Essential Research state and federal leadership polling

High and improving personal ratings for all incumbent leaders, as concern about COVID-19 eases just slightly.

The latest fortnightly Essential Research survey includes the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings, which find Scott Morrison up three on approval to 66% and down two on approval to 25%, Anthony Albanese down four on approval to 40% and up four on disapproval to 39%, and Morrison holding a 53-24 lead as preferred prime minister, out from 50-25. There was also a six point increase in the government’s good rating on COVID-19 response to 67%, with the poor rating steady on 15%.

As it did a fortnight ago, the poll also asked about the mainland state premiers from the small sub-samples in the relevant states: Gladys Berejiklian was at 75% approval (up seven) and 17% disapproval (down four); Daniel Andrews at 65% approval (up four) and 28% disapproval (down five); Annastacia Palazczuk at 65% approval (steady) and 27% disapproval (up three); Mark McGowan at 87% (up nine) approval and 7% disapproval (down five); and Steven Marshall, who was not featured in last fortnight’s polling, at 60% approval and 21% disapproval. State government handling of COVID-19 was rated as good by 82% of respondents in Western Australia, 76% in South Australia, 75% in New South Wales, 71% in Queensland and 59% in Victoria.

Respondents were asked how much attention they had been paying to recent news stories, with 73% saying they had closely followed the easing of COVID-19 restrictions in Victoria, 68% the US presidential election, 36% the allegations of sexual misconduct raised by the ABC’s Four Corners, and 29% Joel Fitzgibbon’s resignation from the shadow cabinet. It also finds an easing in concern over COVID-19, with 27% rating themselves very concerned (down three), 44% quite concerned (down two), 23% not that concerned (up three) and 6% not at all concerned (up two). The peak of concern was in early August, when 50% were very concerned, 40% quite concerned, 7% not that concerned and 3% not at all concerned.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1010.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,211 comments on “Essential Research state and federal leadership polling”

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  1. C@tMomma:

    He owned a furniture store in his previous pre-politics life, didn’t he?

    Mr Marshall’s father built and owned a furniture factory, not a store.

  3. Guytaur

    “Mr Staples was not in the top job at the time of the the purchase of the property in 2016, but instead was head of the Sydney Metro rail projects.”

    Staples is more a fall-guy than a scalp. He is career transport engineer and public servant and well respected. As for his responsibility for the land purchase:
    “Mr Staples was not in the top job at the time of the the purchase of the property in 2016, but instead was head of the Sydney Metro rail projects.”

    So he had nothing to do with it. Whoever was the LRT project PM at the time, and the financial controller in charge of land acquisitions are the ones who should be answering questions, plus the Minister of course (Constance). Purchases of that magnitude would have been signed off by the Minister.

  9. steve davis @ #80 Wednesday, November 18th, 2020 – 2:41 pm

    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/ban-buying-new-petrol-cars-23026468

    Sales of diesel and petrol vehicles will be banned within 10 years.

    Conservative govt in UK acting on climate change.

    It can’t be repeated too much.

    Boris Johnson announces 10-point green plan with 250,000 jobs

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/nov/17/boris-johnson-announces-10-point-green-plan-with-250000-jobs
    250,000 Green Jobs (Details will of course vary.)

  10. phoenixRED
    Scaramucci is a joke. A Golden Sacks bankster who rushed off to work for Trump asap.
    .
    – Sow divisions in American society–Yeah like those divisions weren’t festering along nicely beforehand.
    – Damage trust in American democracy—- Yankees have been rated as having a “partial democracy” for yonks. Part of Trumps appeal was to people who had already lost faith in it.
    – Reduce American influence/security in Middle East–:lol: 😆 The Chimp in Chief Dubya Bush deep sixed that years before.
    – Kneecap NATO–An institution well past its use by date. Knock it down build something for the 21st C.

  12. The NSW gambling regulator has blocked Crown Resorts from opening its new $2.2 billion Sydney casino next month until a review of its licence is completed in February.

    The chair of Independent Liquor and Gaming Authority Philip Crawford said the regulator was “not comfortable” with Crown opening its gaming operations until the Bergin Inquiry had been completed.

    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/crown-admits-criminals-likely-laundered-cash-through-casino-accounts-20201118-p56fm6.html

  13. The 10-point plan comprises:

    A ban on combustion engine sales by 2030, with grants for electric cars, and funding for charge points. The sale of some hybrid cars and vans will continue until 2035.

    A previously announced pledge to quadruple offshore wind power by 2030, to 40GW, enough to power every UK home.

    Moves to boost hydrogen production, with the promise of a town heated entirely by hydrogen by the end of the decade.

    Investment of £525m towards new nuclear power, based on “the next generation of small and advanced reactors”.

    £1bn next year for funds to insulate homes and public buildings, using the existing green homes grant and public sector decarbonisation scheme.

    An extra £200m invested in carbon capture initiatives.

    Support for greener energies in the aviation and maritime sectors, with £20m committed to the latter.

    30,000 hectares of trees planted every year, as part of nature conservation efforts.
    Moves to promote public transport, cycling and walking, although no new schemes were announced.

    A pledge to make London “the global centre of green finance”.

    Can you imagine Smoko doing this?

  14. sprocket_says: Wednesday, November 18, 2020 at 3:52 pm

    The NSW gambling regulator has blocked Crown Resorts from opening its new $2.2 billion Sydney casino next month until a review of its licence is completed in February.

    **********************************************

    BIGGER brown paper bags ?????

  15. Lizzie
    If you are just using a hotspot in order to mainly access PB on a laptop and also just read a few news sites it will use little data and you can monitor that use until comfortable.

    If your household power is back on you would just keep your phone charged as usual. Probably would use less power/ battery etc then having the phone screen on continually accessing PB.

    I can list the steps to establish a wifi hotspot and also get you links – but first are you using a standard android phone ? Some like Samsung use their own version of android. So if you don’t mind saying which brand phone you are using.

  16. An article by Jack the Insider. Further to what Lizzie mentioned. What a mad house.Use the “Google trick” to jump the pay wall
    ………………………………………………………………………….
    ‘It’s like a horror movie that never ends’

    ……. Jodie Doering, an ER nurse working in a hospital in rural South Dakota. It was her first day off after a series of long shifts. She took the time to reflect on what she had encountered.

    “I can’t help but think of the Covid patients the last few days. The ones that stick out are those who still don’t believe the virus is real. The ones who scream at you for a magic medicine and that Joe Biden is going to ruin the USA. All while gasping for breath on 100% Vapotherm (oxygen delivered by nasal cannula at 100 per cent concentration).

    “They tell you there must be another reason they are sick. They call you names and ask why you have to wear all that “stuff” because they don’t have Covid because it’s not real. Yes. This really happens. These people really think this isn’t going to happen to them. And then they stop yelling at you when they get intubated. It’s like a f*****g horror movie that never ends. There are no credits that roll. You just go back and do it all over again.”
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/us-2020-election-its-like-a-horror-movie-that-never-ends/news-story/804123089557a41286b245d8680dde34

  17. The NSW gambling regulator has blocked Crown Resorts from opening its new $2.2 billion Sydney casino next month until a review of its licence is completed in February.
    ———
    This is NSW, still ruled by the heirs of the Rum Corp.

    The NSW Gambling Regulator is to confirm Packer not to thwart him.

  18. poroti @ #138 Wednesday, November 18th, 2020 – 2:55 pm

    FMD. Slack slack slack.
    .
    42s ago 04:22
    Anyone working in a hotel quarantine facility will now be tested for Covid-19 at least weekly, Kelly says.

    Previously, testing was optional.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2020/nov/18/south-australia-covid-hotel-quarantine-nsw-victoria-politics-japan

    Did you hear the reasoning for not doing compulsory testing? They were worried staff with symptoms would delay getting a test if they knew a compulsory test was due in a few days time. So they left it to staff to get a test if they had symptoms – no regular testing.

    There is a lot of psychology in epidemiology. Not all of it good. People working in medihotels are good people who would do the right thing if trained appropriately. The reasoning completely ignores the risks of asymptomatic infections…. which is what happened here.

  19. Looks as though Krebs was well respected. Of course respect is a meaningless concept for Trump.

    Krebs, a former Microsoft executive, ran the agency, known as Cisa, from its creation in the wake of Russian interference with the 2016 election through the November election. He won bipartisan praise as Cisa coordinated federal state and local efforts to defend electoral systems from foreign or domestic interference.

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/nov/17/chris-krebs-trump-fired-cybersecurity-voter-fraud-claims

  22. I am being slammed here today tho….already my busiest day on record…….And to introduce myself…I am a long, long term lurker…back from the days when most transitioned from Pollytics site prior to the 2007 election,,,yes, that long ago….I remember wRONg and many others who fell by the wayside….I have watched and read with amusement all your flame wars….this site has been my daily source of political information reported by William and analysed to within an inch of its life by all the luminaries here (and the ones not so bright, …u know who u are)….I hope I can post my own observations from time to time here.

  26. He owned a furniture store in his previous pre-politics life, didn’t he?
    _____
    Steven Marshall ended up running a furniture manufacturing company. I used to go and see him regularly when I was working at the SA Centre for Manufacturing.

  29. WRT cost of data on a phone, depending on carrier (we use Aldi) it should be possible to purchase an additional “data only plan” that works alongside the carrier’s regular plan and is considerably cheaper per MB. We’ve purchased a few GBs from time to time to tide us over broadband outages.

  30. The Beagle @ #172 Wednesday, November 18th, 2020 – 4:06 pm

    I am being slammed here today tho….already my busiest day on record…….And to introduce myself…I am a long, long term lurker…back from the days when most transitioned from Pollytics site prior to the 2007 election,,,yes, that long ago….I remember wRONg and many others who fell by the wayside….I have watched and read with amusement all your flame wars….this site has been my daily source of political information reported by William and analysed to within an inch of its life by all the luminaries here (and the ones not so bright, …u know who u are)….I hope I can post my own observations from time to time here.

    As long as you don’t hate c@ts, you’re welcome. 🙂

  38. The Beagle @ #172 Wednesday, November 18th, 2020 – 3:36 pm

    I am being slammed here today tho….already my busiest day on record…….And to introduce myself…I am a long, long term lurker…back from the days when most transitioned from Pollytics site prior to the 2007 election,,,yes, that long ago….I remember wRONg and many others who fell by the wayside….I have watched and read with amusement all your flame wars….this site has been my daily source of political information reported by William and analysed to within an inch of its life by all the luminaries here (and the ones not so bright, …u know who u are)….I hope I can post my own observations from time to time here.

    That isnt really an introduction. But good to have more posters.

    I knew a beagle once. Her name was Lucy and she would appear from nowhere on a job I was doing in the southern highlands. Hung around for an hour or so then off she went. We would see her all over the area – like she was following us. It was a treat.

    She had terrible fleas and one day one of the chaps brought some treatment for her. She seemed to appreciate it – but not as much as the lunches we shared with her.

  39. Dave

    Thank you. I’m exhausted from having my computer addiction ripped away and haVing to fill in the time by – gasp- tidying my desk. Lol

  40. Peter Malinauskas
    40 mins ·
    I understand that people around South Australia are right now concerned about what is happening in our state, and wondering how we got into this position.

    But South Australians should be under no misapprehension that, here in our home, we’re going to take on this challenge the South Australian way.

    As other parts of the country have gone through trying times with COVID – now it’s our turn.

    Doing this the South Australian way means we’re going to look after each other as much as we look after ourselves.

    We’re going to fight for each other, not against each other.

    Which means, as far as I’m concerned, unlike in Victoria, as Opposition Leader I’m here to support the government, not undermine it.

    That starts with having complete faith in our public health officials.

    We’re going to back in their judgement, and never doubt their motives.

    We’re going to comply with their requests, not because it’s easy, but because it’s right.

    We’re going to remain calm, steadfast and resolute in tackling this challenge in a way that only South Australians can.

    This is going to be a tough period – none of us have confronted anything like this before.

    But all of us in South Australia have an obligation to show the nation that we can tackle this challenge with grit and kindness in the same measure.

    To everybody in our key public agencies working so hard to keep us safe, we’ve got your back.

    To the thousands of workers, who now find themselves suddenly and unexpectedly without an income, you won’t be forgotten.

    To those who are isolated, without access to family and friends, you’re only a phone call away.

    To all the small businesses, worried about what tomorrow brings, a brighter day will come.

    For those people who are going to be working in non-government essential services, you are our quiet heroes.

    Particularly in our supermarkets and their distribution centres, I know tonight you are under extraordinary pressure, but now everybody will know what I always have – your work is more than dignified, it is essential.

    My message to every South Australian tonight, as the eyes of the nation are now on us, let’s show them just how resilient we are.

    Very well said.

  42. US brought to its knees as coronavirus cases surge in every state

    The United States is at breaking point and the President is refusing to take it seriously.

    The United States is at breaking point as the country reports more than a million coronavirus cases within the last week.

    It’s an unimaginable figure, and an indictment on the lack of strategy by US President Donald Trump’s administration, which has failed to pull the states into a united approach to tackling the deadly virus.

    Case numbers across the US are surging at a rate higher than at any other point in the pandemic, with each state’s varying responses described by the New York Times as a “crazy-quilt virus response”. Last week, all 50 of the country’s states reported an increase in case numbers.

    Cars line up for coronavirus testing at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles.

    MORE : https://www.news.com.au/world/north-america/us-brought-to-its-knees-as-coronavirus-cases-surge-in-every-state/news-story/accab31c1c4a17ea575132de16efb75e

    Dena Grayson, MD, PhD@DrDenaGrayson

    The COVID Tracking Project @COVID19Tracking

    Our daily update is published. States reported 1.5M tests, 155,000 cases, and 1,565 deaths. 77, 000 people are currently hospitalized with COVID-19 in the US.

    We are heading down a path to hell.

    God help us all

  43. You mean he didn’t vertically integrate the business!?! Not a very smart capitalist then.
    _____
    C@t
    Actually it was vertically integrated, and Steven was one of the pioneers of product configurators for furniture sales.
    Like most furniture manufacturers, his company ended up ceasing manufacture in Australia. These closures all stemmed from the rapacious behaviour of retailers.

  45. I had a Beagle until the beginning of this year…he was very old and I had to have him put down….still miss him dreadfully….C@tmomma, i dont hate anyone, least of all you and my dog was best mates with our cat as well. It will please most, but not all, that I am a staunch Labor man unblemished in my voting record since the 1983 election of the Hawke Labor government…my first time voting.

  46. Zerlo says:
    Wednesday, November 18, 2020 at 11:36 am
    TPOF says:
    Wednesday, November 18, 2020 at 11:18 am

    So basically fixing their problem, with your cost.
    _________________________________________

    Not really. Like electricity wiring and plumbing pipework, the home owner is responsible for the data connections within their own property. It’s just more difficult to identify whether the problems are internal or external. I accepted that the state of my internal wiring meant that I was sure to get an improved service if I fixed things at my end. And I was right.

  49. The good part of Covid 19 means that in Australia we are seeing results of voters getting politically educated quite fast.

    People see the Newscorp banner headlines. They see the reality of Victoria South Australia Queensland etc on the ground.

    This is helped immensely by Donald Trump saying the same thing.
    Thus the 2019 undecided voters or in other words political ignorant voters get educated.

    This is very bad news for the LNP. Voters with political knowledge vote progressive. Labor and Green.
    All Labor has to do is educate them. Do it starting today with some paid political advertising on social media. Facebook for starters in Western Sydney and North Queensland.

    The places where Labor lost to the LNP.
    It’s advantage to progressives because regional news is no longer a Murdoch affair. Labor will get bang for its buck in advertising.

    The Albanese Australian Trains means Australian Jobs is a good one to run.
    I would add Australian Solar Panels means Australian Jobs.

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