Essential Research leadership ratings

Essential’s latest leadership ratings find Scott Morrison continuing to struggle, despite being back to level pegging on preferred prime minister.

The Guardian reports on yet another fortnightly Essential Research poll with no voting intention numbers, but we does at least get the monthly leadership ratings. These show Scott Morrison down a point on approval to 39% and steady on disapproval at 52%, after the previous poll respectively had him down five and up nine. Anthony Albanese is respectively down two to 41% and up one to 31%, and he has lost his 39-36 lead as preferred prime minister, with the two now tied on 36%. The BludgerTrack trends on the sidebar have now been updated with these results.

Further questions on bushfire recovery, sports rorts and coronavirus don’t seem to have turned up anything too mindblowing, but the publication of the full report may turn up something hopefully later today.

UPDATE: Full report here. The most interesting of the supplementary findings for mine relate to the budget surplus, the consistent theme of which is that respondents aren’t that fussed about it: 79% agree spending on bushfire recovery is more important than maintaining it, with 11% disagreeing; 65% say it would be understandable if the coronavirus impact meant it wasn’t achieved, with 18% disagreeing; and 57% agree it was wrong for the government to discuss the surplus in the present tense before the election, with 24% disagreeing.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,911 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings”

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  1. So after Listening to Albanese on Frans program it seems almost certain the Lib-Lab parliamentary fossil fuel cartel of terrorists will kill the Steggall bill. Peoples lives don’t matter a jot to the cartel of terrorists.

  4. Councils set for Supreme Court fight against North East Link

    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/councils-set-for-supreme-court-fight-against-north-east-link-20200210-p53zgv.html

    Four Melbourne councils are set to unite for a Supreme Court challenge to the North East Link toll road, potentially throwing another of the Andrews government’s high-profile transport projects into turmoil.

    Banyule, Boroondara, Whitehorse and Manningham councils will decide this week on whether to act on legal advice over a potential challenge against Planning Minister Richard Wynne.

    In December, Mr Wynne gave the $15.8 billion road – the most expensive transport project in Victorian history – his tick of approval, dismissing key findings of an independent panel he appointed to assess the project’s environmental impact.

  7. Indigenous leaders have been barred from pursuing constitutional reform within the Morrison government’s new peak advisory group on a voice for First Australians, under leaked rules that try to stop them speaking up.

    A briefing to some of Australia’s most respected Indigenous leaders has warned them against making recommendations on constitutional recognition, ruling it out of scope for their group.

    The rules, obtained by The Sydney Morning Herald and The Age, also place restrictions on the wider national group of leaders who are being asked to help design the voice to Parliament for Indigenous Australians.

    In one of the biggest restrictions, the government also prevents the national group making any recommendations on a Makarrata Commission, the forum meant to offer “truth-telling” and conflict resolution with First Australians.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/indigenous-leaders-barred-from-discussing-constitutional-reform-20200211-p53zmw.html

  8. Re intro of Greens NIC bill into HoR

    The Guardan

    Adam Bandt lost 72 to 70 to have the issue dealt with now, so the House is now voting on Darren Chester’s motion that it be dealt with in the next sitting.

    Based on those numbers, that is what will happen

  9. Adam Bandt on twitter

    Right now, gov is gagging debate on establishing a federal anti-corruption commission.

    The Senate – across party lines – has passed a Greens bill for a federal ICAC.

    The Senate wants the House to vote on the bill.

    But Libs won’t even let us have the debate.

    Disgraceful.

  13. NEW SLOGAN FOR RENEWABLES THAT EVEN A NATIONALS MP COULD UNDERSTAND:

    “IT’S CHEAPER, DICKHEAD!”

    With all subsidies taken out, solar PV and wind wipe the floor with gas, coal and nuclear. Levelised cost of solar and wind is about $50 per megawatt hour, half that of gas and coal’s $100 per megawatt hour even without a carbon price. Nuclear is way off the money, priced anywhere between $250 and $330 per megawatt houR.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/coalition-wilfully-blind-to-economics-of-renewables-20200209-p53z4m.html

  18. Rex Douglas @ #216 Tuesday, February 11th, 2020 – 9:32 am

    PuffyTMD @ #214 Tuesday, February 11th, 2020 – 12:30 pm

    “High Court rules Aboriginal people cannot be deported for criminal convictions, cannot be ‘alien’ to Australia”
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-02-11/high-court-rules-aboriginal-people-cant-be-deported/11953012

    Did we really need the high court to say that ..?

    With Der Reichspotato in charge of Homeland Security, yes, sadly we did.

  19. Another shameful government loss in the High Court. Dutton is a megalomaniacal creep, and the HC has so found.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2020/feb/11/nationals-liberal-party-morrison-mccormack-australian-politics-live?page=with:block-5e41e3678f08e13324740d81#block-5e41e3678f08e13324740d81

    Really, when the government gets done over a core policy position by a High Court consisting of judges mostly selected by former Liberal governments, it is damning. Not even a relatively conservative group of lawyers can stomach what Dutton was proposing.

    Surely the Solicitor General must have warned of this. Did Dutton press ahead in spite of their advice?

  20. Labor’s Mark Butler has issued a statement on Zali Steggall’s and the crossbench climate action bill. He says Labor wants to look at it, and work on it with Steggall, but for it to go anywhere, the government has to bring it on for debate (which it has a history of not doing):

  22. Re the Bandt ICAC Bill.

    The same fate awaits the cross bench climate bill when it comes before the house next month.

    A piece of feel good look at me legislation by Steggall and co but ultimately will achieve nothing.

    A clear example of why the only real action on climate change will happen is when a labor government is elected.

    The Morrison government has the numbers. No one will cross the floor despite the wet dreams of some posters here. That is the political reality.

    Perhaps it is time for the greens et al to acknowledge that fact.

  23. Rex Douglas says:
    Tuesday, February 11, 2020 at 12:08 pm
    So after Listening to Albanese on Frans program it seems almost certain the Lib-Lab parliamentary fossil fuel cartel of terrorists will kill the Steggall bill. Peoples lives don’t matter a jot to the cartel of terrorists.
    ——————————————————————————————————-

    You need to adjust your hearing aid (Hint: turn the green button down)

  25. lefty e says:
    Tuesday, February 11, 2020 at 12:29 pm

    NEW SLOGAN FOR RENEWABLES THAT EVEN A NATIONALS MP COULD UNDERSTAND:

    “IT’S CHEAPER, DICKHEAD!”

    With all subsidies taken out, solar PV and wind wipe the floor with gas, coal and nuclear. Levelised cost of solar and wind is about $50 per megawatt hour, half that of gas and coal’s $100 per megawatt hour even without a carbon price. Nuclear is way off the money, priced anywhere between $250 and $330 per megawatt houR.
    —————————————–
    Nuclear is the play thing of the IPA.

    The Liberals only listen to its key backers.

  30. A piece of feel good look at me legislation by Steggall and co but ultimately will achieve nothing.

    Is that in the same way….

    When Labor moved a motion to declare a Climate Emergency last October, Scott Morrison wouldn’t allow the question to be debated at all.

    Source: The Guardian

  35. When Morrison decided to “turn back the boats”, we didn’t realise that he would have the same punitive attitude to First Nations, the unemployed, homeless, pensioners, single parents, and all other moral degenerates. (sarc)

  36. Further on the HC case, one of the complainants has been in custody (now falsely) for almost 18 months!
    “Outside the High Court, one of the men’s lawyers Claire Gibbs, said Mr Thoms had been in detention for 501 days and was “incredibly relieved” by today’s judgement.”

    How much in compensation payments will this latest Dutton screw-up now cost us?

  39. In a shock to PegaRex and crew, Labor says they will work with Zali Steggal on her Bill- noting that it up to Morrison to allow debate and a vote

  43. You know, I still get the dreadful feeling that people still haven’t come to terms with, or accept, the level of destruction caused by climate heating which the parliament has contributed to.

  46. Re likely Council challenge to North Eat Link

    Response by local Whitehorse community group to report in The Age today:

    “Hello all

    As reported in today’s Age newspaper (see link below) four councils, including Whitehorse, are set to mount a Supreme Court challenge re the North East Link with particular reference to the ‘dodgy’ Environmental Effects Statement and the state Planning Minister dismissing serious concerns raised by the panel in their report following the 10 week public submissions hearing late last year.

    Whitehorse Council will decide whether to go ahead with the legal challenge this week so now is the time to contact councillors and show community support for this action.
    Can you please forward on this information and request via your networks.

    The NEL poses serious disruption during the construction phase (for upwards of 5-7 years), will funnel far more traffic including large trucks into and through Whitehorse, destroy over 7,000 trees and remnant bushland, alter the ecology of the Yarra River, destroy what’s left of the Koonung Valley and create serious noise, dust, vibration and light pollution along the course of the freeway from Greensborough to Ringwood.

    All this without serious consideration for public transport alternatives for our burgeoning population in metro Melbourne (for example the NEL works will kill any possibility of a light rail service to Doncaster and beyond via the median strip of the Eastern Freeway).
    Given that vehicle emissions are second only to those of outmoded coal-fired power stations it is now time to hold ALL governments to account about the need to reduce our reliance on inefficient, polluting, fossil-fuelled vehicles”

  47. Barney,
    To answer your question, an absolute majority of the chamber is required to suspend standing orders only if the motion is without notice. Otherwise, a simple majority on the floor will do.

  49. @EddyJokovich
    ·
    1m
    The criminals in the Senate voted down a national corruption commission with teeth. The LNP would be the first ones to land in jail – Taylor, Dutton, Joyce, Littleproud, Morrison, McKenzie, maybe even Sinodinos would be recalled from New York – so it’s not a surprise. #AUSPOL

  50. Rex and Albo are both right!
    It takes a majority to pass a Bill.
    If you want real action on climate change, vote Labor.
    If you want obstruction and destruction on climate change, vote Liberals and Nationals.
    If you want grandstanding, stunting, protests, demands, urgings, etc, etc, etc, but no action on climate change, vote for the Greens.

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