Courtesy of The Guardian, the final Essential Research poll for the year moves a point in favour of the Coalition, who now trail 53-47. We are also told the Coalition primary vote is at 37%, down one on a fortnight ago, and Labor is on 36%, down three. Which minor parties have taken up the slack will remain a mystery until the full report is published later today.
As it does in its last poll every year, Essential asked respondents to nominate if it had been a good or bad year for various political principals and politics in general, finding 65% rating it a bad year for Australian politics, compared with 54% last year, and 57% a bad year for the federal government.
There is also Essential’s occasional question on leaders’ personal qualities, which provide a more nuanced picture than the usual approval ratings of a decline in Scott Morrison’s popularity. Other findings: only 21% expect the Coalition will win the election, compared with “over half” for Labor; and 27% want an early election, with 52% preferring a full term.
The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1026.
UPDATE: Full results here. Greens up one to 11%, Labor up one to 7%.
At first blush, Ms C is not an inspired choice.
But, then again, perhaps she IS an inspired choice.
zoomster @ #1690 Thursday, December 20th, 2018 – 4:52 pm
Personally, I’m rather thankful that cows can’t fly.
Bad news = global factors. Good news (esp made up good news) = Liberal genius.
Ven, it’s not a new phenomena!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rain_of_animals
Ven, I am just playing around with your use of the word ‘hale’.
Be kind to me… and yourself. No malice intended.
They should go for the one with a successful election campaign track record. Cone on down PM Tones redux 😆
lizzie @ #1560 Thursday, December 20th, 2018 – 4:01 pm
Abbott & Joyce?? Could it really happen?
ABC News just reported that hundreds of birds have been found dead at Murray mouth. Possible poisoning.
Barney@5:03pm
Could one of the apostles saw that phenomenon and described it in one of holy books thinking it as a sign of bad times to come.
LR@5:09pm
I was thinking the same thing.
On ABC News, I saw CoalMo speech to troops in Iraq. It was pretty ordinary.
Actually Shorten is a pretty good speaker. It is just that he carries political baggage from past.
Ven @ #1710 Thursday, December 20th, 2018 – 4:11 pm
None of the Apostles authored any of the books in the bible.
Ven @ #1696 Thursday, December 20th, 2018 – 12:59 pm
Actually hail provides a possible explanation when no obvious water sources appear nearby.
If the animals get caught up in a nearby cumulonimbus (thunderstorm) cloud they can then be affected by the up and down drafts within the cloud and carried considerable distances.
There have also been examples of animals coming down frozen, suggesting they have been carried above the freezing level.
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Aussie ex-Premier Kevin Rudd describes Murdoch media as ‘a political party’
Very well put…
Eric Idle describes Mr and Mrs Rupert Murdoch as ‘Jerry and the Pacemaker’
The Times, the Sunday Times and the Sun describe him as a ‘visionary’
Murdoch stoking a bit of leadership tension in the Nationals.
“McKenzie stokes leadership speculation
4:36PMRICHARD FERGUSON
Bridget McKenzie had words of support for her Nationals chief, but the questions she refused to answer have raised eyebrows.” (Oz headline)
Nothing like stable leadership! 🙂
So, new leadership of the Libs and Nats, then on to a snap election, eh?
I’m plumping for Littleproud to take the helm of the Nats and JBish to save the furniture for the Lieberals.
They won’t go to 2 women leaders.
A job for the ladies in the Nationals:
C@tmomma @ #1719 Thursday, December 20th, 2018 – 5:34 pm
Great idea! What could possibly go wrong? 🙂
Greensborough Growler says:
Thursday, December 20, 2018 at 5:00 pm
zoomster @ #1690 Thursday, December 20th, 2018 – 4:52 pm
Ven
I first read reports about fish falling from the sky in the 1970s. I don’t think it’s connected to climate change.
Personally, I’m rather thankful that cows can’t fly.
———————————————
I did see a cow fly during a Tropical Cyclone that hit Upnorth at the end of the 80’s. A big Brahman too. Didn’t fly far but gives you an idea of the wind speeds.
‘ UK Minister rejects Trump claim that ISIS has been defeated. ‘
Lead story in The Guardian.
If they call a snap election it will be against their will. They have far too much respect for the electorate to play games like that. They will be forced into it by Labor. It is, after all, always all Labors fault.
citizen @ #1717 Thursday, December 20th, 2018 – 1:35 pm
That’s a problem, it’s all they think they are good for! 🙁
Simon² Katich® @ #1724 Thursday, December 20th, 2018 – 1:39 pm
It will be!
If Labor and the cross benches weren’t threatening to defeat the Government on the floor of the House,
Morrison wouldn’t need to go to an early election to avoid the embarrassment! 🙂
‘Troop withdrawal could enable ISIS to be reborn.’
The Guardian
Could the men in the white coats please come to take Trump away!?!
I think if the election is not on March 2nd, probably with no prior sitting days in parliament, then Morrison will be knifed before a May election.
He won 45-40. Turnbull’s vote is gone – 44-40. Sinodinis??? If not there, then 43-40.
Which means just two Liberal MPs need to desert him and we have a new PM.
Abbott II. You know it makes sense!
While we’re having fun with the leadershit speculation, how about Credlin for next LOTO? What might it take?
Ven
says:
Thursday, December 20, 2018 at 5:17 pm
Actually Shorten is a pretty good speaker. It is just that he carries political baggage from past.
________________________________
Shorten is a woeful speaker. One reason is for this is that when he speaks to workers or ordinary people via TV he has a different ‘voice’ than normal. It’s not actually him:
But put him in front of a crowd of business people and he’s more comfortable.
He seems to speak the language rich people understand. Maybe it was going to wealthy Xavier College as a boy in Melbourne.
https://www.9news.com.au/2018/12/20/14/20/bill-shorten-ends-2018-on-a-winner
C@tmomma @ #1719 Thursday, December 20th, 2018 – 2:34 pm
I back Christian Porter for PM!
I want the glory of helping the campaign to unseat a sitting PM.
Late Riser @ #1729 Thursday, December 20th, 2018 – 1:50 pm
Not sure if they can wait that long! 🙂
Scott’s a Big C!
The L/NP can’t organise a drunken brawl in a bar, so there is no hope that they could organise a Party meeting outside of sitting weeks in order to knife ScoMo. I’m enjoying the wishful thinking though 🙂
Cud Chewer @ #1650 Thursday, December 20th, 2018 – 3:32 pm
..most likely raindeer..
..sorry, couldn’t resist 😀
Good luck trying to get liberal MPs and senators back from holidays for a spill.
There is a minimum 33 days after the writs are issued for an election to be held.
That means Morrison can bask in the glory (wrong I know) of the Australia Day holiday and visit the GG a couple of days later asking for a March 2 election.
There is zero chance that either Morrison or McCormack will get rolled between now and the election.
Leadershitstirring is about after the next election.
Barney in Go Dau @ #1588 Thursday, December 20th, 2018 – 4:52 pm
I’ve seen speculation about Credlin being a candidate for Mallee at the federal election. So the scenario might be that the LNP lose government, Credlin wins her seat, lots of LNP infighting, ..?
Yeah, you’re probably right. 🙂
GG
Morrison needs a bigger flak jacket.
Markjs
Well played sir !!!! 😆 😆 😆
The next election must be held by 18 May 2019 for half of the State Senators and on or before 2 November 2019 for the House of Representatives and Territory Senators.
If I was Morrison I would be holding out until November 2019. Why not?
Sydney Airport Closed. Massive storm. Nothing to occupy me but a glass a Red and Poll Bludger wit!!
I wonder how many in the Government have realised that now Turnbull is gone there is no one that remotely resembles a leader left. 🙂
U
Don’t let go of the bottle.
Forgot Julia Banks – could already be 43-40. If Arthur Sinodinis couldn’t get there 42-40.
Which means ONE person to change sides and we have a tie!
Would Morrison step down if it was 41-41?
If they all come back to Canberra for parliament sitting, then usually the Liberals have a party-room meeting in the Tuesday don’t they? Tuesday January 29th.
Morrison needs one and a half flack jackets.
“Greensborough Growler says:
Thursday, December 20, 2018 at 5:52 pm
Scott’s a Big C!”
That flak jacket needs to be a bit longer. Otherwise they may get him in the rotunda!
poroti @ #1740 Thursday, December 20th, 2018 – 5:29 pm
..thanx Comrade 🙂
nath @ #1741 Thursday, December 20th, 2018 – 2:00 pm
What purpose does it serve?
Minority in the House and the possibility of a more progressive Senate for the last 4-5 months.
How are things going to get better? 🙂
Gives him more time for something to happen. Time is what he needs, at the least, to change the polls. I would not dismiss it as a possibility. Unless he wants to be put out of his misery early. But it doesn’t look it. He;s trying everything.