Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

The latest Newspoll records little change on three weeks ago, with Scott Morrison dominating on personal ratings but the Coalition enjoying only a slender lead on voting intention.

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead unchanged at 51-49, with both major parties down a point on the primary vote, the Coalition to 42% and Labor to 34%. The Greens are up two to 12% and One Nation are down one to 4%. Scott Morrison’s approval is unchanged at 66%, and his disapproval is down one to 29%; Anthony Albanese is respectively down three to 41% and up one to 38%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is now 56-26, out from 56-29. The BludgerTrack leadership trends (see also on the sidebar) have been updated with these numbers. The poll was conducted online from Wednesday to Saturday, from a sample of 1512.

UPDATE: The Australian has helpfully published a PDF display of all the poll results, including for a suite of questions on coronavirus and its foreign policy implications. Opinion was divided as to whether the World Health Organisation (34% positive, 32% negative) and United Nations (23% positive, 21% negative) had had a beneficial impact on the crisis, but quite a lot clearer in relation to “Xi Jinping and the Chinese government” (6% positive, 72% negative) and “Donald Trump and the United States government” (9% positive, 79% negative). Further results are available through the link.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,741 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition”

Comments Page 35 of 35
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  2. Douglas and Milko
    says:
    OMG – I have been trying to place your personality.
    You are Franny Roote, an excellent character invented by the British writer Reginald Hill.
    ________________________________

    “dead-pan joker Franny Roote… the ex-con and aspiring academic is mad, bad, and dangerous to know.”

    I think I’ll incorporate this into my Bio 🙂

  3. Red Ted

    Bob Lynch:

    Every now and then I have done education research, and so learned how to do quantitive research with qualitative inputs.
    I’d be interested in being convinced of this

    metrology?

    I think this was something I said, not something Bob Lynch said?

    Not metrology, and I had to be convinced of the effectiveness of said studies. They used “positive” and “negative” responses to questions about the effectiveness of courses and teaching practices in focus groups (yes, I know). But we were able to calibrate the responses against student questionnaires about what they felt about different aspects of a course.

    Far from perfect, but to say the humanities cannot be subjected to quantitive study, which may need a lot of development and calibration, seems like a retrograde step.

  4. I hope I’m wrong, because I desperately want to see the end of Trump, but…

    I can’t help feeling that the Dems are at risk of painting themselves into a corner with the “defund the police” stuff.

    I’m sure it’s stirring rhetoric for all involved. I am particularly taken by Hollywood film stars like Natalie Portman who are calling for it: I guess they consider it unfair that they have to pay taxes to fund the police forces while also shelling out large amount of money for their own private 24/7 security services.

    You can see Biden and some of the other more moderate Democrats starting to get a bit nervous about all of this. Many are starting to say things like “‘defunding the police’ doesn’t really mean not having a police force at all, it means reforming our systems and perhaps diverting some money away from law enforcement towards health and education in African-American communities.”

    But can they sustain this more moderate position, or will the forces that have now been unleashed refuse to stop until there are no more police in all the cities and states under the control of Democrat politicians?

    And what happens then? I’m rather doubting it will be everyone suddenly starting to walk around holding hands and singing Kumbaya. I think there’ll be quite a few inner cities in which the gangs will feel immediately emboldened and the tempo of lootings and burglaries will increase, and perhaps far worse things than that. Businesses will close, people will be thrown out of work, etc, etc.

    And this will all be seen as the entirely the responsibility of the Democrat party. And it will give every Republican politician in the country – from Trump down to the local candidates – a major boost. And, ironically, it will even alienate quite a lot of African-American and Hispanic voters, who do kind of depend on the cops to keep the gang violence under control in their neighbourhoods.

    In short it’s yet another case of a left-wing party running with a big target strategy – almost the most massive imaginable – when they should be trying to put all of the focus onto the many and varied shortcomings of the incumbents. We saw it in Australia, we saw it in the UK, and we are quite possibly going to see it in the US.

