The latest Newspoll in The Australian has the Coalition leading 52-48, out from 51-49 last time, from primary votes of Coalition 44% (up one), Labor 34% (steady), Greens 11% (down one) and One Nation 3% (steady). Scott Morrison’s personal ratings are unchanged at 65% approval and 31% disapproval, while Anthony Albanese is steady on 39% approval and up three on disapproval to 43%. Morrison’s lead on preferred prime minister nonetheless narrows slightly, from 59-27 to 57-28.
The poll shows a broadly favourable response to the budget, which is rated good for the economy by 42% and bad by 20%, compared with 44% and 18% last year – although a lot more of the favourable response is merely quite good (35% compared with 29% last year) rather than extremely good (7% compared with 15%). Twenty-six per cent expect it will make them better off financially compared with 23% for worse off and 51% for uncommitted, which is less strong than last year (34% better off and 19% worse off) but fairly strong by historical standards.
Troublingly for Labor, 54% expressed more trust in “a Coalition government led by Scott Morrison” to “guide Australia’s recovery” compared with 32% for “a Labor government led by Anthony Albanese”, and only 33% felt Labor would have done a better job on the budget compared with 49% for a worse job. This compares with 37% and 45% last year and is their weakest net result since the Coalition came to power in 2013, although it’s within the error margin of 2015, 2016 and 2017.
The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1527.
Perhaps nothing much changed, but these figures demonstrate the power of tax cuts in the Australian political landscape. Tax cuts are about all that a large number of Australians want from their government, and if a government is prepared to give them, then the majority of Australians are prepared to support that government.
Jon Faine provides an excellent critique of the flailing VicLib opposition, which made all the wrong calls in an attempt to win the last election. Most of their accusations were not only off the mark, but socially dangerous: African gangs, CFA and drugs to be sold under the ‘skyrail’.
He also writes:
😡
Normally the next opinion poll following the Budget opinion poll,doesnt fair too well for the libs/nats
Libs/nats drop 3-4% points
Danama Papers @ #44 Monday, October 12th, 2020 – 6:44 am
It may be that you have an adblocker that hides the login area. If so turning it off and refreshing the page will bring the login area back.
Correct me if I’m wrong but I don’t think I’ve heard anyone from the Coalition out and about criticising the centrepiece of Labor’s Budget-In-Reply, the Child Care package.
Does that mean Labor have successfully wedged the government as they know what extra child care means for families and are loathe to criticise it/them as a result?
Except for the lamo ‘how are they going to pay for it?’ line, which has become instantly redundant.
The Greens Have Savaged Tuesday’s Budget As Good For The Rich, Catastrophic For The Planet
Greens leader Adam Bandt has savaged the government’s once-in-a-lifetime Budget, describing it as essentially good for the rich, and catastrophic for the planet.
Tuesday’s Budget, delivered by Treasurer Josh Frydenberg, will see Australia’s net debt blow out to a record $966 billion dollars – not necessarily a bad thing, but one that makes it even more crucial where the money is spent.
It includes $1.9 billion in new funding to address climate change, help lower emissions and support renewable technologies, but it’s also putting $28.3 million aside to develop plans to unlock five gas basins.
“Satire is dead, and the planet will be too if the Liberals get their way,” Bandt told PEDESTRIAN.TV.
“It’s a budget to fast track the climate collapse. There’s no room left to open up new gas fields. We’ve got to keep coal and gas in the ground. And we certainly shouldn’t be using public money that could be going to universities instead.”
https://www.pedestrian.tv/news/greens-adam-bandt-2020-budget-response/
https://t.co/t5WxlzGl8O?amp=1
Kay Jay,
I have an ad blocker, didn’t disable it but the login came back after a couple of days without it.
I have to say though that the only way I can get to the dashboard now is via the’logged in as C@tmomma’ link. Very interesting!
KayJay @ #54 Monday, October 12th, 2020 – 4:40 am
Bless you KayJay, that’s exactly what it was.
Firefox, that Adam Bandt Rice video is superb.
The other thing that is never mentioned with Tax cuts is the inflationary effect that they have.
Tax cuts are like climbing a very greasy pole.
The government does not want to open up a discussion about Labor’s childcare policy.
It would give Albo oxygen & expose the LNPs policy deficiencies.
https://conservationcouncil.org.au/electionscorecard-visualsnapshot/
*golf clap* for Lidia Thorpe (who looks as though she has some of that’Coloniser’ whitefella blood in her as well as her Indigenous tribal blood, just sayin’). However as my Gamilaroi Woman best mate has said to me, she appreciates the fact that the Whitefella coming to this country has seen changes made, due to their enterprising nature, that never would have been made by Blackfellas and those advances have made her life and the life of her family more comfortable and convenient as a result.
