Essential Research: Morrison approval and gender issues

A new poll finds an unprecedented gender gap opening up on prime ministerial approval.

Essential Research has seized the day in its latest fortnightly survey with new personal ratings for Scott Morrison, in addition to its normal montly reading (together with Anthony Albanese’s and the preferred prime minister rating) which came in the last poll. The results are broadly similar to Newspoll’s in finding Morrison down five on approval to 57% and up six on disapproval to 35%.

However, the real kicker is the accompanying gender breakdowns, which have Morrison steady at 65% approval and up two on disapproval to 30% among men, but down ten on approval to 49% and up ten on disapproval to 40% among women. This 16% gender gap on prime ministerial approval is twice as big as the Newspoll record from 1996 to the present, which came when Tony Abbott scored 42% among men and 34% among women in January-March 2014 (the biggest the other way was when Julia Gillard scored 38% among women and 31% among men in April-June 2011).

Further questions from the survey continue on this theme: presented with five propositions as to why there are fewer women than men in parliament, the most popular was that “political parties do not do enough to ensure gender equality in their organisations”, with which 63% agreed. Forty-eight per cent indicated support for gender quotas, with 36% opposed. Variations by party support were in the directions you would expect, but were not of great magnitude.

On other fronts, the poll finds respondents taking a mostly positive view of the causalisation of the workforce: while they were most likely to believe it was good for employers, at 65% versus 11% for bad, 46% felt it had been good for the economy, 42% for indivdual workers and 41% for the nation, compared with respective bad ratings of 19%, 29% and 26%. However, 84% expressed support for the right of workers to convert from casual to permanent employment after six months, with only 10% opposed, and 80% felt gig-based workers with regular hours should be recognised with permanent employment, with only 8% opposed.

For good measure, the poll finds 48% supportive for a republic and 28% opposed, although the question emphasises “a republic with an Australian head of state”, which tends to encourage a positive result. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1100.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,132 comments on “Essential Research: Morrison approval and gender issues”

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  1. Katie Benner@ktbenner
    · 38m
    NEW: DOJ is investigating Congressman Matt Gaetz (R-FL) for trafficking, related to his conduct with a 17-yr-old girl. The investigation was opened under AG Bill Barr and briefed to senior Trump DOJ officials.@nytmike & me
    https://nytimes.com/2021/03/30/us/politics/matt-gaetz-sex-trafficking-investigation.html

    The question remains as to whether Barr sat on this in order not to harm Trump’s re-election efforts.

  2. The other thing is that getting the broader community “back to normal” requires passing a threshold proportion of vaccinated population. Going from, say, 10% to 15% faster community vaccinations (as opposed to frontline workers) is an irrelevant optimisation.

  3. The current overall limit on vaccination rates is manufacturing. Queensland could rush through their current stockpile and then they’d run out and they’d be back to waiting anyway.
    _____
    DisplayName
    Correct. It’s all about establishing a reliable supply chain that responds to supply and demand.

  4. From this morning’s Crickey Worm:

    “Both The Courier-Mail ($) and The Australian ($) report concerns of the Queensland government stockpiling vaccines — data leaked shows the state is sitting on around 40% of its Pfizer and AstraZeneca doses — while Guardian Australia reports the Queensland doctors’ union is calling for a full investigation into how two likely-unvaccinated workers at the Princess Alexandra contracted the virus.

    In response to criticisms, Health Minister Yvette D’Ath said the government has to wait for consistency of supply and had held back Pfizer vaccine for second doses, although federal officials claim this is not necessary as more doses are scheduled to arrive“

  5. In response to criticisms, Health Minister Yvette D’Ath said the government has to wait for consistency of supply and had held back Pfizer vaccine for second doses, although federal officials claim this is not necessary as more doses are scheduled to arrive“
    -____________

    “Scheduled” or “announced”?

  6. BK @ #62 Wednesday, March 31st, 2021 – 6:47 am

    In response to criticisms, Health Minister Yvette D’Ath said the government has to wait for consistency of supply and had held back Pfizer vaccine for second doses, although federal officials claim this is not necessary as more doses are scheduled to arrive“
    -____________

    “Scheduled” or “announced”?

    And from the same batch?

  7. Everyone Right to Go?

    Queensland has recorded three new COVID-19 cases overnight, with two locally acquired. Both linked to known clusters.

