Essential Research: Morrison approval and gender issues

A new poll finds an unprecedented gender gap opening up on prime ministerial approval.

Essential Research has seized the day in its latest fortnightly survey with new personal ratings for Scott Morrison, in addition to its normal montly reading (together with Anthony Albanese’s and the preferred prime minister rating) which came in the last poll. The results are broadly similar to Newspoll’s in finding Morrison down five on approval to 57% and up six on disapproval to 35%.

However, the real kicker is the accompanying gender breakdowns, which have Morrison steady at 65% approval and up two on disapproval to 30% among men, but down ten on approval to 49% and up ten on disapproval to 40% among women. This 16% gender gap on prime ministerial approval is twice as big as the Newspoll record from 1996 to the present, which came when Tony Abbott scored 42% among men and 34% among women in January-March 2014 (the biggest the other way was when Julia Gillard scored 38% among women and 31% among men in April-June 2011).

Further questions from the survey continue on this theme: presented with five propositions as to why there are fewer women than men in parliament, the most popular was that “political parties do not do enough to ensure gender equality in their organisations”, with which 63% agreed. Forty-eight per cent indicated support for gender quotas, with 36% opposed. Variations by party support were in the directions you would expect, but were not of great magnitude.

On other fronts, the poll finds respondents taking a mostly positive view of the causalisation of the workforce: while they were most likely to believe it was good for employers, at 65% versus 11% for bad, 46% felt it had been good for the economy, 42% for indivdual workers and 41% for the nation, compared with respective bad ratings of 19%, 29% and 26%. However, 84% expressed support for the right of workers to convert from casual to permanent employment after six months, with only 10% opposed, and 80% felt gig-based workers with regular hours should be recognised with permanent employment, with only 8% opposed.

For good measure, the poll finds 48% supportive for a republic and 28% opposed, although the question emphasises “a republic with an Australian head of state”, which tends to encourage a positive result. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1100.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,132 comments on “Essential Research: Morrison approval and gender issues”

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  1. Ven says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 9:18 am
    “Scott@7:30pm
    And yet NSW ALP no where close to taking advantage of the situation”

    You haven’t seen the HSU polling?

  2. This is just wandering away from the specifics, to the general – how did supply issues here mean the infected nurse, and other medical staff, were required to work without having been vaccinated?

  3. Yabbasays:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 9:19 am

    “Would you trust the Federal Government to supply sufficient supplies for second doses, when they haven’t provided 20% of the promised supplies so far?”

    Do you think that manufacturing is going to stop? Exactly why would the Fedral Government stop acquiring supplies?

    Amazing how quick the Queensland Health Minister and Department were able to Pivot.

  4. Umm Buce:

    Scott says: Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 10:42 am Ven says: Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 9:18 am Scott@7:30pm And yet NSW ALP no where close to taking advantage of the situation ——————————– HSU is run by a males who refuses to help NSW Labor leader of sending the message.

  5. davidwh @ #35 Wednesday, March 31st, 2021 – 9:06 am

    Apparently the QLD government has been stockpiling vaccine so can’t blame Morrison for that

    Stockpiling or sensibly retaining sufficient supplies to give the second dose ? ESPECIALLY sensible if they are a) Pfizer vaccines and b) The government’s track record on announcements vs delivery.

  6. DisplayName says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 9:24 am
    “The current overall limit on vaccination rates is manufacturing. Queensland could rush through their current stockpile and then they’d run out and they’d be back to waiting anyway.”

    ???? So what?? They’d have tens of thousands more vaccinated and might have avoided the current outbreak.

  7. Just now I have seen the final of three episodes of the ABC’s “Exposed: The Ghost Train Fire”. It has to be the finest example of investigative journalism I have ever seen.

  8. Dr Stuart Edser
    @StuartEdser
    ·
    3m
    Apologies to all re my tweet yesterday abt access to the Covid19 vaccine. It’s super hard to find a vaccine & I asked if it was the same everywhere. Almost 900 likes & hundreds of replies later, I cannot keep up w/the response. Seems that most places r struggling with the demand.

  9. Dr Young slipping the boot into Mr 15%

    The issue is supply. We cannot as a nation rely on supply until we are able to get those doses from CSL* , and they are only just starting to come through.

    Once they really start coming through, that will assist enormously. That is the problem. It is supply. It is not any of the other issues, it is purely supply.

    We do have to make sure that if we give the first dose, that we can give the second dose. And although the Commonwealth has done their best to try and assure us that we will get those second doses at the same time, we are getting information that supply is not progressing as we had hoped

  10. I think most in Oz would understand the issue with supply of the vaccine having “teething problems” . However Morrison and his merry crew wanted all the plaudits for “4 millions jabs by the end of March” which was a pipe dream when he shot his mouth off and still is.
    This is yet another telling example of the LNP vastly over-promising and even more ineptly, under-delivering….But who is surprised about Morrison on this score these days?
    Now, if this were Labor – in the same circumstances – we would not hear the end of it from right-wing shock jocks, all the Murdoch press and LNP whingers……
    The LNP just do hypocrisy so much better than Labor…..

  11. Vogon Poetsays:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 9:42 am

    “90% were already done.
    the remainder were according to CHO, mainly those who had been on leave, were sick etc.”

    And they weren’t able to plan to cope with that? FFS. There are people being paid many hundreds of thousands of dollars a year because they are supposedly good managers.

  12. I thought federal government contracted LNP corporate donors Aspen Health and Medical Services Australia to vaccinate residents and staff in Aged Care homes.

    As aged care residents aren’t vaccinated yet teh money appears to have been spent without any follow up to check up on delivery

    Some one on twitter said there are 2 million doses in a warehouse in Brunswick. CSL is in Brunswick

  13. Listening to the ABC radio on the way to work (late) in Adelaide this morning. After announcing a good news story (more jobs in Adelaide via missile manufacturing site) Morrison refused to take questions!

    I guess he had to talk to Jen or his empathy coach before he could respond to how Grace Tame shot down his female cabinet picks last night.

  14. DisplayName says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 10:26 am

    “Because they felt private education was too important to leave to the whims of the states.”

    Incorrect – but I couldn’t be bothered right now educating you on the history of why Federal Funding started for Private schools.

  15. Shellbell @ #102 Wednesday, March 31st, 2021 – 10:48 am

    This is just wandering away from the specifics, to the general – how did supply issues here mean the infected nurse, and other medical staff, were required to work without having been vaccinated?

    I would assume, Vaccination #1, as reported by Qld CHO, + correct PPE, hand washing and social distancing at work. When out and about, not so much.

  16. billie

    That sounds only too probable.

    money appears to have been spent without any follow up to check up on delivery

    Par for the course.

  17. Bucephalus @ #117 Wednesday, March 31st, 2021 – 11:00 am

    DisplayName says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 10:26 am

    “Because they felt private education was too important to leave to the whims of the states.”

    Incorrect – but I couldn’t be bothered right now educating you on the history of why Federal Funding started for Private schools.

    And thank god for that. Just another day long distraction and Gish Gallop from the only Liberal voter in WA. 😀

  18. billie says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 10:27 am

    “. refusal to believe in rape on university campus”

    Utter rubbish. Stop making shit up.

  19. Incidentally, public message for Perthites who quality, from a yesterday experience….I was able to book a jab appointment at 9.30 am and have it done at 2.15 pm……..The clinic, in the northern suburbs, is a Commonwealth Health outfit, and the personnel I spoke to said they had “thousand of shots available”…They also mentioned that while they were busy, they were surprised not more eligible people were coming forward. I responded by saying “Who knew you guys had the vaccine available?”
    I was also able to secure an appoint for the second jab a few weeks down the track.

  20. And Buce, before you witter on with numbers of people who voted Liberal in the WA state election, I was making a Little Britain reference.

  21. Mr Denmore
    @MrDenmore
    ·
    3m
    Aaron Patrick translated: “The best reporters can also be abrasive, ambitious individuals who don’t bear fools gladly. This is a good thing, except when that person is a woman and when our ideological friends are on the receiving end of their questions. Then it’s a crusade.”

