Newspoll quarterly breakdowns: January to March

Big movement to Labor in the smaller states in the latest Newspoll breakdowns, but nothing of what might have been expected on gender.

My assertion in the previous post that we faced a dry spell on the polling front hadn’t reckoned on Newspoll’s quarterly breakdowns, published today in The Australian. These combine the four Newspoll surveys conducted this year into a super-poll featuring various breakdowns from credible sample sizes (though I’d note that nothing seems to have come of talk that new industry standards would require that such breakdowns be provided in each poll individually, in a new spirit of transparency following the great pollster failure of 2019).

The latest numbers offer some particularly interesting insights into where the Coalition has been losing support over recent months. Whereas things have been reasonably stable in New South Wales (now 50-50 after the Coalition led 51-49 in the last quarter of 2020) and Victoria (where Labor’s lead narrows from 55-45 to 53-47), there have been six-point shifts in Labor’s favour in Western Australia (where the Coalition’s 53-47 lead last time has been reversed) and South Australia (51-49 to the Coalition last time, 55-45 to Labor this time). Labor has also closed the gap in Queensland from 57-43 to 53-47.

It should be noted here that the small state sample sizes are relatively modest, at 628 for WA and 517 for SA, implying error margins of around 4%, compared with around 2.5% for the larger states. I also observed, back in the days when there was enough state-level data for such things to be observable, that state election blowouts had a way of feeding into federal polling over the short term, which may be a factor in the poll crediting Labor with a better result than it has managed at a federal election in WA since 1983.

The gender breakdowns notably fail to play to the script: Labor is credited with 51-49 leads among both men and women, which represents a four-point movement to Labor among men and no change among women. There is also nothing remarkable to note in Scott Morrison’s personal ratings, with deteriorations of 7% in his net rating among men and 8% among women.

Further results suggest the government has lost support more among the young (Labor’s lead is out from 61-39 to 64-36 among those aged 18 to 34, while the Coalition holds a steady 62-38 lead among those 65 and over), middle income earners (a three-point movement to Labor in the $50,000 to $100,000 cohort and four-point movement in $100,000 to $150,000, compared with no change for $50,000 and below and a two-point increase for the Coalition among those on $150,000 and over), non-English speakers (a four-point decline compared with one point for English speakers) and those with trade qualifications (a four-point movement compared with none among the university educated and one point among those without qualifications).

You can find the full results, at least on voting intention, in the poll data feature on BludgerTrack, where you can navigate your way through tabs for each of the breakdowns Newspoll provides for a full display of the results throughout the current term. Restoring a permanent link to all this through my sidebar is part of the ever-lengthening list of things I need to get around to.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,852 comments on “Newspoll quarterly breakdowns: January to March”

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  1. ItzaDream
    “Turnbull is loathed by the Conservatives as a traitor useless to their cause.”

    He’s loathed by many Progressives for much the same reason. Fizzer.

  2. Danama Papers @ #124 Tuesday, April 6th, 2021 – 11:26 am

    If I were Albo’s COS, I’d make sure he spends as much time as possible in WA, especially being seen in the company of Mark McGowan in what will become marginal seats. Show Sandgroper’s Albo is just as safe a pair hands as McGowan.

    What say other bludgers?

    Sure, but he’d want to give a bit of love to Victoria where he was virtually unseen during the lockdown and attacks from the Libs.

  3. Apologies for yet more railing against Australia’s demonstrably ill-considered and patently inadequate vaccine selection, procurement and manufacturing strategies – and our current doubling down on these inexplicably unimaginative, unresilient (from the outset) approaches.

    Least-efficacious for 80% of Australians isn’t good enough. We can still change course. We should.

    Possibly reflective of our imprudent bet, yesterday The New York Times published a first-rate article on the continuing evolution of mRNA COVID vaccines. The article is highly recommended. The NVD-HXP-S vaccine is something to keep an eye on.

    A new vaccine for Covid-19 that is entering clinical trials in Brazil, Mexico, Thailand and Vietnam could change how the world fights the pandemic. The vaccine, called NVD-HXP-S, is the first in clinical trials to use a new molecular design that is widely expected to create more potent antibodies than the current generation of vaccines. And the new vaccine could be far easier to make.

    Existing vaccines from companies like Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson must be produced in specialized factories using hard-to-acquire ingredients. In contrast, the new vaccine can be mass-produced in chicken eggs — the same eggs that produce billions of influenza vaccines every year in factories around the world.

    If NVD-HXP-S proves safe and effective, flu vaccine manufacturers could potentially produce well over a billion doses of it a year. Low- and middle-income countries currently struggling to obtain vaccines from wealthier countries may be able to make NVD-HXP-S for themselves or acquire it at low cost from neighbours.

    “That’s staggering — it would be a game-changer,” said Andrea Taylor, assistant director of the Duke Global Health Innovation Center.

    First, however, clinical trials must establish that NVD-HXP-S actually works in people. The first phase of clinical trials will conclude in July, and the final phase will take several months more. But experiments with vaccinated animals have raised hopes for the vaccine’s prospects.
    …
    The team filed a patent for its modified spike [in 2015], but the world took little notice of the invention. MERS, although deadly, is not very contagious and proved to be a relatively minor threat; fewer than 1,000 people have died of MERS since it first emerged in humans.

    But in late 2019 a new coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, emerged and began ravaging the world. Dr. McLellan and his colleagues swung into action, designing a 2P spike unique to SARS-CoV-2. In a matter of days, Moderna used that information to design a vaccine for Covid-19; it contained a genetic molecule called RNA with the instructions for making the 2P spike.

    Other companies soon followed suit, adopting 2P spikes for their own vaccine designs and starting clinical trials. All three of the vaccines that have been authorized so far in the United States — from Johnson & Johnson, Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech — use the 2P spike.

    Other vaccine makers are using it as well. Novavax has had strong results with the 2P spike in clinical trials and is expected to apply to the Food and Drug Administration for emergency use authorization in the next few weeks. Sanofi is also testing a 2P spike vaccine and expects to finish clinical trials later this year.

    Dr. McLellan’s ability to find lifesaving clues in the structure of proteins has earned him deep admiration in the vaccine world. “This guy is a genius,” said Harry Kleanthous, a senior program officer at the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. “He should be proud of this huge thing he’s done for humanity.”

    But once Dr. McLellan and his colleagues handed off the 2P spike to vaccine makers, he turned back to the protein for a closer look. If swapping just two prolines improved a vaccine, surely additional tweaks could improve it even more.

    “It made sense to try to have a better vaccine,” said Dr. McLellan, who is now an associate professor at the University of Texas at Austin.

    In March, he joined forces with two fellow University of Texas biologists, Ilya Finkelstein and Jennifer Maynard. Their three labs created 100 new spikes, each with an altered building block. With funding from the Gates Foundation, they tested each one and then combined the promising changes in new spikes. Eventually, they created a single protein that met their aspirations.

    The winner contained the two prolines in the 2P spike, plus four additional prolines found elsewhere in the protein. Dr. McLellan called the new spike HexaPro, in honor of its total of six prolines.

    The structure of HexaPro was even more stable than 2P, the team found. It was also resilient, better able to withstand heat and damaging chemicals. Dr. McLellan hoped that its rugged design would make it potent in a vaccine.

    Dr. McLellan also hoped that HexaPro-based vaccines would reach more of the world — especially low- and middle-income countries, which so far have received only a fraction of the total distribution of first-wave vaccines.

    “The share of the vaccines they’ve received so far is terrible,” Dr. McLellan said.

    To that end, the University of Texas set up a licensing arrangement for HexaPro that allows companies and labs in 80 low- and middle-income countries to use the protein in their vaccines without paying royalties.

    Meanwhile, Dr. Innes and his colleagues at PATH were looking for a way to increase the production of Covid-19 vaccines. They wanted a vaccine that less wealthy nations could make on their own.
    …
    The first wave of authorized Covid-19 vaccines require specialized, costly ingredients to make. Moderna’s RNA-based vaccine, for instance, needs genetic building blocks called nucleotides, as well as a custom-made fatty acid to build a bubble around them. Those ingredients must be assembled into vaccines in purpose-built factories.

    The way influenza vaccines are made is a study in contrast. Many countries have huge factories for making cheap flu shots, with influenza viruses injected into chicken eggs. The eggs produce an abundance of new copies of the viruses. Factory workers then extract the viruses, weaken or kill them and then put them into vaccines.

    The PATH team wondered if scientists could make a Covid-19 vaccine that could be grown cheaply in chicken eggs. That way, the same factories that make flu shots could make Covid-19 shots as well.

    In New York, a team of scientists at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai knew how to make just such a vaccine, using a bird virus called Newcastle disease virus that is harmless in humans.

    For years, scientists had been experimenting with Newcastle disease virus to create vaccines for a range of diseases. To develop an Ebola vaccine, for example, researchers added an Ebola gene to the Newcastle disease virus’s own set of genes.

