Galaxy: 50-50 in Bennelong; ReachTEL: 53-47 to Liberal

Two polls suggest Labor’s Kristina Keneally gambit is paying off – although one more so than the other.

Two polls from Bennelong:

• The Daily Telegraph has a Galaxy poll that has nothing separating John Alexander and Kristina Keneally on two-party preferred. The only primary vote numbers provided are 42% for Alexander and 39% for Keneally. Despite Keneally’s strong showing, only 37% rated that Keneally had done a good job as Premier, compared with 42% for bad job. The poll of 579 respondents was conducted on Wednesday evening, following the announcement of Keneally’s candidacy on Monday.

• A slightly less dramatic result from ReachTEL for the Sydney Morning Herald, with John Alexander leading 53-47 on two-party preferred – which nonetheless indicates a swing of over 6%. The primary votes seem to be a shade under 36% for Alexander and around 29% for Keneally. The poll of 864 respondents was conducted on Thursday evening. Alexander’s personal ratings (51.2% favourable versus 15% unfavourable) are rather stronger than Keneally’s (41.6% to 28.1%), and Malcolm Turnbull records a 59.7-40.3 lead as preferred prime minister.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,696 comments on “Galaxy: 50-50 in Bennelong; ReachTEL: 53-47 to Liberal”

  1. C@tmomma @ #2499 Monday, November 20th, 2017 – 5:57 pm

    Nope. Changing the =jpg to .jpg didn’t work on the Rowe. BK knows how to do it, though.

    You have to stop using the mobile.twitter link. Go to the desktop version and you’ll find the link doesn’t end in =jpg.

    When you have the tweet up, delete the mobile. at the start. That takes you to the desktop version. From there right click on the picture, select “copy image address” and paste the address in PB. You can also delete the =large at the end of the address as well.

  2. Any guess who this could bE?

    COALITION MP: TURNBULL MUST BE SACKED OR I’LL QUIT
    Andrew Bolt, Herald Sun
    44 minutes ago
    Subscriber only
    A Coalition MP says he will quit the Turnbull Government next month, plunging it into minority government. The MP said tonight he will stay only if Malcolm Turnbull is replaced as Prime Minister by a leader who can appeal to conservative voters.

    “This government has left the party and the values of the party,” said the lower house MP, who does not want to be identified yet.

    “It is miles away from what our rank and file say.

    “People tell me Malcolm Turnbull can’t make decisions, he dithers…

    “The final thing they say is that he’s a million miles from our values.”

    The MP says he hopes to stay in the party but sit as a crossbench MP, outside the government. But he knows he will almost certainly be expelled.

    The MP said only a change of leader would persuade him to stay, but not if Turnbull was replaced by Liberal deputy leader Julie Bishop, as is increasingly rumored.

    “I don’t know if that would fix the problem.

    “It’s about the values and the direction (of the party) and if we will do anything to appeal to the conservative base.”

    A defection will cripple the Turnbull Government. It now holds just 74 of the 148 seats in the House of Representatives, with Barnaby Joyce and John Alexander fighting by-elections after having to quit and renounce their dual citizenship.

  3. Boerwar:

    She represents great clickbait, and is likely to say something that will fuel the headlines tomorrow.

    That’s why she’s there. Qanda is the Jerry Springer show for elites.

  4. Also how many men had to admit to affairs they never had, so the wife could get a divorce from him. She may have been a woman he no longer loved and wanted to leave, and the only way was to manufacture evidence of a non existent unfaithful act.

    Funnily enough, my late husband Arthur, in his youthful days, was a driver for a really nice wealthy family in England. One day he was given specific instructions to drop off luggage late at night to a rural hotel and not a word to be breathed about it. He told me it was part of a charade to set up the evidence that the husband as a co-respondent in an affair (the husband arranged it apparently) so his wife could divorce him. That was the only way they both could be free of each other.

    Now an ordinary couple could not do that, nor afford the court proceedings needed to get a divorce.

  5. Lambie just screwed Turnbull big time.

    There are people hiding dual status the media has not reported. Thats started another round of media shark frenzy.

  6. Vogon Poet,

    “Wondered what the croc was there for in the latest Rowe, then just heard some Katter word salad, with a croc in there amongst it.”

    Maybe it’s one of the 20 or 30 he keeps up on the roof.

  7. AC

    There is a vid of Katter going viral. It was aired on Insiders yesterday. It starts with Katter, in a falsetto, encouraging a thousand blooms to flower. He segues to that with a basso profundo outrage on the way in which it is time to get onto real issues like crocodiles tearing someone apart every three months.

    It is a hoot.

  8. How can a local councillor be determined to hold an office of the Crown when a) they are elected not appointed, and b) in some states they aren’t even paid!

  9. Boerwar says:

    p
    All very well but you left out Tuesday and Thursday.

    Nae lad,the gerbils did not accept my original links .Just edited pictures,changed links, Tues and Thurs there.

  10. Lambie has always struck me as an honourable person, in that she says what she truly believes. This contrasts with the confected twaddle of so many in her profession who say whatever they think will get them re-elected.

    It’s just a shame that so much of what she believes is utter cods.

  11. Brandis has done a pretty good job of holding the fort. O’Connor has kept his head down pretty well which is all that Labor needs these days. Rice has been good. The reactionary sleaze has done a good job for his side. Lambie seems to be barely in control of herself.

  12. AM
    I would have thought that the test is twofold: one, that a person holds to their beliefs and two, that their beliefs are worth tuppence.
    IMO, Lambie helped get rid action against CO2 emissions. Some of her other statements are, quite frankly, rank.
    Finally, she is frequently incoherent, inconsistent and irrational.

  13. Ides I’m aware, but that’s not the view he held when he led the party. Now he’s just being politically expedient for the sake of the libs survival, if he were to come out against the libs own dealing with one nation now that would be a bomb under the entire LNP

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