Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

The latest Newspoll records little change on three weeks ago, with Scott Morrison dominating on personal ratings but the Coalition enjoying only a slender lead on voting intention.

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead unchanged at 51-49, with both major parties down a point on the primary vote, the Coalition to 42% and Labor to 34%. The Greens are up two to 12% and One Nation are down one to 4%. Scott Morrison’s approval is unchanged at 66%, and his disapproval is down one to 29%; Anthony Albanese is respectively down three to 41% and up one to 38%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is now 56-26, out from 56-29. The BludgerTrack leadership trends (see also on the sidebar) have been updated with these numbers. The poll was conducted online from Wednesday to Saturday, from a sample of 1512.

UPDATE: The Australian has helpfully published a PDF display of all the poll results, including for a suite of questions on coronavirus and its foreign policy implications. Opinion was divided as to whether the World Health Organisation (34% positive, 32% negative) and United Nations (23% positive, 21% negative) had had a beneficial impact on the crisis, but quite a lot clearer in relation to “Xi Jinping and the Chinese government” (6% positive, 72% negative) and “Donald Trump and the United States government” (9% positive, 79% negative). Further results are available through the link.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,741 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition”

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  1. AO awarded to Department of Home Affairs secretary Mike Pezzullo for distinguished service to public administration through
    leadership roles in the areas of national security, border
    control and immigration.

  2. On the honours list.

    Labor needs to redefine the criteria and the selection process. Make it much more independent and rigorous to avoid politicians devaluing the awards. Bishop is an appalling choice for a recipient. Length of time in the parliament should never be a criteria for receiving the award. That also includes occupying positions within the parliament.

    Its actions that count.

    BK the only recipient name I recognised outside of the politicians was Marcia Langton.
    A good sign of improvement. Recognition for unknown heroes is great.

    Edit: Pezzullo should have never got an award. Or he should be cited as contributions for the abuse of human rights

  3. Times: Britain is to form a deeper relationship with Australia and its other “five-eyes’ intelligence partners that will see heavy ­investment in areas China dominates, such as technology and ­research.

    The UK National Security Council last week approved Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s plans to end reliance on Chinese technology and turn instead to Australia, the US, Canada and New Zealand for expertise in key infrastructure.

    The NSC signed off on the claw back of Chinese company Huawei’s 35 per cent involvement in Britain’s new 5G telecommunications system and now desires a Western solution to plug technology gaps.

    The dramatic political and diplomatic reset comes after China’s handling of novel coronavirus, and security developments in the former British colony of Hong Kong that have alarmed increasing numbers of Tory backbenchers.

    Mr Johnson wrote in the South China Morning Post last week that Britain would give about 3 million Hong Kong residents holding British National Overseas passports a pathway to UK citizenship and right to work in Britain, should China as promised impose its own national ­security law on the financial hub.

    Some participants in the NSC’s “highly colourful debate’’ between ministers and spy chiefs raised economic alarms, concerned Britain was already being hammered by the coronavirus lockdown that has paralysed the country and the prospect of further dislocation with exit from the EU at the end of the year.

    But Mr Johnson has aligned with the earlier concerns raised by Five Eyes partners about Chinese influence in critical national infrastructure at a time when the UK is in the midst of trade talks with the US. Formal free trade negotiations with Australia will begin within weeks.

  4. Urban Wronski
    @UrbanWronski
    ·
    1m
    “He is basically telling you that there are two Tonys. There is apparently Gospel Truth Tony and then there is Phoney Tony,” Ms Gillard said at the time. 2010.

    So which Tony got the gong? Or are there 2? Gospel truth and phoney Tony? Needs to be cleared up immediately. Jonesy?

  5. any real racism on either part

    Yesterday there was a very offensive racist post here that included an expression something like ‘so called black lives matter protest’. It was offensive racism hidden behind a very thin very not funny ‘joke’.

    No prize for guessing who ran forward to defend said racism as harmless humor.

  6. But Mr Johnson has aligned with the earlier concerns raised by Five Eyes partners about Chinese influence in critical national infrastructure at a time when the UK is in the midst of trade talks with the US. Formal free trade negotiations with Australia will begin within weeks.

