As reported by The Guardian, the latest fortnightly poll from Essential Research shifts in favour of the Coalition, who now trail Labor 52-48 compared with 54-46 in the last poll. While this fits the narrative of Labor taking a hit from dividend imputation better than Newspoll, Essential’s question on the subject produces a better result for Labor than Newspoll’s, with 32% supportive and 30% opposed (compared with 33% and 50% from Newspoll). Primary votes and full report to follow later.
UPDATE: Full report here. As with two-party, the Coalition is up two on the primary vote, to 38%, and Labor down two, to 36%, with the Greens steady on 9% and One Nation steady on 8%.
I believe the mystery of Newspoll’s and Essential’s different numbers on dividend imputation is solved: Essential’s question was preceded by another on how many people were beneficiaries of the existing policy (16% received a tax deduction, 10% a cash payment), which explained how the existing policy works and how much it costs. This is unfortunate in my view, because it put respondents on a different footing from the general population. Some of the “statements about imputation credits” that respondents were invited to agree or disagree with also seem a bit leading (“paying people money to compensate for tax they haven’t paid does not make sense”), although in this case it doesn’t affect the responses to the more important question of support or opposition to the policy, as it came later in the survey.
The poll also canvasses opinion on what other tax policies respondents might support or oppose, and as usual it finds that the public heavily favours a more redistributive approach (class war and the politics of envy, if you will). Nonetheless, 40% favour cutting the company tax rate to 25%, with 30% opposed. Twenty-six per cent trust Labor more to manage a fair tax system, 28% the Coalition, and 31% no difference. Only 7% reckon Australia’s gun laws too strict, 25% think them too weak, and 62% say they are about right. A series of questions on Facebook finds 79% agreeing it should be more regulated, with 12% disagreeing, but 45% finding Facebook “generally a force for good”, with 37% disagreeing.
Andrew_Earlwood @ #1340 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 7:31 am
If he is affected by reason he will be that anyway.
Caucus is pretty well stocked in that department.
Surely numbers wise it would be better to have Storer potentially elected as an independent rather giving away what should be a certain seat for the Labor number 2.
I’m sure SA Labor has some talented individuals in line.
I think you should!!! 🙂
Asha Leu @ #1323 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 11:14 am
You are correct, of course. I always get that bit wrong. 😳
So…..new rules….We here in the economic powerhouse of the nation need to allow our workers enough time to sleep in relative darkness and coolness before they start their long, hot day of work! 😉
Wouldn’t I make a great politician!?!
Bemused
Exactly right. Its good another politician gets economics. The Greens have the same policy position on this as Labor. I don’t see calls for recruiting the Greens into Labor.
One issue does not make Storrer a Labor Senator. If it was so Labor would already have him in their ranks.
Asha Leu @ #1341 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 11:32 am
I have never been fussed about time zones.
I have run projects across multiple time zones including one on 4 continents.
You just do what you have to do to work around the different time zones. Software that takes account of time zones is a big help.
I’m very encouraged by Storer’s strong start, but approaching him to join caucus and offering him no.2 on the ticket is pretty premature.
Whilst he must be very very long odds to get another term at this point you’d think having him perhaps grabbing spot 6 in SA if he can gain enough support would be a great result. (unless he proves early efforts to be a false dawn).
Labor heading their prefs through him before they get to the Greens might be something to consider closer to the date if he has proven himself good quality over the distance.
What a vindictive cur Donald Trump is! He’s targeting Amazon now because it is owned by Jeff Bezos and Jeff Bezos also owns The Washington Post. Which has made life hard for poor widdle Donald.
Good morning all,
Re daylight saving.
If you are running a business and you do not know what time it is in the state or states in which your clients, suppliers etc are based then you should have a serious look at how you run your own business and how serious you are about making a profit.
I do not hear too many complaints from Australian business which deals with America, Europe etc.
Know your customers, know your market and adapt.
It is not hard.
Cheers.
C@t:
The Boeing cyber attack happened in South Carolina not Seattle. From memory Team Trump said that WannaCry originated from North Korea, but I could be wrong about that.
Re Storer.
Leave him where he is, negotiate with him on each indvidual piece of legislation and treat him him with respect is all labor needs to do.
Cheers.
How can you get rid of Daylight savings.
The crushing effect to the economy of all the curtain manufacturers losing business because the drapes don’t fade as fast alone could drive us into recession.
Add in the effects on the dairy industry of the cows having no idea when to come down to get milked.
Economic end of days!
rossmcg @ #1348 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 7:40 am
That sounds like when I hit the road for 6 – 12 months, bliss!!! 🙂
lizzie says:
Thursday, March 29, 2018 at 11:20 am
…”Well, that was interesting. People get very entrenched around the “right” time for the sun to set. BTW, I didn’t post the article as a recommendation, but just for interest”…
.
It’s a bit of a touchy subject.
Queensland had daylight savings for several years when I was a kid and I quite enjoyed running around outside after dinner, but I really don’t see a lot of actual benefit.
It has rained here (S.E.Q) every day for weeks and is still hot, it will stay hot until probably May and the sooner the sun disappears below the clouds each day, the better.
I also recall a few Victorian’s here one night earlier this summer complaining about how hot it was and that they wouldn’t be able to sleep.
I had a good old chuckle when I checked and it was 22○c in Melbourne.
I’m very encouraged by Storer’s strong start, but approaching him to join caucus and offering him no.2 on the ticket is pretty premature.
Was it also premature for the Liberal Party to snaffle almost equally new Senator, Lucy Ghichui? She hadn’t even been a member of the Liberal Party previously. Tim Storer has been a member of Labor.
As for his position on the ticket. Alex Gallacher hasn’t exactly set parliament alight but is probably owed #1 spot. As for the other that should go before Storer, can you even name them? Or how well-qualified for the job of Senator they would be?
Barney in Go Dau @ #1350 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 11:43 am
Agree 100% Barney.
Just how low can the Andrews government go ? No wonder our cricketers can lose their moral compass when we get this dished up by our political leaders.
“The Andrews government is poised to ram its controversial fire services reforms through State Parliament on Thursday, taking advantage of a crossbench MP’s absence.
Australian Conservatives’ upper house MP Rachel Carling-Jenkins, who would have tipped the vote against Labor, remained too ill to go to work on Thursday, handing Labor the opportunity to get its bill passed. A spokesman said Dr Carling-Jenkins had asked for a pair earlier this week but the government had denied her request”
Absence of Empathy @ #1361 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 7:49 am
You have no empathy for the poor dears!!! 🙂
The Coalition always with the big policy announcements. Frydeplanet announcing people can read their own electricity meters now and send a photo of it into their Energy supplier!
Also a couple of attacks on Andrews Labor in Victoria. Victoria must allow on land gas source supply. And the closure of Hazelwood has caused electricity prices to go up. So… back the NEG!
Barney in Go Dau @ #3375 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 11:14 am
Generally agreed, BigD – except that WMDs are (and have always been) political concepts populated by a variety of proscribed agents and propaganda. The term WMD comes from Nixon’s largely successful attempts to use the Biological Weapons (BW) Convention and Chemical WCs to prevent the non-nuclear powers from developing and deploying relatively cheap biological and chemical weapons, together with its later deployment to justify destroying Iraq (by some of Nixon’s proteges plus their craven lackeys, like Blair and Howard). Also, BW & CWs are very inefficient and difficult to use as offensive weapons – blow back is literal. WMD may as well refer to weapons of mass delusion or deception.
The Skripals’ cases are the carefully (if brutally) calibrated use of a very specific agent (novichok – “newcomer”) to send a specific message to Putin’s opponents and allies (as was the use of polonium) – unlike the use of sarin in Syria (which was a cynical calibration exercise to see how far Putin’s puppets would jump), or Aum Shinrykio’s hysterical shriek of despair and rage, or indeed the US anthrax attacks in 2001 (which was a cynical internal extortion attempt that killed 5 people (6 if you count the likely perpetrator, who suicided) accidentally).
The “restraints” are as much political theatre as an ice pick to the skull – or a SAM to the civilian airliner.
bemused
Re Eastern Ukraine. As with Crimea it was also part of Russia until, for administrative purposes, the Soviets assigned to Ukraine. Made a lot of sense at the time. A good fit putting a resource rich area ( East) with the industrial (west).
bemused says:
Thursday, March 29, 2018 at 11:37 am
It is impossible to distinguish between your rubbish and what you are quoting.
Umm…it’s all my own rubbish.
The Russian nation did not begin with Putin and it will not end with Putin
Exactly. We can see the resumption of an expansionist state. It is neo-Tsarist, neo-Imperialist.
Russia does not want NATO on its borders. It would have been sensible for the West to uphold the agreement Russia thought it had on this and left Ukraine as a buffer state.
The description of Ukraine (and other nearby States) as “buffers” is in itself rather dreadful. Buffers are for absorbing blows. The implicit idea is that these lands will become zones of conflict at some point, and that there is nothing they should be allowed to do to forestall that. I think this is the same mentality that threw millions of soldiers to their deaths in the 20th century wars.
Taylormade @ #1365 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 11:51 am
The Coalition have done and would do the same, given the opportunity. It’s politics.
If SA is that bereft of talent that they can’t find a decent no.2 then sure maybe, just maybe, after 12 months and a lot of proving himself you might approach him. I’m not sure things are that bad in SA though.
If Storer came up to Penny next week and said ‘look this whole NXT thing was a big mistake can I sit in caucus and be bound to party discipline?’, then sure. You don’t send someone like that away.
But like doyley says, absent of him making the offer the right way to deal with him is respectfully as an Independent who has shown signs of being driven by good policy more than anything. That alone makes him an asset to Labor in the senate and a thorn in the side of the loons.
The NEG is NOT best practice!
Taylormade @ #1364 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 11:51 am
How low are the crooks in the opposition with their constant attempts to sabotage Victoria’s fire services!
“When you’re dealing with a street brawler, you’re entitled to hit him with a bottle!” – Fred Daly
C@tmomma @ #1362 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 7:50 am
What has Ghichui given the Liberal Party?
Her vote was basically a lock anyway.
I’m sure there is other talent in the Party if someone is under performing!!! 🙂
Doyley
So argues Queensland.
Good argument to make for you guys.
The unity for the Eastern Seaboard is a good one too.
The reason that gets a run is for the benefit of international business. Like tourism. Internationally its just assumed Sydney time is Australian time for most.
The whole concept of DST is to have more family time in the light. Its easier to teach a child to ride a bike in the light.
Of course we could follow Spain’s example and not have DST but instead have a longer daylight work break. The latter will work where there are not long commute times.
Renato MariottiVerified account@renato_mariotti
1h1 hour ago
Michael Cohen’s attorney just claimed on @OutFrontCNN that Trump was not aware of the Stormy Daniels agreement or the payment, which means that there was no contract between Trump and Daniels, and Daniels can release the materials. Why would he admit this on national television?
Barney in Go Dau @ #1365 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 11:52 am
If it is the night I recall, it was not 22 deg, it was more like 29 deg and warmer in some suburbs.
And hotter in many homes with the heat stored in the walls and ceilings.
And no breeze.
The fallout is starting. Players losing sponsors is one thing, people dumping CA is another.
Not a good time to be negotiating broadcast rights
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2018/mar/29/magellan-terminates-sponsorship-deal-with-cricket-australia
Your image must be bad when a financial services company dumps you.
Getting to sleep at 1am and being woken by broad daylight at 5am would explain a lot about QLD, including their objections to DST.
ratsak says:
Thursday, March 29, 2018 at 11:45 am
I’m very encouraged by Storer’s strong start, but approaching him to join caucus and offering him no.2 on the ticket is pretty premature.
Whilst he must be very very long odds to get another term at this point you’d think having him perhaps grabbing spot 6 in SA if he can gain enough support would be a great result. (unless he proves early efforts to be a false dawn).
Labor heading their prefs through him before they get to the Greens might be something to consider closer to the date if he has proven himself good quality over the distance.
Yup. As long as remains non-Fake, he is a great prospect for Labor prefs. Excellent.
briefly @ #1369 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 11:55 am
Oh, you quibble over a word, “buffer”. Very well, pick another. Unaligned? Neutral? Whatever.
The US has no hostile powers on its borders. Russia seems to desire the same luxury.
Clever hashtag on the cricket. #cheaterroos
guytaur @ #1375 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 10:58 am
100% agree.
Eastern Seaboard, unite! Abolish Daylight Saving Time for a More Perfect Union!!!
bemused …
BBBbbbut what about all those Mexicans!!! 🙂
C@tmomma says:
Thursday, March 29, 2018 at 11:29 am
…”There are no lights, too expensive”…
So, the “economic powerhouse” that nobody except you had heard of before this morning cannot afford a couple of 200 watt light bulbs.
I think your self-proclaimed status may have a faulty foundation.
citizen @ #1043 Wednesday, March 28th, 2018 – 8:52 pm
> Pull the other one, Malcolm. You’re just a post office?
Sadly it seems we have a PM who can’t distinguish between the Prime Minister’s Office and a Post Office
After all, they’re both Offices, so what’s an Important and Busy Chap to do?
Poor Malcolm: he began with a bang, as the man who “invented the Internet in Australia” yet now it seems he’ll end as an unlicensed common carrier
a r @ #1383 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 12:07 pm
Why not one time zone for the entire country?
Make those lazy bastards in the west get up earlier! 👿
The Board should let Sutherland go. End of story.
bemused @ #1387 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 8:09 am
That’s the Chinese solution, everyone on Beijing time. 🙂
The question of alignment or nonalignment is for each State to make, together with its could-be allies, rather than for those who do not face the consequences of these decisions.
In Europe, like it or not, NATO has served peace very well. Trump doesn’t like it. Putin detests it. The neo-Fa don’t like it. The Fake Left don’t like it. Corbyn is not a fan. But it is a shield for constitutional democracy and social justice in Europe. Considering the effects of European wars each far beyond Europe, it is a very good thing for all of us that the NATO partners – especially, in reality, the US – have invested so much in their collective security for so long.
c@t:
Quite possibly, yes. Time will tell whether she turns out to be an asset or a hindrance.
In any case, should Labor really be taking their tactical cues from the Liberals?
guytaur says:
Thursday, March 29, 2018 at 9:52 am
#Qantas reveals plans for on-flight gyms on new planes. https://thenewdaily.com.au/life/travel/2018/03/28/qantas-gym-cargo-alan-joyce#Qantas reveals
No doubt this is for business class, and I only ever travel cattle class, but all I want to do on a long flight to or from WA or Europe is to get as much rest (sleep if possible) as I can before the jet lag kicks in.
On the daylight saving debate, spare a thought for some people overseas where the official time is quite different to the ‘natural’ time.
For example, in China there is a natural four hour time difference between the east and the west, yet clocks in China are the same across the country.
This handy interactive map shows official time zones around the world in real time.
https://www.timeanddate.com/time/map/
Today’s two-minute pet hate:
The words “lose” and “loose” are etymologically related, but loosely (so to speak).
They are not, however, interchangeable. I suspect there is an entire cohort of people of a given age with a specific deficiency in their education that has caused them to not understand this.
Barney in Go Dau @ #1389 Thursday, March 29th, 2018 – 12:12 pm
Do they all work the same hours according to Beijing time?
BiGD
Fantastic idea. Sandgropers have already adopted Beijing tme 🙂
autocrat
Agree. Is it their pronunciation, perhaps?
Too and two and to suffer a lot, as well.
“” Storer for the No.2 ALP slot probably won’t ruffle too many feathers. There may be a case for it. Perhaps. …
What does Labor gain out of this?””
Someone who is a intelligent and logical thinker?.