Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor

Scott Morrison recovers much of the ground he lost on personal approval in the last Newspoll, which as usual records little change on voting intention.

Courtesy of The Australian, the first Newspoll in four weeks has Labor leading 51-49, down from 52-48 last time, with similarly slight movement on the primary vote, with the Coalition up a point to 41%, Labor steady on 38%, the Greens down one to 10% and One Nation up one to 3%. Scott Morrison recovers much of the ground he lost on personal ratings in the last poll, being up four on approval to 59% and down three on disapproval to 37%, while Anthony Albanese is down three to 40% and up two to 43%, though these changes do not alter the general stability of his position over the longer term. Morrison now leads 56-30 on preferred prime minister, out from 52-32 in the last poll and identical to the result in the previous poll six weeks ago. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1514.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,951 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor”

Comments Page 37 of 40
1 36 37 38 40
  1. Theo Andelinisays:
    Thursday, April 29, 2021 at 5:32 pm

    “Cooo-kooo!”

    Haha yeah you can say that again.
    Biden and his merry little band of unquestioning fanatical supporters be like…
    Oh dear, the bloke right at the back isn’t clapping! I guess that’s me then lol. Off with his head!

    ………

    You’re an idiot.

  2. “You’re an idiot.”

    Nah mate, I just don’t follow the same narrative that the masses do. I’m a free-thinker.

  3. Arthur
    Make it 10 minutes and you have a deal 🙂 But seriously folks. He has a 4o year track record that points in the opposite direction to which he is now supposedly going. So for me, I’m happy to wait and see if the fine words and stated intentions become reality before judging him. Also unfortunately whatever good intentions he actually has there would be a lot of powerful wealthy bustards out there trying to thwart him.

  4. Remember: this pages-long tantrum full of outbursts, insults, and copying and pasting other people’s words began because a few of us had the audacity to say nice things about Joe Biden, the Supreme NotBernie – an intolerable sin in Firefox’s eyes. How dare us mere mortal laypeople have a mild difference in opinion to God’s anointed?

  5. ‘Arthur says:
    Thursday, April 29, 2021 at 5:29 pm

    ……….

    If Xi Jinping’s answer to Dutton is to increase demand for our second most valuable export, then Dutton should be promoted to Foreign Affairs and Trade.’

    The competition to our iron ore is, inter alia, China’s supplies imported recycled steel. By reducing the tariffs on imported recycled steel, Jinping intends to reduce the demand for Australian iron ore and therefore the price of same.

  6. Theo Andelinisays:
    Thursday, April 29, 2021 at 5:40 pm

    “Nah mate, I just don’t follow the same narrative that the masses do. I’m a free-thinker.”

    ……..

    You’re certainly free of something.

  7. ‘I’m a free-thinker.’

    Who just happens to think that every single thing the Greens do or say is absolutely correct.

    You’re more partisan than most posters here.

  8. ‘Rational Leftist says:
    Thursday, April 29, 2021 at 5:43 pm’

    You do realize that Biden’s abiding sin is that he is not AOC?

  9. Nah mate, I just don’t follow the same narrative that the masses do. I’m a free-thinker.

    No you’re not. You’re a conformist bully who gets extremely angry and nasty if anyone else dares have a different opinion to you. You can spin and gaslight this place all you want but it doesn’t change the fact that you’re not a free-thinker and you’re not opening up the diversity of opinion of this place – you’re suppressing it.

  10. porotisays:
    Thursday, April 29, 2021 at 5:41 pm
    Arthur

    Make it 10 minutes and you have a deal But seriously folks. He has a 4o year track record that points in the opposite direction to which he is now supposedly going. So for me, I’m happy to wait and see if the fine words and stated intentions become reality before judging him. Also unfortunately whatever good intentions he actually has there would be a lot of powerful wealthy bustards out there trying to thwart him.

    ………

    Done!
    He’s already managed to get Morrison’s knickers in a twist, which is a pretty good start.

  11. As for the previously mentioned disparity of net worth in Boston, such disparity between white people and African Americans in the US is ridiculously high and a lot can be attributed not just to lower median incomes and economic opportunities but also due to unregulated, predatory high interest debt, such as easy access credit cards, payday loans and other short term creditors. This kind of stuff prays on those with low-incomes (who are disproportionately black) as it’s easy to fall into the mindset of borrowing being something to tide you over during a financial rut (or more accurately, sometimes it may be the only realistic option, as welfare is dreadful over there.)

    Using it as a tedious whataboutism isn’t helpful in the slightest. If you genuinely care about economic inequality, these are the places you look, not upper-middle class college grads or rural landowners who hate minorities.

  12. “boerwarsays:
    Thursday, April 29, 2021 at 5:47 pm
    This is what your 28% gets somebody else:”

    https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2028107
    Global glacial melt rates doubled from 2000 to 2019. Alaska lost ice 3 times faster than Antarctica.

    Alaskan glacial retreat has destabilized slopes, creating a megatsunami hazard from enormous landslides. The slope in this photograph is sliding at a scale so large that the slide is best identified from space. As the Barry glacier retreated it removed support from the base of this coastal mountainside at Barry Arm, Alaska.

  13. Predictably, here come the conservative group-thinkers to pile on the person going against the MSM’s conventional wisdom. Tis a daily occurrence on this blog from people who cannot handle alternate points of view. Can’t speak ill of dear leader Biden or the ALP or else you’ll be set upon by the lynch mob.

  14. From Theo, above:

    I honestly never knew that. It’s great he’s changed his tune and all but how many people had to suffer along the way? Perhaps now that he’s a new man and all we should just forget about his past voting record, hey? Yeah let’s do that. Never happened.

    … a classic example of the Woke Left: no pity, no forgiveness, full of their own purity.

  15. Ven

    He said that Wall Street did not build America.

    Lordy, Fox News talking heads will all be lining up to scream ‘Biden=Stalin’ 🙂 They and others went berserk when Obama said something similar.Using words so close to Obama’s that caused such a stir at the time among the Repugs makes me think Joe might be trolling them
    .
    .
    “Somebody helped to create this unbelievable American system that we have that allowed you to thrive. Somebody invested in roads and bridges. If you’ve got a business, you didn’t build that.”

  16. Ven @ #1781 Thursday, April 29th, 2021 – 4:30 pm

    Net median worth of families in Boston
    White family – $ 247,000
    Black family – $ 8
    Yes only eight dollars

    Yet Democrats vote in Boston is 82 %

    Systemic racism is systemic. And historical.

    One metro region voting Democrat won’t undo the systemic bias. One metro region voting Democrat won’t erase the starting advantage that white families enjoy thanks to nearly a century of American slavery (or more than that if you count prior to 1776).

  17. boerwarsays:
    Thursday, April 29, 2021 at 5:44 pm
    ‘Arthur says:
    Thursday, April 29, 2021 at 5:29 pm

    ……….

    “The competition to our iron ore is, inter alia, China’s supplies imported recycled steel. By reducing the tariffs on imported recycled steel, Jinping intends to reduce the demand for Australian iron ore and therefore the price of same.”

    ………

    I had to look this up, China Imports 180 million metric tons of scrap steel per year, and about 1.2 billion metric tons of iron ore (equivalent to around 750 million tons of steel).

    According to the Global Times on 17/12/20 China was “ramping up” imports of scrap steel.

    https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1210300.shtml

    It banned them 2 weeks later on the 1st of January this year.

    https://www.metalbulletin.com/Article/3964058/China-bans-foreign-scrap-metal-from-Jan-2021-abolishes-scrap-import-quota.html

    And also lifted a 2 year ban on scrap imports on the 18th of February this year according to the AFR.

    https://www.afr.com/world/asia/china-lifts-ban-on-scrap-metal-imports-in-new-iron-ore-threat-20210216-p5731j

    I’m starting to suspect that the Chinese government might be full of shit.

  18. Arthur @ #1788 Thursday, April 29th, 2021 – 5:02 pm

    How does China scrapping a tariff curb domestic consumption or impact the price Australian companies receive for their iron ore?

    They are scrapping the import tariff on steel products. This will make steel products cheaper to import, reducing the demand for the raw iron ore required to make the same products domestically.

    The winners will be China and those countries in the region that still make steel products for export.

    Which doesn’t, sadly, include Australia.

  19. Re Josh Boy’s great aim to get to an unemployment number “starting with a 4” . Sandgropia shouts a great big ‘Meh’ as it is already there, scoring 4.8%.

