Essential Research: leadership ratings, US and China, abortion law

Higher disapproval ratings for both leaders in the latest Essential poll, which also records lukewarm feelings towards the United States and cooler ones for China.

The latest fortnightly Essential Research poll again comes up empty on voting intention, but it does offer the pollster’s third set of leadership ratings since the election. As with Newspoll, these record a drop in Scott Morrison’s net approval rating, owing to a three point rise in disapproval to 37%, while his approval holds steady at 48%. However, Essential parts company with Newspoll in finding Anthony Albanese up on disapproval as well, by five points to 29%, with approval down one to 38%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister narrows slightly, from 44-26 to 44-28.

Further questions suggest the public leans positive on most aspects of the “influence of the United States of America” (defence, trade, cultural and business), excepting a neutral result (42% positive, 40% negative) for influence on Australian politics. The same exercise for China finds positive results for trade, neutral results for culture and business, and negative ones for defence and politics. Asked which of the two we would most benefit from strengthening ties with, 38% of respondents favoured the US and 28% China.

The small sample of respondents from New South Wales were also asked about the proposed removal of abortion from the criminal code, which was supported by an overwhelming 71% compared with 17% opposed. The poll has a sample of 1096 and was conducted online from Thursday to Sunday.

Note also the post below this one, being the latest Brexit update from Adrian Beaumont.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,826 comments on “Essential Research: leadership ratings, US and China, abortion law”

Comments Page 13 of 37
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  1. guytaur says:
    Friday, August 23, 2019 at 11:35 am

    frednk

    Congratulations on opening up a whole new slab of coal to be mined and the probable destruction of the Great Barrier Reef as a result. Well done.

    All Labor government action. Not LNP though cheered by them. Not the Greens. All Labor.

    What are you going on about? If it is Adani, not going to happen. Not because of the Greens efforts to wedge Labor but because the demand is not there.

  3. Woolworths will ditch ‘Ooshies’ in favour of a more environmentally friendly collectibles promotion that encourages children to cultivate their gardens.

    The move, which comes amid public pressure over the environmental impact of its Lion King-themed collectibles scheme, will go live next month in time to ramp up for the December quarter.

    I have complained about the plastic every time I refuse them at the counter.

    https://thenewdaily.com.au/life/eat-drink/2019/08/22/woolworths-ooshies-scrapped/

  5. frednk @ #600 Friday, August 23rd, 2019 – 11:42 am


    Pegasus says:
    Friday, August 23, 2019 at 11:29 am

    https://dwembassy.com/

    PROTECT SACRED TREES.

    SAVE 80,000 YEARS OF CULTURE.

    Sacred birthing trees on Djap Wurrung country need protecting. Over 50 generations have been born on these sites & the birthing trees themselves are 800 years old. We are protecting them from Vic Labour Party’s planned highway extension that is set to destroy this dreaming landscape.

    And where did they birth for the other 70200 years.
    When did this birthing start, when the tree was a sapling ?
    When did it stop?

    As their culture was seriously disrupted, and contains no written records, who says it is a birthing tree?
    They were nomadic; did they really come back to a particular spot to give birth or is it just a story invented .
    These are probable questions that have been asked.

    There is really no excuse for such woeful ignorance these days, even if it is in the service of ultra ALP partisan bullshit.

    I’m a member of the ALP and you and briefly and a couple of others are making me consider if I want to be a member of an organisation that has people like you as members.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/oct/09/australia.barbaramcmahon

  6. guytaur says:
    Friday, August 23, 2019 at 11:35 am
    frednk

    Congratulations on opening up a whole new slab of coal to be mined and the probable destruction of the Great Barrier Reef as a result. Well done.

    Apart from the release of fugitive emissions, mining makes very little difference to the atmosphere. Scope One emissions are relatively small. Scope Three emissions are substantial in the case of coal. But these will not be abated by suspending mining. They will only be abated by changing the composition of energy generating technologies.

    Mining is not causally connected to the GBR.

    The Lib-kin assertions are just lies.

  7. As one with First Peoples’ heritage, I am dismayed by the proposed destruction the of the trees that has been reported.

    I wonder if there’s more to it….knowing that the Greens cannot be relied on to give a fair account of anything.

  8. Psyclaw
    says:
    Friday, August 23, 2019 at 11:56 am
    Nath
    FMD I thought you might be a bit more erudite vis a vis your vocabulary than one who uses the “lib-kin” rubbish.
    ___________________
    If you can’t beat them, join them. We should all be using the lib-kin terminology. I’ve renamed my cat lib-kin.

  10. I feel like I’ve nurtured Adrian’s evolution from ultra-ALP partisan to a more discerning poster. When I first arrived he was alongside C@t one of the most vituperative partisans against me. Now he has evolved into a dissenter to the cabal and I feel a paternal instinct towards him.

  11. Leaving no stone unturned, ‘The Australian’ likens Pell to Chamberlain. This somewhat overlaps the learned legal thought of the Archbishop of Melbourne who obviously thinks that there was a dingo on the loose in St Pat’s.

  14. briefly

    As I have been reading about the trees, there was an alternative route proposed which was ignored. I think the ref. was by a member of VicRoads.

  15. Ruth McGowan @hula_grl
    ·
    3m
    @JennaPrice offers to be the volunteer Media Manager for a ‘really good woman candidate’ who will run in #Armidale and ‘knock off Uncle Barnaby’.

    Please! Bring it on!

  17. Good news about Mildura hospital returning to the public service. Another of Kennett’s privatisation legacies to go, though I think there are a few more around. Ironically, of course, Kennett’s decision to privatise Mildura hosptial ultimately contributed to his defeat.

  18. adrian….mining itself has little to no impact on the atmosphere. The shipping is not mining. There are other issues with mining, but in itself it’s not a significant source of atmospheric pollution.

    The pollution of the atmosphere is a grave issue. The gas sector and land clearing have far greater impacts than mining.

    Effort should be focused where it will actually make a difference. The entire cessation of mining in Queensland would make no difference whatsoever to climate change if this were the only action taken.

  19. Greg Jericho @GrogsGamut
    ·
    42m
    The US is never going to be able to de-program these people

    Adam Brewster @adam_brew
    · 44m
    “There’s not a person alive that literally has done so much for a female, for the female population. I can’t think of one person that I could go, except for Mother Theresa. I mean, literally, who has done more for women in office than Donald Trump?” Goertz went on to say.

  22. briefly @ #618 Friday, August 23rd, 2019 – 12:41 pm

    adrian….mining itself has little to no impact on the atmosphere. The shipping is not mining. There are other issues with mining, but in itself it’s not a significant source of atmospheric pollution.

    The pollution of the atmosphere is a grave issue. The gas sector and land clearing have far greater impacts than mining.

    Effort should be focused where it will actually make a difference. The entire cessation of mining in Queensland would make no difference whatsoever to climate change if this were the only action taken.

    Next you’ll be arguing that Australia reducing its Co2 emissions to zero would make ‘no difference whatsoever’ to global climate change if this were the only action taken.

    Sigh

  23. nath @ #610 Friday, August 23rd, 2019 – 12:12 pm

    I feel like I’ve nurtured Adrian’s evolution from ultra-ALP partisan to a more discerning poster. When I first arrived he was alongside C@t one of the most vituperative partisans against me. Now he has evolved into a dissenter to the cabal and I feel a paternal instinct towards him.

    Sorry nath, nothing to do with you, although I do appreciate many of your contributions when they don’t involve Shorten.

    My prime motivation was to rid Australia of the worst govt in its short history, and like many, I thought that the ALP was the best and only way to achieve this. I spent some time helping in a small way to try to achieve an ALP victory.

    Since the election, the defeat has brought out the worst in certain ALP partisans; to the extent that their constant bleating and aggression has become totally counter-productive.

  24. Good point. The ABC seems particularly obsessed with China, across most of its news/propaganda outlets.

    John Moore
    @Moorethanjohn

    If we’re concerned about the influence of #China in Australia, why are we not also equally concerned about the influence of #Israel?
    They also have a powerful lobby, have MP’s under the thumb, and a shocking human rights record to boot.
    Is this an Asian thing?

    #auspol

  25. adrian….the only thing that will both enable the world economy to function in its present mode and protect the environment is to change the composition of energy generation technologies. This will change demand for coal. Changing the supply of coal by itself will accomplish nothing.

    We should apply our energy to things that will make a difference. We should not succumb to Lib-kin lies.