    The scientists then inserted the engineered virus into chicken eggs. Because it is a bird virus, it multiplied quickly in the eggs. The researchers ended up with Newcastle disease viruses coated with Ebola proteins.

    At Mount Sinai, the researchers set out to do the same thing, using coronavirus spike proteins instead of Ebola proteins. When they learned about Dr. McLellan’s new HexaPro version, they added that to the Newcastle disease viruses. The viruses bristled with spike proteins, many of which had the desired prefusion shape. In a nod to both the Newcastle disease virus and the HexaPro spike, they called it NDV-HXP-S.

    PATH arranged for thousands of doses of NDV-HXP-S to be produced in a Vietnamese factory that normally makes influenza vaccines in chicken eggs. In October, the factory sent the vaccines to New York to be tested. The Mount Sinai researchers found that NDV-HXP-S conferred powerful protection in mice and hamsters.

    “I can honestly say I can protect every hamster, every mouse in the world against SARS-CoV-2,” Dr. Peter Palese, the leader of the research, said. “But the jury’s still out about what it does in humans.”

    The potency of the vaccine brought an extra benefit: The researchers needed fewer viruses for an effective dose. A single egg may yield five to 10 doses of NDV-HXP-S, compared to one or two doses of influenza vaccines.

    “We are very excited about this, because we think it’s a way of making a cheap vaccine,” Dr. Palese said.

    PATH then connected the Mount Sinai team with influenza vaccine makers. On March 15, Vietnam’s Institute of Vaccines and Medical Biologicals announced the start of a clinical trial of NDV-HXP-S. A week later, Thailand’s Government Pharmaceutical Organization followed suit. On March 26, Brazil’s Butantan Institute said it would ask for authorization to begin its own clinical trials of NDV-HXP-S.

    Meanwhile, the Mount Sinai team has also licensed the vaccine to the Mexican vaccine maker Avi-Mex as an intranasal spray. The company will start clinical trials to see if the vaccine is even more potent in that form.
    …
    … the strategy will be important for long-term vaccine production — not just for Covid-19 but for other pandemics that may come in the future. “It sounds super promising,” she said.

    In the meantime, Dr. McLellan has returned to the molecular drawing board to try to make a third version of their spike that is even better than HexaPro.
    …

    Researchers Are Hatching a Low-Cost Coronavirus Vaccine, The New York Times, 5 April 2021, https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/05/health/hexapro-mclellan-vaccine.html

  4. Ven @ #145 Tuesday, April 6th, 2021 – 11:53 am

    zoomster@11:25am
    You must have noticed that Liberals do not mention Menzies that much and they refuse to mention Malcolm Fraser at all. It is as if Liberal party has started with the election of Howard as PM.

    Scott Morrison aped Menzies’, ‘The Forgotten People’ speech in the first speech he gave as PM, ‘The Quiet Australians’.

  5. ‘Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Tuesday, April 6, 2021 at 11:50 am

    boerwar @ #138 Tuesday, April 6th, 2021 – 9:46 am

    ‘Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Tuesday, April 6, 2021 at 11:40 am

    Ven @ #129 Tuesday, April 6th, 2021 – 9:34 am

    Lizzie@10:40 am
    When did we work together?
    Well, the best example is working together in late 80s and early 90s to reduce CFCs gases, which were causing Ozone hole on southern pole. A big hole is now reduced significantly. I am not sure whether it is fully gone.
    Or take the Pandemic example. World is working together to solve it. It became a huge issue, US government did not cooperate with the world for a whole year.

    That was a relatively easy one that basically no impact on peoples daily lives.’

    Well, as it turns out, no.

    We were using a CFC (methyl bromide) to significantly boost production in our strawberry farm. The rules applied to Australia straight away but not to other countries.

    The direct result is that for several years we had to compete against cheap strawberry imports from countries that were allowed to keep using CFCs to boost their strawberry production.

    WOW!!!

    You’re still looking for the magic switch I see.’

    You raised CFC control. You claimed that no-one was personally affected by the CFCs ban. I gave you a personal example to show that that was not so. Your reference to a ‘magic switch’ is, in the circumstances, faintly ridiculous.

    But while we are on the topic of ‘magic switches’, what is your take on the current Chinese invasion of the Philippines EEZ by a fleet of 200 vessels with orders to shoot? AOK? Not to be discussed in polite company? Flick the ‘magic switch’ and talk about something else? What?

