Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

The latest Newspoll records little change on three weeks ago, with Scott Morrison dominating on personal ratings but the Coalition enjoying only a slender lead on voting intention.

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead unchanged at 51-49, with both major parties down a point on the primary vote, the Coalition to 42% and Labor to 34%. The Greens are up two to 12% and One Nation are down one to 4%. Scott Morrison’s approval is unchanged at 66%, and his disapproval is down one to 29%; Anthony Albanese is respectively down three to 41% and up one to 38%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is now 56-26, out from 56-29. The BludgerTrack leadership trends (see also on the sidebar) have been updated with these numbers. The poll was conducted online from Wednesday to Saturday, from a sample of 1512.

UPDATE: The Australian has helpfully published a PDF display of all the poll results, including for a suite of questions on coronavirus and its foreign policy implications. Opinion was divided as to whether the World Health Organisation (34% positive, 32% negative) and United Nations (23% positive, 21% negative) had had a beneficial impact on the crisis, but quite a lot clearer in relation to “Xi Jinping and the Chinese government” (6% positive, 72% negative) and “Donald Trump and the United States government” (9% positive, 79% negative). Further results are available through the link.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,741 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition”

Comments Page 2 of 35
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  1. Rex Douglas says:
    Sunday, June 7, 2020 at 10:38 pm
    Can anyone seriously see Labor governing in their own right ever again …?

    With the tireless support of the LibKin, the LibLing, the LibLite and LibNation, LibHeavy rule is eternally assured in this country. One party rule is set to stay.

    Labor has won from opposition during a recession just once since 1918. That success came in 1983. It is unique in the record.

  2. sprocket_
    says:
    Sunday, June 7, 2020 at 10:57 pm
    Richo was rewarded with an imperial honour for voting Liberal
    ______________
    Richo has always had a lot of luck. Like with the Offset Alpine fire. Terrible tragedy but it turned out to be good news in the end I think.

  3. Rex Douglas says:
    Sunday, June 7, 2020 at 10:38 pm

    I think it would need a two in front of it like with Gillard before they did something. Just needs 50%+1 to change the Caucus voting rules to a Caucus only vote for a new leader.

    Can’t see it happening but I said that before they knifed Gillard.

  4. Alpo.
    Playing with yourself a bit there. I cannot recall too many occasions on
    Abbott commentating on current political issues since exiting the political stage. Rudd and Turnbull seem to be the loudest of the ex PMs.

  5. I can never see Abbott’s face without thinking about him saying to the Independents that he’d almost sell his arse to be PM. Can you imagine what Shorten would have offered? The mind boggles.

  6. Who is the bigger Labor rat- Mark Latham or “whatever it takes” Graham Richardson?
    ———-

    ‘King Rat!’: Former Labor leader Mark Latham slammed for betraying the party that gave him the chance to be prime minister – before accusing Graham Richardson of taking money from disgraced developer Ron Medich in a heated TV debate

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5935973/Graham-Richardson-Mark-Latham-engage-heated-clash-Sky-News-jailed-tycoon-Ron-Medich.html

    “Nonetheless, Mr Latham called his adversary an ‘old rotten shyster’ before the former minister, known in Labor circles as ‘Richo’, labelled him a ‘king rat’.
    :::
    The 57-year-old former federal Labor leader didn’t stop there, pointing out how Mr Richardson in 1991 had used his influence in the party’s right-faction to ensure Lebanese-born publisher Eddie Obeid was given a winnable spot on the ALP’s upper house ticket in New South Wales.

    Obeid, an influential Labor powerbroker who served one term as a minister in the Carr government, is now serving a five-year jail term for corruptly influencing bureaucrats to favour his family’s business interests.

    Mr Latham, who led Labor from 2003 to 2005, has voiced robo call messages to voters in Brisbane’s north on behalf of Senator Hanson’s One Nation.”

  7. Noticed the Minister for Indigenous Australians standing behind Abbott in the photo of Abbott rousing the rabble.
    Haven’t heard so much as a squeak from Wyatt this week have we?
    Don’t remember hearing him say anything about Rio Tinto’s vandalism of the previous week, which he is apparently had foreknowledge of.

  8. a r says:
    Sunday, June 7, 2020 at 11:22 pm
    Alpo @ #12 Sunday, June 7th, 2020 – 10:06 pm

    “Greens up a solid 2. Bandt is on fire.”… Useless sacrifice, unless that 12% goes straight to the ALP on second preferences…
    It might, if the Labor vs. Greens wars stopped (and the Greens vs. Labor wars too; both are equally idiotic).

    The Greens derive political gains from their campaigns against Labor. These campaigns will not stop. They are essential for the Greens. They do mean that none of the goals of either Labor or the Greens will be realised, but this is entirely secondary to the Greens. They would prefer their own eternal powerlessness to Labor success.

  9. Peg
    Latham by a country mile because he has actually run against ALP candidates. This is something Richo has not done and voting Liberal in a safe seat that the ALP could not win is not a sign of rating.

  10. Rex Douglas says:
    Sunday, June 7, 2020 at 10:38 pm
    Can anyone seriously see Labor governing in their own right ever again …?

    34% primary suggests the knives will be out for Albanese…
    ___________________________________
    And Jim Chalmers doing a story in the Weekend Australian talking about leadership, how he warned Shorten about the crowded agenda when asked, etc etc

  11. I woke to hear the list of top honours and couldn’t believe it. I am extremely unlikely to be offered an award of any kind, but after hearing the names this morning, I could not accept one. They have no respect from me.

    It’s a shame because it takes the gloss off the reward for people who genuinely work hard for their country without financial reward.

  12. Scott
    Shows Australia has the dumbest people in the world
    ————

    No! It shows that we have selfish politicians. There are many decisions that should be taken out of the hands of self-serving party political hackS.

    Awarding honours is one of them.

  13. Malcolm Farr’s comment on the honours.

    This system is hell bent towards irrelevance. …Sorry, it’s arrived.

  14. Rakali

    I thought it was supposed to be a neutral committee. Are the names secret?
    Of course, the recommnedations from “influential citizens” have an effect. Perhaps Bronnie and Tony recommended each other.

  15. Labor can get a majority government with 36% +

    The liberal/national partys majority of times need over 40% to win government in majority of territory, state and federal elections

    Only on rare occasions the Lib/nats can retain office with under 40% of the primary vote , is if it has a big majority aka Howard government at the 1996 federal election , where it could afford seat loses and remain in government

  16. Sit up straight now children – we are lucky today – our very besterest newspaper has a puzzle for us to work out –

    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/top-gongs-for-those-who-did-the-hard-yards-and-had-big-ideas/news-story/9aae4238adb08b205eede1a9a76a9e81

    Here are a few to show the idea – which one does not belong ❓

    https://www.jetpunk.com/user-quizzes/170770/which-one-does-not-belong-1

    Now kiddies which one of the four shown below does not belong ❓

  17. @jonkudelka
    ·
    8h
    If you were asked to pick a test team of people who had done the most damage to Australia in the past two decades you would have to have Abbott in there, probably not at first drop, but a big hitting number six who can hold up an end into the wind with his medium pacers.

  18. Rakali says:
    Monday, June 8, 2020 at 6:59 am

    No! It shows that we have selfish politicians. There are many decisions that should be taken out of the hands of self-serving party political hackS.

    Awarding honours is one of them.

    ————

    How did these politicians get into parliament , by the voting public falling gullible to the foreign influence of a corrupt media tycoon and media outlets supporting and protecting the liberal/national partys

  19. Michael Rowland
    @mjrowland68
    · 18m
    The question could be asked: Why shouldn’t @HonTonyAbbott receive Australia’s top civilian honour (AC)? Regardless of whether you like them or not, our Prime Ministers should receive some recognition once they leave the (demanding) top job. #auspol

    Yes, Tony was very demanding. Always with a monetary reward while he ripped funds from everything worthwhile.

  20. lizzie @ #85 Monday, June 8th, 2020 – 5:22 am

    Michael Rowland
    @mjrowland68
    · 18m
    The question could be asked: Why shouldn’t @HonTonyAbbott receive Australia’s top civilian honour (AC)? Regardless of whether you like them or not, our Prime Ministers should receive some recognition once they leave the (demanding) top job. #auspol

    Yes, Tony was very demanding. Always with a monetary reward while he ripped funds from everything worthwhile.

    What, being part of a very exclusive group already isn’t enough?

    Also I have a problem with people being honoured for just doing their job?

  21. Who is the bigger Labor rat- Mark Latham or “whatever it takes” Graham Richardson?
    ————————————
    Many right wing Labor people will show their true Liberal blue colours if the political opportunity presents itself.

  22. Barney

    My problem is with the way Tony “did his job”.

    He stripped Australia’s domestic violence funding by hundreds of millions of dollars after he’d appointed himself Minister for Women.
    He asserted Australia was unoccupied, forced closures of 150 Indigenous communities, ripped millions from frontline essential services.

  23. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    Abbott, Bishop. There goes the Queen’s Birthday Honours! Sky After Dark will LOVE it. Even Richo.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/history-will-be-kind-abbott-says-cuts-paved-way-for-covid-19-response-20200607-p550ai.html
    Sean Kelly writes that if Scott Morrison wanted protesters to stay home he could have seized the moment to explain the grief and rage that drove people to protest while the threat of a pandemic had not entirely vanished.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/if-scott-morrison-wanted-protesters-to-stay-home-he-could-have-seized-the-moment-20200605-p54zrv.html
    Meanwhile immunologist Professor Jon Dwyer is concerned that the protest marches have put our virus progress at risk.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/marches-put-our-virus-progress-at-risk-20200607-p5508q.html
    The SMH editorial also has some concerns, although it does acknowledge the basis for the protest marches.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/protests-must-be-managed-with-pragmatism-and-sense-of-history-20200607-p550az.html
    It took a death overseas to take the blinkers off here. Australia, the time has come writes indigenous sportsman Joe Williams.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jun/07/it-took-a-death-overseas-to-take-the-blinkers-off-here-australia-the-time-has-come
    Constitutional law professor Megan Davis wonders what will come after these sustained protests.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/after-the-protest-what-comes-next-20200607-p5508o.html
    Katharine Murphy says that the government does not need to import divisive leadership strategies from overseas. She lines up Cormann in particular.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/jun/07/the-government-does-not-need-to-import-divisive-leadership-strategies-from-overseas
    Richard Gluyas writes that an incipient rebellion by the ba­king industry against “draconian” anti-money laundering enforcement measures is intensifying, as leaders compare Westpac’s $1bn penalty and career-ending accountability moves to Canberra emerging unscathed from the robodebt disaster.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/financial-services/bankers-furious-at-penalties-as-canberra-escapes-robodebt-accountability/news-story/29dcb3686c0d83626ce8c54f02ce7d54
    Ross Gittins explains the two-way relationship between the big thing that is the economy and the much smaller thing that is the budget.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/economy-to-blame-for-part-of-expected-budget-blowout-20200607-p5508x.html
    Australians may soon get the green light to gather in groups of more than 100, as health authorities prepare to debate lifting coronavirus restrictions. The Australian Health Protection Principal Committee will meet today to discuss “stage three and beyond”, Deputy Chief Medical Officer Paul Kelly has confirmed.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2020/06/08/easing-coronavirus-restrictions/
    According to Michael Koziol the NSW government will spend $36 million on getting rough sleepers into permanent homes in what it describes as the biggest investment to tackle street homelessness in the state’s history.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/nsw-launches-36-million-program-to-get-rough-sleepers-into-homes-20200607-p5507y.html
    David Crowe tells us that home builders and renovators will start receiving the Morrison government’s $688 million boost to the construction industry without any need for a vote in Parliament to authorise the outlay, despite a Labor move to amend the scheme.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/homebuilder-stimulus-pushed-through-without-house-vote-20200607-p550bd.html
    An unimpressed Michael Pascoe writes that Peter Dutton’s Friday sprays on a morning infotainment show symbolise the disintegration of rational Australian foreign policy. He says dud diplomacy with China will cost plenty and deliver us nothing
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2020/06/08/china-australia-investment-diplomacy/
    Kim Carr says Australian barley growers have become victims of the truce in President Donald Trump’s trade war with China, with US and Canadian growers likely to pick up the sales effectively denied to Australia by the 80 per cent tariff China has imposed on our barley exports. In this quite informative contribution Carr goes into detail about anti-dumping and other trade levers that get pulled.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/misleading-to-portray-anti-dumping-regime-as-a-restraint-on-trade-20200605-p5500g.html
    More women are coming forward for the first time to report family violence, according to Victorian research that shows COVID-19 lockdowns have worsened the potential for abuse in many homes.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/new-reports-of-family-violence-spike-in-covid-19-lockdown-study-finds-20200607-p55096.html
    Nick Toscano and Mick Foley reveal that Australia’s renewable energy output is on track to post its sharpest rise on record in the next two years, driving down power prices and intensifying the prospect of early closures of coal-fired power plants across the country. Matt Canavan, come on down!
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/surging-renewables-covid-19-pile-more-pressure-on-coal-20200603-p54z4d.html
    And Nick O’Malley tells us that BlackRock’s recent actions suggest the giant investor with $10 trillion in the kick has begun putting its money where its mouth is with respect to divestment of shares in fossil fuel industries.
    https://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/everyone-was-watching-blackrock-is-showing-its-hand-on-coal-20200605-p54zrx.html
    Meanwhile The Australian tells us that the developer of a major LNG import terminal, backed by mining billionaire Andrew Forrest, has warned that NSW and Victoria risk running out of gas by 2022, with the industry paralysed by regulatory uncertainty and low oil prices delaying urgent investments needed to cover a supply shortfall.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/mining-energy/nsw-victoria-at-risk-of-lng-shortage/news-story/7f0c902507b700c6806c4a6775c253a3
    Adam Morton points to a study by EY that says stimulus programs backing clean energy as a path out of recession would create nearly three times as many jobs for every dollar spent on fossil fuel developments.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/jun/07/renewable-energy-stimulus-three-times-as-many-australia-jobs-fossil-fuels-coronavirus-economic-recovery
    Zoe Samios reports that some small and independent news publishers fear not getting their fair share of payments from Google and Facebook under a model proposed by media heavyweights where revenue from the digital giants would be pooled and shared between industry organisations. The ACCC has been tasked with designing the model and is due to present it next month some time.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/small-news-publishers-concerned-over-carve-up-of-tech-giants-payments-20200606-p5503o.html
    A quarter-century after Paul Keating proposed an Australian republic, David Muir suggests it has suffered from a failure of leadership by prime ministers who followed.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/political-leaders-must-show-conviction-in-pushing-for-republic,13972
    The passage of time and some shrewd moves by Prince Charles to rehabilitate his image has given the public cause to take a fresh look at their future king writes Bevan Shields.
    https://www.theage.com.au/world/europe/one-is-having-a-good-crisis-the-public-warm-to-charles-20200601-p54yif.html
    Dr Francesco Paolucci and Naomi Moy analyse the UK’s and Australia’s responses to the COVID-19 pandemic and look to what the future may hold.
    https://independentaustralia.net/life/life-display/while-uk-covid-19-cases-rose-australias-slowed-to-a-halt,13960
    According to Andrew Rawnsley the coronavirus crisis won’t give Boris Johnson an alibi for a calamitous Brexit. Ouch!
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jun/07/the-coronavirus-crisis-wont-give-boris-johnson-an-alibi-for-a-calamitous-brexit
    Now Colin Powell has come out and branded Trump being a chronic liar who is dangerous for the country. Nice wrap!
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/dangerous-for-our-country-bush-s-secretary-of-state-calls-trump-a-liar-20200608-p550d2.html
    Powell has endorsed Democratic former US vice-president Joe Biden, becoming the first major Republican to publicly back Donald Trump’s rival ahead of November’s election.
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/jun/07/colin-powell-endorses-joe-biden-for-us-president
    Charles Edel, an academic in the field of US studies, writes about the necessary reckoning for the United States of America. This is a worthwhile read.
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6783936/a-necessary-reckoning-for-the-united-states-of-america/?cs=14232&utm_source=website&utm_medium=home&utm_campaign=latestnews#gsc.tab=0
    Trump uses force as a first resort. And now the firepower is aimed at his own people writes Simon Tisdall.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jun/07/trump-firepower-aimed-at-own-people-george-floyd
    Trump’s use of the military backfired – but will it back him if he refuses to go wonders Robert Reich. It’s a bit scary.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jun/07/donald-trump-military-mattis-mullen-george-floyd-protests

    Cartoon Corner

    Peter Broelman

    Simon Bosch

    Michael Leunig

    Matt Golding


    Mark David


    Mark Knight


    Johannes Leak

    From the US



  24. With even the so called ‘left’ media outlets the Guardian and the ABC in full bootlicker ‘Morrison the Magnificent savior of the Nation’ mode, if I was Scotty from marketing I’d be looking for an opportunity for an early covid election anytime now.

  25. lizzie @ #90 Monday, June 8th, 2020 – 5:30 am

    Barney

    My problem is with the way Tony “did his job”.

    He stripped Australia’s domestic violence funding by hundreds of millions of dollars after he’d appointed himself Minister for Women.
    He asserted Australia was unoccupied, forced closures of 150 Indigenous communities, ripped millions from frontline essential services.

    For me that’s just cream on top.

    Sprocket posted earlier the reasons for Abbott’s award.

    sprocket_ @ #13 Sunday, June 7th, 2020 – 8:07 pm

    Tony Abbott has been made a Companion of the Order of Australia (AC) “for eminent service to the people and Parliament of Australia, particularly as prime minister, and through significant contributions to trade, border control, and to the Indigenous community” #auspol

    Simply laughable!!!!

  26. Constitutional law professor Megan Davis wonders what will come after these sustained protests.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/after-the-protest-what-comes-next-20200607-p5508o.html

    I felt kind of dirty reading the SMH, but it is a good article a few PBers should read, twice.

    In some ways I think Australian democracy is LESS responsive to democratic will than the US, so our only real hope for change is where it is successfully implemented in the US first. Will be interesting to see how ‘defund the police’ goes, because it is probably our best chance of change.

  27. Now Colin Powell has come out and branded Trump being a chronic liar who is dangerous for the country.

    Would that be the same Colin Powell who got up in front of the UN Security Council and lied his arse off about Iraqi WMD’s ?

  28. I felt kind of dirty reading the SMH

    What sort of mindset says something like this!?!

    One unwilling to expand their horizons beyond their blinkers, I think.

  29. One unwilling to expand their horizons beyond their blinkers, I think.

    Yeah that is definitely my problem unwilling to expand my mindset by swimming in the deeply mediocre, deeply centrist group think of the Rupert’s Australian media (he sets the agenda for them all).

    Brilliant, mind shattering analysis there champ you really got me. I will definitely try to read more of the wild radical ideas out of Australia’s mainstream media. You know the media that believed Scotty was in not Hawaii because, *checks notes* his office told them so. That is definitely where I should be going to expand my mind.

    Big improvement from actually defending vile racism though, so baby steps for you.

  30. poroti @ #2 Monday, June 8th, 2020 – 7:51 am

    Now Colin Powell has come out and branded Trump being a chronic liar who is dangerous for the country.

    Would that be the same Colin Powell who got up in front of the UN Security Council and lied his arse off about Iraqi WMD’s ?

    So…..now put your thinking cap on, poroti….wouldn’t it be the case that this is exactly the sort of person who should be publicly calling out the liar in his party tha leads it atm?

    Anyway, you beter get used to it because the Democrats are lining up a LOT of the Republicans Against Trump to come out and denounce Trump between now and the election in November. It may not be your cup of tea but this is hardball US politics and the stakes are the highest they’ve been for a very long time.

    I would have thought you’d be happy to see Republicans defecting from their party so as not to get Trump again?

  31. Morning all. What can one say about the Queen’s birthday honours? Surely one of the most partisan lists ever, dominated by Coalition politicians, several of whom left office in disgrace. Perhaps Bronwyn Bishop got it for services to Civil Aviation?

    Tony Abbott clearly felt the need to influence memories of his time in office. A man who made a career of destroying other people’s accomplishments seemed desperate to invent a few of his own.

    “ Former prime minister Tony Abbott has praised his government’s tough budget savings for helping to prepare Australia for the coronavirus crisis, as he accepts the nation’s top civilian honour for his services to the country.”

    He couldn’t even tell the truth in retirement. The budget blew out under Abbott faster than under Gillard. Meanwhile his cuts to health services could only have harmed our response to Covid19. That only succeeded after Morrison quietly buried Liberal policy to have a budget surplus. A pathetic end, to a man who was given so much, from his student days on. I can only assume the honours council is as badly stacked as the Rhodes scholarship one must be.

  32. poroti @ #95 Monday, June 8th, 2020 – 5:51 am

    Now Colin Powell has come out and branded Trump being a chronic liar who is dangerous for the country.

    Would that be the same Colin Powell who got up in front of the UN Security Council and lied his arse off about Iraqi WMD’s ?

    Quite likely the same. However that doesn’t diminish the significance of his statements given he served in a Republican cabinet. That is why his announcement is news.

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