Mid-week miscellany

Federal electoral news nuggets, sourced from Western Australia and the Australian Capital Territory.

We are having one of the poll-free weeks that have occasionally bedevilled us since Essential Research moved from weekly to fortnightly, with Newspoll having one of its occasional three-week gaps so its next poll coincides with the resumption of parliament. So here’s some random bits of electoral news:

• A polling nugget I forgot to relate a fortnight ago: according to a report by Nick Butterly of The West Australian, a Labor internal poll recorded a neck-and-neck result in the Perth seat of Stirling, which Michael Keenan holds for the Liberals by a margin of 6.1%. After excluding the 10.8% undecided, the primary votes were Liberal 40.2% (49.5% in 2016), Labor 37.6% (32.2%), Greens 9.0% (11.7%) and One Nation 5.3%. The poll was conducted by Community Engagement from a large sample of 1735.

Gareth Parker in the Sunday Times reports that Matt O’Sullivan, who ran unsuccessfully in the lower house seat of Burt at the 2016 election, has narrowly won preselection for the third position on the Liberals’ Western Australian Senate ticket, behind incumbents Linda Reynolds and Slade Brockman. O’Sullivan emerged with 56 votes to 54 for Trish Botha, co-founder with her husband of an evangelical church in Perth’s northern suburbs. The closeness of the result surprised party observers, especially given Christian conservative numbers man Nick Goiran backed O’Sullivan. As Gareth Parker noted in his weekly column, Botha appears to have attracted support from “non God-botherers” opposed to Goiran’s alliance with Mathias Cormann and Peter Collier, who may not have been aware of the messianic language employed by Botha’s church.

• Katy Gallagher has announced she will seek preselection to recover the Australian Capital Territory Senate seat from which she was disqualified last month over Section 44 complications, after speculation she might instead seek the territory’s newly created third lower house seat. However, it appears she will face opposition from the newly anointed successor to her Senate seat, David Smith, former local director of Professionals Australia.

• As for the lower house situation in the Australian Capital Territory, Andrew Leigh will remain in Fenner and Gai Brodtmann will go from Canberra to the nominally new seat of Bean, leaving a vacancy available in Canberra. Smith appears set to run if he loses the Senate preselection to Gallagher; Sally Whyte of Fairfax reports he will be opposed by Kel Watt, a lobbyist who has lately made a name for himself campaigning against the territory Labor government’s ban on greyhound racing. Other potential starters include John Falzon, chief executive of the St Vincent de Paul Society; Jacob Ingram, a staffer to Chief Minister Andrew Barr; and Jacob White, a staffer to Andrew Leigh.

• Occasional Poll Bludger contributor Adrian Beaumont has launched his own website of local and international election and polling news.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,992 comments on “Mid-week miscellany”

Comments Page 4 of 40
1 3 4 5 40
  1. C@tmomma @ #144 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 11:54 am

    Barney in Go Dau @ #138 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 2:48 pm

    William Bowe @ #136 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 11:45 am

    Melburnians now so terrified of African gangs they’re too scared to go to the police.

    I’m ok with that, I just have hope that Vietnamese gangs don’t run riot!!! 🙂

    I think you’ll be safe from the Melbourne ones. 😉

    It’s certainly not a problem here, the cops have little tolerance for antisocial behaviour and there are few beg your pardons when they deal with it.

  2. Buddhism has the concept of redemption.

    You can buy birds or fish and release them back into the wild.

    This giving back life somehow absolves one from being an arsehole.

    It could be the difference between coming back as a worm and a king in your next life.

    Another way is to build a stupa.

    In Burmese Day’s the wife of a character regularly goes out to buy some fish which she releases on his behalf because she can see what an arsehole he is to others and she is terrified at what he might come back as.

  3. rhwombat @ #104 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 12:57 pm

    ItzaDream @ #421 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 11:25 am

    The whole practice of ‘confession’ is bollocks.

    If I understand it correctly, the basic tenet is that the confessor if the agent of (a) God, and acting for (the) God, dispenses forgiveness, imposes a penalty, and thereby the soul of the penitent is cleansed.

    What God needs a agent? It is a medieval power play by a Church to self impose relevance where none is necessary.

    And that’s without looking at just what ‘sin” is, let alone ‘forgiveness’.

    Didn’t that old ratbag Martin Luther have something to say about this? That caused a bit of kerfuffle if I recall – 100 year wars, defenestration and a Diet of Worms.

    Think M L was more on about the buying of indulgences, and get out of Hell cards.