I do hope (faint hope) that everyone suffering unemployment cynically regards “tax cuts” as an empty promise.
D,
Exactly.
C@tmomma @ #59 Monday, October 12th, 2020 – 7:47 am
Interesting indeed. I’ll have a look at this in the next day or so. I have noticed that the buttons for the dashboard and site are sometimes missing. Thanks.
Coffee, must have coffee to go with my medication.☕☕
P.S. I think that A.R.s C+ adblock does not remove the Login area. Contrary advice welcome.
KayJay @ #68 Monday, October 12th, 2020 – 4:58 am
I concur.
Good morning Dawn Patrollers – sorry I’m a bit late today.
Simon Benson has his say about the Newspoll.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/nation-backs-pms-covid-budget/news-story/57e23944f9121e9093574acce73b9be8
Katina Curtis writes that Scott Morrison has promised to be “highly responsive” if the stimulus doesn’t prompt enough job creation and Josh Frydenberg has hinted at a long-lasting increase to unemployment payments with more people set to be out of work for a longer period.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/scott-morrison-pledges-to-upgrade-business-incentives-if-jobs-don-t-appear-20201011-p5640l.html
Ross Gittins opines that last week’s budget quietly brought about a historic shift in the fiscal policy “framework”: we moved from the Treasury puritanical view of what constitutes responsible budgeting, to the more licentious Republican view.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/the-coalition-s-historic-budget-shift-no-more-surpluses-lots-more-tax-cuts-20201011-p563zf.html
The federal budget reveals an ideology that is set to kill any recovery just as it is getting started, blasts Greg Jericho.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/commentisfree/2020/oct/11/the-federal-budget-reveals-an-ideology-that-is-set-to-kill-any-recovery-just-as-it-is-getting-started
The Coalition’s deficits are the deepest on record. But the duplicity is deeper still. Alan Austin fact checks the Treasurer’s recent pronouncements.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/another-week-of-federal-budget-deceptions-and-hypocrisies,14399
Michael Pascoe says that throwing money at business won’t make it invest.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/finance-news/2020/10/12/michael-pascoe-business-investment/
Sean Kelly thinks that the most surprising political event of the last week was the change in Anthony Albanese who, he says, had a greater assuredness about him.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/the-most-surprising-political-event-of-the-last-week-was-the-change-in-anthony-albanese-20201009-p563ll.html
John Lord writes that Scott Morrison’s arrogance was badly showing while Anthony Albanese was delivering his reply to the budget last Wednesday.
https://theaimn.com/bad-form-old-chap/
There is no doubt that Europe took its foot off the pedal to contain the virus during the holiday season. Australia is sure to risk the same result, warns the editorial in the SMH.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/europe-s-covid-surge-a-lesson-for-australia-coming-into-summer-20201011-p5641v.html
A high-powered legal challenge to the validity of Premier Daniel Andrews’ lockdown of Melbourne is set to be lodged in the High Court amid mounting disquiet over the expected continuation of strict restrictions past October 19.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/hotelier-appeals-to-high-court-to-end-melbourne-s-lockdown-20201011-p5640q.html
Meanwhile, Daniel Andrews appears to have dashed hopes that thousands of Melbourne businesses will be able to reopen next week, suggesting the next restrictions to be eased would focus on increased social interaction, rather than economic measures.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria-records-12-new-covid-cases-and-one-death-as-premier-urges-melburnians-not-to-lose-hope-20201011-p563xh.html
Noel Towell reports that the Andrews government faces a clash in State Parliament this week over claims it is “turning a blind eye” to blatant religious discrimination in Victorian schools. I wish Fiona Patten every success.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/fresh-schools-discrimination-clash-for-andrews-government-20201010-p563vm.html
Naomi Fryers wonders if the Government learned anything at all about the need to adequately fund and oversee aged care.
https://independentaustralia.net/life/life-display/aged-care-residents-neglected-once-again,14398
NSW Health has instructed all passengers on a Sydney bus last weekend to self-isolate as NSW Labor renews its call for mandatory masks on public transport and the state recorded five new cases of COVID-19.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw-records-five-new-cases-of-covid-19-late-night-bus-passengers-are-now-close-contacts-20201011-p563yk.html
If a Murdoch royal commission gets off the ground, the most scintillating witness about the co-dependency of politicians and the “Murdoch mafia” could be Kevin Rudd.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/kevin-rudd-and-the-murdoch-connection-20201011-p5642f.html
Estranged media scion James Murdoch has said he left his family’s publishing company News Corp over concerns its newspapers were disguising facts and endorsing disinformation.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/hidden-agendas-james-murdoch-speaks-on-news-corp-exit-20201011-p5641y.html
Australia’s fruit and vegetable harvesting industry is a house of cards stacked upon a blindness to human suffering, poverty and abuse, explains Sherry Huang from person experience and research for a PhD on the subject. She pints a horrible picture . . . one that Michael McCormack should be asked to comment on.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/sexual-assault-lost-fingers-exploitation-in-an-industry-rotten-to-the-core-20201009-p563m2.html
The federal government’s decision to pour another $17 million into its medical costs finder website – dubbed a “white elephant” due to its failure to tell patients how much they will actually have to pay for procedures – has attracted scorn from patient groups and doctors, reports Dana McCauley.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/patients-the-losers-despite-17m-lift-for-white-elephant-medical-costs-website-20201009-p563mu.html
Anthony Galloway reports that Australians should take Europe and the United States off their travel list for the whole of next year if there is no coronavirus vaccine, with Tourism Minister Simon Birmingham declaring the Morrison government’s priority is to establish travel bubbles with “other low-risk nations”.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/rising-covid-cases-take-europe-and-us-off-the-travel-list-for-next-year-20201009-p563j9.html
The NSW government is considering relaxing the four-square-metre distancing rule and limitations on large gatherings – but only if masks are worn.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/nsw-could-relax-social-distancing-rules-for-venues-but-only-if-masks-are-mandated-20201011-p563zg.html
According to Zoe Samios, regional media companies are urging the Morrison government to change media laws which prevent the industry from consolidating in a major lobbying push fronted by well-known TV presenter Ray Martin.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/ray-martin-to-front-regional-media-lobbying-effort-20201009-p563nq.html
The Australian Strategic Policy Institute is not only funded by the Defence Department but also receives sponsorship money from foreign governments, weapons manufacturers, and US corporations that have used or are using prison workers paid as little as 23 cents an hour. Marcus Reubenstein reports.
https://www.michaelwest.com.au/us-prison-labour-foreign-weapons-makers-finance-australian-government-think-tank-aspi/
Matt O’Sullivan tells us that a network of electric vehicle charging stations is set to be created in Sydney out of power boxes common to suburban streets.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/the-plan-to-turn-street-side-power-boxes-into-charging-stations-for-cars-20201011-p563z0.html
Australia stands to miss out on investments worth many billions of dollars and the opportunity to generate millions of jobs if it fails to adopt emissions reduction targets in line with the Paris climate accord, writes Peter Hannam.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/a-net-zero-target-would-unlock-investments-worth-billions-study-finds-20201011-p5640u.html
Paul Karp reports that Barnaby Joyce has blasted the government’s decision to allow Pauline Hanson to announce a $23m grant for a 16,000-seat stadium in Rockhampton with a cheque emblazoned with her face. Joyce certainly has a pointy here.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/oct/12/barnaby-joyce-blasts-coalition-for-deal-with-pauline-hanson-to-announce-23m-stadium-grant
Craig Emerson believes that Labor’s new childcare subsidy plan is exactly the kind of signature policy encouraging aspiration and reward for effort that the party needs to be competitive at the next election. He says that high childcare fees are keeping mothers out of work.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/it-s-terrible-high-childcare-fees-are-keeping-mothers-out-of-work-20201011-p5640j.html
The COVID-19 pandemic has laid bare the systemic deficiencies that have contributed to so many tragic deaths in aged care homes. But the pandemic has also exposed some uncomfortable truths about the attitudes in this country towards people with disability, writes former royal commissioner Ronald Sackville.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/covid-has-revealed-some-uncomfortable-truths-about-australia-and-people-with-disability-20200915-p55w00.html
Cleanaway Waste Management’s self-professed “zero harm” safety philosophy has been called into question by the NSW government’s Environmental Protection Agency, which has blasted the company over concerns about its “management of its operations” and the approach and knowledge of employees about environmental safety.
https://www.afr.com/companies/manufacturing/cleanaway-safety-claims-blasted-by-nsw-epa-20201010-p563wy
As the tide of coronavirus swells again, Boris Johnson heads into a perfect storm, writes Andrew Rawnsley who says lack of faith in the government is making it that much harder to control the resurgence of the epidemic.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/oct/11/as-the-tide-of-coronavirus-swells-again-boris-johnson-heads-into-a-perfect-storm
We should feel sad for Trump, but not because he caught coronavirus write the ANU’s Ben Bramble.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/a-philosopher-s-view-why-you-don-t-need-to-feel-sad-about-donald-trump-catching-covid-20201011-p563ya.html
US Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett will tell senators in her high-stakes confirmation hearing this week that she will approach cases based on the law, not her personal views. Yeah, it will be easy to put all those years of indoctrination aside!
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/trump-s-supreme-court-nominee-barrett-pledges-to-follow-law-not-personal-views-20201012-p56447.html
Deadlocked stimulus talks show that Senate Republicans are no longer willing to write blank cheques for Donald Trump’s re-election and are preparing for a post-MAGA future, writes the AFR’s Jacob Greber.
https://www.afr.com/world/north-america/deficit-weary-republicans-look-beyond-trump-20201011-p5640c
Trump said he could kill and win – Covid and cheating may prove it, writes a concerned Robert Reich.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/oct/11/donald-trump-fifth-avenue-shoot-covid-election
Trump also said, without producing evidence, that he was now immune, a claim that drew a flag from Twitter for violating the social media platform’s rules about misleading information related to COVID-19.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/trump-immunity-claim-draws-twitter-flag-as-misleading-information-20201012-p56440.html
Today’s nomination for “Arsehole of the Week” goes to St George Illawarra player Tristan Sailor. All class!
https://www.smh.com.au/sport/nrl/predatory-and-planned-tristan-sailor-allegedly-drugged-sexual-assault-victim-court-hears-20201011-p563yb.html
Cartoon Corner
Jim Pavlidis
David Rowe
Peter Broelman
Matt Golding
Johannes Leak – again!!!
Mark Knight
From the US
lizzie @ #66 Monday, October 12th, 2020 – 7:55 am
Doesn’t matter. The happy people on RN this morning were telling me how happy and shiny happy happy happy shiny the punters are and Scrooter won the budget!
Yay!
Scrooter wins again!!!
I wonder if Albo will wear a leather jacket tonight on qna?
Morning all. As Cat said:
“ So, Morrison goes $1 Trillion dollars into deficit and all he gets is a 1 point bounce. ”
Indeed. It was an underwhelming budget when you looked through the fine print. No reform, no long term investment, some promised infrastructure funds not showing up for 12-18 months, which will be too late. Child care was a good place to start criticizing it, but so to would be tax cuts for the rich, Newstart and tertiary education funding.
Labor needs to keep putting the criticisms in personal terms. A trillion dollar debt does not mean anything to most people. Better to say under the Liberals Australia’s debt will go from about $25,000 per household to over $100,000 for every Australian household. This financial year alone will see Australia’s net debt rise by more than $30,000 per household. Did your household get $30,000 in government assistance this year? Ask whose did?
Labor should send Chalmers out more often to discuss this stuff. Sorry but he cuts through more than Albno.
BTW for reference the entire Rudd stimulus (including packages 1 and 2 with $2000 to households) was $69 billion or $8000 per household. Scomo has spent four times that this year. And we didn’t get $8000 sent to every household.
“Firefox, that Adam Bandt Rice video is superb.”
***
Sure is. For those who might have missed it…
Watch: https://twitter.com/AdamBandt/status/1313940868345151488
Thanks for the dawn patrol BK, I was wondering if you were well?
Have a good day all.
Thanks BK and morning all.
The budget wasn’t received very well and got pretty poor media reporting so not surprising there’s no bounce for Morrison.
Thanks BK.
Paul Karp reports that Barnaby Joyce has blasted the government’s decision to allow Pauline Hanson to announce a $23m grant for a 16,000-seat stadium in Rockhampton with a cheque emblazoned with her face. Joyce certainly has a pointy here.
Pot(tty)s & kettles. Joyce’s pointy has caused a bit of trouble for some time…
Firefox @ #72 Monday, October 12th, 2020 – 8:23 am
Um, I think you mean that Albo/Labor rice vide….o…….oh wait, sorry, no you’re right, it wasn’t Albo/Labor….sorry….my mistake…could’ve been, but it wasn’t…sorry, wishful thinking again……
15 new cases in Victoria
Victoria’s Department of Health and Human Services has confirmed 15 new coronavirus infections overnight.
However, there is a some good news, with no new deaths recorded.
