Federal election 2019 live

Live coverage of the count for the 2019 federal election.

12.06am. “We’re bringing back Macquarie”, says Scott Morrison in his victory speech. Not so fast — Labor have just hit the lead there. And not because of that Katoomba pre-poll booth I mentioned a few times earlier, which barely swung on two-party preferred.

11.13pm. Kerryn Phelps has her nose in front in Wentworth, but I would note that the Rose Bay pre-poll hasn’t reported yet. It wasn’t a booth at the 2016 election but was at the by-election, and when it came in, there was a pretty handy shift to the Liberals. Also outstanding is the Waverley pre-poll booth, which does a very great deal of business.

10.59pm. The Liberals have edged into the lead in Boothby, after Glenelg pre-poll swung 4% their way (though Brighton went 3% the other way).

10.57pm. Labor just hanging on in Cowan, well out of contention now in Swan, and every other WA seat they hoped to win.

10.56pm. I was suggesting Labor wasn’t home in Moreton before. Probably safe now. But Mansfield pre-poll swung 14.4% to Coalition, while Rocklea and Wooldridge didn’t move.

10.39pm. With 45.8% counted, South Australia looks like three Liberal, two Labor and one Greens. Centre Alliance performing weakly at 2.8%.

10.38pm. Oh, and by the way — Clive Palmer is on 3.4% in Queensland and is being flogged by One Nation.

10.38pm. Jacqui Lambie is on 8.7% in Tasmania and should be back. The result should go two Liberal, two Labor and one Greens. 58.2% counted.

10.35pm. One Nation are on over 10% in Queensland, where I’m inclined to think the most likely result is Coalition two, Labor two, Greens one, One Nation one, with 33.4% counted.

10.34pm. Looks like three Coalition, two Labor and one Greens in Victoria too, with 32.4% counted. But maybe Labor could take a third seat off the Coalition, if their position improves as more metropolitan votes come in. No one else is cracking 3%.

10.32pm. Some early indications from the Senate. Starting in New South Wales, with 35.6% counted. One Nation aren’t doing great at 5%; United Australia Party tanking on 1.4%. Looks like three Coalition, two Labor and one Greens.

10.30pm. Labor leads 1.3% in Lilley, which Nine projects down to 0.5%. One pre-poll in swung slightly more heavily than the 5.2% norm; two more are still to come.

10.28pm. Labor leads 2.3% in Blair, which the Nine computer projects down to 0.9%. One pre-poll booth, Ipswich South, swung typically; two more are outstanding.

10.21pm. That Katoomba pre-poll booth in Macquarie which Anthony Albanese said had swung heavily to Labor still isn’t in the system. Labor has a raw lead of 1.3% lead there, but absent pre-polls (Katoomba and five others), the Nine computer projects absolutely nothing in it.

10.19pm. A 9.8% swing has reduced Labor to a 4.9% lead in Hunter, projected to be 2.7%. Should be okay for them, but the one pre-poll booth swung 14.1%, and there are eight still to come, whih are worth keeping at least half an eye on.

10.16pm. Labor leads 2.8% in Eden-Monaro, Nine computer projects 1.3%, 1.6% swing to Liberal. There are eight pre-polls, none of which have reported.

10.14pm. Labor leads by 2.0% in Dobell after a 3.5% swing to Liberal, with the Nine computer projecting 1.4%. Two pre-polls, Tuggerah and The Entrance, have swung normally. Pre-polls yet to come from Charmhaven and Gosford.

10.10pm. Independent Helen Haines holds what the Nine booth projects as a 1.8% lead in Indi: two pre-polls in, Wodonga, which swung heavily to Liberal, and Mansfield, which swung only very slightly (by swing here, I mean compared with Cathy McGowan’s margin of 4.8%). Wangaratta pre-poll still to come. Very much too close to call.

10.04pm. The Nine computer now projects a tiny lead for the Liberals in Chisholm. Four pre-polls still to come may decide the result. The one pre-poll that has reported, Blackburn North, swung 1.6% to Labor.

10.02pm. The yo-yo of Swan has swung back in favour of the Liberals, while Labor maintains only a fragile lead in Cowan. Still nothing in it in Boothby, Labor very slightly ahead.

9.44pm. Labor has very tenuous leads in Blair and Lilley, so there’s certainly paths to a Coalition majority. Other seats the Liberals wouldn’t be giving up on include Corangamite, Eden-Monaro and Moreton.

9.42pm. Now it’s getting very close in Chisholm. Other seats the Liberals wouldn’t be giving up on yet include Corangamite, Dobell, Eden-Monaro,

9.39pm. Spoke too soon about Swan — close again now.

9.34pm. Particularly remarkable results from scanning around include double-digit two-party swings against Labor in Hunter, Capricornia and, would you believe it, Dawson. The latter two suggest a very strong Adani effect.

9.30pm. Another blow for Labor with Swan now looking beyond their reach. However, they have moved ahead in Cowan, so it looks like status quo in WA.

9.21pm. Anthony Albanese just said on Nine that there is a big swing to Labor on the Katoomba pre-poll centre in Macquarie, which is not in the system yet. That should save Labor’s bacon there.

9.17pm. Very advanced stage of the count in Bass, with even the pre-polls in, and Labor look too far behind.

9.05pm. Both Labor-held Cowan and Liberal-held Swan are very close, but Liberals looking good in Hasluck, Pearce and Stirling. At best though, a net gain of one for Labor in WA.

8.54pm. And if all goes well for the Liberals in WA, the door widens a little on the prospect of a Coalition majority.

8.51pm. First results look encouraging for Christian Porter in Pearce. Ditto Stirling, but very few votes there. Some results in Cowan, looks close, but too early to be meaningful. First booth looks good for Liberal in Hasluck. Individually all too early to say, but collectively discouraging for the notion that WA might save the day for Labor.

8.48pm. Given pre-polls heavily favoured the Liberals at the Wentworth by-election, I would read the present lineball result as somewhat encouraging for the Liberals.

8.45pm. Haven’t said a thing about Wentworth — it looks very, very tight. A number of the independents failed to mark much of a mark, including Kevin Mack in Farrer and Rob Oakeshott in Cowper.

8.38pm. Labor looks okay in Solomon; the CLP leads on the raw vote in Lingiari, but the Nine computer projects them ahead, because these are mostly conservative booths from Katherine and such.

8.29pm. Another big picture overview. In New South Wales, Labor wins Gilmore but loses Lindsay; Tony Abbott loses Warringah. Labor-held Macquarie could go either way. Labor wins Chisholm, Corangamite and Dunkley. Tasmania: Labor loses Braddon and looking shaky in Bass. Queensland: Labor to lose Herbert and Longman, Leichhardt looking unlikely now. In South Australia, the potential Labor gain of Boothby is lineball. Talk that Labor is in danger in Lingiari, but the Nine computer projects them in the lead, and there’s nothing from Solomon yet. Nothing meaningful yet from Western Australia. My best guess remains that the Coalition will land just short of a majority, but the wild cards of WA and pre-polls remain in the deck.

8.20pm. By best guess is that the Coalition will land a few seats short of a majority, but again: nothing yet from WA, and the possibility it will play out differently on pre-polls. The likely cross bench: Adam Bandt, Zali Steggall, Bob Katter, Andrew Wilkie, Rebekha Sharkie … possibly Helen Haines, probably not Kerryn Phelps.

8.14pm. I’ve been doing real work for the last half hour, but the situation hasn’t fundamentally changed: a few gains for Labor in Victoria, maybe a net gain for the Coalition in New South Wales, Braddon and possibly Bass lost by Labor in Tasmania as well, and a net loss for Labor in Queensland. Boothby lineball though, and Labor praying for gains in Western Australia and a favourable dynamic on pre-polls.

7.48pm. Macquarie lineball, but looking better for Labor than earlier.

7.46pm. Also, the first results in Boothby are good for Labor.

7.45pm. Looking better for Labor now in Lilley though.

7.40pm. Labor should gain three in Victoria; but only Gilmore looks strong in NSW, they look like losing Lindsay, and they’re in trouble in Macquarie. In Queensland, the Nine computer has Labor behind in Blair, Herbert, and Longman, but it’s not calling any of them. However, they are running Warren Entsch close in Leichhardt.

7.33pm. I’m certainly not seeing any gains for Labor in Queensland, and they’re in trouble in Herbert, Longman and Lilley. But Tony Abbott is clearly gone in Warringah.

7.29pm. Looks close in Herbert, but Labor are struggling in Queensland in some surprising places: Lilley

7.26pm. Labor should win Chisholm, Dunkley and Corangamite, but the seats further down the pendulum in Victoria don’t appear to be swinging

7.23pm. Lineball in Macquarie as well.

7.22pm. Looking dicey for Labor in Lindsay as well.

7.21pm. Still nothing in it in Bass, Liberals looking like winning Braddon.

7.19pm. Early assessment: it’s going to be close. Labor far from assured of a majority.

7.18pm. But it’s looking good for Labor in Gilmore.

7.13pm. Early days, but I’m not seeing any great wave to Labor. They are struggling in the two northern Tasmanian seats, and only looking really good in Corangamite in Victoria. And it looks close early in Griffith, a seat they hold in Queensland.

7.12pm. Early indications are that it’s close in Chisholm – six booths in on primary, two on two-party (50 in total).

7.09pm. Labor have moved ahead on Nine’s projection in Bass, but remain behind in Braddon.

7.08pm. If nothing else, the news from Queensland is consistently looking good for the Coalition.

7.06pm. The swing to LNP in Bonner I noted earlier has come off, now looking status quo (LNP margin 3.4%).

7.05pm. Dreadful early numbers for Tony Abbott, who trails 40.3% to 32.5% on the raw primary vote with five booths out of 50 in.

7.02pm. The Nine computer sees a 3.9% swing to Labor in Corangamite, where there is no margin.

7.01pm. Related by Chris Uhlmann, Labor believes they have won Corangamite. But the overall picture in Queensland for the Coalition looks strong, as per the exit poll result.

7.00pm. Early numbers looking encouraging for Peter Dutton in Dickson — a swing approaching 5% in his favour off four booths.

6.58pm. Labor look to have the edge in Gilmore, with 13 booths out of 66 on the primary vote – Liberal down 17.4% of which 12.7% has gone to the Nationals, while Labor are down very slightly. Ex-Liberal independent Grant Schultz only on 5.3%.

6.56pm. Four booths in from Braddon, and Labor looks in trouble. One booth in from Bass, swing looks almost exactly equal to the Labor margin.

6.54pm. Based on four primary vote results and a speculative preference throw, the Nine computer sees a 4.25% swing to Labor in La Trobe, suggesting it will be tight.

6.52pm. First two-party result in Bonner is encouraging for LNP incumbent Ross Vasta.

6.51pm. The first two-party booth from Corangamite, which is obviously in the country, has swung 5.4% to Labor.

6.50pm. Little swing in Macquarie with three booths in on two-party (it goes without saying these are small ones).

6.47pm. Gilmore looks close with eight booths out of 66 in on the primary vote.

6.43pm. First two booths from Kooyong, albeit very small ones, look encouraging for Josh Frydenberg.

6.42pm. Promising early numbers for independent Helen Haines in Indi, with 13 bush booths in on the primary vote.

6.38pm. Some fairly encouraging early numbers for Nationals member Kevin Hogan in Page, a marginal seat in northern New South Wales that Labor was never confident about.

6.35pm. Over 1000 votes in from Calare, and early indications are Nationals incumbent Andrew Gee will keep enough of his primary vote to hold off Shooters, if they indeed make it ahead of Labor to reach the final count. Early days yet though.

5.45pm. Welcome to live blogging of the federal election count. I have been working in what little time I have had to spare on an election results facility, but I probably won’t be able to get it in action this evening. However, I should be able to make it functional for the count after election night. Similarly, I may or may not find time to do some live blogging this evening, in between my duties as a behind-the-scenes operator for the Nine Network’s coverage. Speaking of, the YouGov Galaxy exit poll for Nine, from a sample of about 3300, has Labor leading 52-48, which I’m pretty sure presumes to be effectively nationally, even though only specific marginal seats have been targeted. State by state though, the swing is, as expected, uneven: 52-48 to Labor in New South Wales (2.5% swing to Labor), 55-45 in Victoria (3.2% swing to Labor), 53-47 to Coalition in Queensland (a swing to the Coalition of 1.1%), and 52-48 to Labor in the other three states combined (a swing to Labor of 2.5%).

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,922 comments on “Federal election 2019 live”

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  1. Fuck the media when they complain about parties not having policies.

    Cute how they were questioning Sinodinus about what the LNP were going to do. Bit too late

  2. Am confused that both the betting markets and the polls got it so wrong.
    Were we foxed?
    Trumpian dark arts refined?
    Having read “The CIA and the cult of Inyelligence”many moons ago, I’m more inclined than most to believe in covert means.