    (Just back from the D C Memorial – a beautifully presented tribute to the great man.)

  4. adrian @ #128 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 2:24 pm

    bemused @ #120 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 2:00 pm

    guytaur @ #38 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 10:19 am

    Half of Australian 25-year-olds are unable to secure full-time employment, despite 60% of them holding post-school qualifications, according to a new report. https://www.buzzfeed.com/ginarushton/half-of-aussie-25-year-olds-are-unable-to-secure-full-time?utm_term=.nn3j65lB7#.nhAN6BMm2

    Which feeds into the conversation last night where briefly was all for bringing in foreign workers on short term visas to take the jobs these young Australians would otherwise get.

    That’s where you are wrong again. If you bothered to actually do a bit of research, you might realise that there aren’t Australians who are either trained or willing to do many these jobs, including in the IT sector.

    Try talking to any restaurant owner for example.

    Your xenophobia is exacerbated by your ignorance.

    I regularly meet young IT graduates unable to get a job when I attend Australian Computer Society functions. I have also worked with companies bringing in IT workers from overseas to actually replace their existing Australian IT workforce. And this has received media coverage.
    It is an absolute disgrace and those who would defend it like briefly and you are betraying fellow Australians. Oh, and those fellow Australians include some who actually migrated from the country that is the main source of the overseas cheap workforce.
    You are compradores.

  5. briefly @ #107 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 1:10 pm

    The premise of the confession is the existence of sin, a concomitant of shame. We should abolish the very idea of sin. It is a nonsensical category. There is no god and therefore there can be no offence the deity. Repeal sin. Abolish the confessional ritual.

    Yes, that is what I was saying, except, except, except. you don’t have to throw the deity concept out with the bathwater. A deity by definition can’t be offended but that doesn’t exclude the existence of one.

  6. Alice Workman

    Verified account

    @workmanalice
    2h

    Jobs minister Michaelia Cash is currently holding a press conference in Sydney.

    ABC 24 are not running it.
    Sky cut away before questions.

    *head desk*

  7. bemused says: Thursday, June 14, 2018 at 3:46 pm

    Yes, in the most recent case, a female bystander who questioned the way the cops were arresting someone got a dose of pepper spray for her trouble.

    *******************************************************

    Very sadly the recent Victoria Police ‘fake’ breath tests saga has just added to those pillars in our community – Politicians, Church Officials, Bankers etc etc that -who have ruined the thoughts on people we hold up as models to having a society with decency, honesty , integrity …..

    Victoria Police officers fake more than 250,000 roadside breath tests, investigation finds

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-05-30/victoria-police-record-fake-roadside-breath-tests/9817846

  8. bemused @ #170 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 1:00 pm

    Barney in Go Dau @ #169 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 3:58 pm

    I certainly hope the person concerned didn’t bring the flag from Australia.

    Nazi flag flown on Australian army vehicle – video

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2018/jun/14/nazi-flag-flown-on-australian-army-vehicle-video

    Where else would it have come from?
    That was certainly the suggestion on ABC radio.

    Nazi symbols are not uncommon in Muslim Countries.

    Hitler is admired by some because of his attitude towards Jews. 🙁

  9. bemused @ #159 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 3:43 pm

    adrian @ #128 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 2:24 pm

    bemused @ #120 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 2:00 pm

    guytaur @ #38 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 10:19 am

    Half of Australian 25-year-olds are unable to secure full-time employment, despite 60% of them holding post-school qualifications, according to a new report. https://www.buzzfeed.com/ginarushton/half-of-aussie-25-year-olds-are-unable-to-secure-full-time?utm_term=.nn3j65lB7#.nhAN6BMm2

    Which feeds into the conversation last night where briefly was all for bringing in foreign workers on short term visas to take the jobs these young Australians would otherwise get.

    That’s where you are wrong again. If you bothered to actually do a bit of research, you might realise that there aren’t Australians who are either trained or willing to do many these jobs, including in the IT sector.

    Try talking to any restaurant owner for example.

    Your xenophobia is exacerbated by your ignorance.

    I regularly meet young IT graduates unable to get a job when I attend Australian Computer Society functions. I have also worked with companies bringing in IT workers from overseas to actually replace their existing Australian IT workforce. And this has received media coverage.
    It is an absolute disgrace and those who would defend it like briefly and you are betraying fellow Australians. Oh, and those fellow Australians include some who actually migrated from the country that is the main source of the overseas cheap workforce.
    You are compradores.

    Nothing ‘cheap’ about it.

    Why do you think that honest employers would bother with the time, cost and compliance of bringing in overseas workers if they could source them from the local labor market?

    Or do you think that the vast majority are engaging in illegal activities? If so, not only are you wrong, but you are an idiot.

  10. Barney in Go Dau @ #171 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 4:03 pm

    bemused @ #170 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 1:00 pm

    Barney in Go Dau @ #169 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 3:58 pm

    I certainly hope the person concerned didn’t bring the flag from Australia.

    Nazi flag flown on Australian army vehicle – video

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2018/jun/14/nazi-flag-flown-on-australian-army-vehicle-video

    Where else would it have come from?
    That was certainly the suggestion on ABC radio.

    Nazi symbols are not uncommon in Muslim Countries.

    Hitler is admired by some because of his attitude towards Jews. 🙁

    Isn’t the Swastika used in Indian decorations and artwork? Isn’t that the original source?
    The Nazis were not the originators, they just made it notorious.

  11. Jones is easy pickings for a defamation suit.

    I would if Brian Schmidt will sue Jones for Jones calling him a liar re ANU/Ramsay

  12. adrian @ #173 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 4:10 pm

    bemused @ #159 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 3:43 pm

    adrian @ #128 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 2:24 pm

    bemused @ #120 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 2:00 pm

    guytaur @ #38 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 10:19 am

    Half of Australian 25-year-olds are unable to secure full-time employment, despite 60% of them holding post-school qualifications, according to a new report. https://www.buzzfeed.com/ginarushton/half-of-aussie-25-year-olds-are-unable-to-secure-full-time?utm_term=.nn3j65lB7#.nhAN6BMm2

    Which feeds into the conversation last night where briefly was all for bringing in foreign workers on short term visas to take the jobs these young Australians would otherwise get.

    That’s where you are wrong again. If you bothered to actually do a bit of research, you might realise that there aren’t Australians who are either trained or willing to do many these jobs, including in the IT sector.

    Try talking to any restaurant owner for example.

    Your xenophobia is exacerbated by your ignorance.

    I regularly meet young IT graduates unable to get a job when I attend Australian Computer Society functions. I have also worked with companies bringing in IT workers from overseas to actually replace their existing Australian IT workforce. And this has received media coverage.
    It is an absolute disgrace and those who would defend it like briefly and you are betraying fellow Australians. Oh, and those fellow Australians include some who actually migrated from the country that is the main source of the overseas cheap workforce.
    You are compradores.

    Nothing ‘cheap’ about it.

    Why do you think that honest employers would bother with the time, cost and compliance of bringing in overseas workers if they could source them from the local labor market?

    Or do you think that the vast majority are engaging in illegal activities? If so, not only are you wrong, but you are an idiot.

    I watched it happening.
    A lot of it is Indian companies who just bring out employees from India without making any effort to employ Australians.
    At one place I worked, they were brought here and paid a tax free living allowance while here and their salary was paid back in India. Hence no tax paid in Australia.
    Such arrangements were still going on last I heard and had spread to companies like IBM and the ‘Big 4’ consultancies who brought in employees from their Indian subsidiaries. A big client was the Federal Govt.
    It is an absolute scandal.

  13. bemused @ #178 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 4:16 pm

    adrian @ #173 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 4:10 pm

    bemused @ #159 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 3:43 pm

    adrian @ #128 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 2:24 pm

    bemused @ #120 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 2:00 pm

    guytaur @ #38 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 10:19 am

    Half of Australian 25-year-olds are unable to secure full-time employment, despite 60% of them holding post-school qualifications, according to a new report. https://www.buzzfeed.com/ginarushton/half-of-aussie-25-year-olds-are-unable-to-secure-full-time?utm_term=.nn3j65lB7#.nhAN6BMm2

    Which feeds into the conversation last night where briefly was all for bringing in foreign workers on short term visas to take the jobs these young Australians would otherwise get.

    That’s where you are wrong again. If you bothered to actually do a bit of research, you might realise that there aren’t Australians who are either trained or willing to do many these jobs, including in the IT sector.

    Try talking to any restaurant owner for example.

    Your xenophobia is exacerbated by your ignorance.

    I regularly meet young IT graduates unable to get a job when I attend Australian Computer Society functions. I have also worked with companies bringing in IT workers from overseas to actually replace their existing Australian IT workforce. And this has received media coverage.
    It is an absolute disgrace and those who would defend it like briefly and you are betraying fellow Australians. Oh, and those fellow Australians include some who actually migrated from the country that is the main source of the overseas cheap workforce.
    You are compradores.

