Newspoll quarterly breakdowns: January to March

Big movement to Labor in the smaller states in the latest Newspoll breakdowns, but nothing of what might have been expected on gender.

My assertion in the previous post that we faced a dry spell on the polling front hadn’t reckoned on Newspoll’s quarterly breakdowns, published today in The Australian. These combine the four Newspoll surveys conducted this year into a super-poll featuring various breakdowns from credible sample sizes (though I’d note that nothing seems to have come of talk that new industry standards would require that such breakdowns be provided in each poll individually, in a new spirit of transparency following the great pollster failure of 2019).

The latest numbers offer some particularly interesting insights into where the Coalition has been losing support over recent months. Whereas things have been reasonably stable in New South Wales (now 50-50 after the Coalition led 51-49 in the last quarter of 2020) and Victoria (where Labor’s lead narrows from 55-45 to 53-47), there have been six-point shifts in Labor’s favour in Western Australia (where the Coalition’s 53-47 lead last time has been reversed) and South Australia (51-49 to the Coalition last time, 55-45 to Labor this time). Labor has also closed the gap in Queensland from 57-43 to 53-47.

It should be noted here that the small state sample sizes are relatively modest, at 628 for WA and 517 for SA, implying error margins of around 4%, compared with around 2.5% for the larger states. I also observed, back in the days when there was enough state-level data for such things to be observable, that state election blowouts had a way of feeding into federal polling over the short term, which may be a factor in the poll crediting Labor with a better result than it has managed at a federal election in WA since 1983.

The gender breakdowns notably fail to play to the script: Labor is credited with 51-49 leads among both men and women, which represents a four-point movement to Labor among men and no change among women. There is also nothing remarkable to note in Scott Morrison’s personal ratings, with deteriorations of 7% in his net rating among men and 8% among women.

Further results suggest the government has lost support more among the young (Labor’s lead is out from 61-39 to 64-36 among those aged 18 to 34, while the Coalition holds a steady 62-38 lead among those 65 and over), middle income earners (a three-point movement to Labor in the $50,000 to $100,000 cohort and four-point movement in $100,000 to $150,000, compared with no change for $50,000 and below and a two-point increase for the Coalition among those on $150,000 and over), non-English speakers (a four-point decline compared with one point for English speakers) and those with trade qualifications (a four-point movement compared with none among the university educated and one point among those without qualifications).

You can find the full results, at least on voting intention, in the poll data feature on BludgerTrack, where you can navigate your way through tabs for each of the breakdowns Newspoll provides for a full display of the results throughout the current term. Restoring a permanent link to all this through my sidebar is part of the ever-lengthening list of things I need to get around to.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,852 comments on “Newspoll quarterly breakdowns: January to March”

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  1. @sallymcmanus tweets
    The Morrison Govt wants wages frozen. Profits can make a “V” shaped recovery, but wages must not. A recipe for a very unequal society with workers & small business squeezed and big business domination

    ______________
    @JStein_WaPo tweets

    Biden today: “You have 51 or 52 corporations of the Fortune 500 haven’t paid a single penny in taxes for three years. Come on, man. Let’s get real”

    “I’m going to push as hard as I can to change the circumstances so we can compete with the rest of the world — compete with the rest of the world. Everybody around the world is investing billions and billions of dollars in infrastructure, and we’re going to do it here”

  2. Having spent 12 months in the protection of splendid isolation against Covid, the thought of attending a “mass inoculation centre” does not thrill me.

  3. Stuart @ #99 Tuesday, April 6th, 2021 – 10:10 am

    I’ll bet that Turnbull regrets kicking the till to the tune of $1.75 M to secure his election win. The party he loves so much just keeps setting him up and then knocking him down. I’ll bet also that he never saw Matt Keane’s king hit coming.

    Gold.
    There is a german word to describe how this makes me feel.

  4. Despite the sample size, Labor’s improvement in WA and Queensland is very encouraging, with the possibility of picking up a total of 7 seats in these states (3 in WA; 4 in Queensland, see link). Morrison will attempt to counter this with largess in the May budget but such may be perceived as a blatant attempt to restore his government’s flagging popularity at a time of record debt & deficit.