  20. For the life of me I can’t see why the Green-aligned ones aren’t basking in the joy of having “forced” Biden to adopt so many of their policies.
    After all they do it all the time about how they “forced” Gillard to have a proper carbon pricing mechanism.

    Of course the reality is totally disconnected from that frame of thinking. I actually watched most of Biden’s speech in real time and any transcript or excerpts would not really represent it fairly – you needed to HEAR his inflections and timing.

    Biden’s speech is as much a reflection of how mainstream opinion has shifted in the US as it is of his agency in pushing the policies he is presenting. As Shakespeare put it in Julius Caesar: “There is a tide in the affairs of men. Which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune.”

  21. “michaelsays:
    Thursday, April 29, 2021 at 6:07 pm
    Essential Poll
    LNP – 39 +2
    Labor – 34 -1
    2PP
    LNP – 46 +2
    Labor -46 -1”

    Those numbers do not make any sense to me. Some may say michael never made any sense. 🙂

  22. The Green’s can’t even manage to not stand in the way of a moderately Thatcherite Labor government being elected in Australia.

    What hope a socialist uptopia in the United States?

  23. Anyone who thinks that China’s recent actions in regard to China are part of some grand plan of subjugating our proud nation really needs to take a bit of a time out to chill.

    To me it resembles something like someone giving a rather playful and annoying young puppy a few clips across the ear.

    If we had any sense we’d go and have a snooze in the corner until our “persecutor” calmed down a but.

  24. Lizzie:

    Thursday, April 29, 2021 at 6:31 pm

    [‘Thank you. So many things in the back of my memory that refuse to step forward when requested. ‘]

    Me too. Sutherland was such a trooper, singing all four female leads in Hoffmann – Olympia, Antonia, Giulietta, and Stella -in turn.

  25. Rational Leftist @ #313 Thursday, April 29th, 2021 – 5:43 pm

    Remember: this pages-long tantrum full of outbursts, insults, and copying and pasting other people’s words began because a few of us had the audacity to say nice things about Joe Biden, the Supreme NotBernie – an intolerable sin in Firefox’s eyes. How dare us mere mortal laypeople have a mild difference in opinion to God’s anointed?

    Is that LWNJ still posting? I thought Mr Bowe told him to sling his hook?

  26. Player Onesays:
    Thursday, April 29, 2021 at 6:23 pm

    “They are scrapping the import tariff on steel products. This will make steel products cheaper to import, reducing the demand for the raw iron ore required to make the same products domestically.”

    ………

    Which will increase demand for iron ore in countries that are no longer able to secure scrap steel because China is knicking it all?

  27. ‘Rational Leftist says:
    Thursday, April 29, 2021 at 6:17 pm

    I think there’s also a reminder there to those in the North not to be too smug about racial inequalities in the South.’

    Yep. The general maldistribution of wealth in the US is terrible. The maldistribution is worse if you are Afro American.

  28. Is that LWNJ still posting? I thought Mr Bowe told him to sling his hook?

    His current nom de guerre is Theo Andelini. At first I was skeptical it was the same person (despite others reaching that conclusion before me) because I didn’t want this place to get into the habit of just accusing any Greens supporter who has a different opinion (and is vocal about it) of being Firefox because I don’t want to encourage forum gatekeeping, or make it so Green posters are automatically treated as trolls. However, since then his posting style, the fact he flies off the handle whenever Biden is mentioned, his copypaste of his Twitter feed etc. has knocked that mask right off.

    EDIT: And I want to make it clear I am not trying to push him away or anything. It’s not my place to say who can and can’t post here. I am just tired of the constant provocations followed by playing the victim.

  29. In the horse trading to get support from Sanders and Warren during the POTUS race, Biden agreed to adopt some policies from Sanders and Warren, and this obliged Biden to shift left.

    There was no horse trading. Sanders supported Biden in April 2020 without extracting any policy commitments in return. Contrary to the way that he is portrayed by centrists, Sanders has always been very accommodating towards centrist Democrats when he has run against them in presidential campaigns and he has not tried to use his leverage before dropping out of a presidential race and endorsing the eventual winner. Even though officially he is an independent he has proven to be loyal to the Democratic Party in presidential election years – too loyal from the point of view of advancing his policy priorities – at critical moments when he could have used leverage but chose not to.

    Biden could have pressured the right-wing Senate Democrats to vote for a $15 minimum wage, or face primary challenges backed by him, but he didn’t do that because he doesn’t really want to lift the minimum wage to $15. He is a moderate Republican on economic policy, not a progressive. He has long championed cuts to Medicare, Social Security, and unemployment support. He he long supported deregulation of the financial sector, particularly the credit card companies who were big contributors during his Senate career.

    Biden’s policy on health care is to provide more COBRA subsidies to private health insurance companies. That is a Republican idea from the 1990s, not a progressive policy of treating health care as a basic right that should be guaranteed to everybody.

    His COVID relief legislation is a one-off fiscal stimulus that is about a third of the size needed to offset the full economic impacts of COVID. There is nothing recurring about this legislation. The big risk is that Biden allows right-wing Democrats in the Senate to rule out any further spending on bogus “sound finance” grounds, leaving Democrats vulnerable to losing seats in the House and Senate in 2022.

    The climate change commitment to a 50 percent reduction in carbon emissions by 2030 is a lot more bold than anything that Barack Obama did. The good thing about that commitment is that it is a short enough time frame to require decisions to be made now.

    Getting out of Afghanistan is a good move . He appears to have decided to get that done early in his term instead of giving defense contractors and the military establishment time to mobilize against it.

    It would be great if Biden can realize before it’s too late that he has no need to suck up to donors any more, or to fit in with a Washington swamp consensus. He can be a remembered as a great president if he gets into the habit of reading the ten most conservative Democrats the riot act on multiple occasions so that substantial and permanent changes to public policy can be made in the next few years. He has the power to make life incredibly difficult for those ten corporate lackeys if they cross him, and to offer them rewards if they do what he wants. It is simply not true to claim that there is nothing that can be done to change the voting behaviour of Joe Manchin, Kyrsten Sinema, and other servants of corporate donors.

  30. And I notice Michael Collins is dead at 90. While he never stepped on the Moon, he was still an instrumental part of that historic mission in 1969. Until the end, he was a very vocal communicator, discussing and answering a lot of questions about being an astronaut and Space in general. Vale.

  31. Arthur @ #1840 Thursday, April 29th, 2021 – 6:48 pm

    Player Onesays:
    Thursday, April 29, 2021 at 6:23 pm

    “They are scrapping the import tariff on steel products. This will make steel products cheaper to import, reducing the demand for the raw iron ore required to make the same products domestically.”

    ………

    Which will increase demand for iron ore in countries who are no longer able to secure scrap steel because China is knicking it all?

    But they may have their own iron ore and a steel indurtry. As (for example) Russia, Brazil, Kazakstan, and India all do.

    Sure, they don’t have as much iron ore as Australia does, but the point is not to eliminate Australia completely, it is to put downward pressure on iron ore prices.

  32. Rational Leftist @ #352 Thursday, April 29th, 2021 – 6:56 pm

    Is that LWNJ still posting? I thought Mr Bowe told him to sling his hook?

    His current nom de guerre is Theo Andelini. At first I was skeptical it was the same person (despite others reaching that conclusion before me) because I didn’t want this place to get into the habit of just accusing any Greens supporter who has a different opinion (and is vocal about it) of being Firefox because I don’t want to encourage forum gatekeeping, or make it so Green posters are automatically treated as trolls. However, since then he his posting style, the fact he flies off the handle whenever Biden is mentioned, his copypaste of his Twitter feed etc. has knocked that mask right off.

    Which a few of us saw with his response to zoomster early on.

    I’m not in the habit of being a forum gatekeeper either (really! 😆 ), however there are certain individuals who brazenly use sock puppets so that they can keep up the abuse of other posters and who take the blog into disrepute (and, yes, pot and kettle, though I do my best to walk away if I sense myself going down that same path these days). So I’m intrigued to understand Mr Bowe’s thinking about this guy, who obviously seems to have a screw or two loose. Quoll and the rest of the Green team on PB I can cope with. That guy I just had to block. Mainly due to the unhinged way he went zoomster, who is one of the most tolerant people here of the many fools on the PB block.

    My earnest hope is that people just ignore the guy but it seems a little bit of digital knowledge is a dangerous thing in his hands because, ignored or not he still spews his crap regardless. To the extent that it adds nothing and acts as a fatburg on the blog.

Comments Page 37 of 40
1 36 37 38 40

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *