Newspoll state leadership polling and Essential Research coronavirus latest

State-level polling finds the coronavirus tide lifting all boats — but none so far as Mark McGowan in WA, whose numbers may be without precedent.

The Australian ($) today provides Newspoll findings on state leaders’ handling of the coronavirus, from samples of around 520 for each mainland state plus 309 for Tasmania. The poll finds all concerned riding high, including three who strongly outperformed Scott Morrison’s ballyhooed 68% approval and 28% disapproval on the weekend. These are WA Labor Premier Mark McGowan, at 89% approval and 6% disapproval; Tasmanian Liberal Premier Peter Gutwein, at 84% approval and 11% disapproval after three months in the job; and Victorian Labor Premier Daniel Andrews, at 75% approval and 17% disapproval.

Morrison was also matched on approval and bettered on net approval by NSW Liberal Premier Gladys Berejiklian (69% approval and 23% disapproval) and SA Liberal Premier Steven Marshall (68% approval and 21% disapproval). Only Queensland Labor Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk, who faces an election in October, was below the prime ministerial par (55% approval and 39% disapproval). With due allowance for small samples, I believe McGowan’s ratings may be a record for Newspoll, or indeed for any other Australian pollster, and that Gutwein’s might have been too if not for McGowan’s.

The leaders record even stronger ratings on the specific question of handling the coronavirus outbreak: 77% rate Berejiklian as having done well, compared with 18% for badly; Andrews is at 85% and 11%; Palaszczuk is at 72% and 23%; McGowan is at 94% and 4%; Marshall is at 82% and 11%; and Gutwein is at 89% and 8%. Equivalent results are also provided for the Prime Minister, and here too Western Australians are most positive, at 73% approval and 23% disapproval, with 85% rating Morrison had handled coronavirus well compared with 14% for badly. In New South Wales, Morrison scored 67% approval and 30% disapproval, and 82% well and 16% badly for coronavirus; in Victoria, 72% approval and 26% disapproval, 83% well and 14% badly; in Queensland, 67% approval and 28% disapproval, 81% well and 17% badly; in South Australia, 70% approval and 27% disapproval, 83% well and 15% badly; and in Tasmania, 64% approval and 31% disapproval, 81% well and 18% badly.

As reported in The Guardian, the weekly Essential Research coronavirus poll provides us with a third set of small-sample findings on mainland state governments’ handling of the crisis, ranging from about 80 respondents in South Australia to 320 in New South Wales. The latest results produce combined very good and good ratings of 77% for the Victorian and South Australian governments, 76% for Western Australia, 67% for Queensland and 63% for New South Wales. The table below records the progress of this series over its three weeks, together with an averaged result which again shows Western Australia highest at 77%, followed by 74% for Victoria, 72% for South Australia, 61% for Queensland and 60% for New South Wales.

Essential Research also finds confidence in the federal government’s handling of the crisis continuing to rise, with 70% rating it good or very good, a measure that earlier progressed from 45% in late March to 65% last week. Seventy-three per cent now say they consider themselves unlikely to catch the virus, compared with 57% at the peak of concern at the end of March. In response to a list of options for budget repair, 64% supported preventing companies in offshore tax havens from receiving goverment support, but only 32% favoured removing franking credits and negative gearing, and 18% supported death duties.

On the COVIDSafe app, the weekend’s Newspoll found 21% saying they would definitely take it up, 33% that they would probably do so, 21% that they would probably not, and 18% that they would definitely not. Apart from the lower uncommitted rating, this is broadly in line with an Australia Institute poll of 1011 respondents on Thursday and Friday which had 45% saying they would and 28% that they wouldn’t. Essential Research also weighed in on the question, and found 53% saying it would limit the spread of the virus, and 46% that it would speed removal of distancing restrictions. A full set of results from Essential Research should be with us later today.

UPDATE: Full Essential Research report here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,040 comments on “Newspoll state leadership polling and Essential Research coronavirus latest”

Comments Page 52 of 61
1 … 51 52 53 … 61

  2. Have evangelicals finally reached that bridge that’s too far with Trump?

    Mike Madrid@madrid_mike
    ·
    5h
    Shame works. White evangelical Christians may be hitting their limit.

  3. Great Dawn Patrol
    Thanks BK

    I am pinning my hopes for a fairer, kinder society on science and technology.

    Science to continue investigating Quantum Entanglement*.

    and Technology developing a delivers system to transmit malignant energy particles to a destination (preferably inside “Old Sol”).

    The malignant energy particles would be those detectable with the “KayJay Fuckwit/Scammer System Apparatus” (Pat Pend) and applicable to elected officials in the non/performance of their duties. Assistance is being sought to perfect the identification system – please send suggestions to

    Mr. W. Bee C/- Poll Bludgers.

    How do we git them thar arseholes to enter the capsule ❓ We tell them that a wedding is being held and beaucoup dollars available to the crafty and lurk savvy participants. That should do the trick.

    *Quantum entanglement occurs when two particles become inextricably linked, and whatever happens to one immediately affects the other, regardless of how far apart they are. Hence the ‘spooky action at a distance’ description. This particular photo shows entanglement between two photons – two light particles.Jul 13, 2019

  5. Zuvele
    @ZuveleLeschen
    ·
    36s
    In the NSW schools I’ve taught at, we were explicitly told never to give early marks. #auspol

  6. Guardian

    A reader, 70 year-old Karl from Canberra, has emailed me to ask whether the government’s CovidSafe app works with an iPad. The answer is yes, it is compatible with a number of devices including the iPad or iPod touch.

  7. Re C@t @9:33.

    Australia’s population growth has been trending at around 1.5% per annum for a while now, about half from immigration. The Virus will knock that down for a year or two, but there has been no indication of any intention to change this rate.

    Now 1.5% p.a. adds a million to the population in under 3 years and doubles the population in about 45 years. The Coalition’s policy is a Big Australia, even if they won’t say it.

    This might be the right policy, but there’s minimal discussion. Exactly what is the purpose of immigration? We used to know in the early days – bulk up or perish and address labour shortages. What is it now?

  8. C@tmomma

    They’ve been like that since the early Rodent days. Mega George wrote an article pointing out their little game in the early/mid noughties. He pointed how although people in Australia had the impression Howard was anti-immigrant he had in fact quietly overseen record and near record levels of immigration.

  9. The early mark comment is patronising, controlling and demeaning- the PM is treating us like children, and it is not the first time.

  10. lizzie @ #2549 Saturday, May 2nd, 2020 – 7:41 am

    Honest surveys do not include emotional flags such as “petty restrictions”.

    Institute of Public Affairs
    @TheIPA
    · 24m
    The poll also asked Australians to agree or disagree with the statement ‘There should be an immediate easing of petty restrictions with appropriate social distancing in place’: 41% agree and 39% disagree. https://ipa.org.au/publications-ipa/media-releases/poll-41-of-australians-want-petty-lockdown-restrictions-eased

    I agree, but it’s interesting that they acknowledge that they used that word.

  11. Scott Morrison’s thought bubble was a barbecue pleaser.

    Who is having BBQs?

    The whole BBQ (pub) thing in politics is so Morrison. In other words, garbage. Sure, there are people that go to BBQs/pubs and touch the surface of a political matter and cheer a slogan or beat a drum to a dog whistle. There are also tradies on construction sites that also do this. And you get it from left and right. In general such people are ignored or disliked or worse.

    Peeps are not talking about China and WHO. They are, however, talking in some depth about other issues like how soon to open up the economy and which parts and when. They are talking in depth about school attendance and if it is safe or right or wrong.

    Certain sections of a Cronulla rugby league crowd may well suck and resprout all of Morrisons talking points with zeal. I hope he believes that sample is representative.

  12. poroti @ #2558 Saturday, May 2nd, 2020 – 9:54 am

    C@tmomma

    They’ve been like that since the early Rodent days. Mega George wrote an article pointing out their little game in the early/mid noughties. He pointed how although people in Australia had the impression Howard was anti-immigrant he had in fact quietly overseen record and near record levels of immigration.

    And the people ALWAYS suffer from Goldfish Syndrome about it!

  15. Honest surveys do not include emotional flags such as “petty restrictions”

    Looks like an example of push polling, even though only 41% gave the ”right” answer and a bare majority of those who had a view.

  16. Not just in Trump’s America.

    Cheryl Kernot
    @cheryl_kernot
    ·
    7m
    After the world deals with COVID19, billionaire graft is the next epidemic that must be eradicated.
    ***

    Robert Reich@RBReich · 4h
    Billionaire Monty Bennett secured $96,000,000 in federal bailouts for his hotel empire, despite laying off 95% of his employees.