  3. Did Hawke outline everything he was going to do before 83. No, you lead from Government, once you are in and established. Gradually. Year by year.

  4. Cud Chewer @ #1477 Saturday, May 18th, 2019 – 10:39 pm

    Look at the upside.

    The NBN will become a PR disaster on the Liberals’ watch.

    Nah. It will just become the accepted norm in Australia.

    What’s more, I will bet that by the time of the next election the voters will have been ruthlessly conditioned by the Spivs Party to blame Labor for it.

    Sic transit gloria mundi.

  5. B exactly, and that recession is coming and thats why I am hammering that the ALP should now be prepared to take the fight right up to the Libs on Economy. In 18 months things will be bleak and thats when well see how popular austerity measures such as cuts to the very services that will then be needed as well as mean welfare really are (its all the LIbs have got), as compared to the type fiscal stimulus that the ALP has traditionally used in tough times

  6. Much like Kim, a great prime minister who never was. Thank you, Bill. For the unity and discipline your team have show, and the boldness to craft daring policy that’d benefit the future generations.

  7. Now trawl through the records and go after every single Tory who is a potential dual citizen. Go after each and every one of them.

  8. Possible for Penny Wong to be parachuted into Marybinong if Shorten quits parliament?

    This lady needs to step up. She’s wasted in the Senate.

  9. Seriously, the lack of progress on counting the pre-polls by the AEC is absolutely disgraceful.

    It’s late. They’re probably going home. They are human after all.

  10. Rex Douglas

    >Why did Queensland Labor voters shift to PHON and Clive ?

    If you ask me I think it is the mining and contract workers. I think Clive Palmer, PHON and Katter has been banging on about 457 and the lack of jobs. If you ask me I think the political discourse did not cover those issues. There are just not enough jobs to go up there, but the parties above were able to take dissatisfaction with the state of affairs and convert it to votes in the form of HTV cards coming from them.

  11. clem attlee says:
    BTW, i said weeks ago that Labor needed to advertise against Palmer, but no, he was let off the hook.

    Labor should of started ads the same time as Palmer……….before the election was called. Called Palmer out from the get go. Called Palmer out for his failed mine that cost Aust taxpayers $74m. They let him run negative and paid the price. Stupidity.

  12. FWIW from Antony
    “If pre-polls favour Labor, then the Government is going to fall short of a majority. If the pre-polls are exactly the same as the results we’re getting tonight, then I think the Government will win 76 seats.”

    It’s very likely that the LNP will get Boothby, Chisholm & Macquarie. That’ll take them to 77.
    They might get Lilley, Cowan & possibly Wentworth too.

    Late postals always favour the Coalition, so the ALP needs to be ahead by at least around 0.8% on election night to be certain of staying ahead in later counting.

  13. Quasar everyone simply failed to understand what Palmer would mean. He took an anti govt protest vote and funnelled it straight back to the govt. No need to look for covert means, it was right there for all to see.

  14. Shock horror, people vote out of perceived self interest (do you really think Canberra votes Labor out of altruism)

    Sure some people with very high disposable incomes might be happy to lose a bit of pocket money for the greater good

    Some older people look beyond their own interests for what they think might be best for their kids and grandkids but the vast majority vote for who they think will give them the better lifestyle.

    The challenge for Labor is to convince enough people that they will be better off under Labor, something Shorten clearly couldn’t achieve.

  15. To give Shorten credit, a very fine concession speech. It’s easy to see why he had the party loyalty, alas it’s also a little bit easy to see why he never really cut through.

  16. NBN, is typical of the delusion affecting people on here. Ordinary voters do not shift their vote because the NBN is slow… wake up for god’s sake!

  17. Rex Douglas:

    Why did Queensland Labor voters shift to PHON and Clive ?

    Same reason as in Hunter (12% or so PHON)

    It’s good to be passionate, but one must temper one’s passion with rationality

  18. Right, nothing left to lose, so I may as well regale you all with my little theory regarding the ineptitude of Labor’s campaign.

    Inept, I believe, by design.

    Let us cast our minds back to the rather splendid year of 2007. What are your memories of Labor’s campaign that year? More specifically, 1) How often do you recall hearing their ads hissing about the “top end of town”? and 2) Do you recall them meekly accepting as incontestable truth the Coalition’s assertions regarding superior economic management?

    1) Assuming a sound memory, that would be… well, never. This is because, rather than the “divide and conquer” strategy which was adopted this time around, trying to focus on winning a particular demographic (Western Sydney, the regions, the mortgage belt, etc – no doubt backed up by extensive focus group “research”, and lest we forget the “Lindsay Test”), the 2007 campaign aimed to win the hearts and minds of a group known as “Australians”.

    2) Uniquely among all post-1993 campaigns, 2007 was the only one in which Labor tackled head-on the shrill “LAYBA WIL STUF DA ECOMONEE!!!1!!1” rantings, most memorably by reminding voters of Howard’s woeful record as Treasurer. So gloriously cathartic to witness, and so tragic that since then, Labor has once again allowed this to fall by the wayside.

    But here’s the thing: the firm belief among many, if not most, of the self-satisfied “hardheads” within the ALP – centred around, but far from limited to, the perennially moronic NSW Right – is that the 2007 campaign should never have been conducted in such a manner. It wasn’t the “true” Labor way, you see: too focused on overly ambitious statements of what kind of Australia we wanted to be, and on airy-fairy themes like “new leadership”, when they would have much preferred a typically small-minded focus on “hip pocket nerve”.

    The fact that this campaign proved successful – well, at best it was utterly irrelevant to these hardheads, and at worst it actually served to intensify their petty resentfulness. It’s really no surprise that the only thanks Tim Gartrell got was to be frozen out until he took the hint and moved to greener pastures, and while I’m certainly not claiming that it was the chief motivator of the events of June 23rd 2010, I sure as hell believe it played a part.

    Post-coup, the high-fiving in the Sussex St backrooms would have been a sight to behold. Karl as National Secretary, Julia as leader, Wayne as deputy – “Righto, now we can do this the REAL Labor way!” The rest, needless to say, is history. Painful, deeply traumatic history.

    And so it continued for this election. It was impossible for me to ignore that they seemed to be making a point of avoiding anything that bore any similarity to the tactics employed in 2007, and a lot of this is no doubt driven by ongoing resentment towards Rudd and the feeling that he was never truly “one of us”. (Swan’s infantile dummy-spit about his supposed lack of “Labor values” was no doubt just the tip of the iceberg.) More than a victory against Tony Abbott, Malcolm Turnbull or Scott Morrison, I believe that these particular elements within the ALP would have viewed a win tonight as a victory against Kevin Rudd, and a vindication of their lingering resentment at their tactics being so rudely ignored 12 years ago.

    The anti-2007 strategy having now gone down in flames, it’ll be interesting to see where we go from here. If certain figures within the ALP are finally willing to swallow their pride, we may, at long last, start to get somewhere.

  19. Prepolls made up some 37% of the eligible voters. Will probably take a while to finish. Next week perhaps. How long did it take the last time?

  20. One option for Labor. Go full mining. Coal, uranium, the lot. Jobs first, planet second. Let the Greens be the left-wing option and do the environmental heavy lifting.

    Soak up the donations from the miners and neutralise attacks from the left for not doing enough by doing nothing and getting support from blue collar workers instead.

  21. “It’s very likely that the LNP will get Boothby, Chisholm & Macquarie. That’ll take them to 77.
    They might get Lilley, Cowan & possibly Wentworth too.

    Late postals always favour the Coalition, so the ALP needs to be ahead by at least around 0.8% on election night to be certain of staying ahead in later counting.”

    FWIW I’m pretty sure that the postal margin is currently built into the ABC’s projections. Your point will be valid when the projections are turned off.

  22. “Why did Queensland Labor voters shift to PHON and Clive ?”

    Because the Adani campaign scared them that the mining industry was going to be screwed, and they would all lose their jobs.

    Even those not in the mining industry believe their jobs depend on the mining industry.

    If the progressives want to win, whenever they say they want to stop something like Adani, or drilling in the Bight, they need to offer more than “something else will turn up in the renewables industry”.

    Any plans for those displaced miners, or the barristas that sell them coffee, other than “you’ll be fine”

  23. Davidw

    Obviously it doesn’t apply now with 35-40% pre-poll and postal (because it has become much harder to compare election to election), but I used to look at when the total count in elections got to about 1%. When that 1% was compared to the same first 1% of the previous election, you then had a sample size of (in a federal election) about 140,000 – the same as about seventy polls and with a margin of error of around 0.25% – and the TPP predcition would always be reasonably indicative. And of course they were actual votes, not what someone tells a robopoll over their mobile phone!

