Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor

Scott Morrison recovers much of the ground he lost on personal approval in the last Newspoll, which as usual records little change on voting intention.

Courtesy of The Australian, the first Newspoll in four weeks has Labor leading 51-49, down from 52-48 last time, with similarly slight movement on the primary vote, with the Coalition up a point to 41%, Labor steady on 38%, the Greens down one to 10% and One Nation up one to 3%. Scott Morrison recovers much of the ground he lost on personal ratings in the last poll, being up four on approval to 59% and down three on disapproval to 37%, while Anthony Albanese is down three to 40% and up two to 43%, though these changes do not alter the general stability of his position over the longer term. Morrison now leads 56-30 on preferred prime minister, out from 52-32 in the last poll and identical to the result in the previous poll six weeks ago. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1514.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,951 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor”

Comments Page 5 of 40
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  1. ‘Oakeshott Country says:
    Monday, April 26, 2021 at 11:31 am

    Ah the great days of ethnic soccer in Sydney.
    I think it was the Sydney Sun that was reporting on an unfortunate incident in a game between Bonnyrigg White Eagle (Serbia) and Sydney Croatia.
    They did a vox pop of some of the crowd including a Croatia man called Probitis Vesrbe who blamed unruly Serb provocateurs in the crowd. The next day the Sun apologised when it was pointed out that the name the man had given was Croatian for “Kill all Serbs”’

    There are several first gen migrant stories in our family involving language lurks and strategems. But none of them involved genocide.

  3. Myself, just now.

    I made a comment the other day that China’s efforts were insufficient. Ignored by our resident expert in make believe so that he can blithely continue to invent fictions.

    And ignored yet again, so that our resident fantasy author can justify brazenly publishing his fictions without a shred of shame.

  4. Scott says Monday, April 26, 2021 at 9:06 am

    Thats why it is ridiculous for the national party leader to become the deputy/acting prime minister , because the national party will never ever become government or opposition without the liberal party , the only way the national party can form a majority in the coalition partnership , if it competes against the liberal party in every seat and gets more seats than the liberal party .
    Otherwise the national party leader has no right to be deputy/acting prime minister

    Well the Leader of the Nations in WA is now our Opposition leader. So you never know.

  5. ‘poroti says:
    Monday, April 26, 2021 at 10:17 am

    The industrial West deliberately shipped out its industry to China to make a higher profit.With it of course went the pollution The West turned a blind eye to the terrible work conditions and awful pollution flowing from that. Turned a blind eye because the pollution and workers’ conditions were regularly reported but hey there was cheap stuff to buy and profits to be made. China was hardly a ‘free’ country then but no matter there were huge profits to be made and hey, the plebs got cheap stuff to keep them quiet. What a bonus no need to pay workers more to afford to live just load ’em up with cheaper shit.

    So for those moaning about China just remember who bigly enabled them to get to their current position.’

    ————————————

    Excellent points which, wtte, are: China was forced to industrialize. China was forced to pollute the crap out of its waterways. China is being forced to use its groundwater unsustainably. China is being forced to hog the world’s wild caught fisheries. China is being forced to generate the lion’s share of the world’s disastrous aquaculture outputs. China was forced to engage in slave labour. China was forced to generate dozens of billionaires. China is being forced to cook the planet.

    To sum up: China is the victim. It is the West’s fault. And let us not forget, comrades, Xinjiang is a wonderful land.

    And… China was forced against its will to capture Whitsun Reef from the Philippines last week.

  6. ‘DisplayName says:
    Monday, April 26, 2021 at 11:37 am

    Myself, just now.

    I made a comment the other day that China’s efforts were insufficient.’

    Excellent stuff.

  8. ‘Zerlo says:
    Monday, April 26, 2021 at 10:28 am

    India is blocking social media posts for criticism against the whole shithole there.’

    It is just atrocious the way in which some dictatorships block social media posts. The next thing we know is that India will be jailing journalists, editors and social media commentators who say the wrong thing.

    Just awful and thank you for raising this issue.

  9. BW

    I see you are in great form blaming China for the decisions in democratic countries corporate boardrooms of New York and London.

    Trump got elected on the back of the truth of that reality.
    Like you he then twisted that to blame China.

  12. This story has been around for a few days now.

    National Archives is now so under resourced that it is in danger of not being able to meet it’s charter. This story was also on the ABC news radio this this morning and on the ABC news website. This is one aspect of the issue.
    ————————————————–
    Fears key archives could be lost

    The Director General of the National Archives says recordings of the Stolen Generation Royal Commission and personnel files of non-commissioned officers from World War II could be lost without more federal government funding.

    A massive digitisation program is underway to convert ageing magnetic tapes and photograph negatives before they deteriorate.

    But Director General David Fricker said several million dollars more was needed to ensure all the records were digitised before the technology — which is used to hear or look at them — disappears.

    “By the year 2025 the machinery that runs this stuff would have substantially failed and the people who can maintain it would have essentially been lost from the workforce,” he said.

    “Beyond the year 2025 we will be losing material that hasn’t already been digitised.”