    Yeah China is going to destroy us, but here folks is your consolation prize.

  7. WWP

    You are correct if that was what was posted. If it was a joke it was a racist joke of very poor humour. Even Kerry Chickarovski was saying without a pandemic she would probably have attended the protests.

  8. @JaneCaro tweets

    Congratulations Marcia Langton, @MikeCarlton01 @TonyHWindsor and @MingYLong on your AMs today. You all do excellent and important work, and it’s so good to see it formally recognised.

  9. WWP

    Yes, kudos to you for calling out that instance of casual racism.

    When I was at university many, many years ago I wrote a paper on aborigines and racism focusing on their depiction in cartoons.

  10. Jo Diddley
    @jot_au
    ·
    4h
    .If my dad was still alive he’d hand back his AO.
    He had to work with Abbott when Tones was Health Minister for Howard, and dad said “he’s not called the Mad Monk for nothing”

  11. Oh dear.

    Lawrence James SPRINGBORG
    QLD

    For significant service to the Parliament of Queensland, and to the community of the Southern Downs.

  12. lizzie @ #69 Monday, June 8th, 2020 – 9:06 am

    C@t

    No, I’m serious. Never mind the citation. Let’s look for real benefits.

    Honestly, if you’re looking for real benefits then Abbott’s Pollie Pedal put a lot of money into the hands of community organisations and charities. However, when you scratch the surface many of them had direct links to the Liberal Party via the community burghers who ran them.

  13. @DougSaunders tweets

    So black activists saying “defund the police” is not empty sloganeering. It’s a well-thought-out concept, replacing expensive armed professionals with a built-in bias problem with inexpensive unarmed non-professionals and technology — for a greater crime-rate reduction

  14. The comments on the Age story about Abbott’s award are uniformly scathing. This is not going to go over well.

    Also to add to the list of Lib/Nat politicians – former Victorian state premier Denis Napthine got an award.

  15. A good question, I think. Should parliamentary pensions be mean tested?
    The rationale for them was, AFAIK, that after a lifetime of public service, ex-MPs were unable to make a decent living outside parliament.

    That’s been blown out of the water by now.

  16. lizzie

    Yes. It was always a crock. No recognition that Mothers that wanted to return to the workforce (historical context) faced the same problem.

    Many other classes of people to add to that list. If you take the politicians word their legislative work is worthless for the lowliest backbencher.

  17. The New York Times’ Opinion page editor, who gave the go-ahead for the op ed by Senator Tom Cotton which called for troops on the streets of America to forcibly suppress BLM protests, has resigned.

    This is good news. There is NO place for faux ‘Balance’ in serious journalism when it is seen to be expressing these sentiments.

  18. Trump finally admits that his poll numbers are failing

    President Donald Trump finally reached realized and recognized that he has a problem.

    In a Sunday tweet, he admitted that his poll numbers are in the toilet. A new poll was released by the Wall Street Journal over the weekend showing him eight points down nationally, but more importantly, Trump is losing by at least eight points in key swing states.

    The reason for the catastrophic numbers, however, has nothing to do with accepting his own flaws about Black protesters and failures in the COVID-19 crisis. Instead, he blamed the Democrats.

    “If I wasn’t constantly harassed for three years by fake and illegal investigations, Russia, Russia, Russia, and the Impeachment Hoax, I’d be up by 25 points on Sleepy Joe and the Do Nothing Democrats. Very unfair, but it is what it is!!!” Trump tweeted.

    https://www.rawstory.com/2020/06/trump-finally-admits-that-his-poll-numbers-are-failing/

  19. @mpesce tweets

    Let’s be about the Finance Minister’s language, since it seems necessary: ‘self-indulgent’ & ‘reckless’ are code words for ‘ignorant’ and ‘lazy’ and ‘unable to control themselves’ – signifiers the powerful use to frame the disempowered as unworthy of possessing power.