The 14 day rolling average has slightly increased in metro Melbourne but remains steady in regional Victoria.
Premier Daniel Andrews will front the media on Sunday to provide an update on the potential easing of some restrictions despite a recent increase in cases.
Confessions @ #74 Monday, October 12th, 2020 – 8:27 am
..and in a parallel universe somewhere far far away……Scrooter wins again……there’s no way that fukker’s outfit can get elected on 52/48!
.
.
.
.
No way!@$#@$#@$@!#@!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Good morning and thanks BK for the
Soon, I understand, to be offered with complimentary bottles of vintage
Red or White…… Creaming Soda …… maybe. 🍾🍹
phoenixRED
I would like to know which age group is contributing to the recent figures. I’ve lost the link, but read that young men (how old?) are the most likely to ignore Covid rules.
KayJay
Funny you should say that. In my email this morning. 😆
A look at the Victorian numbers since 20 September shows them to be operating a narrow range (except 22 September) between 5 and 15 cases daily cases with an average of around 11-12.
The Govt will no doubt tailor its announcements around these numbers rather than the 5 a day rolling average.
The present patterns looks a bit like the situation in Victoria in April-June pre quarantine.
‘Australia’s most successful program was during the Global Financial Crisis in 2009 when Australia – alone in the developed world – averted recession and widespread job losses.’
From the IndependentAustralia piece.
And yet, Labor remains the 90lb weakling on the beach having sand kicked in its face by the big hairy-chested boys from the coalition.
Timid is as timid does.
The current federal parliamentary Labor party is fukking useless.
From the ABC/WaPo poll shows the huge divides between the two parties:
– White evangelical vs other religions and no religion
– Education
– Senior citizens
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/as-trump-stumbles-voters-finalize-their-choices-and-bidens-lead-grows/2020/10/11/0ed19f6e-0a7f-11eb-991c-be6ead8c4018_story.html
and…..’“They baked in spending that we inherited and because of the diligence that we had with the finances we were able to deliver the first balanced Budget in 11 years.”
This government has not delivered a balanced Budget. Not one. This is a blatant lie and should be a sackable offence.’
Which is why Labor was all over it?
Yes?
No?
Can’t recall?
and…..’There is no evidence Australia’s economy is getting stronger. The opposite is true. As readers of this and other reputable journals know, Australia had the best-performed economy in the world from 2009 to 2013. That’s according to more than 140 authorities on the record.’
And yet, Labor couldn’t win a chook raffle if one was held today.
C@tmomma @ #65 Monday, October 12th, 2020 – 7:55 am
This is a disturbingly low comment, even coming from someone like you, C@t.
So the numbers are not reducing. The conservative/business solution? Open up!!!
poroti
Monday, October 12th, 2020 – 8:49 am
Comment #83
Here’s to you ….. from a wonderful spring day in Newcastle ….
Plus the loss of the seniors vote. The more Trump tries to get them back by holding rallies etc, the more repulsed they are by his reckless irresponsible behaviour in coronavirus times.
….’Do Australian voters know all this…’
Nup.
Will Labor tell them?
Probably not.
Well okay then.
At least we know where we stand.
Morrisatn, oh Morristan
How beautiful art thee,
Oh Morristan, oh Morristan…..etc (14 verses, 16 refrains)
KayJay @ #81 Monday, October 12th, 2020 – 5:35 am
Root beer?
KayJay
Cheers also to you from a fine Spring day in Sandgropia.
KayJay
Advice please, if you don’t mind. What do you drink instead of alcohol? I can’t stand fizzy drinks, don’t like Clayton’s ‘beer’.
Player One says:
Monday, October 12, 2020 at 9:01 am
C@tmomma @ #65 Monday, October 12th, 2020 – 7:55 am
*golf clap* for Lidia Thorpe (who looks as though she has some of that’Coloniser’ whitefella blood in her as well as her Indigenous tribal blood, just sayin’).
This is a disturbingly low comment, even coming from someone like you, C@t.
==============
Yes. As racist as they come, just sayin’.
lizzie @ #96 Monday, October 12th, 2020 – 9:10 am
Have you tried kombucha? Aldi sells a good ginger and lemon one (their other flavours are too sweet).
Player One
No Aldi near me and no, I haven’t tried kombucha.
Player One @ #97 Monday, October 12th, 2020 – 9:16 am
Apple and beetroot vinegar mixed with water is pretty good. Just find a ratio that suits. Mrs Mundo kicked the sav blanc habit on it.