  6. North Korea’s sports ministry said on Tuesday that it will not participate in the Tokyo Olympics this year to protect its athletes amid the coronavirus pandemic.

    The decision was made at a meeting of North Korea’s Olympic committee, including its sports minister Kim Il guk, on 25 March the ministry said on its website, called Joson Sports. “The committee decided not to join the 32nd Olympics Games to protect athletes from the global health crisis caused by the coronavirus,” it said.

  8. Ven:

    Tuesday, April 6, 2021 at 11:43 am

    [‘Mavis@10:48am
    Have you seen Morrison favourability where it 65% amongst men and 49% amongst women?’]

    No, I haven’t seen this. Do you have a link?

  9. boerwar
    Given how many are testing positive on arrival I wonder how many people are catching it from them on the plane ? They are on non direct flights so it would involve risk of spread to a number of other countries.

  11. DP@11:26 am
    Albo was a competent and scandal free Minister .
    Before one goes to any job interview people advice that person that he/she must sell themselves ( i.e. sell their skills and personality).
    IMO, Albo doesn’t do that.

  15. DP
    To answer your question, if and its a big if but if there was a global minimum wage i would set the amount in U.S dollars then convert it to the local currency. The odds of it happening are small and basing it on currencies would be very difficult to manage.

  16. ‘poroti says:
    Tuesday, April 6, 2021 at 12:04 pm

    boerwar
    Given how many are testing positive on arrival I wonder how many people are catching it from them on the plane ? They are on non direct flights so it would involve risk of spread to a number of other countries.’

    I don’t know. Things are harder to work out now than when there was little or no international travel and few, if any, community transmissions in Australia. I can’t help but feel our risk exposures are increasing at quite a rapid rate. We get our second AZ in 12 weeks. What are the recommended behaviours at that stage?

  17. Simon Katich @ #135 Tuesday, April 6th, 2021 – 11:44 am

    I am so f’ing fed up with the ABC local radio presenter continually getting Greg Sheridan on to lie, distort and BS. Today he was overly critical of the ALP during RUdd/Gillard for failing in defense spending, causing thousands of job losses stating the old and debunked/discredited BS that their spending on defense was the lowest since the 1930’s. Not even mentioning the spending has barely increased over the 7 years (I think it annualises at 4% increase) even though the threats in the region have greatly increased.

    He did criticise the LNP for the number of Defence ministers they have had but only in the context that electing an ALP government next year would ruin it all as he expects Dutton will be a great Defence minister and needs a goodly long time in the job.

    Yes yes we’re not spending enough billions on war toys for the warmongers who destroy the lives of their ADF personnel and their families.

    Sheridan is a deranged pathetic shill.

  18. Dumping turnbull Gladys showed again she is controlled by Newsltd , Morrison and his cronies, may have help Labor more than they could ask for

  19. It is easy and cheap to get the mandatory PCR negative or Vaccine certificate on the internet (Google this..)

    So do all the sub-continent people coming to Aus/NZ have to present a negative certificate before they board the plane? Yes they do.

    Is every certificate legit? Probably not.

    If I was a permanent residency or citizenship holder in India and had got C19, then convalescing Down Under would be worth a few Crore…

  21. [‘The Berejiklian government has dumped former prime minister Malcolm Turnbull from his role as head of an advisory body on climate change, saying the focus of the position should not be based on personality.

    The move, announced on Tuesday morning, follows days of attacks on his appointment from what Mr Turnbull called “the right-wing media ecosystem”. “It’s just thuggery,” he told the Herald.’]

    It goes without saying that Morrison’s mitts are all over this. But given Turnbull’s gutless dealings with the trogs in his party re. climate change, he can’t really complain.

    https://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/thuggery-turnbull-blames-media-beat-up-for-dumping-from-climate-role-20210406-p57gs9.html

  23. I am no fan of Monarchy or Prince Charles. However on this issue a man with historic credibility speaks up for science and expertise

    @GerardZkutney tweets

    Prince Charles: “It is baffling, I must say, that in our modern world we have such blind trust in science and technology that we all accept what science tells us about everything—until, that is, it comes to climate science.”

    #ClimateCrisis #climatechange

  24. Boerwar has not been the same since bluey his imaginary octopus was eaten at a Manuka Chinese restaraunt.

    V. Sad

  26. Boer claimed ignorance of my position re ‘what to do’ about the ‘Chinese fishing fleet’ in the South China Sea.

    Which seems odd, since my post at 6.18pm last night on the previous thread – which I set out below – was responded to by the Boer at 8.20pm …

    ______

    “ As I commented the other day boorish Boer, if the US’s China containment policy is ever going to be anything more than piss and wind, NOW is the time for the 7th Fleet to confiscate or sink that Chinese ‘fishing fleet’ menacing the Philippines.

    I’ll not hold my breath though. Piss and wind, signifying … nothing … Xi will just ratchet up the Taiwan-HK-etc prods until he does get a serious response. Again, I’ll not hold my breath.

    Now that Morrison has volunteered us for front line service, completely out of the blue and against our national interest and 50 years hard diplomatic work, AND America has drawn a metaphorical line in the sand over the Chi-coms treatment of us, I expect a good almighty Xi prod in our general direction … and I’ll not hold my breath for America to actually DO anything other than vent even more piss and wind. …

    All this Sabre rattling is just fucking hopeless. As Tuco said in The Good, the Bad, the Ugly ‘if you are going to shoot, shoot …’ I’ll not hold my breath.”

    So, there you go.

    My position: let Biden unleash the 7th fleet if he’s serious about ‘China Containment’.

    If he’s not, then that’s a pretty strong signal that Australia has royally fucked itself by signing up for front line service on a policy that even the Americans aren’t serious about. It’s a pretty good indication that some future American Administration will cut and run from its alliance obligations to Australia if they become inconvenient to Uncle Sam.

  27. dave@11:47am
    Increase corporate tax (OMG, OMG OMG)
    It is so socialist in terms of current economic thinking i.e. to increase corporate tax in US .
    There must be so much wringing of hands in LNP circles because Tellen, who was ex-Chair of Federal reserve is going to ask the world especially US allies to do the same

  29. Baffled is a good word for Charles; he looks perpetually so. Anyway, baffle not Charles. The denial of the science of climate change is driven on one hand by the self serving hip pocket brigade, something Charles might know something about, and on the other, by the lunatic pre-Copernicans like that fruit cake who was saying the missing plane flew too high above the clouds and got too close to god, or something.

  33. A-E
    Thanks for that.
    I rather like the general drift of your post.
    The tricky question that arises is this.
    Is there some point at which the US feels that it has no option but to start the shooting?
    Will China keep pressing until we get there?
    Not Czechoslovakia but Poland, yes?
    Not inside the 9 Dash Line but Taiwan, yes?

  37. OC,

    thanks for your comments on the independent health service purchaser-provider architecture.

    I’m not sold. Competition in these types of markets is highly over-rated.

    My wife was working at Southampton University Hospital as the first wave of this type of reform was being rolled out, managing an allied health department. So I’ve seen some of how this plays out up close.

    In addition to their regular work, they had to effectively reapply for their own positions, vs two private providers of the same services (with no track record). The private providers had super-glossy proposals and undercut the hospital (they knew the hospital trust’s cost profile). They won out, and then hired many of the existing hospital staff at lower rates of pay with worse conditions, and worse levels of service to patients.

    Two big issues stand out for me (among the many):

    – How is an interdisciplinary case management team supposed to work when the different services are provided by different organisations, within the one hospital?

    – Standards of care come down to what’s written in a contract, not what best for the patient – how is this managed? What oversight is there?

    It is very, very expensive to write encompassing contracts, and impossible to write a complete contract for all contingencies. Some economist won a prize for that recently. Their conclusion was to keep it all in one firm.

    So yes, I’m not sold at all.

  38. China Tests Biden With South China Sea Tactic That Misled Obama

    Based on the official view from Beijing, the Philippines has no reason to worry about Chinese fishing boats sitting along a disputed reef in the South China Sea.

    The vessels — initially numbering in the hundreds — were simply “taking shelter from the wind” and the Philippines should view the situation in a “rational light,” Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said on March 22 when the news first broke.

    Two weeks later, more than 40 boats are still at Whitsun Reef and the statements are getting more and more terse.

    “If your goal is to take over a sea space and atoll without fighting for it, this is a brilliant if dishonest tactic,” said Carl Schuster, a former operations director at U.S. Pacific Command’s Joint Intelligence Center. “Only professional seamen know it’s a lie — no one ‘shelters’ their ships in a storm area weeks ahead of a storm.

    All in all, it’s beginning to look more and more like Beijing is probing whether President Joe Biden will take any action after pledging to work with allies in the region to deter Chinese assertiveness.

    “It is a test to see what the administration is willing to do,” said Schuster, who is now an adjunct faculty member of Hawaii Pacific University’s diplomacy and military science program. “How the U.S. reacts will determine the next test.

