The BludgerTrack poll aggregate has been updated with this week’s Newspoll and the YouGov Galaxy poll from Queensland, the effect of which is to add another half a point to Labor’s two-party preferred vote for a gain of only one seat, that being in Western Australia. The Queensland poll, which was a relatively good result for the Coalition, negated the effect of Newspoll in that state. Newspoll’s leadership ratings resulted in little change in the trend readings – no doubt it would have been a different story if I had a net satisfaction series for Scott Morrison, who did particularly badly in Newspoll, but there is still too little data for that to be feasible.
BludgerTrack: 54.7-45.3 to Labor
After a dire result from Newspoll, the BludgerTrack poll aggregate is hardly better for the Coalition than it was immediately after the leadership coup.
michael
Any set of economic fools can grow debt, redistribute wealth, suppress real wages growth, and turn the masses into the working poor. Household debt is world-record quality; savings have been debauched; housing equity is plunging down the chute and share values are back to where they were before the Coalition’s Ship of Fools set sail under Captain Abbott. Brilliant stuff.
Add the massive decline in personal freedoms, the acceleration of Australia’s CO2 emissions, Global Warming farmer beggars, a half dead Reef, the trashing of national cultural institutions, the alienation of our traditional friends and allies (other than Trump’s US) and a biodiversity holocaust…
The Coalition is not just any set of fools.
They excel.
RR
The most egregious Di Natale promise to his ardent fans was that the Greens were marching towards government in their own right.
There is no more people employed as a percentage of the population than there was 10 yrs ago.It was 62% then and its 62% now.The creation of over a million jobs by the Libs is a total myth and they are never called for it especially by the MSM.
Player One @ #791 Thursday, November 15th, 2018 – 6:22 pm
The mining unions won’t allow that.
If the LNP lock in contracts, particularly with penalty clauses to cost a new government large amounts in future budgets and the contracts are signed with the knowledge that a new government will not wish to complete these agreements the LNP need to be outed for the corrupt processes it is.
Legislation needs to formulated to prevent this possibility. The LNP have form and show scant regard for the voters.
A bit more on the Australian Research Council delayed funding announcements saga. This is the second Michael Koziol article this week, presenting the governments reasons for rejecting grants / delaying funding. I think they are softening us up for rejection of particular projects, and possibly even a big cut
in the funding allocated.
I have had some good indications that I was likely to be successful this year – so I am just going to spend the rest of the day crying.
Apropos of nothing in particular, the meaning of life according to an evolutionary biologist: https://www.forbes.com/sites/quora/2018/11/07/im-an-evolutionary-biologist-and-this-is-what-science-has-to-say-about-the-meaning-of-life/amp/?utm_source=quora&utm_medium=referral
“The Guardian reports that the Minerals Council has backed the Coalition’s plan to underwrite new power generation, and has warned Labor to honour any contracts negotiated by the Morrison government before the next election.”
Be interesting to see the ALP reaction to this kind of thuggery??
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/nov/15/minerals-council-backs-coalitions-plan-to-underwrite-new-power-generation
Boerwar, I think I understand your response. Its better to have less jobs and so a lower standard of living for everybody ( more jobs mean more tax revenue and everyone in the end is better off except for the lazy who won’t work) and worry more about other so-called important issues
@michael
Instead of using overall figures give us the details Michael.
I am assuming you are ignoring the part time, casual and fall of fultime jobs right?
imacca @ #800 Thursday, November 15th, 2018 – 6:32 pm
faux outrage… then acceptance
Michael, the low unemployment would be attributable to the careful stewardship of Labor state governments.
‘michael says:
Thursday, November 15, 2018 at 6:34 pm
Boerwar, I think I understand your response.’
You would not have a clue, pal.
Bahahahahaaha the only positive thing @michael posts is about job numbers a boom For Coalition Party rofl.
The Coalition are terrible for employment, just look at the expected 2019 unemployment rate for Coalition MPs.
Was that a dinky-di comment?
Labor “good” at politics and “bad” at economics? Surely an grown-up could not see life in such simplistic terms?
As a riposte, I think WA Labor was left with a 38 billion $$$ deficit but the Barnet government but conversely, Labor left a 6 billion $$ surplus was it? when Labor lost the an election it should have not lost 3 elections ago?
Bull shit Rex.
Did anyone else notice that, grammatically, Price referred to the Pacific as if it were a person?
Is Price the full quid?
I don’t think so BW.
Her nickname is Half Price.
Tricot
WA Tories inherited a state debt of about $3.6 billion. They brilliantly engineered a 1000% increase during a mining boom.
Let’s not forget what holiday is coming up. And also end of year.
…and WA has turned the corner economically in Labor’s watch.
Regarding the minerals council demand the ALP honour any contracts signed by the current government.
Reminds me of the east-west link deal the LNP signed before leaving government at the last Vic state election. A complication was that the outgoing government, knowing they were going to lose, and knowing it was the ALP’s policy to scrap the project, signed a SECRET side letter guaranteeing the construction companies their profit. This money the incoming ALabor government had to hand over.
I voted on Monday and Michael O’Brian is my local member. So it was with pleasure I told the Liberal HTV hander outer that I could not vote for a person who gave a billion dollars away for nothing. He started to blame Labor (don’t they all) but suddenly stopped when I kept saying (much to the interest of the gathering crowd), that Michael signed the letter and he was responsible and not to blame others. He hated it.
Fake Dinkum has been publicly madsplaining that Widodo and Mahatir have not been talking about you-know-what, that there is nothing to you-know-what and, even if Widodo and Mahatir DID say something vaguely having to do with you-know-what, Widodo and Mahatir don’t know what they are talking about.
Plus Fake Dinkum reckons that Ciobo might or might not have actually said on-the-record to a major journalist for a major national newspaper that there is a less than 5% chance that you-know-what will happen. Plus, Fake Dinkum reckons that the Government’s internal processes about you-know-what will reach a landing at about the same time as Santa makes a landing.
Meanwhile, there is a concentrated burst of let’s-all-forget that Morrison launched a reconsideration of Australia’s attitude to the Iran Nuclear Agreement.
‘Lynch Pin says:
Thursday, November 15, 2018 at 6:48 pm
I don’t think so BW.
Her nickname is Half Price.’
Ha! It is certainly not the ‘Price is Right!’
Could we be looking at ‘Over Priced’?
…signed a SECRET side letter guaranteeing the construction companies their profit. This money the incoming ALabor government had to hand over.
Why wasn’t there an enquiry into that? Why didn’t the then new Labor Government refuse to pay anything beyond costs incurred and dare the contractors to sue?
Maybe someone should have gone to jail.
…and at the next election, hopefully “Price Reduction”
Cut Price.
Ask the ex Kiribati President.
Re Steve Davis @6:27 PM “The creation of over a million jobs by the Libs is a total myth and they are never called for it especially by the MSM.”
One million jobs in 5 years is basically what is required to keep pace with the growth of the population (and work force), which have both been growing at about 1.5% per annum. These jobs weren’t ‘created’ by the Coalition Government, which was busy cutting staff and budgets anywhere it could do so without harming its donors, while overseeing the shutdown of auto manufacturing in Australia. After 5 years of Coalition Government, there are about a million more jobs, a work force about a million bigger and a population about 2 million greater.
Unemployment didn’t increase. Wacky do. It’s a non-achievement.
Probably linked already, but what the hell…
MyHealth boss moonlights for Serco.
https://www.smh.com.au/healthcare/hidden-conflict-my-health-record-boss-privately-giving-advice-to-health-firms-20181107-p50eh9.html
PeeBee @ #816 Thursday, November 15th, 2018 – 6:50 pm
Good for you PeeBee
It was an act of treachery against the good people of Victoria by the Libs for which they should not be forgiven.
BB
Yep. Already linked. Bludger is agile.
Watch out! Albo has made a speech.
“ALBO’S STINGING ATTACK ON LIBS, GREENS
Anthony Albanese has launched a passionate plea to inner city voters to return an Andrews Government minister during a stinging attack on the Greens and the Liberals.” (Hun headline)
citizen says:
Reading between the lines the headline actually says……
“ALBO’S STINGING ATTACK ON LIBillShorten, GREENS
PeeBee
It rather looks like they are going to try to force following governments to use tax payer funds to subsidise coal fired power stations.
After 30 years of global warming science this must surely be the last gasp of a clatch of global warming criminals?
Steve777 @ #819 Thursday, November 15th, 2018 – 6:55 pm
The contract had to honoured and so to the promise to scrap the dud project.
It’s well known what the Libs did, despite the likes of Neil Mitchell indulgence in deceit
Thanks Poroti………….the actual figures escaped me but I do know the Carpenter government had left the State coffers in relatively good shape and the debt blew out to a huge amount after Colin. It used to amuse me when the Fed Liberals used to beat Labor about the head with their “debt”stuff when one of their Star Performers racked up $38 billion plus…………………….My main point was a quick rejoinder to the “Labor bad at economics/good at politics” tripe someone was passing off as sensible comment a few posts earlier…………………………
After the dozens of brickbats, I bestow a rose on Morrison:
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/latest-news/morrison-wont-pick-sides-in-uschina-spat/news-story/c35faaef7ddfc44bb9984ce267afc33b
The wealthy are voting with their squillions:
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/wealth/wealthy-brits-jumping-ship-for-australia-us-after-brexit-vote-report/news-story/d0eeda8ba4556799b9cea1b5f13d35fd
Malaysian concerns about embassy move thought-bubble: https://www.canberratimes.com.au/politics/federal/backlash-to-embassy-review-worsens-as-malaysian-pm-warns-on-causes-for-terrorism-20181115-p50gb8.html
Do you think that Scott Morrison really cares about what are the real causes of terrorism? He needs terrorism. Since 9/11 it’s what the Right have had a death grip on to sustain them when their efforts to implement economic policies that favour their benefactors tank the economy.
Tricot
Uncle Colin is an excellent example to use when fighting the idea the Libs are innately fabulous money managers.
I just got a robocall on behalf of a Liberal Senator or MP (can’t remember the name).
wtte
What of these four is your main concern, local jobs, health, security, something economic reducing living costs blah blah?
(local jobs)
Something or other and I answered
(Not sure)
The govt is doing wonders for shipbuilding in SA, is there enough information out there?
(no) I wonder if this is pushpolling?
Will you vote Lib, Labor, Centre Allianz,Green, another party?
(Another party)
Would you change your vote at the next election?
(not sure)
Given a choice , would you vote Liberal over Labor, or Labor over Liberal?
(Liberal over Labor)
Who do you think is the better PM, Morrison, Shorten or don’t know.
(Morrison)
Are you male or female?
(Male)
What is the first number of your age?
(2)
The questions are as I remember them. I answered as any decent ALP member would. 🙂
I’m not too concerned about the “good” unemployment figures. Too little, too late.
Puffy
It could be a Liberal match-making service! You know, to grow the next generation.
Expect a door knock from an earnest 20-something Young Lib in the next few days!
Boerwar @ #840 Thursday, November 15th, 2018 – 7:16 pm
His side will be picked for him!
GG
He might end up being torn in half.
Goll
The so called East/West link in Melbourne – and there were unknown side letters to boot!!
Should have been a Class Action against those Liberal politicians involved in that charade