    The same month Bennett made a $50,000 donation to Trump’s reelection committee.

    Talk about a big return on investment.

  17. My understanding is that the CovidSPY app only works when the phone is unlocked. Is that correct?

    Is the reason the app does not work on the iPhone is because it automatically locks when not in use?

  18. It’s one rule for them and another for everyone else. No wonder the WH can create a perception of public safety unmatched anywhere else in the country.

    Trump, Vice President Pence and their aides are tested regularly, and all who enter the White House campus to meet with them are required to undergo on-site rapid tests developed by Abbott Laboratories, which provide results within 15 minutes.

    “As vice president of the United States, I’m tested for the coronavirus on a regular basis, and everyone who is around me is tested for the coronavirus,” Pence told reporters, amid a public backlash after he visited the Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minn., and violated its rules requiring all visitors to wear a mask.

    It is a cocoon of safety that does not exist almost anywhere else in the country. Governors and municipal leaders have scrambled for basic supplies; hospitals and elderly care facilities, dealing with the most vulnerable, have cried out for more testing; and workers at grocery stores and manufacturing plants are risking their health to keep open critical businesses.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-white-house-events-coronavirus-testing/2020/05/01/21a9b5bc-8bbe-11ea-ac8a-fe9b8088e101_story.html

  20. Fess

    I continue to be optimistic that an effective treatment for covid is coming soon. So many people are working on it.
    And when it happens, I can see Trump attempting to gaslight the US citizens into believing that he was responsible for such success.
    I can visual exactly what he is going to say.
    He is shameless.

  21. Vic, C@t:

    They’ll all start wearing the Trump campaign masks soon.

    I am not optimistic there’ll be a vaccine any time soon though.

  22. PM says Australians have earned an ‘early mark’ in coronavirus fight

    But when we all burst happily out into the playground, we don’t know what is still lurking behind the toilet block, and Morrison doesn’t want us to think about it..

  23. Torchbearer says:
    Saturday, May 2, 2020 at 10:00 am
    The early mark comment is patronising, controlling and demeaning- the PM is treating us like children, and it is not the first time.

    __________________________________

    That’s been enough to convince me not to download the app. Along with the fact that this current government is the most untrustworthy and dishonest in the history of the Commonwealth.

  24. Fess

    Never before have so many labs been working on the same thing 24/7.
    That is what is giving me confidence.
    Granted that testing approval and production has a long timeline.
    Although in this instance, due to the urgency of the world economies falling into a depression, it will be all hands on deck to get people vaccinated asap.

  26. Sir Keir Starmer’s leadership and its move to the “centre” does not seem to be working for the UK Labour Party, yet!

    YouGov Scotland poll:

    Scottish voting intentions for next UK general election:

    SNP 51%
    Conservatives 25%
    Labour 15%
    Liberal Democrats 6%
    Greens 2%

    Scottish Parliament constituency ballot:

    SNP 54% (+8)
    Conservatives 23% (-3)
    Labour 12% (-2)
    Liberal Democrats 8% (-3)
    Greens 2% (+1)

    Scottish Parliament regional list ballot:

    SNP 45% (+8)
    Conservatives 23% (-2)
    Labour 12% (-2)
    Greens 8% (n/c)
    Liberal Democrats 7% (-3)

  28. When it comes “the app”a lot of bullshit is written. It creates a file that is downloaded if you test positive ( with your permission)). It’s not like the phone company that knows where you are all the time, or google maps or the many other application that you let know your position.

    It helps those that have to contact all you have been in contact with, do their job.

    The crap that is written is just more proof that the mad right and mad left won’t listen to people that know how this stuff works, instead they write rubbish.

  29. Went out this morning to find that a rabbit (yes, I know who you are!) has hopped up on to the verandah and pruned the tops off a row of lettuces in a trough. Also trimmed a pot of parsley.

    As if there isn’t a huge range of other stuff in the rest of the garden. Grrr.

  34. Rakali @ #2575 Saturday, May 2nd, 2020 – 10:34 am

    Sir Keir Starmer’s leadership and its move to the “centre” does not seem to be working for the UK Labour Party, yet!

    YouGov Scotland poll:

    Scottish voting intentions for next UK general election:

    SNP 51%
    Conservatives 25%
    Labour 15%
    Liberal Democrats 6%
    Greens 2%

    Scottish Parliament constituency ballot:

    SNP 54% (+8)
    Conservatives 23% (-3)
    Labour 12% (-2)
    Liberal Democrats 8% (-3)
    Greens 2% (+1)

    Scottish Parliament regional list ballot:

    SNP 45% (+8)
    Conservatives 23% (-2)
    Labour 12% (-2)
    Greens 8% (n/c)
    Liberal Democrats 7% (-3)

    He’s been leader for a month?
    In the middle of a crisis killing tens of thousands/

    Go figure.

  37. I’d like proof there is no danger here.

    Of the seven new cases, three relate to a meat processing facility, Mikakos said. Eight employees at the facility have tested positive to date.

    “The advice I have is testing for all staff is being conducted and contact tracing is occurring,” Mikakos said. “The business has now been closed and is being thoroughly cleaned. I am also advised there is no concern about food safety.”

  38. It’s the people supporting the cockamamie theory that the COVID-19 virus came out of a Wuhan laboratory somehow that are the ‘Trumpists’:

    WASHINGTON — Senior Trump administration officials have pushed American spy agencies to hunt for evidence to support an unsubstantiated theory that a government laboratory in Wuhan, China, was the origin of the coronavirus outbreak, according to current and former American officials. The effort comes as President Trump escalates a public campaign to blame China for the pandemic.

    Some intelligence analysts are concerned that the pressure from administration officials will distort assessments about the virus and that they could be used as a political weapon in an intensifying battle with China over a disease that has infected more than three million people across the globe.

    Most intelligence agencies remain skeptical that conclusive evidence of a link to a lab can be found, and scientists who have studied the genetics of the coronavirus say that the overwhelming probability is that it leapt from animal to human in a nonlaboratory setting, as was the case with H.I.V., Ebola and SARS.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/30/us/politics/trump-administration-intelligence-coronavirus-china.html

  39. lizzie @ #2579 Saturday, May 2nd, 2020 – 10:39 am

    Went out this morning to find that a rabbit (yes, I know who you are!) has hopped up on to the verandah and pruned the tops off a row of lettuces in a trough. Also trimmed a pot of parsley.

    As if there isn’t a huge range of other stuff in the rest of the garden. Grrr.

    Here’s a lineup. Pick out the offender.

    The top middle looks suspicious. 😵

  40. Lizzie, :’I’d like proof there is no danger here.’

    Surely, if it is safe for kids to go to school, it must be safe for cows to go to an abattoir!

  41. mundo

    He’s been leader for a month?
    In the middle of a crisis killing tens of thousands/
    ————-

    That’s not like you. :).

  42. “I for one think the Victorian DCMO is a bit of hero. Working endless hours over months, on a day off, posts a thought on Twitter on COVID and the impact of colonisation on Aboriginal Australia. Pleased that her Health Minister, Jenny Mikakos, and the Premier, Dan Andrews, have brushed off the faux outrage from small minded liberals and the Murdoch media. We are bigger than them.”

    Well said Rossmore. Yup, we should not lose sight of the oft demonstrated fact that we are bigger than bastards like Dutton, Smoko and their revolting ilk.

  46. “*Quantum entanglement occurs when two particles become inextricably linked, and whatever happens to one immediately affects the other, regardless of how far apart they are. Hence the ‘spooky action at a distance’ description.”

    KayJay…..is that Barnaby and Gina??

  47. Will there be a vaccine soon? If it were discovered today there will need to be extensive testing for effectiveness and side-effects. We have to be sure that the thing works and isn’t worse than the disease. Then there’s the small problem of manufacturing and administrating several billion doses. Or if we just worry about Australia, do we have the capacity to manufacture or rapidly obtain sufficient doses (at least 60% of 25.6 million)?

  49. imacca @ #2596 Saturday, May 2nd, 2020 – 11:20 am

    “*Quantum entanglement occurs when two particles become inextricably linked, and whatever happens to one immediately affects the other, regardless of how far apart they are. Hence the ‘spooky action at a distance’ description.”

    KayJay…..is that Barnaby and Gina??

    By Jingo. Well spotted. Unintended spookiness detected. Well done. ✔🐘

Comments Page 52 of 61
1 … 51 52 53 … 61

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *