Spillover effects

Another Nationals leadership spill may be brewing, amid growing discontent with low-key incumbent Michael McCormack.

A big but not necessarily good weekend for former and current Nationals leaders:

• Moves to topple Michael McCormack as Nationals leader could come to a boil at today’s party room meeting, which The Australian reports could see a spill or no-confidence motion being moved against him. Barnaby Joyce, David Littleproud and Keith Pitt are all identified as potential successors, though presumably the latter is a long shot. The Australian reports Littleproud will not challenge McCormack directly, meaning he will only nominate if the motion passed is one of no confidence, which would exclude McCormack from contention. Samantha Maiden of News Corp says she “can count to ten votes” for Joyce, which is one fewer than he needs. A spill motion moved by Joyce’s backers in February last year was unsuccessful.

Andrew Clennell of Sky News reports former Nationals leader John Anderson has failed in his bid to return to politics, having lost a preselection vote for the New South Wales Senate ticket to former state party director Ross Cadell by a margin of 42 to 39.

On the other side of the fence:

• Labor’s national executive has endorsed former state party secretary Sam Rae as its candidate for the new seat of Hawke on Melbourne’s north-western fringe, after a process which had been delayed by a Supreme Court injunction and may yet be overruled should the court strike down the national executive takeover of the state party’s preselection process. The Herald-Sun reports that Rae won 18 votes against three for rival candidate Sarah Carter, a former mayor of Maribyrnong.

• Labor’s leadership selection process in Tasmania, which was determined half by party members and half by state conference delegates, has been won by David O’Byrne, a powerful figure in the Left faction. Adam Langenberg of the ABC reports O’Byrne easily defeated rival candidate Shane Broad with 72% of the votes from the ballot of more than 1200 party members and 75% of the state conference votes. A similar process in New South Wales did not proceed after Michael Daley withdrew from contention, leaving Chris Minns to be elected unopposed.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,613 comments on “Spillover effects”

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  1. Cud Chewersays:
    Wednesday, June 23, 2021 at 1:51 am
    Andrew Gold

    Yes, its explained here..

    Travellers visiting banned countries, skipping testing at the aiport and the Delta variant infecting unvaccinated children. A useful peek into our own future.
    It’s interesting that a third of those infected had been vaccinated.


  2. Cud Chewer, yes indeed. The best AFL GF I’ve ever watched was with the TV on but the volume all the way down, and the Festival Of The Boot on JJJ. “Don’t kick it to him, ya goose!” Plenty of commentary on Big Bad Barry Hall. (It was one of those Eagles/Swans games.)

    Do you remember Bargearse or The Olden Days? They can be found on DVDs somewhere, along with the rest of the Late Show (not the Letterman one).

  3. It’s difficult not to wonder about possible successful outcomes for the Greens and Climate policy, referencing last night’s Senate vote against Taylor and the government, if the Greens were to use their 8-10% of the electoral vote in a similarly successful manner to the Nationals with their grossly overrated 4% of electoral success and political influence/outcomes.

  4. Firefox2 says:
    Tuesday, June 22, 2021 at 9:52 pm

    It really is a sorry state of affairs when such an individual can become Deputy PM. …again.

    This is the entirely predictable consequence of Green political strategies, which are aimed in part at procuring election wins by the Coalition. Barnaby is an adoptive political child of the No Windmills Party.

  5. Bird of Paradox
    Well spotted on the geographic breakdown on that poll where they have gone east and west but what about the north and southern or south eastern suburbs.

  6. Socrates says:
    Tuesday, June 22, 2021 at 10:55 pm

    Like Firefox I am ….. a [closet] Green…..I suppose that makes me the spoiled elitist here…

    If Labor won’t fight on environment, or immigration, and confines industrial relations action to subsets of workers who are deemed working class by virtue of their past history rather than present income, how do they expect a majority to vote for them? Too hard for me to work out right now. Night all.

    Like Firefox’s bludging, this is just Labor-hostile campaigning. The post completely mis-states Labor’s case. Completely.

    Labor does fight on the environment. Labor will not become a political klaxon for human traffickers. Of course, Labor aims to represent all workers, their families and communities.

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