    Nothing ‘cheap’ about it.

    Why do you think that honest employers would bother with the time, cost and compliance of bringing in overseas workers if they could source them from the local labor market?

    Or do you think that the vast majority are engaging in illegal activities? If so, not only are you wrong, but you are an idiot.

    I watched it happening.
    A lot of it is Indian companies who just bring out employees from India without making any effort to employ Australians.
    At one place I worked, they were brought here and paid a tax free living allowance while here and their salary was paid back in India. Hence no tax paid in Australia.
    Such arrangements were still going on last I heard and had spread to companies like IBM and the ‘Big 4’ consultancies who brought in employees from their Indian subsidiaries. A big client was the Federal Govt.
    It is an absolute scandal.

    Considering the fact that the ATO and DHA share information, I find that extremely unlikely.

  14. bemused @ #175 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 1:11 pm

    Barney in Go Dau @ #171 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 4:03 pm

    bemused @ #170 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 1:00 pm

    Barney in Go Dau @ #169 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 3:58 pm

    I certainly hope the person concerned didn’t bring the flag from Australia.

    Nazi flag flown on Australian army vehicle – video

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2018/jun/14/nazi-flag-flown-on-australian-army-vehicle-video

    Where else would it have come from?
    That was certainly the suggestion on ABC radio.

    Nazi symbols are not uncommon in Muslim Countries.

    Hitler is admired by some because of his attitude towards Jews. 🙁

    Isn’t the Swastika used in Indian decorations and artwork? Isn’t that the original source?
    The Nazis were not the originators, they just made it notorious.

    It’s a common Buddhist symbol that is found on many houses and pagodas.

    There are a few not far from where I live.

    The Buddhist version is rotated 1/8 of a turn so it sits flat rather than on the point.

    But it is also found in other cultures and religions.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swastika

  15. The swastika, or hooked cross, has been used all over Asia and Europe for centuries, including in European heraldry.

    The Nazis believed the Aryan race originated in central Asia and migrated to Europe in antiquity. The swastika is (or was) a popular symbol at all points along the supposed route of migration, through India, the Middle East, eastern Europe, and into central and northern Europe. So the Nazis believed the symbol must have originated with the super-race and been brought with them.

  16. Human cells resist gene editing by turning on defenses against cancer, ceasing reproduction and sometimes dying, two teams of scientists have found.
    The findings, reported in the journal Nature Medicine, at first appeared to cast doubt on the viability of the most widely used form of gene editing, known as Crispr-Cas9 or simply Crispr, sending the stocks of some biotech companies into decline on Monday.

    But the scientists who published the research say that Crispr remains a promising technology, if a bit more difficult than had been known.

    “The reactions have been exaggerated,” said Jussi Taipale, a biochemist at the University of Cambridge and an author of one of two papers published Monday. The findings underscore the need for more research into the safety of Crispr, he said, but they don’t spell its doom.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/12/science/crispr-cancer-gene-editing.html?smtyp=cur&smid=tw-nytimes

  17. William Bowe @ #174 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 4:13 pm

    It’s the flag of the Nazi Party. The swastika is only a part of it. And I’m pretty confident they aren’t made or sold in Australia.

    William

    I have seen them on sale – a few years ago now but it was in a coastal town in NSW – real trucky stop – red neck central.

  18. Cambell Newman while head of the Brisbane city council outsourcesd all the IT to some ndian company or other. All the locals were sacked. The former IT worker was my pool cleaner.

    Great!!!!!!

  19. adrian @ #180 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 4:21 pm

    bemused @ #178 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 4:16 pm

    adrian @ #173 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 4:10 pm

    Nothing ‘cheap’ about it.

    Why do you think that honest employers would bother with the time, cost and compliance of bringing in overseas workers if they could source them from the local labor market?

    Or do you think that the vast majority are engaging in illegal activities? If so, not only are you wrong, but you are an idiot.

    I watched it happening.
    A lot of it is Indian companies who just bring out employees from India without making any effort to employ Australians.
    At one place I worked, they were brought here and paid a tax free living allowance while here and their salary was paid back in India. Hence no tax paid in Australia.
    Such arrangements were still going on last I heard and had spread to companies like IBM and the ‘Big 4’ consultancies who brought in employees from their Indian subsidiaries. A big client was the Federal Govt.
    It is an absolute scandal.