  26. The Lib-kin have fixed on a proxy rather than on genuine action. They are political tricksters….they will deliver nothing but desolation…

  28. ‘adrian says:
    Friday, August 23, 2019 at 1:05 pm

    Good point. The ABC seems particularly obsessed with China, across most of its news/propaganda outlets.

    John Moore
    @Moorethanjohn

    If we’re concerned about the influence of #China in Australia, why are we not also equally concerned about the influence of #Israel?
    They also have a powerful lobby, have MP’s under the thumb, and a shocking human rights record to boot.
    Is this an Asian thing?

    #auspol’

    False equivalence for the following reasons:

    1. Israel is a fully functioning democracy and not a despotic, murderous dictatorship. Israeli arabs, for example, have the vote.
    2. The existence of a state ‘lobby’ in another state is normal. There is no evidence that the Israel lobby in Australia behaves in an illegal way. If it is effective, more power to the lobby. If Morrison’s recent abject performance in the Pacific is any indication, perhaps Australia could learn a thing or two about projecting power using lobbies.
    3. We do not depend on Israel for our economic well being.
    4. China is the closest imperial power to Australia. It is building its conventional and nuclear forces at an extremely rapid rate.
    5. China has already used its economic clout to punish Australia for various Australian actions. Currently this takes the form of non-tariff actions against Australian coal imports.

    Beyond that, why choose Israel with which to make an invidious comparison to China? Why not, for example, choose the US? Why not any of dozens of other states which have shocking human rights records.

    The answer is most likely that the antisemitic elements of the extreme Left have a racist, obsessive and compulsive inability to consider Israel rationally. So they come up with same old same old Jewish conspiracy theories.

  29. Just saw that California is consulting Australia about water trading in a time of drought (Landline).
    Good luck with that!!

  30. Ms Grattan must live on a different planet:

    Morrison’s real world achievements:
    1. Alienated the Pacific states.
    2. Palled up with the lunatic King of Israel.
    3. Set us up for a war with Iran.
    4. Rising CO2 emissions thereby speeding up climate change.
    5. Stagnant wages.
    6. An economy that is being propped up by temporarily high iron ore prices.
    7. A biodiversity disaster.
    8. A smashed Reef.
    9. Australia’s worst ever bout of rural socialism.
    10. Killed off an Indigenous Voice.
    11. Delivered rising energy prices, falling energy security and rising CO2 emissions.

  31. Adrian

    One reason (amongst many) Australia should be more concerned about Chinese influence than Israeli influence is that the Chinese are seeking to remove Australia in the long term, whilst Israel is not. That said, one should also be concerned about the links between dark money flooding into the Israeli economy (whilst many Israeli startups are completely legitimate tech business, there are also a very large number of scams—typically involving various exotic securities—funded by dark money), the relationship of that money to China, and also the increasingly close relationship between the current Israeli government and China.

    It’s not an “Asian thing”. It’s also not a “Chinese thing” (for example the geopolitical strategy of the current Chinese government is completely contrary to the traditional Chinese approach, and the solution will involve understanding what has changed). Snide accusations of racism do not strengthen the argument, but rather are an admission of defeat.

  33. Boerwar

    That wasn’t the impression given, but I haven’t seen the whole program.
    Perhaps Angus Taylor has advised California!!

  34. The Morrison government could target thousands of pensioners and other “sensitive” welfare recipients under a proposed expansion of the controversial robodebt scheme needed to achieve a promised $2.1bn in budget savings, according to confidential documents seen by Guardian Australia.

    The documents, stamped “PROTECTED CABINET”, show the scheme would fall $600m short of its required budget savings unless it is expanded to hit “sensitive” groups originally quarantined from data matching.

    This would include people considered “sensitive” by the department: those aged 65 and over, those living in remote areas, and others considered vulnerable by Centrelink, including people who are homeless and those who have disabilities.

    “Estimated savings over the forward estimates cannot be achieved without undertaking sensitive cohort reviews,” says the early draft ministerial submission for the government services minister, Stuart Robert.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/aug/23/robodebt-target-pensioners-sensitive-groups-leaked-documents

  36. lizzie
    In other words the Coalition is prepared to bastardize individuals without mercy not on the basis of their corrupt behaviour but on the political costs.
    What a surprise.

  37. Always enjoy the Good News.

    Brian McCarthy @iancarty123
    ·
    5h
    Lions ate three poachers who broke into a South African game reserve to hunt rhinos

  39. “Courting ‘quiet Australians’ from ‘bubble central’, it’s been a remarkable first year as prime minister for Scott Morrison”

    Remarkably shit.

  41. itsthevibe @ #453 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 10:04 pm

    Right, a conversation starter: at each of the past four federal elections, to what or whom would you apportion the blame for Labor’s failure to win a majority? My answers:

    2010 – Labor failed to win a majority because of internal treachery designed to drive down the support of FPM Gillard

    2013 – Again, Labor lost thanks to yrs of internal treachery and revenge against JG which included attacks on the Clean Energy Package laws.

    2016 – Despite the turmoil and destruction of the Abbott/Turnbull Govts, Labor lost due to the lack of political talent and trust in the leadership team from voters.

    2019 – Again, despite the incompetence and chaos of the LibNat Govt, Labor lost due to the lack of political talent and trust in Shorten/Bowen.

    Ignorance and self-promotion got them nowhere.

  43. Boerwar says:
    Friday, August 23, 2019 at 2:34 pm

    Why have the Greens lost every state and federal election for thirty years?
    ___________________
    Good question. When I was at university my lecturer explained that the Greens were a ‘minor party’ and therefore unlikely ever to form a government at either state of federal level. I can probably find my lecture notes somewhere if you want to go over them.

  46. lizzie @ #634 Friday, August 23rd, 2019 – 1:59 pm

    The Morrison government could target thousands of pensioners and other “sensitive” welfare recipients under a proposed expansion of the controversial robodebt scheme needed to achieve a promised $2.1bn in budget savings, according to confidential documents seen by Guardian Australia.

    The documents, stamped “PROTECTED CABINET”, show the scheme would fall $600m short of its required budget savings unless it is expanded to hit “sensitive” groups originally quarantined from data matching.

    This would include people considered “sensitive” by the department: those aged 65 and over, those living in remote areas, and others considered vulnerable by Centrelink, including people who are homeless and those who have disabilities.

    “Estimated savings over the forward estimates cannot be achieved without undertaking sensitive cohort reviews,” says the early draft ministerial submission for the government services minister, Stuart Robert.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/aug/23/robodebt-target-pensioners-sensitive-groups-leaked-documents

    This program is already under 2 reviews and each time someone takes it to court the debt is waived. They know it is dodgy but lets extend it anyway. May well be the over-reach that will cost them the next election

  47. briefly @ #618 Friday, August 23rd, 2019 – 12:41 pm

    adrian….mining itself has little to no impact on the atmosphere. The shipping is not mining. There are other issues with mining, but in itself it’s not a significant source of atmospheric pollution.

    I am simply astonished at this level of ignorance.

    About 5% of Australia’s total greenhouse gas emissions come directly from the mining of coal. Not the burning of it. A few more percent probably come from its transport during export.

    https://coal21.com/emissions-reduction/coal-mine-emissions/

    All coal contains some level of gas due to the geological processes by which it is formed. The amount of gas varies from location to location and is commonly a mix of carbon dioxide and methane, which is released when coal is mined both in open-cut and underground operations. These escaping gases are referred to as fugitive gas emissions. Coal industry fugitive emissions account for around five per cent of Australia’s total annual greenhouse gas emissions.

  50. Player One @ #647 Friday, August 23rd, 2019 – 3:00 pm

    briefly @ #618 Friday, August 23rd, 2019 – 12:41 pm

    adrian….mining itself has little to no impact on the atmosphere. The shipping is not mining. There are other issues with mining, but in itself it’s not a significant source of atmospheric pollution.

    I am simply astonished at this level of ignorance.

    About 5% of Australia’s total greenhouse gas emissions come directly from the mining of coal. Not the burning of it. A few more percent probably come from its transport during export.

    https://coal21.com/emissions-reduction/coal-mine-emissions/

    All coal contains some level of gas due to the geological processes by which it is formed. The amount of gas varies from location to location and is commonly a mix of carbon dioxide and methane, which is released when coal is mined both in open-cut and underground operations. These escaping gases are referred to as fugitive gas emissions. Coal industry fugitive emissions account for around five per cent of Australia’s total annual greenhouse gas emissions.

    Woeful ignorance is no impediment when making an ultra partisan point.

    Sadly, there was a time when I used to take briefly’s posts seriously.

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