  5. “Why hasn’t this been reported in the media? Why would the guards do this? I’ll put that story in the same basket as the accusations of the RAN sailors holding peoples hands against hot exhausts to burn them.”

    So the only truth, only experience, is yours and yours alone… unless of course it comes from … the “media”? lol.
    The poster who posts 30 times a day correcting and talking down to everyone else but himself?

    “I’m just calling out the BS on this site that others won’t.”

    And the great BS arbitrator is of course… You: Buce from the “Right”

    FYI in fact it is BF policy that those in detention weren’t to be brought in items such as birthday cakes. I’ve seen the regs and literally been there when such items are confiscated or destroyed. So don’t try and BS me about another thing you appear not to know much about despite your claimed omnipresence .

    Clearly you’re a knowledgeable poster and while I don’t agree with all of what I’ve read of yours over the long period I’ve lurked – I’m more than happy to debate it in search of balance, knowledge and experience

    But if there’s any single reason I’ve finally bothered to start posting its your confected superiority. There is much I’ll never know or experience but I try very hard not to post as if I’ve taken it upon myself to single handedly balance the apparent (from your perspective) bias on any site.

    Whats wrong with “Share knowledge and life experience not polemic, bullying and bluster”

    I’d spend more time internalizing and inwardly debating your viewpoints – and discussing them with all the “great people I know” on any number of issues if you didn’t belligerently come across as an “always right” prick.

  6. BW ”My best moment for the week was watching that statue of Colston go head first into the river.
    Beautiful!”

    In the River – that’s where he belongs.

  7. nath

    dead-pan joker Franny Roote… the ex-con and aspiring academic is mad, bad, and dangerous to know.”

    I think I’ll incorporate this into my Bio

    😀

  8. Possum Comitatus
    ·
    46m
    The only people that give a shit about the statues are the pigeons and performative conservatives. If the conservatives truly gave a rats arse about them – as if they were in any way actually meaningful to them- – 90% of them wouldn’t be in their current derelict state.

  10. From a sad article in the Guardian about George Floyd’s funeral:

    “Lives like George will not matter until somebody pays the cost for taking their lives,” said the civil rights advocate the Rev Al Sharpton in his eulogy. Celebrating the passion of the mass protests, he added: “All over the world I’ve seen grandchildren of slave masters tearing down slave master statues.”

    Once again for emphasis: “All over the world I’ve seen grandchildren of slave masters tearing down slave master statues.”

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/jun/09/george-floyd-houston-funeral-tribute?utm_term=RWRpdG9yaWFsX0d1YXJkaWFuVG9kYXlVS19XZWVrZGF5cy0yMDA2MTA%3D&utm_source=esp&utm_medium=Email&CMP=GTUK_email&utm_campaign=GuardianTodayUK

  12. And before it is goodnight from me, I am ambivalent about some of the statues being torn down.

    For Robert E Lee I would have preferred to see an alternative history plaque attached to his statue. But as I write this, maybe no. I realise that complex character of Robert E Lee, who only sided with the Confederates because he “could not betray his state of Virginia” has become a magnet for racists.

    Unfortunately the flawed but human and talented James Cook is headed the same way. Cook has become become a point of contention in the culture wars, and reduced to good versus evil in the culture wars.

    My take: Maybe the time of statues of “heroes” is over, and we need a more nuanced way of seeing history.

    And Leopold II of Belgium (and his statues) should be first up against the wall when the revolution comes. And any bloody slave trader – no excuses there!!

  14. Have any senior Dems called for the defunding of the police? They have skirted around the issue, a couple of mayors have done it, but I dont think the Democrats per se are calling for it.
    I could be wrong.

  15. Conservatives don’t want to acknowledge that there is any problem with racism. They post or tweet stuff like “white lives matter”, “all lives matter” – both true, of course, but that’s not the point. Christian Conservatives post “Christ died for all lives“ or similar. For all Christians a core belief, but again beside the point.