  24. Howard is at Scotty’s venue. He was banished from the launch after all, so I suppose he’ll lap up this bullshit.

  25. Just home from counting ballot papers.

    Gritting my teeth to say this but, well played Morrison. He’ll be unbearable now (even more so than he already is).

  26. @Patrick Bateman

    >Quasar everyone simply failed to understand what Palmer would mean. He took an anti govt protest vote and funnelled it straight back to the govt. No need to look for covert means, it was right there for all to see.

    This! Voters take the HTV cards and follow them. Even as a protest vote.

  27. Perhaps Labor should just wave everything through…give the voter the whole of the Morrison government they voted for, for a little while.
    Labor won’t get away with Abbott style attack.

  28. Tetsujin:

    Late postals always favour the Coalition, so the ALP needs to be ahead by at least around 0.8% on election night to be certain of staying ahead in later counting.

    That used to be the case, but the number of pre-polls etc is now so high that the paradigm has shifted, and no-one really knows to what.

    BTW – Anyone know anything about Kooyong?

    Who’s the current MP there?

  29. Lucky Creed

    Every Bushfire. Every Cyclone. Etc. all the costs of them added up so Labor can count the cost of inaction.

    Follow the Guardian. Start saying Climate emergency or crisis and act on that basis. Be serious about it.

    That’s the self interest. You have to make people feel it. Economically and ramp up the fear like the LNP do with boats.

  30. E. G. Theodore @ #1596 Saturday, May 18th, 2019 – 11:49 pm

    Rex Douglas:

    Why did Queensland Labor voters shift to PHON and Clive ?

    Same reason as in Hunter (12% or so PHON)

    It’s good to be passionate, but one must temper one’s passion with rationality

    It’s good to be passionate but also skillfull enough to sell a new and better way of life

  31. I have to concede while some here were calling out for a tougher line in the election, I thought Shorten’s strategy was the way to go. As it turned out, this was wrong.
    It is impossible for one party now to dominate the political scene (how many independents so far, and a good number from former Liberal electorates?) with Labor struggling to make the mid 30s in votes and the Liberals only getting votes a little beyond this. Clearly, despite the “we are all Australians” propaganda, those who live in the rural areas, the provinces and in the mineral extraction areas, are not the same kind of folk who live among the 5 million people or so around Melbourne. I guess Labor will have to find the lowest common denominator and flog a simple message to death. Labor should also put aside any scruples in attacking their political opponents. The small target strategy almost worked for Labor in 2016 and maybe they should have just gone for the hammer this time. At least it might have appealed to those who can only cope with one or two ideas at a time.

  32. Labor deserved to lose this election. The ALP continually likes to insult, intimidate and otherwise abuse those from Queensland. Like Hilary Clinton and Chris Bowen, you should never, ever, throw away a single vote or insult the electorate.

    I have said here for weeks that whilst the TPP showed the ALP in front, it was (as it usually is) going to be fought out in the marginals of NSW, Qld and, to a lesser extent, Tasmania and WA. These marginals don’t like a soft socialist, big government agenda. The ALP never seems to listen to this.

    This is justice. The man who steadied the sword into the backs of Rudd and Gillard did not deserve to show that this pathway is one of success. He lies too much and badly and listens to too many people like those in this room that are responsible for lowering the bar of what is acceptable in politics.

    Let’s hope we can return to a country that actually tolerates a broad range of political opinion, a broad range of religious and non-religious beliefs and one which does not seek to censor free speech, to intimidate those with alternative political opinions, like most do in here.

    There is a long way to go for those in the Coalition and other splintered reactionary parties to choose better candidates, to lie a lot less and to actually stick behind their leaders. The Greens need to stop being so bloody self-righteous, whilst being increasingly hypocritical on so many issues.

    Though many in here ridiculed my predictions, they were based on polling in marginal seats and influenced, in part by marginal seat betting markets. I have made nice money on these markets tonight.

    I am not happy that many of you are sad. You are the types that would tend to behave like that. No one’s misery is my enjoyment. That is the domain of the psychologically disturbed. Instead I lament for our democracy. When the bar for acceptable behaviour in public, in politics and in parliament are as low as they are and facilitated by those who remain members of such parties and excuse the poor behaviour of their parties at all costs.

    The mob will work you out, says Richo. Indeed they have.

    Alea Jacta Est. Quod Erat Demonstratum.

    See you in 3 years. Think about what kind of people you really want to be

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