The only new poll result this week, from Newspoll, landed right on the existing results for BludgerTrack, which accordingly records only the slightest of movements in this week’s update. The biggest of these is a 0.4% increase for One Nation, who were up two points in Newspoll. The only changes on the seat projection result from the fact that my hypothetical election is now one conducted using mini-redistributions, giving Labor extra seats in Victoria and the Australian Capital Territory, and the Liberals losing one in South Australia.
The voting intention readings don’t offer much excitement, but Newspoll’s latest leadership numbers further contribute to an impression of rising popularity (or at least, falling unpopularity) for Malcolm Turnbull, which seemed to kick in two to three months ago. Turnbull’s net approval trend rating is now well clear of Bill Shorten’s for the first time since early 2016, and he has more than recovered from a slight dip in his preferred prime minister rating over New Year.
Full results:
“30 days to spend half a billion dollars to be spent on completely unknown projects, given to a “foundation” that refuses to disclose its founders, or even inform its board members of the money it has been allocated.”
These “founders” wouldn’t have links to oil, coal, fishing or resort development interests by any chance. Looks dodgy as all getout.
Tristo quoted by BiGD @6:11PM
“My thought of the day if One Nation collapses before the federal election, the sort of voters who are currently supporting One Nation will find another party or a party find them. Which one of the smaller right wing parties, I don’t know yet.”
When One Nation collapsed the first time, John Howard harvested most of their votes for the “Liberals” and Nationals.
That infighting within One Nation over corparate tax cuts must surely be making the odds better for Labor in Longman.
S777
‘These “founders” wouldn’t have links to oil,…’
One of them does. Oil.
Half a billion dollars will buy a lot of plastic coral to fool the tourists.
” but the figures show it is unaffordable and the tax regime that would be required to fund it would be economically devastating.”
Bullshit CC. 🙂 You are, unsurprisingly, missing the point.
“And having seen him as President are you still wanting an Australian President Trump/Palmer/Hanson”
What are you on about??
Tristo
Hanson’s party has collapsed. From Four down to two including herself.
With the vote collapse in the past state elections its a repeat of before.
briefly
Yep. Have you done drawing on the right side of the brain yet?
briefly
I love the illusions you create with painting – the whole thing is an illusion anyway, of course!
I try to do the ‘painting light’ thing – blocking in dark elements and then light ones. Often I find that I’ve ‘painted’ what I wanted to without really doing it – for example, by blocking in light and dark, I ‘create’ tree branches without actually drawing them in, they are created by the interplay.
“With the vote collapse in the past state elections elections its a repeat of before.”
PHON have a bit of a pattern dont they? Pity the gullible who vote for them.
booleanbach @ #383 Friday, June 1st, 2018 – 5:46 pm
I bet Julie Bishop and Malcolm Turnbull know the answer. But, if asked, she’ll just do that, ‘Moi?’ thing.
I assume that most of the DAP has gone to farmers to plant trees while their fellow farmers have cleared more land than the DAP protected.
I assume that most of the Foundation’s funds will go to farmers for on-farm expenditure, to COTS killing friends of the Liberals, with a smidge to go to the coral scientists who are desperately trying to speed breed heat resistant reef building corals before all the Reef instead of half the Reef dies.
This half billion firmly cements FrythePlanet as Australia’s worst ever environment minister.
The funding neatly avoids premiere scientific institutions that are likely to say to the public, ‘The Reef is well and truly fucked under the Coalition.’
briefly @ #447 Friday, June 1st, 2018 – 7:15 pm
I’m so glad you are doing it still, so well, so spiritually. You are possessed of substantial talent. 🙂
Imacca
No matter what you think of the Greens or the Democrats both parties transcended their one personality leading it.
Both parties lasted for at least years after the leader stood down.
I suspect this is because both parties have had policies and a political brand based on that. Don Chipp and Bob Brown both started parties not based on themselves.
Palmer. Xenophon Hanson etc all going the same way.
The exception could be The Central Alliance as Xenophon belatedly removed his name from the party. If Xenophon passes the Baton to Sharkie that one might become the moderate Liberal party.
Breaking News is Spains Prime Minister has admitted defeat.
In regards what we owe our home mortgage lenders (including owner occupied and investment), as I have put before, the RBA issue 10 year data
That data showed that we owed $335 Billion in January 2000 then $1.226 Trillion in January 2010 – representing our GDP as a Nation
That was before business and consumer lending which took our private debt to 170% of GDP in January 2010
So our mortgage debt increased by 350% over the 10 years until January 2010 – noting the banks turned off the lending taps from 2008 due to the GFC and fractured Global Capital Markets
GDP was running at below trend and around 3% PA
What this debt figure includes is that most home mortgage borrowers service on a credit foncier basis – that is principal plus interest repayments so reducing debt (and don’t get me started on interest only lending for housing, which benefits Negative Gearing)
So the growth in debt includes repayment of that debt over the period
There is no reference to this in the data, just where total debt is at
I would understand that since 2020 our home mortgage debt has grown now to the order of $1.6/1.7 Trillion
GDP continues to have a 2 in front of it
Willox’s comments on the Australian economy – supporting the presentation that one man’s pay rise is another man’s job – is accurate
If the economy is in strong recovery mode why has the RBA not increased interest rate settings past accommodative settings?
Why is the RBA calling for wages increases?
Only the government and those it reports on the economy to such as the IMF are of the view the Australian economy is showing signs of life – and that is because they rely on what government says
And FWC is yet another stacked instrumentality by this government
“PHON have a bit of a pattern dont they? Pity the gullible who vote for them.”
They fill a niche in the Australian political market. Up to 10% of voters are attracted to them, briefly and locally over 20% in Qld. Fortunately, Pauline, while having a sort of charisma and street smarts, is too flakey to hold it together.
The scary thing is, one day a competent and charismatic Far Right leader could well arise. As it is, I think the One Nation phenomenon is helping to ratchet the “Liberals” further right.
I knew about the grant, but what I didn’t know was that it had to be spent by June 30 this year, by people who apparently refuse to disclose their identities.
Half a billion without any oversight? By anonymous grantees? On undisclosed projects? Effing ridiculous! Where the hell is the Auditor General?
This has got Rain Making all over it. Sounds to me that the election might be planned for a little earlier than anyone thinks. Otherwise how could you possibly hope to account for such a sum of taxpayers’ money?
Amen to that, one of these nut jobs with half a brain would be a scary scenario.
BB
I suspect that by ‘paying’ it to the Foundation it goes on the books as spent this FY.
If so, there would be no need for the Foundation to allocate it to specific projects this FY.
‘Spending’ it this FY might be one of the accounting tricks which enables them to forecast a Budget ‘surplus’ when they do.
I don’t know. I am just guessing.
Has there been a response from the government on the wage case decision?
I assume the tweets posted about Morrison were referring to that.
Which way will they go ? Support their budget projections or revert to their instinctual behavior.
Mikeh
Thats the Australian Conservatives led by Bernadi.
Thats the scary bunch. Bernadi has real political experience
Edit: unless Dutton becomes PM.
https://elpais.com/elpais/2018/05/31/inenglish/1527781254_686740.html
Spanish Congress has just conducted a historic no-confidence vote that has removed Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy from office.
This is the first time in Spanish democratic history that a head of government has been ousted. Rajoy, 63, refused to step down ahead of the vote, saying he had the trust of the people who voted for him at the 2016 election.
Rajoy is being replaced by Socialist (PSOE) leader Pedro Sánchez, whose 84 seats were insufficient for the majority of 176 required in the 350-seat house. This forced the PSOE to seek support from a range of other parties, including regional nationalists in the Basque Country and Catalonia.
The motion was successful after 180 deputies voted to unseat Rajoy.
http://www.dw.com/en/who-is-pedro-sanchez-spains-prime-minister-designate/a-44041431
Who is Pedro Sanchez, Spain’s prime minister-designate?
@Steve777
I agree with you, the far right in Australia they never had a competent or charismatic leader to
make such into a force like The Greens are. In that having senators/legislative councilors elected, winning a lower house seat or two. The record in this regard has been pretty bad, it is likely to remain so.
I actually do think the Coalition will split when they enter opposition. The National Party will became a Conservative, slightly right-wing populist party and not be solely focused on rural and regional Australia. That will help the Liberals move more towards the center, they are currently.
@guytaur
Australian Conservatives advocate economic neoliberalism which is strongly opposed by One Nation voters. That is a big limitation for that party, they would need to abandon their support for economic neoliberalism in order to become a bigger party. The same goes for the anti-Islam Australia Liberty Alliance which could become a party winning say 10% of the vote, if they did that as well.
When debate arises regarding Churchill the saviour, versus Churchill the mistake prone politician, the Black and Tans fall heavy on the over use of brutal power by the British in Ireland. Nothing new here of course, but the B and T’s were the sweepings of the English prison system – thugs and murderers – and the Irish (at least those in the mainly Catholic south) were entitled to be enraged by their actions. The irony is that tens of thousands of citizens who lived in what is now the Republic took the King’s Shilling as they used to say, in World War 1.
“Thats the Australian Conservatives led by Bernadi.
Thats the scary bunch. Bernadi has real political experience”
Fortunately, Bernardi has the charisma of a piece of cold toast.
Do the leaders of political parties in the Federal Parliament receive an additional allowance above the basic salary? If so, what number of members constitutes a “party”? Could Pauline be facing a drop in parliamentary income?
Boerwar says:
Friday, June 1, 2018 at 3:18 pm
Mari
Wish I were on Milos!
Beautiful today not a cloud in the sky, 27c but still windy
Mr Bowe,
One has to laugh otherwise they would cry.
Regards
CC
Someone needs to tell the AFL we are sick to death of seeing shit matches on Friday nights due to their endless efforts to boost the tyres of dismal uncompetitive VFL teams like Carlton.
Steve
Didn’t stop Tony Abbott.
Its asign of how big the rifts are on the right that Bernadi and Abbott are not in the same party.
Bennelong,
It is up to the discretion of the Government and I doubt it would be wise to remove Party Status from her right now.
Diogenes @ #480 Friday, June 1st, 2018 – 6:14 pm
Hey! For Carlton fans outside Victoria, Friday night games are the only times we get to see our team play, unless they’re playing WCE or Freo that is.
And just to further bore you with a favourite of mine-:
Start. $335 Billion
Less
Principal Repaid
Plus
New lending
Close. $1.226 Trillion
And who was boss cocky at CBA, picking up his bonuses including for retrenching staff and purchasing BankWest from its UK parent which was nationalised?
Then went onto various government appointments?
And now Chairs AMP to give it credibility?
And pigs fly!
Thanks, CC.
Fess
I never picked you as a Carlton fan. For shame.
Tonight will be four out of eleven opening matches Carlton have played in and lost and thrown a sopping wet towel over the weekend. I was told Gillon had told Carlton they weren’t going to get a dream ride anymore after their awful recent years. Someone made him an offer he couldn’t refuse.
Someone needs to tell the AFL we are sick to death of seeing shit matches on Friday nights due to their endless efforts to boost the tyres of dismal uncompetitive VFL teams like Carlton.
__
Perfectly posited Diog!
Dio:
We certainly haven’t had a stellar past few years that’s for sure, and the years ahead don’t look anymore promising.
There are a few of us Blues fans on PB, me, Victoria and GG come to mind immediately but I know there are others.
Tricot
The right is still in denial. Their main party is still pursuing the Corparate tax cuts. So unpopular as the public knows trickle down economics is a failure that to save her electoral chances even Pauline Hanson can recognise the voter backlash.
When you are a pure free market economistand you can’t give banks a tax cut you are in big trouble.
It really is as politically significant as the fall of the Berlin Wall was for the left.
BK
Just look at the crowd at the SCG. Might be 20K. Even they don’t want to watch it.
Diogenes @ #480 Friday, June 1st, 2018 – 8:14 pm
Fixed it for you.
Fess
Cripps and Curnow are magnificent. Not much after that.
Greg Jericho
Verified account @GrogsGamut
2h2 hours ago
A government of sooks.
Minister Mitch Fifield lodges sixth complaint about the ABC in five months https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/minister-mitch-fifield-lodges-sixth-complaint-about-the-abc-in-five-months-20180601-p4zizn.html … via @smh
bemused
World Cup starts in a fortnight. Greatest event on the planet. Truffles unlikely to associate himself with the Socceroos.
A bad performance by England would improve Labours chances in the UK no end.
Diog
It is an appalling crowd. I’m afraid AFL footy largely has become boring.
Yes Dio, very slim pickings for Carlton fans for the foreseeable future. And it’s been that way for years now.
I’m trying not to think too much about it!
Diogenes @ #494 Friday, June 1st, 2018 – 8:40 pm
Yes, it is a game of some significance, unlike the AFL circus.
Met with WA LOTO Mike Nahan today in the wake of the bushfires along with our federal MP. For an ex-IPA hack he’s definitely got a sense of humour.
Rick Wilson OTOH was his usual bland self. Definite backbencher material.
BK @ #495 Friday, June 1st, 2018 – 8:43 pm
Always was.
bemused
Well fixed 😆