    A number of contributors said that McGowan’s stunning victory in WA holds no federal implications but this prediction now appears to have scant currency. At the local level, come the federal election, the morale of the WA Tories will still be rock bottom; Labor’s, on cloud 9. Added to this is
    Albanese’s newfound confidence, looking and sounding
    prime ministerial whereas Morrison appears haggard and
    yesterday’s man, whose only real attribute is marketing.

    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2021/04/06/coalition-loses-electoral-ground-newspoll/

  5. Yet the small l liberals (both independents and within the party) still stick to the LNP…. like flies to a sundew.

  6. “When has that ever happened?”

    CFCs? Whales?

    Of course, neither of those are as essential to production as raw energy inputs.

  7. Yabba
    It looks like there may have been a friendly takeover. When I had a test done there in September, it wasn’t calling itself “Coast & Country” and, questions were raised in the CC medical community of where the medicare rebates were going. Have a look at which doctor claimed the rebate

  8. vic, fess

    Being a Breaking Bad fan I naturally wanted to watch the follow-up (actually a prequel) Better Call Saul.

    I waited until the last episode had been released then signed up for a free trial expecting to binge the whole lot over the space of a week then cancel, and repeat when each subsequent season was released. That was in 2015 and I’m still there.

    Some recommendations for you:
    Old stuff:
    The Tudors
    The Borgias
    Penny Dreadful – I was turned off by the fact that it features Frankenstein, Dracula, Dorian Grey, werewolves and a slew of witches. I missed the first season entirely. I only started thinking about it again when Eva Green was nominated for an Emmy for her role. Hmm perhaps I might have to check it out. I did, and wow!!!! If I had any say in who gets the Emmys, Ms Green would’ve won Best Actress with daylight in second for all 3 seasons. I’d also have awarded Rory Kinnear one as well for his performance as Frankenstein’s “Monster”. Excellent performances from the rest of the cast (including former 007, Timothy Dalton). Be warned it is very gory, but only when it needs to be. Highly recommended.

    Speaking of Timothy Dalton segues nicely into every Bond film from Dr No through to Spectre being available as well.
    The Circus – the definitive documentary series on the 2016 US election and the “reign” of Trump. A handy reminder of how it all happened on both sides, going right back to the very first Primaries for both the Dems and Repulsives. Right up the 2021 insurrection. That episode alone is worth the price of admission.
    Honourable mentions: Mississippi Burning (movie), all of Blackadder, Yes Minister and Yes Prime Minister, Breaking Bad, The Thick Of It, and lots more that I can’t think of off the top of my head.

    New(ish)/Ongoing stuff:
    I Hate Suzie – a darkish comedy about a C-Grade celebrity who manages to get her life into a further downward spiral, all of it self inflicted. It stars Billie Piper, who coincidentally also gives a great performance in Penny Dreadful as The Bride Of Frankenstein.
    Code 404 – a comedy about a dead cop who is brought back to “life” using technology featuring Stephen Graham, who also stars in….
    The Virtues – a very bleak, but watchable tale of the lingering damage done to orphans under the “care” of Catholic institutions. Recommended.
    The First Team – a sometimes laugh out loud tale of a young American lad who manages to get himself picked as a star recruit for an English Premier league despite never having any experience of playing Soccer. The name of the team is never mentioned, however the stadium scenes are rather obviously filmed at Anfield Stadium, the home of Liverpool FC. Recommended.
    Your Honour – stars Bryan Cranston of Breaking Bad fame. Another great performance from him in this tale of a judge whose son gets himself in a spot of bother. Cranston’s character goes from minimising the bother to outright cover-up. It’s a one off mini series that doesn’t have a happy ending for anyone, but that ending is a form of poetic justice. Recommended.

    City On A Hill – This an ongoing series on Stan (new episode each week for Season 2, Season 1 the full series. Despite the blurb not being particularly enticing, it is also worthy of a watch. It also drags Kevin Bacon well and truly out of the “Where Are They Now?” file. Speaking of the WARTN? file….

    The Good Lord Bird – Executive produced and starring Ethan Hawke. A telling of the slavery abolition movement and the build up and immediate aftermath of the Harper’s Ferry “insurrection”. I have no idea as to its historical accuracy, but that doesn’t matter anyway. Mr Hawke’s performance is worth the price of admission alone. If he doesn’t win the Best Actor award at the next Emmys and Golden Globes the world is truly an unjust place. HIGHLY recommended.

    Which brings us neatly to a show that I cannot recommend highly enough….
    Gangs Of London – you may have heard some buzz about on social media about how violent this show is. I’ll go one further. It is beyond question the most violent TV show ever made. I repeat ever! Fans of the Indonesian(!) cult classic movie, The Raid which was actually written and directed by Welsh director Gareth Evans, will have some idea of what to expect. GOL is executive produced by Mr Evans who also direct a couple of episodes. Forget the violence (graphic, but never gratuitous) though the story line is complex enough to keep you enthralled. The title also doesn’t do it justice as not only does it cover the London underworld, it also brings in the Albanian and Nigerian Mafias, Kurdish freedom fighters, a Pakistani heroin syndicate, a team of Danish assassins, a pair of mysterious “investors” and hints of a much bigger underworld centred in Panama. I think we’ll find out more about that in Season (due in 2022). Once again I cannot recommend this show highly enough. It was released on Stan in November last year and since then I’ve binged the whole lot three times since, and will binge it all again when the release of Season 2 is imminent as reminder of the storyline that got us up to Season 2.

    So, there you go. That’s more than enough to fill out your free month, however I’d bet London to a brick that you’ll still be a member long past your free month – just like me.

    One last note – thanks for reminding me about Yellowstone. It’s on “my list”, but I’ve never gotten around to watching any of it. I plan on rectifying that situation over the next week or so. 😉

  9. Lizzie at the moment attending a mass vaccination centre is fairly safe.

    But by the time the federal government is forced to set up mass vaccination centres in the middle of the next covid wave vaccination will be unsafe, unless using open air venues .

    The McKinnon Leadership prize was awarded to Greg Hunt for his leadership in the Covid response – what an insult to Daniel Andrews who was also a nominee

  10. QandA is pursuing its policy of driving viewers away. This week one panellist will be

    [QandA
    @QandA
    ·
    1h
    Australian Christian Lobby director Martyn Iles is calling on Christians to become more politically visible, saying “the more we are seen for who we really are, the more powerful our influence is going to be.”]

  11. @ljayes tweets

    So @TurnbullMalcolm has been dumped from the NSW clean economy board position in record time.

    This wasn’t a secret appointment by @Matt_KeanMP – he took it to Cabinet! It was signed off!

    Cancel culture flourishing in the Nats and Libs?

    @mckinnon tweets

    is cancel culture when a former prime minister gets sacked from a clean energy board for believing in climate change or am i not doing it right

    ________
    A theme seems to be developing

  12. Is the McKinnon Leadership some sort of Ignoble Prize, sarcasm thing. In that case both were worthy nominees but Dan should have won.

  13. @Boer:

    “We all know that rice grown in Australia is evil incarnate but that rice is grown overseas is good.”

    ______

    To put boorish Boer’s China rice hysteria into perspective, check out this article and the associated tables:

    https://ourworldindata.org/carbon-footprint-food-methane

    The argument against rice in Australia relates to water usage on a dry continent. Where significant flows in the middle MD basin are diverted away from both environmental flows and other forms of agriculture.

    While we are on the subject of Australian agricultural practices it is worth noting that the main driver of land clearing is the export cattle market, and to a lesser extent the market for other ruminant livestock. Which in turn are … the biggest methane producing agricultural practices bar none. Much of the eastern half of our continent are given over to the livestock trade – either via grazing directly, but also by virtue of all the cereals and legumes that are grown to fatten up said livestock for market.

    Rice is a staple diet for much of the world. Especially in Asia. The rise of the chi-coms have nothing to do with that, other than perhaps to keep consumption somewhat in check via its one child policy. Methane is also a short lived greenhouse gas, so one has to wonder exactly how much the does the consumption of rice in Asia plays as a part of the whole equation of greenhouse emissions. I’d suggest, bugger all. Probably only to the extent that populations increase (hence a proportionate increase in consumption of the basic rice staple). But hey, I’m happy to be corrected on that by actual data, if the Boer has any. It would seem to me however, it is likely to be the take up of meat consumption as China gentrifies that would be a relevant greenhouse emissions driver, not the staple rice diet that has always been cultivated and consumed throughout Asia.

    You see bludgers, these silly drive by points that boorish Boer indulges in simply expose him as swimming in the shallow end of the pool on China. One can only wonder why that is. The silly points certainly distract from would otherwise be issues worth debating.

  14. @DanielBleakley tweets

    Imagine sacking a former Prime Minister, business leader and strong advocate for climate action from a “Net Zero and Clean Economy” board.

  15. QandA is confusing controversy with enlightening questions, conversation

    Controversial commentators reinforce bigots prejudices. The existing audience melts away and the “Christians” don’t watch.
    A Christadelphian smugly said to me after I pushed her motorised wheelchair with dead battery up the only steep hill in Melbourne “Oh no dear, we don’t vote, we leave politics to Jesus”

  16. On the Newspoll.

    If I didn’t make it clear last night in the last thread.
    I think the Murdoch media has turned on Morrison because of that polling.

    For the rest I think the Women marching for justice did it.

  17. … So far so good…. although I want to see the result for Labor in Queensland to further improve.

    In any event, all this just says that the Coalition will be dragging their zombie government until the very last legal day. After all, they surely know that post-electoral trashing they will be starting a very long and very cold political winter, so let’s just squeeze as many goodies as possible for as long as the current political autumn lasts….

    In addition, surely the rumors are already circulating in the Coalition: Has ScuMo run out of “miracles”?…. Should we replace him with somebody who looks less threatening, smirky and dodgy (e.g. Joshie Friedhamburger)?

  18. Zoomster@10:30am
    True words. Somebody from right sniggered that he is Labor PM of LNP government although it is not true. I read somewhere that Liberals are so far to the right that Liberal party founder Bob Menzies and longtime PM won’t even be pre-selected to contest on behalf of Liberals.

  19. Ven

    I was actually contemplating things that happened in Australia under the ‘old’ Liberals (I’m sure Labor would have done better, of course…) which ‘modern’ Libs wouldn’t go near.

    Part of the problem with the older cohort of voters is that they don’t understand that ‘Hamer Liberals’ don’t exist anymore.

  20. If I were Albo’s COS, I’d make sure he spends as much time as possible in WA, especially being seen in the company of Mark McGowan in what will become marginal seats. Show Sandgroper’s Albo is just as safe a pair hands as McGowan.

    What say other bludgers?

  21. “Liberals are so far to the right that Liberal party founder Bob Menzies and longtime PM won’t even be pre-selected to contest on behalf of Liberals.”….

    Ven, don’t forget that Menzies was a Conservative who predated Neoliberalism. Even Fraser didn’t fall into the trap of Neoliberalism, in spite of his Treasurer John Howard desperately pushing him…

    It’s a pity that, historically, Labor started the Neoliberal saga with Hawke and Keating. But both Hawke and even Keating eventually abandoned Neoliberalism, whereas with Howard PM the Liberals started a period of Neoliberal ideological extremism first and then, since Abbott, they have continued with a period of Neoliberal ideological madness.

  22. guytaur
    More likely because Scotty tried to throw the Rupertarium under a bus with his mud slinging at his ‘wimmin presser’ . Uppity employees at the Murdoch farm don’t last long.

  23. AE

    Thanks.

    It’s the same with the Quad and the Phillipines.

    Yes military on coast guard ships in their waters is a big worry along with militarised artificial islands in the South China Sea. Thus the Quad Maritime part of the joint statement of Freedom of the Seas part of international rules based order.

    Calling it an invasion of the Phillipines is Sinophobic rhetoric to ramp up division. Very early Cold War rhetoric before the Cuban Missile crisis.