  13. ‘Frednk says:
    Monday, April 26, 2021 at 10:39 am

    I’ve finished my course “Incorporating Renewable Energy in Electricity Grids”, there was extensive discussion with regard to what each market was doing. The Australian market was presented by Audrey Zibelman. , she emphasized roof top solar.

    The China presentation was interesting. They are busy installing HV DC lines to the coal mines and at that location installing new coal fired stations and solar generation, both with an aim of utilizing the DC link fully. It wasn’t said but obviously they will be using local coal (power stations for imported coal need to be near a port not 1000 miles inland) and it will remove pollution away from the cities. It will give them the option of expanding renewables as there coal mines are in the middle of nowhere.

    It was also mentioned that with the economic slowdown they have overbuilt, and that there electricity market is not well developed so available resources are not well utilized.

    I think, anybody thinks they are going to sell more coal to China because they are building power station is delusional.

    Mexico is going gang busters with renewables at 25%. Denmark are at 50%’

    —————————–

    Good post, IMO.

  16. For rational discussion on Australia and China I have found this a good resource

    Podcast. Australia in the World. Hosted by Darren Lim.
    This episode Leaving Afghanistan.
    https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkLnBvZGJlYW4uY29tL2F1c3RyYWxpYWludGhld29ybGQvZmVlZC54bWw/episode/YXVzdHJhbGlhaW50aGV3b3JsZC5wb2RiZWFuLmNvbS81OTQ0ODAxNy0xMGQ5LTMwNjEtOWQyYy1mNGYzNTFmY2Q1ZTc?hl=en-AU&ved=2ahUKEwjU5LLm55rwAhUpzDgGHdB7D6cQieUEegQIAxAF&ep=6

    Yes China does come into the discussion

  17. Having been to India twice, once for 6 weeks and the other 9 weeks, I have mixed feelings on the raging Covid pandemic there.

    Railway station platforms were covered in people ‘sleeping rough’, as were the surrounds of temples and many sidewalks in the big cities. Municipal authorities had trucks circulating each morning collecting the dead. Shanty towns lined the railway tracks, canals and city streets – one step above the streets. And then there was the beggars…

    Conversely, some 3-400 million of the 1.3 billion population are well off middle class, who (endemic pollution aside) are living a good life. And Modi and his Hindu zealots are luxuriating in a their view of a theocracy. I could go on. And the many billionaires are doing ok.

    So ripe for a highly infectious pandemic, with people dying everywhere. The people on the street may not notice anything different.

  19. spr

    Thanks, interesting.

    Two things struck me about the patterns in the cartoons which do appear to be tooning truth to power.
    The first is that the graph, complete with politician’s soothing crap, is similar to that of the US graph under Trump.

    The second is that at least some of the religious leaders are promising magic protection against the virus – again similar to a goodly number of US Fundies under Trump.

  21. [‘Ben Roberts-Smith stands down as general manager of Seven network in Queensland.

    …

    Seven West Media chief James Warburton announced the decision in an email to staff on Monday morning, stating Mr Roberts-Smith would be focused on his “upcoming legal matters”.

    …

    “Ben’s leave will start today. Ben and I believe this mutual decision is best for both him and our company,” Mr Warburton said. “We expect Ben to return to his role upon the completion of his defamation proceedings.”]

    I tend to think that Robert-Smith’s defamation suit is the least of his worries.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/ben-roberts-smith-stands-down-as-general-manager-of-seven-network-in-queensland-20210426-p57mek.html

  22. Last week the owner of some vacant land down here in the lower Huon Valley placed three Greens corflutes on his property about 20 metres apart.
    5 days later one of them was smashed to bits.
    On Saturday the owner came and replaced it.
    On Sunday night all three were smashed to bits.
    The hatred of the Greens down here borders on the psychotic.
    Some here will be happy.
    Of course no one in their right mind puts Green corflutes in front of their house.
    Mundo learnt that the hard way after moving here many years ago.
    Ya gotta love that democracy.

  24. Perhaps,testing rates are better, but this last week was an all time record for number of new Covid 19 infections – 5.68 million globally. This ain’t over by a long shot.

    I will be getting my AZ jab as soon as GladysB gives the go ahead for the over 50s..

  26. Norman Swan
    @normanswan
    ·
    1h
    Israel has just done a deal with Moderna for a variant specific vaccine. Why haven’t we?

    Good question. Or is this too much like ‘political horse racing’?

  27. Eunoe
    I think we could probably term this mob “penny wise, pound foolish”. Maybe they believe they’re protecting the budget, or something.

  28. @joshgnosis tweets

    Craig Kelly’s Facebook page has been removed

    Edit: For me good news. Less antivaxxer bs and a major climate denialist liar silenced. It takes a lot for Facebook to take a politician off.

  29. Eunoe @ #226 Monday, April 26th, 2021 – 12:44 pm

    Norman Swan
    @normanswan
    ·
    1h
    Israel has just done a deal with Moderna for a variant specific vaccine. Why haven’t we?