    One big problem is how to calibrate the response. China’s use of commercial fishing boats amounts to a “gray zone” tactic that allows Beijing to deny anything is amiss. Sending an aircraft carrier or other warships near the reef risks appearing like an overreaction that would make the U.S. look like the aggressor.

    On the other hand, doing nothing could look weak.

    The Biden administration also reaffirmed that the U.S.-Philippine defense treaty covers any attacks in the South China Sea, a clarification made under President Donald Trump that came after decades of official ambiguity.

    Philippine leader Rodrigo Duterte, who has undermined the alliance while hailing closer ties with Beijing.

    “The Americans are wary of wading into this and not knowing if they’ll end up being blamed for escalating the situation, which is a real possibility with the capricious leadership in Manila,” he said.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-05/china-tests-biden-with-south-china-sea-tactic-that-misled-obama?srnd=premium-asia

  40. I think China is angling for a future American administration to admit that its ‘China containment’ policy and associated ‘America first’ trade wars are failures and to simply give up and return to an isolationist stance reminiscent of the Republican Party of the 1930s before it actually makes a move directly against Taiwan.

    Until then, it’s a case of prod prod prod on a range of issues – which now includes Australia, thanks to our dickhead-in-chief – until America gives up.

    In the meantime, for every ‘freedom of navigation’ exercise, China will reclaim some reef and turn it into another militarised island. Every time Australia sticks it’s head up, or is mentioned in dispatches, we will get a trade whack (to the fulmination but nothing else from ‘the Quad’). Every time someone bleats about democracy Hong Kong will get another whack. When someone talks human rights, the Quigars or Tibetians will get the special sauce.

    No one seems to consider that having policies that have better than a snowflake’s chance in hell of being actually effective is as important, in fact more important, as ‘having positions’. Boer: – this is exactly the sort of self indulgent behaviour that you (and moi for that matter) rail against The Greens about.

  41. We were using a CFC (methyl bromide) to significantly boost production in our strawberry farm. The rules applied to Australia straight away but not to other countries.

    The direct result is that for several years we had to compete against cheap strawberry imports from countries that were allowed to keep using CFCs to boost their strawberry production.

    CFC stands for ChloroFluoroHydrocarbon(s), commonly used as refrigerant gases, in refrigerators and air conditioners. Monsanto used to make them in a plant in Rozelle, next to the Iron Cove bridge. Methyl bromide is not a CFC.

  42. I am sure they will do it, but I am not sure how good the look of having a bunch of women sitting behind the PM in Question Time is going to be. Might look a little subservient.

  44. Ven:

    Tuesday, April 6, 2021 at 12:30 pm

    [‘Mavis@22:04 pm
    Link is WBs article.’]

    [‘This 16% gender gap on prime ministerial approval is twice as big as the Newspoll record from 1996 to the present…’]

    Thanks. I guess that Morrison thinks this is only a temporary setback as women, in his ’50s mindset, will ultimately come to their senses, using Jen as his yardstick.

  46. The Liberals would be a bit nervous about their support among women because they only usually win elections if they carry the women vote.

  47. Lloyd Austin III, is no Robert Gates.

    China was previously given the benefit of the doubt. That’s not going to happen again.

    And for anyone who brings up the , now, tired old canard of, ‘but China makes our stuff!’, then let me say that there are plenty of other countries who are just itching to take over the contracts for ‘making our stuff’, just as efficiently and for as low a cost as China. India and Vietnam are 2 who come quickly to mind. Not to mention the garment industry of Bangladesh. And that’s not even considering plenty of countries in Africa.

    China will be spanked. They’ll have earned it. And Australia’s Trade Balance will remain relatively unaffected. Eg Barley and Wine.

  48. This advert keeps following me around on websites I visit, including PB. I can’t think what I have done to deserve it!

  49. Mavis
    It might be time to retire the “50s mindset” because was Morrison even alive in the 50s.

    Many in today’s Liberal party are still fighting the early 1990s.

  50. Mexicanbeemer @ #194 Tuesday, April 6th, 2021 – 1:15 pm

    The Liberals would be a bit nervous about their support among women because they only usually win elections if they carry the women vote.

    And it was tertiary-educated women that were the bedrock of the Republican Party vote as well but who deserted them during Trump, to the point that the Republicans are now circulating emails about how they must appeal to ‘Working Class Males’. 🙂

    But what really swung it for Biden was the working class women who also deserted Trump from 2016.

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