Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

The latest Newspoll records little change on three weeks ago, with Scott Morrison dominating on personal ratings but the Coalition enjoying only a slender lead on voting intention.

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead unchanged at 51-49, with both major parties down a point on the primary vote, the Coalition to 42% and Labor to 34%. The Greens are up two to 12% and One Nation are down one to 4%. Scott Morrison’s approval is unchanged at 66%, and his disapproval is down one to 29%; Anthony Albanese is respectively down three to 41% and up one to 38%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is now 56-26, out from 56-29. The BludgerTrack leadership trends (see also on the sidebar) have been updated with these numbers. The poll was conducted online from Wednesday to Saturday, from a sample of 1512.

UPDATE: The Australian has helpfully published a PDF display of all the poll results, including for a suite of questions on coronavirus and its foreign policy implications. Opinion was divided as to whether the World Health Organisation (34% positive, 32% negative) and United Nations (23% positive, 21% negative) had had a beneficial impact on the crisis, but quite a lot clearer in relation to “Xi Jinping and the Chinese government” (6% positive, 72% negative) and “Donald Trump and the United States government” (9% positive, 79% negative). Further results are available through the link.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,741 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition”

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  1. I think I’m more annoyed by BBishop’s award than Abbott’s. BBishop left parliament thoroughly disgraced having openly rorted public taxpayer funds for her own purposes, and didn’t really show any remorse for having been caught out.

    Not exactly the kind of person who should be honoured for community service.

  2. WeWantPaul @ #4 Monday, June 8th, 2020 – 7:56 am

    One unwilling to expand their horizons beyond their blinkers, I think.

    Yeah that is definitely my problem unwilling to expand my mindset by swimming in the deeply mediocre, deeply centrist group think of the Rupert’s Australian media (he sets the agenda for them all).

    Brilliant, mind shattering analysis there champ you really got me. I will definitely try to read more of the wild radical ideas out of Australia’s mainstream media. You know the media that believed Scotty was in not Hawaii because, *checks notes* his office told them so. That is definitely where I should be going to expand my mind.

    Big improvement from actually defending vile racism though, so baby steps for you.

    I’m hardly going to take my riding instructions from someone like you who prefers base insults and arsehattery to genuine dialogue with people across the political spectrum. Have fun out there on the lunatic fringe!

    Hmm, me a racist? I guess you must have been unable or unwilling to notice when I took down meher baba the other day for her posting that was leaning in a racist direction? Being a blinkered, bitter impotent red ragger, that’s probably the case. You do remember that Gough had utter contempt for people like you, don’t you?

    Anyhoo, I’m not about to ruin my day pointlessly arguing the toss with someone who refuses to see any other perspective but their own. Call me what you want, if that makes you feel better, WWP. Have a nice day and enjoy your political impotence out there yelling at the clouds. 🙂

  3. I would have thought you’d be happy to see Republicans defecting from their party so as not to get Trump again?

    Except, like Rick Wilson they are not deflecting from the party and looking for new less racist, less corrupt ways, they want to return to the nice balance they had with lots of racism and wall to wall corruption before Trump fell on their parade. They are terrified that Trump will create a backlash that actually makes the US less racist and less corrupt and that is behind the very same calls we hear Scotty from marketing to go back to the very same way it was before, with added trickle down and corruption.

    While some may let dreams of the perfect get in the way of the very good, this whole worshiping the truly worst humans because they are slightly better than Trump, is deeply deeply stupid and dangerous.

  4. WWP. Have a nice day and enjoy your political impotence out there yelling at the clouds.

    you too champ you too.

  5. Paul Barratt
    @phbarratt
    ·
    1m
    Dear Mr Abbott: You claim that your government’s budget cuts put Australia in a better position to deal with #COVID19.

    Please elaborate, with particular reference to the cuts to CSIRO’s health related research budget, and their effect on the Animal Health Laboratory at Geelong.

  6. Perhaps we should highlight those responsible for this “honours” list Council chair Shane Stone, former NT Coalition MP, and responsible minister Mathias Corman. I think the list is a reflection of its creators. Both share credibility and impartiality equally.

    The marches on the weekend were significant. I would like to hear Labor say more about them. Have a good day all.

  7. continuo:

    [‘…the LibKin, the LibLing, the LibLite and LibNation, LibHeavy…’]

    I’m not certain but I think another poster used to use these terms, and on a regular basis. Oh, I’ve remembered who that poster is: briefly. I do hope he doesn’t accuse you of plagiarism.

  8. I have been through the entire list of SA honours recipients and there is not a single person that I knew of. I cannot recall this ever occurring before.

  9. Kaharine Murphy is nicely pointing the talking stick at Matthias Cormann:

    Cormann did not have to do that. He did not have to rile people up. He did not have to virtue signal to the Coalition’s political base on Sky News. But he made a calculation to legitimise some forms of anger in the community, and delegitimise others.

