Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

The second Newspoll for the year finds no continuation of the Coalition’s recent improving trend.

After a period of improving poll results for the Coalition, the latest Newspoll records a tiny shift on primary votes to Labor, but not another to alter their existing lead of 53-47 from a fortnight ago. Labor is up one point on the primary vote to 39%, after a three-point drop last time, while the Coalition is steady on 37%, retaining their two-point gain in the last poll. The Greens are steady on 9%, while One Nation is down a point to 5%, the lowest it’s been in a year. Scott Morrison’s personal ratings are improved, with approval up three to 43% and disapproval down two to 45%, and his lead as prime minister out from 43-36 to 44-35. Bill Shorten is down one on approval to 36% and up one on disapproval to 51%. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1567.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,273 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. DTT,

    I saw it in the guardian. And then the clarification “just a bit late”.

    I think I’ll have to stop watching the clickbait, I’m sure the bill will get up.

  2. Murphy:

    As I have just been reminded, if the crossbench comes on board with Labor’s proposed amendments to the medevac bill, and then it is passed in the House, it will have to go back to the Senate, because it’s been amended from the bill which was originally sent through to the House.

    And we all know what happened the last time this bill was in the Senate.

  3. Dan Gulberry
    says:
    Tuesday, February 12, 2019 at 1:36 pm
    Henry @ #1324 Tuesday, February 12th, 2019 – 10:21 am
    I generally only watched Seinfeld re runs. Total waste of money.
    Stan has every episode of Seinfeld. You can watch them on your own schedule rather than when someone decides to run them. Plus may other good shows like Breaking Bad and its prequel Better Call Saul, Parks & Recreation, both the UK and US versions of The Office, Yes Minister and Prime Minister, The Thick Of It, Fawlty Towers, Mother And Son, Extras, every 007 movie, and a whole lot more for a fraction of the cost of RupertTel. You can either binge through a every episode of a show, or mix n match. You’re in control of what you watch, and when you watch it.
    ______________________________________________
    Don’t forget Billions. Best show on tv by a mile.

  4. Thanks for the detail dan.
    Yes am thinking about Stan, Netflix and the sport one Kaylo I think it’s called.
    Perhaps none of the above as well. I find I am listening to podcasts more and more these days, other than watching the news and maybe a bit of current affairs stuff I tend to turn the tv off at 8 o’clock most nights.

  5. Tip for Liberals!

    When employing a CoS and advisors, try and find someone that’s considerably more intelligent than you.

    It’s not a high bar really and trying to mask stupidity with stupidity really doesn’t work. 🙂

  6. Fozzie Logic @1:28 “What a piece of human garbage warren is…”

    And any rag that would publish it is unfit even for wrapping the garbage.

    It seems to depict an asylum seeker racistly typecast and depicted as a terrorist / rapist chasing a nurse. Disgusting. It’s even worse than the 19th century ‘octopus’ white Australia cartoon linked here this morning.

  7. It’s Labor who has been stringing it out by not voting for the bill in the HoR as it did in the Senate.

    If the amendments pass in whatever form in the HoR, the bill has to then go back to the Senate adding another time delay.

    The delay is due to no one else but Labor and its political strategy.

  8. As far as I can ascertain, the Oz’s circulation is around 120,000; SkyNews, 80,000. If right, I’m shocked that there are so many who would read/view such biased reporting, though I must say that occasionally the Oz does have fairly balanced writers – eg, PvO, Adam Creighton, Troy Bramston

  9. Dan

    I don’t do Stan. I do Netflix and Prime. With Prime mainly for the unlimited books. Has The Wonderful Miss Maisy The Man in The High Castle Bosch and a few other good ones

  10. MDB – The Guardian

    Labor is supporting a motion moved by Greens Senator Sarah Hanson-Young calling for the cap on water buybacks in the Murray Darling Basin plan to be repealed immediately.

    An emotional Hanson -Young asked her senate colleagues to back the repeal of the cap, saying that the objectives of the plan had been corrupted due to politics and corporate greed.

    The cap was introduced by legislation into the plan in 2015 by the Coalition which feared the backlash in rural communities from the economic impacts of buybacks
    ::
    Hanson-Young is also backing a royal commission.Labor had backed the cap in 2015, but is now supporting its removal, which would require an amendment to legislation.

  11. Henry @ #1353 Tuesday, February 12th, 2019 – 1:41 pm

    Thanks for the detail dan.
    Yes am thinking about Stan, Netflix and the sport one Kaylo I think it’s called.
    Perhaps none of the above as well. I find I am listening to podcasts more and more these days, other than watching the news and maybe a bit of current affairs stuff I tend to turn the tv off at 8 o’clock most nights.

    Kayo Sports $25 p/month
    Netflix $10 p/month
    Amazon Prime $5 p/month
    ABC Iview Free
    SBS On Demand Free

    That’s more than you’ll ever need.

  12. Pegasus

    [‘The delay is due to no one else but Labor and its political strategy.’]

    You make it sound like your mob doesn’t do political strategy.

  13. Henry,

    If you have broadband (I know), you can subscribe to Foxtel Now for short periods and binge watch the stuff you like. I do this for Game of Thrones.

    I’m waiting for Better Call Saul and I will start my Stan subscription again.

    SBS on demand has lots of stuff. I still haven’t quite reached the bottom of their barrel, and Counterpart is about to start S2.

  14. Greg Brown

    Verified account

    @gregbrown_TheOz
    Follow Follow @gregbrown_TheOz
    More
    Labor frontbencher Terri Butler has warned the party would face the wrath from branch members if it walked away from the Kerryn Phelps-inspired bill that would put medical transfers of asylum seekers on Manus and Nauru into the hands of doctors #auspol

    You tell em Emma

  15. There is the assumption that by watching SKY you agree with their views … in my case, nothing could be further from the truth! And I dare say for others, as well.

    Unfortunately, we need Foxtel for our work – checking out the idiocy on SKY is merely a hobby of mine.

  16. Pegasus @ #1356 Tuesday, February 12th, 2019 – 1:43 pm

    It’s Labor who has been stringing it out by not voting for the bill in the HoR as it did in the Senate.

    If the amendments pass in whatever form in the HoR, the bill has to then go back to the Senate adding another time delay.

    The delay is due to no one else bu Labor and its political strategy.

    A botched strategy.

  17. Pegasus @ #1361 Tuesday, February 12th, 2019 – 1:46 pm

    MDB – The Guardian

    Labor is supporting a motion moved by Greens Senator Sarah Hanson-Young calling for the cap on water buybacks in the Murray Darling Basin plan to be repealed immediately.

    An emotional Hanson -Young asked her senate colleagues to back the repeal of the cap, saying that the objectives of the plan had been corrupted due to politics and corporate greed.

    The cap was introduced by legislation into the plan in 2015 by the Coalition which feared the backlash in rural communities from the economic impacts of buybacks
    ::
    Hanson-Young is also backing a royal commission.Labor had backed the cap in 2015, but is now supporting its removal, which would require an amendment to legislation.

    Must also be supported by the Libs then, you are one of the biggest ‘same-same’ posters on here…

  18. Dan Gulberry
    says:
    Tuesday, February 12, 2019 at 1:48 pm
    nath @ #1353 Tuesday, February 12th, 2019 – 10:40 am
    Don’t forget Billions. Best show on tv by a mile.
    Indeed how remiss of me to forget it. How can you go wrong with a show about high finance with lashhings* of S&M thrown in.
    ________________________________
    Not only BDSM, but first ever non gender binary character ever, John Malkovich, gratuitous Billionaire lifestyle features, Paul Giamatti, porn photography of NY skyline. Incredibly hot women of every colour. It’s got it all!

  19. Henry @ #1357 Tuesday, February 12th, 2019 – 10:41 am

    Thanks for the detail dan.
    Yes am thinking about Stan, Netflix and the sport one Kaylo I think it’s called.
    Perhaps none of the above as well. I find I am listening to podcasts more and more these days, other than watching the news and maybe a bit of current affairs stuff I tend to turn the tv off at 8 o’clock most nights.

    We turned to streaming services about 5 years ago and haven’t looked back.

  20. I only read The Australian for news on internal Coalition matters. The rest of the rag is too biased to be taken seriously. It is the preferred outlet for Coalition MPs to “leak” news stories.

    Circulation of The Australian is very low. You hardly ever see anyone reading a dead tree version. There was a court case in which it was revealed less than 20 thousand copies were in circulation in Victoria. Less than my free local paper. It is basically a joke.

  21. guytaur @ #1363 Tuesday, February 12th, 2019 – 10:45 am

    Dan

    I don’t do Stan. I do Netflix and Prime. With Prime mainly for the unlimited books. Has The Wonderful Miss Maisy The Man in The High Castle Bosch and a few other good ones

    I’m looking at adding Prime in the near future. It’s just that the rubbish/good stuff ratio is a lot higher on Prime than Stan or Netflix.