    Considering the fact that the ATO and DHA share information, I find that extremely unlikely.
    It is done with a class of Visa which allows companies to bring in ‘senior’ executives for a relatively short period – a few weeks- in this manner.
    So they just go back home for a short while and then return.
    When consultancies bill them out at $3,000 a day, a return airfare is nothing.

  20. Bemused

    Such arrangements were still going on last I heard and had spread to companies like IBM and the ‘Big 4’ consultancies who brought in employees from their Indian subsidiaries. A big client was the Federal Govt.
    It is an absolute scandal.

    I agree. I have seen this where I work.

  21. “I have seen them on sale – a few years ago now but it was in a coastal town in NSW – real trucky stop – red neck central”
    Well there you go. Are you sure it wasn’t a Liberal Party fundraiser shop?

  22. Jolyon Wagg @ #188 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 4:37 pm

    Bemused

    Such arrangements were still going on last I heard and had spread to companies like IBM and the ‘Big 4’ consultancies who brought in employees from their Indian subsidiaries. A big client was the Federal Govt.
    It is an absolute scandal.

    I agree. I have seen this where I work.

    I hope Adrian takes off his blindfold long enough to read this.

  23. My further argument is that foreign workers add to the productive capacity of the economy.

    Worth considering if domestic labour wastage has been cut to negligible levels. But there is currently a vast amount of waste of the Australian’s people’s abilities and desires to work. How about targeting full employment with price stability and sustainable resource use? Oh right, ideological objections. Need to mindlessly pursue the nonsensical target of “shrinking the fiscal deficit” and “moving to surplus” instead of focusing on real resource availability and quality of society and quality of natural environment.

  24. “A lot of it is Indian companies who just bring out employees from India without making any effort to employ Australians”
    This was happening under Rudd and Gillard. They just turned a blind eye. I imagine Shorten or Di Natale would do the same.

  25. There’s plenty of Australians that can do the job.

    But Government and Employers too fucking lazy since John Howard days and the days of Work Placements, Contracts, and other bullshit.

  26. Sohar @ #192 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 4:40 pm

    “A lot of it is Indian companies who just bring out employees from India without making any effort to employ Australians”
    This was happening under Rudd and Gillard. They just turned a blind eye. I imagine Shorten or Di Natale would do the same.

    Yes, to their absolute shame it did go on.
    It is an outrage.
    The argument is used that they had specialist skills not available here. That may be true in a very limited number of cases, but most are just relatively new graduates.
    Also, Australian companies in the IT Industry used to send a couple of people overseas to learn new skills, bring it back to Australia and run training here to spread the skill.

  27. Sohar @ #192 Thursday, June 14th, 2018 – 1:40 pm

    “A lot of it is Indian companies who just bring out employees from India without making any effort to employ Australians”
    This was happening under Rudd and Gillard. They just turned a blind eye. I imagine Shorten or Di Natale would do the same.

    Considering Shorten made reference to, temporary workers not being here a day longer than it takes to train a replacement, on Monday night, probably not.

    It seems he wants to do something positive to deal with the issue. 🙂

  28. But he should have been tackled the owner about the increase in prices.

    He didn’t do that because he isn’t particularly good at thinking on his feet. He also lacks practice at making forceful, evidence-based arguments for businesses needing to adapt to wages that reflect the material standard of living that our society can sustain because of its aggregate productivity level. “Employer’s capacity to pay” is not the basis for deciding wages. Our Commonwealth Parliament, subject to democratic control, should be deciding what wages are acceptable, and it is the role of businesses to adapt to that. Business who can’t afford to pay decent wages have a bad business model and need to either improve their processes or be replaced by a better business owner. Simple as that.

  29. I see that Nicholas is proposing the Greens’ approach which would have been to tell the business owner that he should be broke and just to bugger off.

  30. Good afternoon blogers. I logged in just now. So I did not read any discussions.
    How are the bloggers feeling about flying the Nazi flag on Australian army vehicle even allegedly for a short time? How is BW feeling about it? How is Kayjay feeling about it?
    This is not one off incident.
    1. There is this allegation of wide spread corruption in Navy. According to ABC investigative team report a lot of US officers have been stood down
    One of the Australian officers targetted in that investigation has resigned as Navy officer and is now working as defence contractor
    2. ABC very recently revealed that some years ago Australian narmy officers have allegedly killed unarmed civilians in Afgan.

Comments Page 4 of 40
1 3 4 5 40

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *