Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

The second Newspoll for the year finds no continuation of the Coalition’s recent improving trend.

After a period of improving poll results for the Coalition, the latest Newspoll records a tiny shift on primary votes to Labor, but not another to alter their existing lead of 53-47 from a fortnight ago. Labor is up one point on the primary vote to 39%, after a three-point drop last time, while the Coalition is steady on 37%, retaining their two-point gain in the last poll. The Greens are steady on 9%, while One Nation is down a point to 5%, the lowest it’s been in a year. Scott Morrison’s personal ratings are improved, with approval up three to 43% and disapproval down two to 45%, and his lead as prime minister out from 43-36 to 44-35. Bill Shorten is down one on approval to 36% and up one on disapproval to 51%. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1567.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,273 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

Comments Page 10 of 46
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  1. TPOF, it’s not terribly grown-up of you to give blowback to a moderator who points out to you that you shouldn’t be calling people “dickhead” and “arsehole”.

    ______________________________

    nath says:
    Monday, February 11, 2019 at 2:49 pm
    Why do I feel like a smirking little kid hiding behind the teacher?

    __________________________

    That’s grown up?

  2. Mike Bowers has photographed the Coalition’s election campaign.
    Add https to start of address
    ://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/652ab313665c8c2f7cf02a6c0b33bcea86a44193/0_0_3996_2664/master/3996.jpg?width=465&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=1df9b28f93a009d9d53ad0f394a2cf0f

  3. I have to agree with Nath’s pen portrait of Morrison. He is EXACTLY like some of the officials of my local cricket club. It went like this, owned the local real estate agency, generous benefactor to the club, member of Rotary, Tory member, Councillor and eventual Tory candidate in state or federal election. All piss and wind and generally one of the club’s biggest drunks.

  4. Yes, this explains a lot about modern Germany:
    Meurer has a theory: it’s because of Germany’s history.

    “We want to be the good guy,” he says. “The whole green movement was a kind of reaction, in a certain way, to the behaviour of our fathers and grandfathers. We wanted to be better. There is a strong link between the past and what’s going on now. To be better, to behave better.”
    https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/world/europe/coal-bites-the-dust-in-germany-europe-s-greenest-nation-20190208-p50wh0.html

  5. I wonder if the group of happy clappers to which Morrison belongs, are totally comfortable with this:

    Heaping the pressure on Labor over its mooted support for a bill that would relax conditions for sick refugees to be transferred to Australia for medical treatment, Mr Morrison said he had seen first-hand “what poorly thought-out changes can do to our borders”.

    He said he was not prepared to compromise with Opposition Leader Bill Shorten on the bill because “its passage in any form takes us backwards”.

    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/politics/federal/these-things-are-absolutes-scott-morrison-lays-down-the-gauntlet-on-medical-evacuations-20190211-p50wz8.html

  6. nath @ #440 Monday, February 11th, 2019 – 2:45 pm

    William Bowe
    says:
    Monday, February 11, 2019 at 2:24 pm
    U got a big black one at home GG?
    Nath, you could be suffer to be more consistent in respecting the tone I’m trying to set here.
    _____________________________
    Yes apologies. GG seemed so familiar with the product it led me to lapse.

    @God, this is the typical provocative smeary type of posting by this troll. Nearly always antagonistic, snide and sleazy. Rarely contributes actual discussion…

  7. “SKY reporting that the Newspoll figures on policy stances shows that since the government started its campaign against franking credits….support for Labor’s position has improved.”

    I know william would like to raise the tone but seeing this i have to say….

    gloat mode engaged. 🙂

  8. boolean

    Dilling disagrees 🙂

    Dilling, though, disputes this.

    “I think this might be wishful thinking,” he says………………But, says Dilling, “what is behind the rise of the Greens now has a pretty plain political explanation”.

    Basically, people are fed up with the “grand coalition” [of the CDU and the SPD] running the country.

  9. citizen: Is Scott actually telling us that their current legislation is absolutely perfect and in no need of any tweaks whatsoever? If so that is a first in Australian political & legislative history!

  10. Sprocket_ says:
    Monday, February 11, 2019 at 1:08 pm

    ….For example, bringing on a bill languishing on the Notice Paper, moving a motion to refer a Potato to the High Court.

    LMAO when I read that Sprocket. Too funny.

  11. I think the elderly man who subjected himself to the assault by the self funded retiree thugs deserves special recommendation and thanks from the ALP.

  12. Steve Davis.

    Well posted.

    Just like the Banking Royal Commission. First words out of Frydenberg’s moth was blame Labor.

    On boats you just know the LNP are going to deliberately let a few through if Phelps Bill passes.

    Then they can say. See we told you a vote for compassion and human rights is a vote for boat arrivals.

  13. citizen says:
    Monday, February 11, 2019 at 3:12 pm
    I wonder if the group of happy clappers to which Morrison belongs, are totally comfortable with this….

    Citizen, from my observations of religious types:

    1. They are prone to believe anything
    2. They are loyal to their leaders (and ecstatic if he leads the country)
    3. Ethical behaviour is not mandatory
    4. Do what they are told

    So in answer to your question, they won’t dwell on it for a nanosecond.

  14. Guytaur, I always thought the Coalition were tardy in settling the refugees into third countries because they were useful pawns. Imagine if they had moved them all on, they would have had nothing to talk about.

  15. booleanbach @ #456 Monday, February 11th, 2019 – 3:12 pm

    Yes, this explains a lot about modern Germany:
    Meurer has a theory: it’s because of Germany’s history.

    “We want to be the good guy,” he says. “The whole green movement was a kind of reaction, in a certain way, to the behaviour of our fathers and grandfathers. We wanted to be better. There is a strong link between the past and what’s going on now. To be better, to behave better.”
    https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/world/europe/coal-bites-the-dust-in-germany-europe-s-greenest-nation-20190208-p50wh0.html

    Germany is a good example of how not to transition away from coal 🙁

  16. ASIC on the job , again:

    The corporate watchdog failed to take action over doomed Bestjet despite being warned about alleged misconduct a year before the budget airfare company collapsed.

    The Australian Securities and Investment Commission in 2017 was told Bestjet was not being run by its founder, Rachel James, but rather her husband, Michael James, who already had a history with ASIC, a source told 9Finance.

    The source informed ASIC that Mr James was “operating as a shadow director”, despite being banned from managing a company following the $97 million collapse of his own budget airline Air Australia in 2012.

    https://finance.nine.com.au/2019/02/11/11/26/bestjet-collapse-asic-warned-about-alleged-misconduct-australia-news

  17. Citizen, from my observations of religious types:

    I’d like the sample size and methodology on this?

    Seems like head in arse prejudice to me, but I thought I check if you were just spreading a disgusting ugly personal hate opinion or whether there was more to it.

  18. Germany is a good example of how not to transition away from coal

    Which opinion removes all doubt that it is a great decision well made.

  19. Peebee

    Yes. No Detainees no issue. Thats why I refer to the government holding refugees in camps hostage for base political purpose.

    Not something you can blame Labor or the Greens for. Not even Tory Phelps can stand it.

    That’s why I see a big loss coming to the government on this Bill. They have over reached attacking the fairness of doctors

    Polling tells us. The who do you trust question is always doctors above politicians

  20. What a shock – LNP aiding and abetting dodgy tax avoidance:

    “The government has backed away from two explicit commitments to establish a register to help stamp out multi-national tax avoidance – by claiming there was never a commitment in the first place.”

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/feb/11/coalition-abandons-plan-for-register-to-help-beat-tax-avoidance?fbclid=IwAR0guECdvXnP3epcd9vu84XhRwvAKY2u9X_nF4RLNQ3AwGTpSxIvplzfAW8

  21. Despite a reported internal investigation into leaks, Axios just obtained four of Trump’s private schedules from last week.

    The schedules show Trump spent 50% of the four days last week in non-structured “Executive Time.” That’s right: 50%

    The president’s secretary Madeleine Westerhout tweeted that the leak was “a disgraceful breach of trust.” Then Politico scooped (and we confirmed) that the White House has launched an internal hunt to find the leaker.

    This crackdown has not stopped the leaking.

    https://www.axios.com/trump-schedule-leaks-4840f751-e663-49c0-b288-2dd39bde9c79.html?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=organic

    Puesto Loco™‏ @PuestoLoco

    Uh oh!! Someone on the inside is sending Trump a fuck-you message. This could get ugly. Insiders aggressively turning on him. I doubt his ego will handle that very well.

  22. “Yes. No Detainees no issue. ”

    Central to the LNP and to a lesser extent Greens ethos on this . Give the Greens a bit of credit though they have not been as activley nasty as the Libs, ………….more done harm on this issue through not being particularly competent and unlike the Libs i think the Greens can at least concieve of a day when this issue is resolved.

    Libs REALLY want it to roll on forever.

  23. Btw everyone I think the combination of what Anthony Albanese said this morning and the pairing arrangements are very bad news for Morrison on the Phelps Bill too.

    I think the MSM rumours were a load of cow dung piled high and deep. Prolly from a source doing wishful thinking.

    The pairing arrangement changes means Labor is going hard. No more hiding the reality of minority government

  24. What seems to be occurring with the AS issue is that though most people seem to support off shore processing of AS claims and status as refugees, many are starting to think that after six years there should be more processing and less politicking.

    Options to re-settle the AS from Manus and Nauru have come and gone (e.g. The NZ solution) and it is fairly plain that this Government supports the use of bastardry, delay and obfuscation as disincentive weapons to ward off possible other AS arriving by boat in the future.

    A strong cohort of moderate Liberals are now making the transition and is causing this Government a number of existential flutters. The response at this time is for the hard men of the Liberal Party to double and triple down on their rhetoric.

    Labor were obviously waiting for the Intelligence Briefing before finalising their position. Shorten has already said Labor are up for changes along the proposal of Phelps. Whether that proceeds or the Libs make an offer of some sort of negotiated settlement is the game today.

    My view is the tide is turning and the Libs can either be a part of the future by making some humanitarian compromise or travel further down the road of irrelevancy. Current form is they’ll choose irrelevancy.

  25. phoenixRED,
    Trump really is the Part Time President.

    He’s trying to convince everyone that he works from home, the Official Residence, but everyone knows that that work consists of watching TV, getting on the phone to his friends and family, and using social media. Not really ‘working hard’.

  26. phoenixRED @ #476 Monday, February 11th, 2019 – 2:44 pm

    The schedules show Trump spent 50% of the four days last week in non-structured “Executive Time.” That’s right: 50%

    I’m confused. Does that mean 4 hours each day, or two out of the four days?

    Then Politico scooped (and we confirmed) that the White House has launched an internal hunt to find the leaker.

    This crackdown has not stopped the leaking.

    Of course it hasn’t. Trump can’t do anything competently.

  27. [‘He [FauxMo] also confirmed his government would announce new measures on climate change before the next election, acknowledging it was “a factor” in the frequency of extreme weather events Australia has experienced, such as the floods in Queensland and fires in Tasmania.’]

    This man speaks in tongues. He expects the electorate to believe what he says when it was he who brought a lump of coal into the House, that the fossil record is a mere test of faith. His Paulian conversion to the science of global warming is as late as it is implausible.

  28. The ABC News Report was: Will Labor buckle. Then after giving the report ends with of course if the LNP starts losing votes it will be inevitable that questions about their ability to govern will arise.

    The conclusion tells you the buckle bit at the start is spin.

  29. More on Germany and its anticipated failure to meet its own emissions reduction targets. The charts in this article tell the story …

    https://www.cleanenergywire.org/factsheets/germanys-energy-consumption-and-power-mix-charts

    For those that can’t be bothered, the simple message is that while renewables have climbed, nuclear has fallen, essentially trading one emissions free source for another. In the meantime, the most polluting energy source of all – brown coal – has remained virtually static.

    The real irony is that if Germany had not decided to shut down its nuclear program until it had eliminated brown coal, it would have very easily met its emissions reductions targets. As it is, Germany has made very little headway recently in reducing emissions.

    Yay, Greens!

  30. Amy spots a ‘patriarchal slip;’
    .
    ,
    Reading through that question and answer section of the Scott Morrison press club address, there was a lot going on, including this:

    We can’t just focus on terrorism and allow our women to be abused.”

    Could have done without the “our”, there I think.

  31. Lets hope there are 1 or 2 Libs who are prepared to vote for some democracy in Parliament because getting all X-benchers to support motions requiring 76 to bring votes on will not be easy. Just 1 not turning up or voting against sinks it.

  32. Al Pal

    Whatever one thinks of Party politics in Australia – and the players in the game – Morrison showed today that he is a pretty effective retail politician. His speech was pointed and astute, but his answers to tough questions would have pleased his Ministers and backbenchers. He wasn’t rattled in any way.

    I didn’t see the performance, only the transcript by Amy, which came over almost as gobbledegook.
    Which proves Al Pal’s point, really. ScoMo is smart and an excellent actor, so that watchers are fooled by his confidence.

    Now if you accept the idea that Shorten is a little wooden, you can see the danger.

  33. Morrison’s problem here is that the RW shock jocks generally preach hatred of the banks because that’s what their listeners (elderly/tradies) want to hear. If Morrison tries to do nothing to rein in the banks, he will cop a very loud ear bashing on red neck radio until the election.

    That’s not counting what the rest of the population are thinking about his inaction.

    Prime Minister Scott Morrison says it would be reckless to make federal parliament sit for an extra two weeks in March to fast-track its response to the banking royal commission.

    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/latest-news/finance-sector-watchdog-to-be-reviewed/news-story/e5e5e9a02ac2d3b6e139c0edd8cb43d4

  34. C@tmomma says: Monday, February 11, 2019 at 3:51 pm

    phoenixRED,
    Trump really is the Part Time President.

    *********************************************

    Not according to him, C@tmomma :

    “When the term Executive Time is used, I am generally working, not relaxing.

    In fact, I probably work more hours than almost any past President.”

    People say he wanders mindlessly away during whatever meetings into a room , then they hear the TV switching on ….. and he gets his fill of Fox and regurgitates whatever the Fox clowns just said on his twitter account a few minutes or so later …..

    When we see the amount of damage he does at HALF TIME work – imagine the mess he would create if he actually worked office hours ……

  35. WeWantPaul says:
    Monday, February 11, 2019 at 3:36 pm
    Citizen, from my observations of religious types:
    I’d like the sample size and methodology on this?

    Seems like head in arse prejudice to me, but I thought I check if you were just spreading a disgusting ugly personal hate opinion or whether there was more to it.

    Methodology was based on being brought up in a religious household. I observed this in family, friends and acquaintances. It is not a scientific study by any means, it was my observations. Much of it is not obvious if you are brought up in it. It is only when I freed myself from the organisation that I could look back and make those observations. I recognise these behaviours in adherents to other religions.

    It is my personal opinion, but it not based on head-in-the arse hate. It is just what I observe the way religions are structured and how they can continue to operate.

  36. lizzie,

    I watched parts of FauxMo’s address at the NPC, finding him to be nothing much more than a sleazy salesman. But I guess any evaluation of his performance is highly subjective, to a great extent dependent upon a person’s politics.

  37. booleanbach @ #455 Monday, February 11th, 2019 – 2:12 pm

    Yes, this explains a lot about modern Germany:
    Meurer has a theory: it’s because of Germany’s history.

    “We want to be the good guy,” he says. “The whole green movement was a kind of reaction, in a certain way, to the behaviour of our fathers and grandfathers. We wanted to be better. There is a strong link between the past and what’s going on now. To be better, to behave better.”
    https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/world/europe/coal-bites-the-dust-in-germany-europe-s-greenest-nation-20190208-p50wh0.html

    That is a great way to think. “We want to be better.” I expect it is down to remembering their past, especially the ugly bits. We could do worse than to adopt a similar attitude in Australia by remembering past shameful actions against the Australian Aboriginals.

  38. C@tmomma says:
    Monday, February 11, 2019 at 3:51 pm
    phoenixRED,
    Trump really is the Part Time President.

    He’s trying to convince everyone that he works from home, the Official Residence, but everyone knows that that work consists of watching TV, getting on the phone to his friends and family, and using social media. Not really ‘working hard’.

    It takes a lot of time to check out the latest ‘specials’ at McDonalds.

    More seriously, I remember reading some time ago that a US President is required to personally sign off on all manner of things and cannot delegate to their underlings. On this basis, I wonder how many important matters have not been attended to by the ever lazy Trump?

  39. So watching Terri Butlers interview just then it seems Labor are now pressuring Phelps and the Xbench to buckle and weaken their stance.
    The Xbench need to stand firm. Labor need to find a spine and stand by their senate vote.

  40. His speech was just the usual bullshit about keeping Australians safe.What is he going to do?Put a police officer in every residence in the country?

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