    This strategy isn’t innovative. We see another political leader do this every day of the week. His name is Donald Trump. A president prepared to let his country burn, a president of divide and conquer.

  10. BK @ #17 Monday, June 8th, 2020 – 8:13 am

    I have been through the entire list of SA honours recipients and there is not a single person that I knew of. I cannot recall this ever occurring before.

    I bet Cory Bernardi gets one before too long. Maybe next year. His life as an ultra monarchist will not be complete without a Queens Birthday Honour. No one in SA can forget that crumb!

  11. Shane Stone – a former President of the Liberal Party?

    Wikipedia. Stone held several portfolios, including Attorney-General, Education and the Arts, Employment and Training, Mines and Energy, Industries and Development, and Asian Relations and Trade. In late 1997 Stone attracted sustained criticism when as the First Law Officer being the Attorney-General he appointed himself a Queen’s Counsel.

  12. Shane Stone is a former chief minister of the NT. His tenure was characterised by racism, intolerance, bully-boy tactics and division.

  13. Tony Windsor wins AM after 22-year political career in two parliaments | The Armidale Express | Armidale, NSW.

  14. Taylormade @ #58 Sunday, June 7th, 2020 – 11:08 pm

    Alpo.
    Playing with yourself a bit there. I cannot recall too many occasions on
    Abbott commentating on current political issues since exiting the political stage. Rudd and Turnbull seem to be the loudest of the ex PMs.

    Maybe it’s because you don’t get invited to any of his speeches to Ultra RW groups? He’s had more of a global purview recently.

    Also, I do remember him sticking his oar in here a couple of times and his comments were either laughed out of town or essentially irrelevant to the discourse.

  15. BK

    Same here re SA names. Also I did not see a single name I recognised from my field of engineering or academic research. The academic names I did see are mainly administrators who have not done research in twenty years. It is a list of administrators and connected people.

    The separation of our society into ruled and ruling classes is almost complete.

  16. For those with the courage and craziness to join me out on the lunatic fringes, that most extreme left wing publication Washington Post, has what would be a mindblowing challenge to the Australian mainstream media, in an article by Margaret Sullivan entitled “What’s a journalist supposed to be now – an activist? A stenographer? You’re asking the wrong question.”

    Google will do its thing if you are interested.

  17. Scottish Parliament Votes
    (Scot Goes Pop / Panelbase poll, 1st-5th June 2020)

    (Election in 2021)

    Seats projection:

    Independence Parties:
    SNP 72 (+9)
    Greens 5 (-1)
    TOTAL. 77

    Unionist Parties:
    Conservatives 25 (-6)
    Labour 19 (-5)
    Liberal Democrats 8 (+3)
    TOTAL 52

    if Independence Parties have an absolute majority in next years election in a proportionally accurate Parliament and the Conservative and Unionist Government in the less than democratic Westminster continues to “forbid” a referendum, It’s time for UDI in 2021 by a more democratically elected Scottish Government.

  18. The separation of our society into ruled and ruling classes is almost complete.

    Yep we are top lip deep in neo-feudal shitfuckery of the worst kind.

  19. OK, Tony Abbott got a gong, fair enough. Back when he reintroduced knighthoods he probably had dreams of receiving one himself when the time came.

    But Bronwyn Bishop? An incompetent Minister and the most egregiously biased and incompetent Speaker in the history of the Parliament, who was forced out of office after rorting her expenses.? Not only that, but as indicated in the interview with Paul Murray linked by Lizzie @8:02, she is an all out fascist

    Her AO devalues the honour.

  20. C@tmomma @ #121 Monday, June 8th, 2020 – 8:29 am

    KayJay @ #25 Monday, June 8th, 2020 – 8:25 am

    Thanks BK – for the Dawn Patrol.

    Cold wet day in Newcastle. Good day for doing not much and avoiding stress. 😮

    What have you done to upset the gods, KayJay!?! It’s a glorious, sunny morning down the road on the Central Coast. 😀

    New report. Clear blue sky, streets and yards drying out.
    12℃ maybe rain during the day. My plan is still rest and recreation today.

  21. OK, Tony Abbott got a gong, fair enough. Back when he reintroduced knighthoods he probably had dreams of receiving one himself when the time came.

    But Bronwyn Bishop? An incompetent Minister and the most egregiously biased and incompetent Speaker in the history of the Parliament, who was forced out of office after rorting her expenses.? Not only that, but as indicated in the interview with Paul Murray linked by Lizzie @8:02, she is an all out fascist

    Her AO devalues the honour.

    His devalues it. He was a terrible PM, who broke pretty much every promise and couldn’t get a budget through the Parliament. The one promise he did keep was dismantling the carbon scheme which, which given a bit of luck and a dollop of justice, a future Climate Crimes Tribunal may still hold him criminally accountable for.

    Her makes a mockery of it entirely, and puts it squarely in the ‘Royal’ honors category. You know that world where whose body you are yanked from is the most important honor and the biggest impact on your life’s trajectory.

  22. Maybe Bronwyn Bishop received her honour for Services to the Parliamentary Practice in the cause of the Liberal Party? 🙂

  23. Socrates @ #99 Monday, June 8th, 2020 – 7:57 am

    Morning all. What can one say about the Queen’s birthday honours? Surely one of the most partisan lists ever, dominated by Coalition politicians, several of whom left office in disgrace. Perhaps Bronwyn Bishop got it for services to Civil Aviation?

    Tony Abbott clearly felt the need to influence memories of his time in office. A man who made a career of destroying other people’s accomplishments seemed desperate to invent a few of his own.

    “ Former prime minister Tony Abbott has praised his government’s tough budget savings for helping to prepare Australia for the coronavirus crisis, as he accepts the nation’s top civilian honour for his services to the country.”

    He couldn’t even tell the truth in retirement. The budget blew out under Abbott faster than under Gillard. Meanwhile his cuts to health services could only have harmed our response to Covid19. That only succeeded after Morrison quietly buried Liberal policy to have a budget surplus. A pathetic end, to a man who was given so much, from his student days on. I can only assume the honours council is as badly stacked as the Rhodes scholarship one must be.

    ‘The budget blew out under Abbott faster than under Gillard’

    And yet Labor made nothing of it at the time.
    Saw no political advantage in talking about it.
    Go figure.

  24. Bronwyn Bishop, AO – now xenophobic contributor to SkyFoxNews
    Sophie Mirabella – now on government boards and Big Gina’s payroll
    Tony Abbott, AC – his legacy of destruction of action on climate change only outweighed by his poisoning of the Australian polity for a generation
    Ken Wyatt – Minister for Aboriginal Affairs, what are you doing with this crew?

  25. Did ANYONE (that definitely does NOT include Graham Richardson), from the Labor Party, receive an award today?

  26. Steve777 @ #124 Monday, June 8th, 2020 – 8:39 am

    OK, Tony Abbott got a gong, fair enough. Back when he reintroduced knighthoods he probably had dreams of receiving one himself when the time came.

    But Bronwyn Bishop? An incompetent Minister and the most egregiously biased and incompetent Speaker in the history of the Parliament, who was forced out of office after rorting her expenses.? Not only that, but as indicated in the interview with Paul Murray linked by Lizzie @8:02, she is an all out fascist

    Her AO devalues the honour.

    ‘Her AO devalues the honour.’ Mr Albanese said.

  27. mundo @ #134 Monday, June 8th, 2020 – 8:46 am

    Steve777 @ #124 Monday, June 8th, 2020 – 8:39 am

    OK, Tony Abbott got a gong, fair enough. Back when he reintroduced knighthoods he probably had dreams of receiving one himself when the time came.

    But Bronwyn Bishop? An incompetent Minister and the most egregiously biased and incompetent Speaker in the history of the Parliament, who was forced out of office after rorting her expenses.? Not only that, but as indicated in the interview with Paul Murray linked by Lizzie @8:02, she is an all out fascist

    Her AO devalues the honour.

    ‘Her AO devalues the honour.’ Mr Albanese said.

    Just imagine.
    Talk about starting a conversation.

  28. On reflection, I’d like to see OAs given to Eddie Obeid and Mark Latham. Some might see them as failed Labor politicians. But I think it would balance out the list nicely.

  29. Good Morning

    I see nothing has changed. While not having reviewed the conversation I can see the heat between Cat and WWP has more to do with political views of centrism v the left than any real racism on either part.

    On that battle.

    WWP take heart. The centrists are whining again because the reality of the Sadners policy positions are needed to address the protests are coming home to roost. Universal Healthcare is getting much much more support now.

    I think Biden is changing his position and the private for profit healthcare mob are squealing like stuck pigs. Add that to the defunding of police departments to force them to demilitarise and increased equality in legislation to combat systemic racism and you have a perfect storm of opposition to the GOP long term policies that led to the rise of Trump.

    I suspect part of the squealing is because they know they are going to lose the election now that Trump has seen sense and withdrawn national guard troops and the constitutional crisis is resolved.

    Polls have shown Trump losing support from evangelicals. Thats added to the court victories on mail in ballots and Florida increasing the voting franchise.

    Today is a day of hope.
    I am no fan of centrism but the centrists in Labor are in for a shock as the Democrat centrists move to the left.

    We now have a left in the US that is willing to do to the Democrats what the “Freedom Caucus” did to the GOP. This time aided by events.

  30. Ken Wyatt – Minister for Aboriginal Affairs, what are you doing with this crew?

    After his tweets on the weekend that is clearly the group he identifies with and works hard for now.

    News suggests Minneapolis is moving to disband its police force. Nice work if true.

  31. Bob Brown must be disappointed in not getting a gong for his sterling effort regards the convoy to elect the coalition last election.

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