  24. ‘Andrew_Earlwood says:
    Tuesday, April 6, 2021 at 11:05 am

    @Boer:

    “We all know that rice grown in Australia is evil incarnate but that rice is grown overseas is good.”

    ______

    To put boorish Boer’s China rice hysteria into perspective, check out this article and the associated tables:’

    To put the ‘hysteria’ in perspective, someone else raised rice. Then A-E made some passing comment on rice and quinoa. Woke, that.

    One could speculate that A-E is projecting, but who really knows?

    What I DID raise was that China is generating two-thirds of the world’s aquaculture-generated methane. No emotions involved. Just the facts. (I did not raise the allied environmental issues of massive destruction of coastal wetlands, mangroves forests, or the nutrients going into the oceans but those who understand the Anthropocene Extinction Event will know what I mean.)

    Dr Physics and Dr Chemistry will simply take the aquaculture methane and crunch it into the numbers for the 1.5 degrees plus. A-E assures us that China has that covered in its Plan for 2060. We have Xi’s word for it.

    Meanwhile, back in the real world, A-E is STILL having difficulty working out what the Chinese fleet of 200 ships, with orders to shoot, is doing in the Philippines EEZ. Just another example of the five decade old look-the-other-way ‘hard diplomacy’ at work?

  25. Lizzie@10:40 am
    When did we work together?
    Well, the best example is working together in late 80s and early 90s to reduce CFCs gases, which were causing Ozone hole on southern pole. A big hole is now reduced significantly. I am not sure whether it is fully gone.
    Or take the Pandemic example. World is working together to solve it. It became a huge issue, US government did not cooperate with the world for a whole year.

  26. @AmyRemeikis tweets

    Right – so criticism of public positions taken as part of a ‘freedom of speech’ crusade is now ‘tearing down’ and ‘attacks’. Got it.

    @thetowncrier

    This cracking yarn on Lib minister Amanda Stoker explaining why Twitter is mean and she’s awesome is labelled “exclusive” and fair enough too because who else would run it.

  27. Ven @ #129 Tuesday, April 6th, 2021 – 9:34 am

    Lizzie@10:40 am
    When did we work together?
    Well, the best example is working together in late 80s and early 90s to reduce CFCs gases, which were causing Ozone hole on southern pole. A big hole is now reduced significantly. I am not sure whether it is fully gone.
    Or take the Pandemic example. World is working together to solve it. It became a huge issue, US government did not cooperate with the world for a whole year.

    That was a relatively easy one that basically no impact on peoples daily lives.

  28. “ Meanwhile, back in the real world, A-E is STILL having difficulty working out what the Chinese fleet of 200 ships, with orders to shoot, is doing in the Philippines EEZ. Just another example of the five decade old look-the-other-way ‘hard diplomacy’ at work?”

    I’m surprised, shocked even, to learn that you haven’t even read – or at least comprehended – what I’ve said about the ‘fishing fleet’ currently embedded in the Philippines Sea. …

  29. Lizzie and Ven.

    It’s a callous but true point. Natural selection may be working faster than we imagined for those opposing science and expertise

    @AP tweets

    Vaccine skepticism is more widespread among white evangelicals than almost any other major bloc of Americans, recent surveys show. The findings amid the pandemic are arousing concern even within evangelical circles.

  30. I am so f’ing fed up with the ABC local radio presenter continually getting Greg Sheridan on to lie, distort and BS. Today he was overly critical of the ALP during RUdd/Gillard for failing in defense spending, causing thousands of job losses stating the old and debunked/discredited BS that their spending on defense was the lowest since the 1930’s. Not even mentioning the spending has barely increased over the 7 years (I think it annualises at 4% increase) even though the threats in the region have greatly increased.

    He did criticise the LNP for the number of Defence ministers they have had but only in the context that electing an ALP government next year would ruin it all as he expects Dutton will be a great Defence minister and needs a goodly long time in the job.

  31. Barney

    Exactly. But try to stop coastal development or urban spread and see how far you get. How many dictators really believe in climate change? I’m not so charitable.