  20. Cynical laughter.

    @suzit500
    ·
    13m
    what I like about Abbott is he never let his ego get in the way of his achievements, he was so understated about his success in indigenous affairs that you can’t see his signature effect on anything, not a thing, not one bloody thing!

  21. Claire G. Coleman Wirlomin Noongar, Black&Write Indigenous Writing Fellow. Novels: The Old Lie,Terra Nullius:
    @clairegcoleman
    ·
    1m
    Now I have calmed down I can speak more calmly about this.

    Abbot has never been a friend of Indigenous Australia. He has insulted us and done us disservice after disservice and has given trolls and racists material to use against us.

    Awarding him this honor is an insult.

  22. lizzie says:
    Monday, June 8, 2020 at 9:29 am

    All Federal politicians elected since 2004 are subject to the same conditions of release for their super as everyone else and they are in an accumulation fund and a defined benefit fund.

    Very few remain that are members of the old pension scheme.

  23. with inexpensive unarmed non-professionals and technology — for a greater crime-rate reduction

    This is harsh, the police are only professionals at shooting people, the replacements are meant to be professionals with useful qualifications, social work, mental health, homelessness, useful qualifications.

  24. Bucephalus @ #187 Monday, June 8th, 2020 – 7:42 am

    lizzie says:
    Monday, June 8, 2020 at 9:29 am

    All Federal politicians elected since 2094 are subject to the same conditions of release for their super as everyone else and they are in an accumulation fund and a defined benefit fund.

    Very few remain that are members of the old pension scheme.

    WOW!!!

    So you’re saying it will apply to polies who probably aren’t even born yet.

    Now that’s forward looking legislation!!! 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆

  25. Lock the Gate
    @LockTheGate
    ·
    5m
    Applications by mining companies to impact Aboriginal cultural sites in WA are continuing to be signed off by the State Government, despite the controversy around Rio Tinto’s decision to use the mechanism to destroy 46,000 y/o artifacts at Juukan Gorge.

  26. phoenixRED,
    Someone said they should turn the signs around so Trump can read them. However, as Trump is so vain and never wears his glasses, he wouldn’t be able to see them.

  27. C@tmomma @ #166 Monday, June 8th, 2020 – 9:10 am

    Oh dear.

    Lawrence James SPRINGBORG
    QLD

    For significant service to the Parliament of Queensland, and to the community of the Southern Downs.

    The Borg thoroughly deserves his gong, after all , he lead the LNP to multiple losses against Labor. What better way to serve the Qld parliament ?

  28. WWP

    I do agree. I think the professionals was sarcastic in the tweet for that reason. I would have put quotation marks around professionals to make the point.

  29. Bucephalus

    When pollies are able to accumulate millions (billions?) both before election and while in office, although it may all be legal, I see no reason why they should not be assessed like other “welfare bludgers”. (sarc)

  30. lil’ Green Pony doing her bestest ever Joseph Goebbels impersonation:

    “ Why Hawke government minister and Labor stalwart Graham Richardson voted Liberal

    https://www.news.com.au/national/politics/why-hawke-government-minister-and-labor-stalwart-graham-richardson-voted-liberal/news-story/84e6ca7c19ceb42047f4d98e49e791d4

    ““For the first time in my life I voted one Liberal,” he revealed on Sky News last night.
    :::
    “We have to show people that there’s nothing like looking after people at home. There’s plenty of people who need looking after,” he told broadcaster Alan Jones.
    :::
    Richardson said politicians needed to prioritise the needs of people in Australia before shifting their attention to global or niche issues.

    It was a reference to Dr Phelps, who fought for action on climate change and the treatment of offshore refugees during her brief stint in parliament.

    Too much attention was being paid to “tales of woe from people who’ve never done a thing for this country”, Richardson said.

    “That’s why I voted for Sharma in Wentworth and not for Phelps.”

    _____

    Lil’ pony conveniently left out the bit where Richardson made it clear that he was talking about preference allocations. After voting No.1 for Labor, he preferenced Sharma over Phelps. That’s it: an official Tory over a petite Tory. As a petite Tory herself, no wonder pony was in a frizzle over this ‘revelation’.

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