Essential Research state and federal leadership polling

High and improving personal ratings for all incumbent leaders, as concern about COVID-19 eases just slightly.

The latest fortnightly Essential Research survey includes the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings, which find Scott Morrison up three on approval to 66% and down two on approval to 25%, Anthony Albanese down four on approval to 40% and up four on disapproval to 39%, and Morrison holding a 53-24 lead as preferred prime minister, out from 50-25. There was also a six point increase in the government’s good rating on COVID-19 response to 67%, with the poor rating steady on 15%.

As it did a fortnight ago, the poll also asked about the mainland state premiers from the small sub-samples in the relevant states: Gladys Berejiklian was at 75% approval (up seven) and 17% disapproval (down four); Daniel Andrews at 65% approval (up four) and 28% disapproval (down five); Annastacia Palazczuk at 65% approval (steady) and 27% disapproval (up three); Mark McGowan at 87% (up nine) approval and 7% disapproval (down five); and Steven Marshall, who was not featured in last fortnight’s polling, at 60% approval and 21% disapproval. State government handling of COVID-19 was rated as good by 82% of respondents in Western Australia, 76% in South Australia, 75% in New South Wales, 71% in Queensland and 59% in Victoria.

Respondents were asked how much attention they had been paying to recent news stories, with 73% saying they had closely followed the easing of COVID-19 restrictions in Victoria, 68% the US presidential election, 36% the allegations of sexual misconduct raised by the ABC’s Four Corners, and 29% Joel Fitzgibbon’s resignation from the shadow cabinet. It also finds an easing in concern over COVID-19, with 27% rating themselves very concerned (down three), 44% quite concerned (down two), 23% not that concerned (up three) and 6% not at all concerned (up two). The peak of concern was in early August, when 50% were very concerned, 40% quite concerned, 7% not that concerned and 3% not at all concerned.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1010.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,211 comments on “Essential Research state and federal leadership polling”

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  1. I noticed the Opposition Leader in SA offered to defer Budget Estimate Hearings due to start today in order for the Premier and key officials to focus on the pandemic. A possitive and appropriate response imho.

    God’s strength to Premier Marshall, his team and the SA community in dealing with this event.

  2. Pointing to Boris Johnson rather than Joe Biden may be a better political strategy towards decarbonising Australia. The UK political system is more similar to Australia’s than the US system, so it translates more easily. As noted elsewhere, there are a lot of Trump supporters here who will be instinctively anti-Biden. And finally, in the UK it’s the conservatives who are advocating “Green”. Of course you could do both, depending on your audience.

    Boris Johnson announces 10-point green plan with 250,000 jobs

    the prime minister said the 10-point plan would create up to 250,000 jobs, with much of the focus aimed at the north of England, Midlands, Scotland and Wales.

    One of the points is the previously trailed pledge to end the sale of petrol and diesel cars and vans by 2030, 10 years ahead of the previous schedule

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/nov/17/boris-johnson-announces-10-point-green-plan-with-250000-jobs

  3. What’s the bet that Saint Scotty of the Skidmark will try to find some way of keeping Professor Doctor Chief Scientist Philosopher General, and Wiley Coyote Super Genius Award winner Crackpot…I mean Craig…Kelly from getting the boot (not that I expect they’ll have much success, but we can hope) by disgruntled people in his electorate?

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/nov/18/push-to-oust-liberal-mp-craig-kelly-gathers-pace-its-awful-to-be-the-laughing-stock-of-the-country

  4. Socrates

    Afternoon all. I commented a few days ago that it was hard to believe the NSW Transport overpayment for land could happen by accident, if you knew the processes involved. Sure enough, NSW Liberal Transport Minister Andrew Constance was warned in advance the site was contaminated. Why did he still sign off on the payment?
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/nov/18/nsw-parliament-to-vote-on-referring-535m-parramatta-land-purchase-to-icac

    It has happened before, in 2014, a few km from where I live.

    Up until December 2014, the site was owned and operated by Ian Malouf’s Dial a Dump. Malouf was well known as a supporter and donor to the NSW LNP. Then Premier Barry O’Farrell opened his giant new landfill site in Eastern Creek.

    This history of community complaints and failure of companies associated with Dial a Dump to fully comply with EPA notices is well documented.

    In 2011, the SMH reported that there had been five clean up notices in five years and that there was at least 170,000-cubic-metre stockpiles of waste contaminated with asbestos on the site. Dial a Dump was also prosecuted for allowing toxic leachate to enter a storm water canal.

    In June last year, the company had still not fully complied with clean up orders and the EPA granted yet another extension of 12 months until July this year. But meanwhile, behind the scenes, the company and the government were conducting secret negotiations for WestConnex to take over the site. In December 2014 WestConnex compulsorily acquired the site and the company was allowed to immediately abandon the site without cleaning it up.

    https://cityhubsydney.com.au/2015/02/westconnex-was-aggressive-says-waste-company/

    And the contamination is still a problem: https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/promised-westconnex-park-site-in-sydney-s-inner-west-highly-contaminated-20200908-p55tiz.html

  5. Spurrier presents well, is level headed and knows her stuff. But lets not forget she sat on medihotel concerns and only acted when the horse bolted. SAHealth was also slow to act on closing schools to students returning from Wuhan in Feb and she was rather pigheaded in accepting schools could be a pathway for transmission and relied on clearly poor research for that.

    It is good she has learnt the lesson wrt schools and good she is not afraid to act fast and hard wrt this lockdown.

    Now, I wonder if driving to a mates place who brews his own beers is considered essential travel.

  6. That there are only two new cases of local transmission in SA today is very encouraging. The local transmission case numbers for the last four days are: 4, 13, 5, 2.
    https://www.covid19data.com.au/transmission-sources-states

    The steps being taken appear to be working. That’s good news. That’s almost immediate positive feedback too. Fingers crossed that this will remain an “outbreak” and not become a “wave”. The one downside might be that people relax too early.

  7. Laurence Tribe
    @tribelaw
    ·
    32m
    The popular outcry against the absurd 2-2 vote of the Wayne County Canvassing Board just led the Board to come to its senses and certify the county for Biden 4-0. He won there by over 300,000 votes! Shows that local democracy can work — but only when the people remain vigilant.

  8. Late Riser @ #111 Wednesday, November 18th, 2020 – 1:33 pm

    That there are only two new cases of local transmission in SA today is very encouraging. The local transmission case numbers for the last four days are: 4, 13, 5, 2.
    https://www.covid19data.com.au/transmission-sources-states

    The steps being taken appear to be working. That’s good news. That’s almost immediate positive feedback too. Fingers crossed that this will remain an “outbreak” and not become a “wave”. The one downside might be that people relax too early.

    Cases and locations where cases have frequented are spread across the metro area. Cases will rise. It will be a nervous week.

  9. SK

    Don’t join the queue (I’m sure there will be one) at your preferred seller of beverages.
    I can recommend Dan Murphy’s delivery service (shopping online also gives a better range) They do have a more expensive delivery option for those that just can’t wait.

  10. The NSW casino regulator will hold a press conference at 3.30pm in Sydney to make an announcement about whether Crown’s new $2bn Barangaroo venue will be permitted to open on December 14.

  11. Any SA people know whether my Deli will be allowed to open?….Its not a supermarket and its not a take away or a restaurant….I can find no list of what particular shops are allowed to open

  12. Beagle
    Supermarkets will remain open for one visit from one person per household per day;
    Critical infrastructure — power, telecommunications — will remain open;
    Medical services including mental health services will remain open;
    Public transport will remain open;
    Airport and freight services will remain open;
    Petrol stations will remain open;
    Banks and financial institutions will remain open;
    Post offices will remain open;
    Mining, smelting, and large factories will be allowed to continue to operate at a level required to ensure continuity of service delivery or to prevent damage, but not for anything else;
    Veterinary surgeons will remain open;
    Agriculture workers will be able to move around to ensure the safety, welfare and processing of animals and animal products, like dairy

  13. Private HQ security guard working part time elsewhere ….sorry but lessons clearly not learned from Victoria. Pretty poor.
    _____
    It’s the gig economy, Rex.

  14. Cud Chewer

    Very nasty strain apparently.
    Short incubation.

    They should wait a bit on that . Earlier in NZ there was also a case that looked “infectious in 24 hours” . Further investigation showed it not to be the case.

  15. According to the Grauniad open still are………………………….
    .
    Remaining open:

    Supermarkets will remain open for one visit from one person per household per day;
    Critical infrastructure — power, telecommunications — will remain open;
    Medical services including mental health services will remain open;
    Public transport will remain open;
    Airport and freight services will remain open;
    Petrol stations will remain open;
    Banks and financial institutions will remain open;
    Post offices will remain open;
    Mining, smelting, and large factories will be allowed to continue to operate at a level required to ensure continuity of service delivery or to prevent damage, but not for anything else;
    Veterinary surgeons will remain open;
    Agriculture workers will be able to move around to ensure the safety, welfare and processing of animals and animal products, like dairy

  16. Rex
    “Private HQ security guard working part time elsewhere ….sorry but lessons clearly not learned from Victoria. Pretty poor.”

    Which part of Federal IR laws and policy do you suggest South Australia change, and how?

    Xanthippe says this strain is new and is not only quickly contagious but very transmissible by contact to metal surfaces. It is very contagious; more so than the Ruby Princess version.

  17. Yes….but my shop like a mini supermarket….sell bread milk drinks, groceries, cigarettes….and yes the odd pie with sauce….its not 100% clear where my shop falls

  18. BK says: Wednesday, November 18, 2020 at 2:17 pm
    The NSW casino regulator will hold a press conference at 3.30pm in Sydney to make an announcement about whether Crown’s new $2bn Barangaroo venue will be permitted to open on December 14.

    Of course they’ll let it open. Can you see the LNP disappointing a big donor? I would be astonished if they said no.

  19. SA appears to be still putting details together.
    https://www.covid-19.sa.gov.au/response

    Circuit breaker restrictions 18 November
    There will be a 6-day “circuit breaker” period of restrictions across South Australia. Details are being finalised and will be provided on this page shortly.

    https://www.covid-19.sa.gov.au/restrictions-and-responsibilities/activities-and-gatherings#exclusions

    A number of locations and activities are excluded from the Direction on public activities, including:
    – food markets, supermarkets, grocery stores, retail stores or shopping centres

  20. This seems to answer your question, Beagle (I’d hold off on the hot pies, though) :

    “A number of locations and activities are excluded from the Direction on public activities, including:
    – food markets, supermarkets, grocery stores, retail stores or shopping centres”

  21. Here in SA just did the rounds – supermarket (200m queue to get in), Servo, Hardware, bakery- panic buying is in full swing! Lucky I did most of mine last night!
    Now off to the beach for a swim (its across the road), the last for at least a week…

  22. Late Riser @ #82 Wednesday, November 18th, 2020 – 12:47 pm

    phoenixRED @ #62 Wednesday, November 18th, 2020 – 10:29 am

    Trump fires cybersecurity official who debunked the GOP lies about election fraud

    On Tuesday, outgoing President Donald Trump announced on Twitter that he is firing Chris Krebs, the Director of the DHS Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, who was behind the government statement last week that the election was the most secure in history and “There is no evidence that any voting system deleted or lost votes, changed votes, or was in any way compromised.”

    In his tweets, Trump said that he explicitly is firing him over the statement, saying that he does not believe this to be true — and baselessly claiming that the election was in fact riddled with fraud.

    https://www.rawstory.com/2020/11/trump-fires-cybersecurity-official-who-debunked-the-gop-lies-about-election-fraud/

    Good career move for Krebs. (63 days 15 hours 12 minutes to go.)

    Enough time for a Christmas/New Year holiday, then back to work. 🙂

  23. On twitter a statement that says it all in a very pithy way

    Simon Holmes A Court tweets.

    I thought only Labor Governments use private security guards.

  24. Lord – Sir Thomas Wynn
    @mister_wynn
    On Tues WA Premier Mark McGowan called Morrison’s Govt “appalling!”

    Next day, Mark said, “Obviously, the criticism that Dan Andrews received from Fed Liberal ministers was disgraceful & it will be a test for them, will they criticise Steven Marshall the same way? I think not!”

    #StasiSteve

  25. Jeebus what an ‘unLiberal’ CV that Marshall chap has.
    .
    He is currently an ambassador for scosa, having previously served on the board for five years
    .
    Marshall has been a board member for Reconciliation SA for a number of years
    .
    is also a White Ribbon ambassador.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steven_Marshall
    .
    won the South Australian small business prize in the national 2001 Employer of the Year awards, due to the company’s commitment to hire people with disabilities
    .

    ] He is the founding chairman of Compost for Soils, a program started in South Australia t
    .hat has subsequently been implemented nationally

  26. Anthony Scaramucci@Scaramucci

    Let’s say, hypothetically, Russia had an asset in the White House. Their top priories would be:

    – Sow divisions in American society
    – Damage trust in American democracy
    – Reduce American influence/security in Middle East
    – Kneecap NATO

    Trump is doing all of those things. Why?

  27. phoenixRED @ #145 Wednesday, November 18th, 2020 – 3:36 pm

    Anthony Scaramucci@Scaramucci

    Let’s say, hypothetically, Russia had an asset in the White House. Their top priories would be:

    – Sow divisions in American society
    – Damage trust in American democracy
    – Reduce American influence/security in Middle East
    – Kneecap NATO

    Trump is doing all of those things. Why?

    To get donations and get out of debt.

    He’s a con man.

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