This week’s two-point move in Newspoll excited a certain amount of talk about a Coalition recovery, but it hasn’t impressed the BludgerTrack poll aggregate – the result landed pretty much bang on where it was already, being well in line with the only othe result published so far this year, namely the Essential Research poll of a fortnight ago. As such, the aggregate records a 0.2% shift in the Coalition’s favour on two-party preferred, no movements on the primary vote greater than 0.4%, and a one seat gain for the Coalition on the seat projection in Queensland. The leadership trends have Bill Shorten up a bit on net approval, but little change for Scott Morrison either on either his net approval or preferred prime minister lead. Full results through the link below:
I can also provide further detail on the uComms/ReachTEL poll from the seat of Flinders that was conducted last week for the CFMMEU and reported over the weekend. Labor’s two-party lead of 51-49 compares with Hunt’s redistribution-adjusted winning margin of 57.1-42.9 from 2016, and derives from a respondent-allocated preference split that gives Labor 62.7% of minor party and independent preferences. Labor’s share of the preferences in 2016 was 71.1%, which if applied to the primary vote numbers from this poll boosts Labor’s lead to 53-47. Compared with my own post-redistribution estimates from 2016, the primary votes from the poll have Greg Hunt down from 50.7% to 39.4%, Labor up from 27.4% to 35.2%, the Greens down from 11.2% to 9.1%, and One Nation debuting on 5.7%. All of which has been superseded to some extent by this week’s announcement that Julia Banks, the Liberal-turned-independent member for Chisholm, will be running in the seat.
Anna Bligh, said banks had “not lived up to the high standards Australians rightly expect of the industry”.
Actually they have not lived up to any standards, let alone high ones.
Pegasus @ #2198 Monday, February 4th, 2019 – 1:37 pm
So you’re finally owning up to your traitorous behaviour?
Just watching the sharemarket today …
ASX 200 up 0.5%
Big 4 banks all up between 1% and 1.3%
AMP down 3.3%
We won’t know how this relates to the RC report until we see that tomorrow, but it will be interesting to see how the market changes when the RC report is “officially” released.
TPOF
I can indentify with that. Nothing was ever good enough for my manager (wife).
And when she walked away she left a list of my alleged shortcomings and said my complaints about her were just abuse.
Now I govern in my own right and am much happier.
Life is about compromises but when one side sits atop a moral Mt Everest and refuses to come down it is best to walk away and have nothing to do with them.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6656295/One-Nation-picks-burqa-ban-Muslim-Emma-Eros-NSW-Election-candidate.html
https://www.commondreams.org/news/2019/02/03/despite-demand-end-dangerous-us-meddling-trump-says-troops-venezuela-option
Troops to Venezuela might be just the diversion Trump needs to get away from the Special Prosecutor.
booleanbach @ #2201 Monday, February 4th, 2019 – 1:38 pm
They have pretty much met the standards of behaviour I had expected of them 🙁
GG
Good try but no cigar.
I have never been a member of the ALP.
Player One says:
Monday, February 4, 2019 at 1:39 pm
Just watching the sharemarket today …
ASX 200 up 0.5%
Big 4 banks all up between 1% and 1.3%
AMP down 3.3%
We won’t know how this relates to the RC report until we see that tomorrow, but it will be interesting to see how the market changes when the RC report is “officially” released.
_________________________________
I’ve been wondering about that. Ideally, the report should have been released late yesterday to avoid any possible suggestion of insider trading, rather than at the end of a full trading day following delivery of the report.
That said, the banks have been heavily sold down and there might be some gambling that the impact of the RC has already been fully priced into the market. There was a report in the last day that the Coalition was going to accept the recommendations fully. If this was sourced from the government it might suggest that there is nothing in the recommendations that would cause dire impacts on bank profitability over the medium term.
Finally a Federal response to the fire disaster in Tasmania…
Marise Payne says – without irony – ‘people will need to contact Centrelink’
How underwhelming.
_____
Who does Payne think she is? Melissa Price?
The Kiwis have let bygones be bygones when it comes to the under arm bowling.All forgotten……………………………Oh wait…….
BK @ #2208 Monday, February 4th, 2019 – 9:46 am
😆
There’s a difference?
I am currently reading a book by Sandi Toksvig called “Peas and Queues”. It is ostensibly about “modern manners” but contains many entertaining anecdotes, as you would expect.
The point which she makes, which seems particularly apt for this blog, is that RESPECT should form the basis for all communications and behaviour (Lack of respect is, IMO, the rock on which many marriages founder).
Why do people try to tear each other down so much? (The excuse that we are all just ciphers doesn’t wash with me.)
The Gronk is a serious chuck of human being. Add agility and he is a nightmare for defenders.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6owakWoaxY
TPOF @ #2210 Monday, February 4th, 2019 – 12:46 pm
How could it be otherwise?
Whatever the report says, the banks are still going to be lending money and collecting interest. I doubt there’ll be a recommendation that banks no longer be permitted to set their own interest rates. It’ll probably be more to do with exploitative fee structures, bad financial advice, and such. Which if you’re still lending people $500k+ for real-estate purchases and collecting ~4% interest on each loan, you don’t need in the slightest to be profitable.
poroti says: Monday, February 4, 2019 at 1:49 pm
The Kiwis have let bygones be bygones when it comes to the under arm bowling.All forgotten……………………………Oh wait…….
A documentary set to be released in New Zealand next week.
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Poroti – According to my Vic TV guide there is a program on Ch 7 tonight at 10 pm :
Underarm – The Ball That Changed Cricket
PG, Premiere, CC
One of the most infamous and controversial events in cricket, the underarm incident of the cricket World Series Cup, will be dissected in this groundbreaking documentary.
Underarm bowling incident of 1981
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Australia’s Trevor Chappell bowls underarm to New Zealand’s Brian McKechnie observed by keeper Rod Marsh and non-striker Bruce Edgar
The underarm bowling incident of 1981 took place on February 1 1981, when Australia played New Zealand in a One Day International cricket match, the third of five such matches in the final of the Benson & Hedges World Series Cup, at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.[1] With one ball of the final over remaining, New Zealand required a six to tie the match. To ensure that New Zealand did not get the runs they needed, the Australian captain, Greg Chappell, instructed his bowler (and younger brother), Trevor Chappell, to deliver the last ball to Brian McKechnie underarm, along the ground. This action was legal at the time, but nevertheless seen as being against the spirit of cricketing fair play.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Underarm_bowling_incident_of_1981
lizzie @ #2179 Monday, February 4th, 2019 – 1:25 pm
An old family friend, a priest, once said to me that the (rumoured) reason why it was suggested to Big Tones that perhaps priesthood was not his vocation was because his ‘compassion’ was on display at the Seminary and elsewhere.
lizzie, Excellent sentiment. I recall a TV show hosted by Ernie Dingo, travelling about the country meeting with people. One of the rangers he talked to, it might have been Kakadu, explained his personal philosophy as “Listen. Respect.” It has stayed with me.
lizzie
That we are all just cipher has also been used as an argument for people to not do that.As in what is the point or why bother ?
lizzie @ #2213 Monday, February 4th, 2019 – 1:51 pm
Not unlike Quentin Crisp’s ‘Manners from Heaven’, which, when it is all boiled down, amounts to if people had good manners, there wouldn’t be any wars!
phoenixRED @ #2216 Monday, February 4th, 2019 – 1:55 pm
To be fair to the Kiwis, they, and particularly Martin Crowe, particularly dissected Murali’s “diabolical” (to quote Richie Benaud) action in one of their tours to NZ to establish that it did pass the magical 15 degrees on more that one occasion. As the great Burgey always says, there will always be an * next to his name in the record books.
SOme talk of getting into spas with or after people, but after turning on the spa at a hotel we had our kids at , the jets projected a dirty burst of hair filled water into the tub and I haven’t turned one on since.
NBN
From what I can tell 5G is orders of magnitude faster tha 4G & the available spectrum is huge. It’s more than capable of providing service to regional areas Newcastle size & down.
The NBN roll out should have been to high desity high population areas only
Massive cost & time saving. We have a dumb solution now.
5G was on the horizon when NBN started, had it failed NBN could have taken up the slack with infilling.
Now 5G will cannibalise the NBN network.
NBN implementation is on par with Keating allowing Foxtel & Telstra to feed 2 different systems into the same area.
https://5g.co.uk/guides/4g-versus-5g-what-will-the-next-generation-bring/
Simon² Katich® says: Monday, February 4, 2019 at 1:53 pm
The Gronk is a serious chuck of human being. Add agility and he is a nightmare for defenders.
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I don’t want to know the score Simon – recording to watch later —— but someone on twitter made the comment that both teams were playing as though knowing the winning team was to go to see Trump at the White House 🙂
5G link
https://5g.co.uk/guides/4g-versus-5g-what-will-the-next-generation-bring/
Stacks & stacks of superbowl coverage in most Australian online web sites – I have no interest in the game myself and as far as i know it is not a particularly high profile sport here – so why so much screen space?
Was just recently in NZ and on a tour boat to White Island when one of the guides asked all and sundry where they came from. Sadly all he could say to me was something in defence to underarm bowling. I’m not as good at hearing against background noise these days so I missed what he said and had to get HI to interpret, by which time the prat had moved on.
The issue is still strong with some Kiwis.
OK. I wont tell you the score.
Perhaps I could post some pictures of his girlfriend who happens to be Sports Illustrated swimsuit model of the year….
Yes?
Maybe no.
‘Sarah Ferguson (@FergusonNews) has been appointed ABC China Bureau Chief. “The China story is irresistible for a journalist,” she says.’
Good. Can she take her husband with her, as well?
Simon² Katich® @ #2226 Monday, February 4th, 2019 – 10:06 am
The ABC cricket commentary just saved me any need to look for the result.
Sounds like it was a yawn! 😆
Assuming I didn’t go cross-eyed, there are 51 marginal electorates or 33% of seats are marginal according to https://www.aec.gov.au/media/national-seat-status.htm
Fun times.
Semifinals were exciting.
Until the Gronk learns to bowl a doosra, I only am interested in the odd glimpse of Gisele Bündchen.
Greensborough Growler @ #2202 Monday, February 4th, 2019 – 1:39 pm
So, now the sanctimonious Greens don’t even like it if a former member of the ALP defects to their party!?! They bitch and carp about them!?!
Sohar says:
Monday, February 4, 2019 at 2:07 pm
‘Sarah Ferguson (@FergusonNews) has been appointed ABC China Bureau Chief. “The China story is irresistible for a journalist,” she says.’
Good. Can she take her husband with her, as well?
___________________________________
My first, second and third thoughts!
Pegasus @ #2229 Monday, February 4th, 2019 – 10:10 am
You need to transpose those by about 4% to Labor to get a better indication of the state of play. 😆
Simon² Katich® says: Monday, February 4, 2019 at 2:06 pm
I don’t want to know the score Simon
OK. I wont tell you the score.
Perhaps I could post some pictures of his girlfriend who happens to be Sports Illustrated swimsuit model of the year….
Yes?
Maybe no.
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I am with you in thoughts about Rob Gronkowski – he is a fantastic NFL player – for such a big man ( 6 ‘ 6″/ 268 pounds in old scale/ 1.98 m / 122kg ) he is remarkably quick and agile as well as being able to run, catch and block with equal excellence
Player One @ #2166 Monday, February 4th, 2019 – 10:15 am
Another one was:
One in the eye for those on here last night saying that Corbyn isn’t looking after Labour member’s interests. It’s really the above mentioned “too few with the courage to stand by what the membership wanted” who aren’t looking after member’s interests.
No doubt these are the same “rebels” threatening to form their own party. The question is, who os going to vote for this breakaway party? They’ve already shown they’re not going to listen to any members it may gain, so what will they achieve, apart from gifting the Tories another term?
She does seem to have a permanent camera on her at the games. Rather than show Brady celebrating they always change to her when he does something of merit.
Not that I am complaining.
The only one “bitching and carping” is you, Cat.
Darc
Tones and empathy.Check out what the man himself wrote in 1987 .Originally in the Bulletin.
Abbott and his Nurse Ratched period at the Seminary
https://nofibs.com.au/tony-abbott-on-why-he-left-the-priesthood/
C@tmomma @ #2234 Monday, February 4th, 2019 – 2:12 pm
The Greens are nay sayers. Which is good if your name is Pegasus!
Sceptic
This is gobsmackingly ill informed Sceptic.
You seem to believe that a fully fibre network is overly expensive. It isn’t. The original 93 percent fibre network covers basically anything with a normal suburban frontage, not acreages.
The entire world is now building fibre to the premise. The real cost is around $1400 per premise. What Turnbull has done is spend almost the same amount of money on something that will have to be scrapped and replaced with fibre. That’s monumentally stupid.
5G is costly. It requires cells every few blocks. Its not an alternative to fibre.
This just proves that it’s not a good idea to bet:
🙂
(From the Batman by-election blog. I’m trying to find the post that proves the malcontents from The Greens who complained about Bhathal, and The Greens’ machine, weren’t former ALP members at all).
GG
Good one!
Beware of the explosive potatoes:
5G providing 100% of the broadband of a area of Newcastle would probably cost more to build than just doing FTTH, mobile broadband complements fixed line connections, it is not intended to replace, because it would be too expensive to do so, the amount of cells and fibre required makes it not worth it, compared to a full fibre.
C@tmomma @ #2171 Monday, February 4th, 2019 – 10:19 am
From that speech:
So if you’ve already got FTTN, you’re stuck with it. Terrific.
Dan Gulberry @ #2248 Monday, February 4th, 2019 – 2:24 pm
Honestly, I think they’ll start there and work backwards.
Greensborough Growler @ #2232 Monday, February 4th, 2019 – 1:18 pm
FFS Cat
Stop bulllying pegasus.
You are pathetic.
She has every right to an opinion and your behaviour is a bloody disgrace. Unlike you Peg is NEVER rude. She posts stuff that does not portray your beloved in the best light. So bloody what. You post stuff to Disparage greens every second post. What in the name of gog gives you the right to abuse others.
This is a general political blog, not the newsletter of the ALP Centre Unity faction.
Peg makes no secret of her political opinion and does NOT pretend to be what she is not. Good on her.
Stop equating HER with Nath or Rex who are probably just LNP types sent here to encourage disunity and provoke YOU into the sort of nasty behaviour that makes the ALP look bad.
Frankly Cat if there were any unattached types on here considering whether they are best placed with greens or ALP, your sheer nastiness would send them Green.
What I just do not get is Why the Peg hatred. I post stuff that is out of the box and I am happy to give as good as i get, but Peg is NEVER nasty. What gives with the hostility.