    They also post in support of the police, in spite of the fact, especially in the USA, there seems to be a systemic racism problem, not to mention that highly militarised Police forces contain many members who act like highly trained armed thugs in an occupying force.

    Conservatives so much want to deny the problem – black lives are at greater risk than others. So, why do they feel a strong need to deny that racism is a problem?

  16. Steve

    Conservative denial is very strong.

    Just look at John Howard refusing to say Sorry.
    Look at the current LNP denying the science on global heating.

  18. The statues don’t matter. Everybody was a racist before about 1960, with a few honourable exceptions. Pretty much everyone who was not democratically accountable (and many who were) did some bad stuff.

    So I’d leave Cook and Lachlan Macquarie in place.
    I’d toss Oliver Cromwell into the River.

    Maybe we could emulate some ex-Communist countries. They moved all their statues of Marx and Lenin into vacant blocks and obscure corners of parks.

  19. Labor senator pulls ‘all lives matter’ post after social media backlash

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-06-08/tasmania-labor-senator-helen-polley-pulls-all-lives-matter-post/12331534

    “Helen Polley sparked outrage on Sunday night when she shared the image, which read “every life matters no matter what the colour of your skin is”.
    :::
    Former Tasmanian Labor premier David Bartlett responded on Twitter, saying it was completely unacceptable for a representative of the Australian Labor Party, and a serious embarrassment to all in the Labor Party.
    ::
    “Your tweet is a serious embarrassment to all of us in the Labor Party. It is Hanson lite. It is tin-eared and a classic dog whistle. Remove it.”
    :::
    She said she has always stood against racism.”

  20. Here is a review I wrote for Tripadvisor in 2013 about Richmond and Jackson ward in particular. It has had lots of comments. One thing, you need to know that the really nice “smashed avo” and latte people I saw were black. I did not feel the need to mention this in my TripAdvisor review (honestly, why would I), which seemed to really piss off some of the people commenting on my review – race must be the first question you ask about someone I the US?

    Jackson Ward as seen from an Australian Traveller
    “I found myself in Jackson Ward almost a week ago, on a Sunday afternoon, during the Richmond Folk Festival. I was travelling from DC to Charlottesville on business, and decided to stop in Richmond for a while. After consulting my Lonely Planet I decided on a trip to the Black History Museum, which is in Jackson Ward. I did not have a good map, and so did a search on Jackson Ward (actually looking for a hotel there) , and found the reviews on this site. As I was already in the area, I was surprised to read that it is believed by some to be a dangerous area. There were plenty of people on the street, looking very happy and normal, a Thai restaurant, and a very nice looking Deli, full of people. There were beautiful old houses, that looked like they were being lovingly restored, and some fantastic murals. The music venues were closed – as it was a Sunday afternoon – but I would love to go back on a Friday or Saturday night. The stature of “Mr Bojangles” is a must-see for anyone who has been exposed to the many versions of that song that have been recorded over the years. I travel extensively for work, and often do not have a lot of choice about where I go. A few places are a bit dangerous, but Jackson Ward is definitely not one of them. I think if you miss this district when you are in Richmond you are missing a great piece of American culture.”

  23. Steve777

    The statues don’t matter. Everybody was a racist before about 1960, with a few honourable exceptions. Pretty much everyone who was not democratically accountable (and many who were) did some bad stuff.

    So I’d leave Cook and Lachlan Macquarie in place.
    I’d toss Oliver Cromwell into the River.

    Yeah, bloody Cromwell – northern Ireland lives with legacy even now.

    Maybe we could emulate some ex-Communist countries. They moved all their statues of Marx and Lenin into vacant blocks and obscure corners of parks.

    I like this idea – I have visited some of these parks, particularly in Hungary and the Czech Republic. That way you are not eliminating or censoring history (you should never, ever destroy any historical source, no matter how odious). You are quarantining it.

  24. On statues. When I was young I swore I would piss on John Howard’s grave. Now I’m older I couldn’t be bothered even if the grave was available. Pull down statues of slave owners if you can muster the energy. But who will destroy this statue of Augustus Emperor of Rome. How many millions were enslaved by or slaved for him?

  25. Torchbearer @ #1139 Tuesday, June 9th, 2020 – 10:42 pm

    Theodare- true, but it is a pedantic point. Spain fears Catalonia and Basque gaining Independence, and then using the Scotland precedent to enter the EU. When they become Independent they will not automatically be members of the EU- they will be out of the EU as new Sovereign States and will have to apply to join. The terms would need to be agreed to etc….. Spain will veto them entering.

    And you know this how? Are you the Spanish Prime Minister?

    Considering it’s likely to be years before Scotland becomes an independent nation (and I really hope it does), none of us have any idea of how any EU member state would vote. A guess, yes, but actual knowledge like you are pontificating, then no.

  27. “I’d toss Oliver Cromwell into the River.”

    I’ve always thought that if you had a statute erected after you there was a better than 50% chance you were a right arsehole. One that only opportunity and perhaps ability precluded you from being compared alongside Hitler or Stalin.

    Rather than pulling down statures, maybe we should be placing plaques on the plinth documenting exactly how and why the person was such an arsehole. No?

    I’ve always thought that having statutes of dead slavers along the docks and mainstreets of various English Port town was very apt. They only missed the plaque documenting exactly how the empire was really won, and how the fortune of that town was made. Taking down said statutes simply allows the atrocities that built the town to be airbrushed away, or at least swept into a dusty corner of some museum.

  28. ”Rather than pulling down statures, maybe we should be placing plaques on the plinth documenting exactly how and why the person was such an arsehole. No?“

    That idea has merit.

  29. AE

    Better to take the dodgy statues and place them in the corner of a museum somewhere with suitable “interprative signage”..

    call it a “rogues gallery” 🙂

  30. Andrew_Earlwood
    says:
    I’ve always thought that having statutes of dead slavers along the docks and mainstreets of various English Port town was very apt. They only missed the plaque documenting exactly how the empire was really won, and how the fortune of that town was made.
    _____________________
    Not a bad idea. You could have a plaque explaining how the rather ordinary embankment you were standing on was built on the blood and tears of thousands.

  32. Racism in the United States was invented as a mechanism enabling wealthy white people to steal systematically from the less wealthy (and in particular, to steal from poor whites, who at that time were numerically dominant in electoral terms), as LBJ (the paramount master of that dark art) explained:

    “I’ll tell you what’s at the bottom of it,” he said. “If you can convince the lowest white man he’s better than the best colored man, he won’t notice you’re picking his pocket. Hell, give him somebody to look down on, and he’ll empty his pockets for you.”

    LBJ walked away from that strategy; then Nixon picked it up out of the gutter. I wonder what Lincoln woulld have thought of that!

  33. EGT
    Lincoln is one of my heroes and he was indisputably a racist. People are way more complicated than the social media age will admit. Everything is snap judgements now. No one thinks for themselves.

  34. Rex Douglas says:
    King Leopold II of Belgium
    —————————-
    He so often escapes being mentioned in the same breathe as the other worst leaders of recent centuries yet was everybit as bad as Hilter and Stalin.

  41. Pegasus says:
    Wednesday, June 10, 2020 at 7:44 pm
    Rex Patrick on twitter

    “The Government and Labor just voted down a Senate inquiry into Australia’s relations with #China. There was full Crossbench/Greens support. I thank Liberal Senator Fierravanti-Wells for crossing the floor for the first time in 15 years and voting for the inquiry #auspol”

    Idiotic grandstanding by the LibKin and their cronies in LibNation, LibLites and LibClones.

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