    Good question. Or is this too much like ‘political horse racing’?

    Like most other nations, Israel probably values its citizens.

    Australia? … not so much 🙁

  30. We mine things here in Australia, whether that’s the ground, the ocean, or people :P.

    It’s all about extraction.

  32. @ShoebridgeMLC tweets

    Australian governments have been shovelling $19,686 a minute into the fossil fuel industry. That’s over $10 billion in cash and public subsidies to mining billionaires and multinational corporations just last year. All for an industry that destroys our future. It’s criminal.

    You can read the full report here (and remind yourself why the Coalition and their corporate mates want to tear down the ABC while you are at it)

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-04-26/scott-morrison-climate-change-fossil-fuel-subsidies-net-zero/100094506

  33. U.S. COVID update:

    – New cases: 31,083 ………………… – New deaths: 303

    – In hospital: 41,412 (-822)
    – In ICU: 10,250 (-80)

    586,152 total deaths now

    ( India reports 354,542 new coronavirus cases / 2,806 new deaths )

  35. guytaur says:
    Monday, April 26, 2021 at 12:41 pm

    Prime minister Suga has his own problems ever since he replaced Abe.

    Hardly to worry about.

    Japan has a number of issues

    1. Olympic Games and covid.
    2. Covid 19.
    3. Japanese economy.
    4. population decline and anti-foreigner push due to COVID19.
    5. US army bases issues.
    6. Treatment of women in power

    Suga isn’t exactly a popular leader.

  37. A Vet who was prescribed benzos for PTSD ended taking up to fifty a day. Anyone with knowledge of, say, valium knows that although efficacious in the short term, dependency will most likely ensue if taken for an extended period of time, even after two weeks in some cases and where the dose is high. Just what were his prescribing doctor and/or psych thinking(?) – unless he was doctor-shopping or sourcing them illegally.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-04-26/veteran-suicide-royal-commission-drug-addiction/100092922

  40. guytaur says:
    Monday, April 26, 2021 at 1:14 pm

    It would be much better if you actually tried a decent argument than a lackluster reply.

  42. Facebook removes the page of MP Craig Kelly

    The social media giant Facebook has released a short statement confirming it has removed the page of independent federal MP Craig Kelly for repeated breaches of misinformation policy.

    A Facebook company spokesperson said:

    We don’t allow anyone, including elected officials, to share misinformation about COVID-19 that could lead to imminent physical harm or COVID-19 vaccines that have been debunked by public health experts.

    We have clear policies against this type of content and have removed Mr Kelly’s Facebook Page for repeated violations of this policy.

    Prior to removing the page, Facebook had removed several of Kelly’s posts which also violated the company’s policy.

    Kelly quit the Liberal Party to join the crossbench in February after coming under fire for his commentary regarding Covid-19 and his handling of serious allegations levelled against a long-term staff member.

  43. Back to the furniture shop for Craig Kelly, we he can gaslight his customers – ‘It’s a genuine WA Jarrah table….’; ‘You’ll sleep much better on this Sealy PosteriorPedic…’

  44. Zerlo

    I posted my opinion. I think you are wrong and showed why.
    You have not convinced me otherwise and I said so. Thus good try.

    You have still not convinced me to change my conclusion

  46. We live close enough to Rockdale Park to hear that something was up on Sat afternoon. I headed down, and saw the brawl first hand, in the car park. From a safe distance, of course.
    Police were everywhere – uniforms (carrying what looked like metal bars), plus a few detectives.

    This was obviously intended to be family-friendly event. I saw several young families leave the park looking visibly shaken. Ugly stuff.

  47. Interesting- I doubt if anyone denies aerosol spread occurs but the question of how often remains open. Certainly in NSW which has an almost unique experience of a reasonable sample size that has been extensively studied on an individual basis it does not appear to be the predominant source.

    Just over 13 months ago I was briefed by the State Command Centre that the NSW ICU system was expected to collapse on Good Friday 10 April and that hospitals had to prepare for civil disturbances.

    I guess this was just another thing that the morons who run our state health systems got wrong, they should have sought a consensus from the armchair epidemiologists, public health physicians, id physicians and hospital administrators (usually all rolled into one person) on PB

  48. Top doctor says leaks continue to happen because federal experts ‘deny’ virus is airborne;

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2021/apr/26/australia-news-live-wa-covid-update-lockdown-higgins-morrison-albanese-nsw-victoria

    Only racists, sock puppets and medical rebels who publish peer-reviewed articles in The Lancet, NEJM etc. believe this.

    Compared to NSW Health Manager like OC, these people are ignoramuses, and are not to be taken seriously.

    As OC wrote, in his own peer-reviewed article, “…”… oh, wait.

  49. Sprocket —

    I’m impressed you lasted 6 weeks in India (never mind 9!). My OH and I were there for a bit over 2 weeks, and by that time we were both afflicted with Delhi Belly. We both doused ourselves with meds which (to paraphrase Joanna Lumley) turned us into concrete from the neck down. I think 3 weeks would have killed us.

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