  32. Andrew Earlwood

    You see bludgers, these silly drive by points that boorish Boer indulges in simply expose him as swimming in the shallow end of the pool on China. One can only wonder why that is. The silly points certainly distract from would otherwise be issues worth debating.

    boerwar doesn’t want debate. As soon as one of his posts is questioned, he just moves on to the next one in the cycle. Eventually he ends up posting the same stuff over again hoping everyone has forgotten how easily it was shown to be incorrect every previous time he posted it.

    His intention appears to be three-fold: (1) to blame China for our disintegrating relationship rather than accept that Australia screwed up, and (2) to shift focus away from Australia’s appalling record on climate change by pretending that China is worse, and (3) something about ‘white racism’ (although he has not yet explained why he thinks white racism is different to other kinds of racism).

    I hope he soon finds another topic to obsess over. This one is very tiresome.

  33. ‘Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Tuesday, April 6, 2021 at 11:40 am

    Ven @ #129 Tuesday, April 6th, 2021 – 9:34 am

    Lizzie@10:40 am
    When did we work together?
    Well, the best example is working together in late 80s and early 90s to reduce CFCs gases, which were causing Ozone hole on southern pole. A big hole is now reduced significantly. I am not sure whether it is fully gone.
    Or take the Pandemic example. World is working together to solve it. It became a huge issue, US government did not cooperate with the world for a whole year.

    That was a relatively easy one that basically no impact on peoples daily lives.’

    Well, as it turns out, no.

    We were using a CFC (methyl bromide) to significantly boost production in our strawberry farm. The rules applied to Australia straight away but not to other countries.

    The direct result is that for several years we had to compete against cheap strawberry imports from countries that were allowed to keep using CFCs to boost their strawberry production.

  34. Yellen calls for global minimum corporate tax rate in first major address as Treasury secretary

    Washington (CNN)Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen called for a global minimum corporate tax rate on Monday, a pitch that comes as the Biden administration begins to sell its roughly $2 trillion infrastructure and jobs proposal that would raise US corporate taxes to fund the massive plan.

    “We’re working with G20 nations to agree to a global minimum corporate tax rate that can stop the race to the bottom. Together, we can use global minimum tax to make sure that the global economy thrives, based on a more level playing field in the taxation of multinational corporations and spurs innovation, growth and prosperity,” Yellen said in a speech to the Chicago Council on Global Affairs.

    “It’s about making sure that governments have stable tax systems that raise sufficient revenue to invest in essential public goods and respond to crises, and that all citizens fairly share the burden of financing government.”

    President Joe Biden’s infrastructure proposal, called the American Jobs Plan, would increase the minimum tax on US corporations to 21% and calculate it on a country-by-country basis to deter companies from sheltering profits in international tax havens.

    https://edition.cnn.com/2021/04/05/politics/janet-yellen-global-cooperate-tax/index.html

  35. Q: It’s a pity that, historically, Labor started the Neoliberal saga with Hawke and Keating….

    True- but people forget the context of the 80s- Thatcherism, Reaganism, Keys…..Labor did pretty well to avoid the excesses of Neoliberalism, while accommodating the inevitable (floating dollar, business privatisations- airlines, banks but not water and transport for example)…there was so much pressure for Labor to succumb open slather capitalism at that time.

  36. boerwar @ #138 Tuesday, April 6th, 2021 – 9:46 am

    ‘Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Tuesday, April 6, 2021 at 11:40 am

    Ven @ #129 Tuesday, April 6th, 2021 – 9:34 am

    Lizzie@10:40 am
    When did we work together?
    Well, the best example is working together in late 80s and early 90s to reduce CFCs gases, which were causing Ozone hole on southern pole. A big hole is now reduced significantly. I am not sure whether it is fully gone.
    Or take the Pandemic example. World is working together to solve it. It became a huge issue, US government did not cooperate with the world for a whole year.

    That was a relatively easy one that basically no impact on peoples daily lives.’

    Well, as it turns out, no.

    We were using a CFC (methyl bromide) to significantly boost production in our strawberry farm. The rules applied to Australia straight away but not to other countries.

    The direct result is that for several years we had to compete against cheap strawberry imports from countries that were allowed to keep using CFCs to boost their strawberry production.

    WOW!!!

    You’re still looking for the magic switch I see.

  37. lizzie @ #112 Tuesday, April 6th, 2021 – 10:58 am

    QandA is pursuing its policy of driving viewers away. This week one panellist will be

    [QandA
    @QandA
    ·
    1h
    Australian Christian Lobby director Martyn Iles is calling on Christians to become more politically visible, saying “the more we are seen for who we really are, the more powerful our influence is going to be.”]

    It’s getting complicated. One could wish that it were more like ‘the more we are seen for what we really are, the less powerful our influence is going to be’.

    Anyway, as we follow the USA, their experience (*see below) is interesting and probably reproducible here. Certainly the push by conservative Christians, the really unChristian ones, is well underway here, as we see and bemoan everyday. Against the pursuit of extreme right wing political agendas by religious zealots, there is a (not entirely unpredictable) decline in church attendances in the younger millennials, for any number of reasons, not the least for seeing them for ‘who’ and ‘what’ these ‘Christians’ are.

    I take some comfort in the belief, well hope anyway, that this is their frantic last throw of the dice as they are increasingly exposed as intolerant anti-humanitarians and anti science frauds. You can deny science for so long, but Mother Earth has lessons to be learnt, and learnt they will be.

    * from the Guardian:

    Fewer than half of Americans belong to a house of worship, a new study shows, but religion – and Christianity in particular – continues to have an outsize influence in US politics, especially because it is declining faster among Democrats than Republicans.

    Just 47% of the US population are members of a church, mosque or synagogue, according to a survey by Gallup, down from 70% two decades ago – in part a result of millennials turning away from religion but also, experts say, a reaction to the swirling mix of rightwing politics and Christianity pursued by the Republican party.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/apr/05/americans-religion-rightwing-politics-decline

  38. India must be swamped with covid. This morning’s covid numbers from NZ show in the last 2 days 17 cases among arrivals, 11 of 12 arrivals from India tested positive on the Day 1 arrival test. Last Thurs/Friday 10 out of 10 travelers arriving from India tested positive on Day 1. Given NZ requires a negative test result 72 hours before catching a flight something odd is going on over there.

  39. zoomster@11:25am
    You must have noticed that Liberals do not mention Menzies that much and they refuse to mention Malcolm Fraser at all. It is as if Liberal party has started with the election of Howard as PM.

  40. We covered today’s cartoons. Tick.

    Somebody did rice and quinoa. Tick. Not sure why, but there has to be a reason.

    We covered two thirds of the world’s aquaculture-related methane emissions. Refer that one to Drs Physics and Chemistry. Tick.

    We nearly got to the Chinese invasion of the Philippines, so that one is still open.

    And we sort of all agreed that current increases in Chinese CO2 emissions will (a) be covered by the 2060 Plan promised by Xi; will (b) involve increasing coal-fired CO2 emissions; are (c) killing around 1.3 million Chinese with air pollution a year; and (d) will probably push the global temp increase above 1.5 degrees.
    Mentioning any of the above is boring, irrelevant to Australia, the fault of the United States, a demonstration of white racism with a dash of the old Yellow Peril taint, requires wearing a safari suit, and ignores colonial history.

  41. Ven

    It is as if Liberal party has started with the election of Howard as PM.

    Looking at the nasty bunch of rorters,shonks, holy rollers and punching down bustards that inhabit their benches today it very much did.

  42. ‘poroti says:
    Tuesday, April 6, 2021 at 11:53 am

    India must be swamped with covid. This morning’s covid numbers from NZ show in the last 2 days 17 cases among arrivals, 11 of 12 arrivals from India tested positive on the Day 1 arrival test. Last Thurs/Friday 10 out of 10 travelers arriving from India tested positive on Day 1. Given NZ requires a negative test result 72 hours before catching a flight something odd is going on over there.’

    Yep. Some of our friends are medical professionals from India who live locally. They reckon that Covid is rife in India.

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