 am

    C@tmomma says:
    Monday, June 21, 2021 at 11:09 am

    poroti @ #119 Monday, June 21st, 2021 – 10:58 am

    Recon
    It may well be ‘It’s time’ for Kim il Carr . However, have they got someone with the talent/capability of replacing him ?

    Ryan Batchelor, Alice Dawkins?
    _______________________
    Ryan Batchelor would probably be a good replacement but I’m dead against political dynasties.

    In football as well?

    You know, sometimes the talent gets passed down the line.

  13. Tests in Sydney seem low. About 5 times the number of tests as in SA but about 4 times the population – and no outbreak here.

    I can see why NSW health want more peeps fronting up for testing.

    Then again, there is a bit of flu going around in Adelaide. Might be inflating our numbers.

  14. I feel sorry for Sutton, the long standing problems in Vic public health, perpetuated by both sides, left him under resourced and he occupies a level 3 (but I am told is treated as a level 4) public servant role.

    I guess the former health minister was the scapegoat but the issues started well before this government.

  15. Beemer

    Morrison could have done another virtual leaders meeting by your partisan logic.

    Of course no visiting family graves as he has denied fellow Australians if he did that.

  16. Amy Remeikis
    @AmyRemeikis
    Really shouldn’t take too long – the Nationals only have to count to 11. It’s not that hard

  17. Samantha Maiden
    @samanthamaiden
    ·
    1m
    Matt Canavan has just exited the party room meeting. He wouldn’t be drawn on outcome. Bridget McKenzie and Susan McDonald also others exited

  18. C@tmomma says:

    Ryan Batchelor would probably be a good replacement but I’m dead against political dynasties.

    In football as well?

    You know, sometimes the talent gets passed down the line.
    _________________________________
    I don’t see it like that. To me all the political dynasties we have are a sign of nepotism, patronage and a sickness in the political system. There’s nothing to be done about it I acknowledge. But for me, the less of it that goes on the better.

  19. Recon

    The Americans got one thing right. Term limits.

    It made political dynasty rare. So the Clinton Bush era stood out.

  20. Beemer

    Also it’s not a partisan view.

    @jkalbrechtsen tweets

    A friend of mine was knocked back first time for exemption to travel to UK for his Mum’s funeral on Friday. He’s waiting to hear after second application. And PM goes to pubs in UK and searches family roots. This is wrong.

  21. Sarah Martin says Matt Canavan said he will “leave it to others to announce” what happened in the party room.

    Phil? Phil? Phil Coorey?

  22. Samantha Maiden
    @samanthamaiden
    ·
    1m
    BREAKING: reports from in meeting Barnaby Joyce has been elected leader. Unconfirmed at this stage should know soon

  23. guytaur says:
    Monday, June 21, 2021 at 10:44 am
    N

    Wow well done. The Nationals leadership spill is the fault of the Greens.

    I hadn’t made that claim. But it could be closer to the truth than many would like to think. The occupation of the pop-left part of the political spectrum has certainly caused to LNP to move to the Right in order to accentuate their own brand differentiation, especially on environmental politics.

    Insofar as both parties are premised on extorting favours, the Nationals and the Greens are alike. Very much alike.

  24. Sky News is reporting Barnaby Joyce has won the ballot
    ____
    What has Australia done to deserve THAT?
    OH, that’s right. It voted the Coalition in.

  25. NSW is the worst state handling the corona virus , the nsw chief medical officer should have resigned or even sacked last year

    1- By going along partisan lines of the nsw lib/nats state government to allow the corona virus to spread, for economy over health

    2- Allowing false claims that children could not get infected with the corona virus

    3- Not protecting the health of NSW citizens

  26. It speaks to a very shallow talent pool in The Nationals if they they think recycling that old goat is a good idea.

  27. @sarahinthesen8 tweets
    If you thought the Morrison government had a “women problem” before. They certainly do now.
    ___________________

    @PatsKarvelas tweets

    Libs are FREAKING out. #auspol

  28. Joyce gets a big pay rise and perks.
    What he really wanted I’d reckon.

    Edit. And new ministers will be interesting lineup. I think Joyce will want revenge.

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