  22. Okay, Gladys Berejiklian is standing up for a news conference in about 20 minutes. There is a lot of concern that this Byron Bay hens party may have caused the virus to spread to NSW locals.

  23. Zerlo says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 10:51 am

    “HSU is run by a males ”

    Lynne Russell and Lindy Twyford might disagree with your characterisation.

  24. Energy giant Santos is pushing ahead with development for a major new gas field off the coast of Darwin, in what it says is the biggest investment in Australia’s oil and gas industry in almost a decade.

    The company and its joint venture partners will pour $4.7 billion into the Barossa gas field project, with promises of hundreds of jobs and an economic boost for the Northern Territory in particular.

    Environmental groups say the project is likely to “significantly” increase Australia’s greenhouse gas emissions and threaten pristine waterways off the Top End.

    But the Commonwealth and Northern Territory governments say the project is a boost for the so-called gas-led recovery and a welcome sign of confidence coming back after last year’s dive in oil and gas prices.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-03-31/santos-commits-barossa-offshore-gas-field/100037864?utm_source=abc_news_web&utm_medium=content_shared&utm_content=twitter&utm_campaign=abc_news_web

  25. I guess he had to talk to Jen or his empathy coach before he could respond to how Grace Tame shot down his female cabinet picks last night.

    My unfounded hypothesis is that the LNP is totally dominated by christians/ evangelicals/ fundamentalists that have a particular view of the place of women in society, even their women members.
    Hence their inability come to terms with their inadequacies.
    There will be an almighty crap fight of gender quotas… because dog didn’t ordain women to serve as priests.

  26. billie says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 10:55 am

    “As aged care residents aren’t vaccinated yet teh money appears to have been spent without any follow up to check up on delivery”

    Utter rubbish. Stop making shit up.

  27. Sceptic

    Yes.

    For doubters. Just look at the response to Marriage Equality.
    A Religious Freedom Bill to get gay teachers out of schools

  28. Bucephalus @ #129 Wednesday, March 31st, 2021 – 11:09 am

    Granny Anny says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 10:47 am

    “you cannot mix COVID vaccine types.”

    There’s no law or clinical evidence that you can’t.

    “Could mixing COVID vaccines boost immune response?
    Combining different coronavirus shots could speed immunization campaigns — and even boost immune response.”

    https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-00315-5

    Might be a good idea to actually wait for the results of this trial – expected in June.

    Of course, it wouldn’t be the first time this government has ignored science.

  29. @Mark_Butler_MP tweeted

    This Prime Minister is all announcement, no delivery. He said 4 million Australians would be vaccinated by end of March. The opening of our economy is dependent on people getting jabs in their arms. The longer the wait the more lockdowns we’ll see.

  30. Morrison says he has found a state government he can work with. Guess what? It’s LNP Marshall.
    Just a backhander against Labor Premiers.

  31. I was going to provide Buce with references but then I noticed that Buce contests everything so I have better things to do with my time

  32. A reminder about political marketing.

    Whenever you say the Greens are politically toxic you are using a Rupert Murdoch talking point.

  33. lizzie says:
    Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 11:13 am

    “threaten pristine waterways off the Top End.”

    Green manure. They need to stop making shit up.

  34. SA:
    A senior political adviser and a high-ranking Correctional Services officer have been arrested and charged with child abuse offences.

    The pair, 38 and 37, were arrested late on Tuesday as a result of a SA Police/Federal Police Joint Anti Child Exploitation Team (JACET) investigation.

    The 38-year-old is a senior adviser with a state MP and the 37-year-old is acting in an executive position with Correctional Services.

    The men are well-known to each other and cannot legally be named until they appear in court, which is expected to happen on Wednesday.

  35. Fingers crossed that there are no Covid cases walking the streets of Byron Bay and Blues Fest this Easter. I can’t imagine Byron being locked down, and what if it gets into the hippy dippy anti-vaxer, covid is a hoax hills around Mullumbimby?

    Can we be so lucky?

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