    Annastacia and Dr Young encouraged by 33k tests.

  8. ABC tickertape right this very minute says “QUEENSLAND COVID 19 OUTBREAK GROWS BY 8 WITH CASES IN BUNDABERG, TOOWOOMBA”

    This statement has no basis in reality.

  9. Top line of tickertape now says:
    “STATE RECORDS 3 NEW CASES, 2 LOCAL, 1 IN QUARANTINE”.

    Second line still says:
    “QUEENSLAND COVID 19 OUTBREAK GROWS BY 8 WITH CASES IN BUNDABERG, TOOWOOMBA”

    At least one of those things is clearly out of date or untrue.

  10. boerwarsays:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 7:56 am

    “The Morrison Government has zero policy interest, zero care and zero empathy when it comes to Aboriginal deaths in custody. ”

    Your framing of the LNP attitude is completely inaccurate. The fact is that this is an issue that is almost entirely a State/Territory issue.

  11. laughtong @ #50 Wednesday, March 31st, 2021 – 9:26 am

    We are both in Group 1b for Covid Vax.
    I just checked and our GP is in the list of providers – but no appointments available.
    Probably only got allocated 50 doses and used that very quickly.

    At least progress in that they are in the list now, which they were not last time I checked.

    Similarly with my GP, where I’ve been on the waiting list since day 1, and it’s a big practice listed as a vaccine clinic, but no appointments.

    But going through the Fed Vaccine Clinic website, with thanks to PBers who advised this was the way to go, I’ve just booked in (online via HotDoc) to a ‘Respiratory Clinic’ / Spring Street GP in Sydney’s Bondi Junction for April 28. Not too bad in the scheme of things.

  12. I hope people aren’t imagining that they’re protected after one injection, remembering that even after the full course, protection isn’t 100%. 13 weeks = 3 months. Listening to some comments, you might believe that once everyone has had one, the borders can be flung open and all will snap back to pre-Covid.

    Dr Jeanette Young

    She’s only had the first dose, so it usually takes a week after the first dose before you get a significant degree of immunity. Then you need to have a second dose of the Pfizer vaccine three weeks later and it takes another week after that.

    If it’s the AstraZeneca, you need to get that second dose 12 weeks after the first dose and it takes another week after that.

    So she hadn’t had a chance yet to have full immunity.

  13. Buce

    Your framing of the LNP attitude is completely inaccurate. The fact is that this is an issue that is almost entirely a State/Territory issue.

    Firstly, the federal government intervenes whenever it feels like it.

    Secondly, that’s the point. The Federal government *could* choose for it to be their issue. That it’s considered a State/Territory issue is by choice, because they just don’t care.

    Take education. A state issue. With the excecption of private education which the Federal government chose to make their issue. Why? Because they felt private education was too important to leave to the whims of the states.

  14. Senator Amanda Stoker is always photographed with a crazed look in her eyes, like she is on a mission from God.

    She is no friend of your avaerage Australian woman with her
    . anti abortion
    . anti gay marriage
    . refusal to call out misogyny
    . refusal to believe in rape on university campus

    Like many young women of her background feminism is a dirty word. Stoker fails to realise that her grandmother worked for 2/3 male wage and lost permanent employment upon marriage. Grandmother wouldn’t have had access to affordable child care

  15. Victoriasays:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 8:35 am

    “I’m confused. Who is in charge of administering the vaccine? The feds or the states?”

    It is split – Federal are doing a bit but State Health Systems are doing most.

    The Queensland Health Minister and her advisers should resign for the failure of their management of their vaccination program and needless exposure of unvaccinated staff to the virus. It’s not like they haven’t had time to plan for it.

  16. Amanda Stoker claims that she, as a Barrister, has done heaps of pro bono work for child abuse victims and sexual assault survivors. Though I’m thinking she wouldn’t have been so keen to represent a sexual assault survivor who became pregnant by her abuser and wanted to have the child aborted.

  17. Victoria says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 8:42 am

    Spending $3-$5,000 on getting Financial Advice from an Adviser who specialising in Aged Care Advice (like the author of the article) is well worth the investment in the long run. And, if it is comprehensive advice it can help avoid other potential looming pitfalls with Estates etc.

    Good luck.

  18. Qld Premier and Deputy Premier getting stuck into the Feds re uncertainty of vaccine supply. I think Morrison and his minions will be sorry they tried to fit the state’s up for their stuffups.

  19. Steve777says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 9:06 am

    “I expect that there would be stockpiles of vaccines. They wouldn’t be jabbed into someone’s arm the minute they roll off the delivery van.”

    Why not? Get it out there? The more the better. Something is better than nothing – as shown by the Queensland Doctor and Nurse infected.

  20. Umm Buce, Essential Poll says otherwise. Australians voted for this culture, so they invited it.

    Meanwhile the same dickheads who asked for WHO investigations – now does not believe the report by WHO:
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/australia-us-express-shared-concerns-about-who-coronavirus-origins-report-20210331-p57ffv.html

    I wonder what else they going to blame China on…. Will the west make a claim that China has Nuclear weapons ready to launch at America?

  21. Bucephalus @ #40 Wednesday, March 31st, 2021 – 9:31 am

    Victoriasays:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 8:35 am

    “I’m confused. Who is in charge of administering the vaccine? The feds or the states?”

    It is split – Federal are doing a bit but State Health Systems are doing most.

    The Queensland Health Minister and her advisers should resign for the failure of their management of their vaccination program and needless exposure of unvaccinated staff to the virus. It’s not like they haven’t had time to plan for it.

    How about you check the facts before slagging off at a government just because it’s Labor

  22. Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 9:16 am

    “Well considering the first and second jabs are meant to be from the same batch”

    Really? First I’ve heard of that. All I have seen is it is best to use the same type but that hasn’t excluded using mixed types.

  23. Ven says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 9:18 am
    Scott@7:30pm
    And yet NSW ALP no where close to taking advantage of the situation

    ——————————–

    Thats the problem also at the federal level, Labor still cannot get it into their heads that the public do not care about playing nice in politics

    The public wants to see bellowing and politicians playing the hard game

  24. Kerist, imagine Amanda Stoker as your duty solicitor?
    I reckon she would tell the abused woman to return to the family home to reconcile with abuser.
    She is against euthanasia.
    Stoker reckons that unions caused casualisation of the workforce, although she was a sessional academic at CQU – who have taken casualisation to dizzying heights

    She said that Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk “knows she is absolutely choking our economy by having these borders shut – she is the knee on the throat of businesses of Queensland, stopping them from breathing”.[43] Indigenous Labor Senator Malarndirri McCarthy labelled the comments as “abhorrent and insensitive” for apparently invoking a reference to the killing of George Floyd

    I think she has a disabled child who she has been very vocal about getting support for

  25. Scott says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 10:42 am
    Ven says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 9:18 am
    Scott@7:30pm
    And yet NSW ALP no where close to taking advantage of the situation
    ——————————–

    Murdoch has been busy buying up media, he just spent $800 million for two newspapers.

  26. Bucephalus @ #78 Wednesday, March 31st, 2021 – 10:31 am

    Victoriasays:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 8:35 am

    “I’m confused. Who is in charge of administering the vaccine? The feds or the states?”

    The Feds are responsible for selecting, purchasing and supplying. The States are responsible for setting up the injection sites and actually injecting:

    The Vaccination Policy outlines that the Australian Government will have responsibility for, but not limited to:

    – selecting and purchasing safe and effective vaccines approved by the TGA
    – arranging the safe transportation of vaccine doses from suppliers to the storage and administration sites
    – prioritising at-risk population groups for immunisation, as advised by ATAGI
    – specifying the types of locations vaccination should take place.

    State and territory governments will each be responsible for developing their COVID-19 vaccination implementation plans, in line with the national COVID-19 Vaccination Policy and Australian Government expectations.

    But of course, you can’t inject a vaccine that hasn’t been supplied.

    Injecting “announcements” instead is contraindicated.

  27. The only advantage Morrison and his cronies have when they are cornered and in trouble with scandals , broken promises ,outright corruption and lies

    Morrison and his cronies defence is bellowing and it works

  28. DisplayName says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 9:16 am

    “If we had enough vaccine to vaccinate everyone”

    Do you expect +50 million doses to be acquired and available in one hit? What other country has done that? How long do you want to wait before starting vaccinations?

    “Holding on to provides future flexiblity.”

    Flexibility to do what? Do you expect manufacturing to stop? Why?

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