    I should add that when I joined Stan, Netflix hadn’t officially set up shop in Australia. It began about 3 months later (from memory), so at the time Stan was all that was available in Australia.

  22. Yeah but it’s only 25 bucks a month going to Rupert with kayo as opposed to the $115 per month I was paying for Foxtel.
    Further good suggestion, thanks Q.
    I’m also reading more again which is always a good thing to do.
    Just finished a 1,000 page magnum opus on General US Grant. Took me 6 months on and off.
    What a mighty man he was. He never had a middle name starting with S incidentally. A transcription mistake made early in his military career which he went along with.

  23. Mick the Barbarian
    ‏ 40m40 minutes ago

    Ok ….. does anyone else find it odd that News Corp has to create a table as to why Nauru is better than Auschwitz? #auspol #Nauru

    What a joke!

  24. Bushfire Bill @ #1005 Tuesday, February 12th, 2019 – 11:15 am

    For telco aficianados out there, re the NBN:

    We have 3 mobiles (2 with 50 gig data, unlimited calls), 1 (tablet) with only 2 gig
    Highest speed internet(for around here, anyway, about 30mbits/sec),
    1000 gig of internet data (of which we use about 500 all told, mostly Netflix, YouTube, iView, and some blogging etc),
    Unlimited landline calls.

    Telstra. Cost $212/month all up, on one bill.

    Does this sound about right?

    I reckon you could save around $90 per month with Skymesh for NBN, Jeenee for phones and Mynetfone for VOIP.

  25. My setup (which works very well and not hard to set up)

    I have a Samsung mini tablet loaded with the streaming apps I mentioned earlier.

    I have a Google Chromecast plugged into my TV.

    I then stream on my tablet and cast to the tv via the chromecast.

  26. There’s another choice, don’t have any of them!

    I’m staying in hotel with a TV atm, I turned it on briefly on the first night … It hasn’t been on since.

    Waste of space! 😆

  27. nath @ #1378 Tuesday, February 12th, 2019 – 10:51 am

    Dan Gulberry
    says:
    Tuesday, February 12, 2019 at 1:48 pm
    nath @ #1353 Tuesday, February 12th, 2019 – 10:40 am
    Don’t forget Billions. Best show on tv by a mile.
    Indeed how remiss of me to forget it. How can you go wrong with a show about high finance with lashhings* of S&M thrown in.
    ________________________________
    Not only BDSM, but first ever non gender binary character ever, John Malkovich, gratuitous Billionaire lifestyle features, Paul Giamatti, porn photography of NY skyline. Incredibly hot women of every colour. It’s got it all!

    But wait! There’s more!

    It’s also got a damn good story to it. It’ll be interesting to see what the next season will bring if Axe and Chuck end up working together to bring down Taylor.

    Just checked on Google and found out season 4 is about 4 weeks away. WHOOT!

  28. Katharine Murphy
    Just a quick by the by on the asylum bill before we enter the hour of glower, folks with longish memories will remember that the government was saved by Cory Bernardi last year, who engaged in a filibuster to ensure the Coalition was not humiliated by losing a vote on the floor of the House for the first time since 1929.

    Cory talked and talked and talked to prevent that humiliation. I thought it prudent to ask Bernardi if he was ready to talk and talk and talk again, in the event the medical evacuations bill passes the House amended later today and has to bounce back up to the Senate for amendments.

    Cory is, of course, happy to serve.

    “I am always available to contribute to Senate processes in the best way possible.”

  29. lizzie @ #1393 Tuesday, February 12th, 2019 – 2:03 pm

    Katharine Murphy
    Just a quick by the by on the asylum bill before we enter the hour of glower, folks with longish memories will remember that the government was saved by Cory Bernardi last year, who engaged in a filibuster to ensure the Coalition was not humiliated by losing a vote on the floor of the House for the first time since 1929.

    Cory talked and talked and talked to prevent that humiliation. I thought it prudent to ask Bernardi if he was ready to talk and talk and talk again, in the event the medical evacuations bill passes the House amended later today and has to bounce back up to the Senate for amendments.

    Cory is, of course, happy to serve.

    “I am always available to contribute to Senate processes in the best way possible.”

    If it wasn’t for Cory, Labor would have passed the asylum bill amendment in the HoR.

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