The one brand new poll for the week, from Essential Research, made so little change to the BludgerTrack voting intention numbers that I had to double check the result. There was also an infusion of new state breakdown data courtesy of Newspoll’s quarterly state-level results, but the only difference this has made is to add one to the Coalition tally in New South Wales and subtract one in Queensland. There’s big movement in Malcolm Turnbull’s favour on the leadership trend rating following new numbers from Essential Research, but this measure is over-sensitive to the vagaries of particular pollsters, which I’ve long been meaning to correct for. Full results at the bottom of the post.
Essential Research has also released its quarterly state voting intention results this week, which are accumulated from all of its polling over the past three months. In New South Wales, the Coalition has a steady lead of 51-49; in Victoria, Labor’s lead narrows from 53-47 to 52-48; in Queensland, Labor holds a steady lead of 54-46, which is better than they have been doing from other pollsters lately, with One Nation’s primary vote at a relatively modest 13%; in Western Australia, Labor’s lead is down from 55-45 to 54-46; and in South Australia, Labor has a steady lead of 52-48, with the Nick Xenophon Team’s primary vote at 18%. Read all about it here.
Kudelka on PHI charges:
Ctar1
Yes he almost blew $2 million of his own money at that election.Imagine what he would have done if he’d lost.
Blue Planet take the Two looks one not to miss. But then I’d listen to David Attenborough, narrating paint drying and enjoy it 🙂
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/2017/10/15/blue-planet-ii-reveals-raft-new-discoveries-finds-fishermens/
Twitter, which may have been one of Russia’s most effective weapons in its efforts to meddle in the 2016 presidential election, erased user data and posts that would have been valuable to investigators probing the interference, Politico reports. Cybersecurity officials said the site’s strict privacy policy may have led to deletions of the information, which would’ve helped track the leagues of automated bots, phony ad campaigns, and other information that promoted pro-Trump and anti-Clinton narratives online. “If you have access to all this, you can basically see when botnets appeared and disappeared, and how they shaped narrative around certain events,” one analyst told Politico.
http://www.politico.com/story/2017/10/13/twitter-russia-data-deleted-investigation-243730?via=newsletter&source=CSAMedition
antonbruckner11 @ #1144 Sunday, October 15th, 2017 – 11:46 am
I saw the original for the first time last night. Two hours of my life I’ll never get back. I certainly won’t be wasting another two hours plus on the sequel.
cupid
Not turned up at the after election Lib function and left the country without saying anything?
Or maybe trying to drown himself while kayaking from his very own Sydney Harbour pier while accompanied by a Customs launch and two AFP guys paddling along behind him?
I wonder if the RWNJs will try to get a delay on SSM legislation into the never never.
C@
Harrison Ford looked so young in the original movie.
I’ve still got the last bit to watch. Flicking over to watch the Shanghai Open became irresistible last night.
Theres no doubt that Turnbull will leave parliament as soon as he loses his leadership.Then he will write a book with all the dirt on the Libs and how he got shafted twice.
zoid:
I don’t expect the likes of Abetz, Bernardi and Andrews will do much better!
CTar1 @ #1158 Sunday, October 15th, 2017 – 3:05 pm
Upon watching the original movie again last night it is easily the better of the two. However, I’m just grateful someone made a sequel. : )
When you read this, you have to ask yourself, how far back did Trump’s plans to seek the Presidency go?
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/oct/13/michael-flynn-clinton-email-investigation-russia-dark-web?via=newsletter&source=CSAMedition
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/oct/15/all-eyes-on-the-high-court-why-the-coalition-is-preparing-for-the-worst
Confidence of government sources that Joyce and Nash will survive is waning, funnily enough.
It will be interesting to see what the RWNJs will do when the Yes vote is confirmed
When the noisy minority are shown for what they are; will Turnbull have the gumption to call them put.
With Weinstein I ‘m a bit taken aback by the apparent surprise affected by most in the industry and the media. He seems to be the very stereotype of a movie mogul as portrayed in countless movies, books & TV shows.
Nothing would surprise me. The rise of Trump just shows how much Republicans will tolerate when it comes to winning govt. Even if it’s illegal or unpatriotic.
ab11
The tone has changed a bit. It looks like even the other Fed Nats wouldn’t mind too much if Joyce, Nash and the ‘Great White Hope’ Canavan ‘disappeared’.
Scullion, I reckon, would find it hard to not have a big grin on his dial.
antonbruckner11
It almost brought a tear to my eyes when I read this bit….. 😀
kevjohno
The ‘apparent surprise’ is a ‘feature’.
After all they are actors.
Mr Turnbull hasn’t repeated his confidence (not quite suitably qualified with ‘based on the advice of the Solicitor General we put in when we ran erstwhile Solicitor General out of his job’) in the outcomes since the HC hearings. No doubt they would have noted his willingness to try to subvert the HC in public. Not that they would allow their emotions to overcome their reasons.
I hope all seven MP and Senator slackarses pay for being slackarses.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/what-counts-as-improper-sexual-contact-its-becoming-harder-to-tell/2017/10/13/b15506c6-af8e-11e7-9e58-e6288544af98_story.html?hpid=hp_no-name_opinion-card-c%3Ahomepage%2Fstory&utm_term=.73ae7558e27d
C@tmomma
When you read this, you have to ask yourself, how far back did Trump’s plans to seek the Presidency go?
**************************
Here’s a Timeline of Every Time Donald Trump Ran for President
Though Donald Trump’s presidential campaign has thus far been a series of unfortunate events, this isn’t the real estate mogul’s first time at the election rodeo. Since the late 1980s, Trump has threatened, with varying degrees of seriousness, to enter the race.
Here is a timeline of Trump’s history in politics:
1987-1988: Trump considers a run for president, while simultaneously juggling large debts stemming from his purchase of the Taj Mahal casino.
2000: Trump enters the presidential race as a Reform Party candidate and receives more than 15,000 votes in the party’s California primary.
2003-2004: Trump begins hosting the reality show The Apprentice on NBC, which he also executive-produces. He again mulls a run for president, but ultimately decides not to join the race.
AND so on if interested – article continues :
http://www.tvguide.com/news/donald-trump-presidential-campaign-timeline/
It will make my year if Turnbull gets it wrong and the high court kicks out the 7 slackarses from parliament.So much for him being a lawyer.I don’t think the bloke will have any credibility left after that.
CS – If Joyce gets booted, Turnbull will look like a total fool and so will his Solicitor General. After all, according to Turnbull, his Solicitor General gave him definitive advice that Joyce didn’t have a problem. I’m sure Turnbull was lying about that. But, if he was, the S-G went along with that without a peep.
If you think Harrison Ford looked young then, check him out in American Graffiti.
I am barracking for Gleeson. Now THAT would be one in the eye for the talentless drones!
cupid,
I think 6 should be chucked. Xenephon, as much as I’ll be happy to see gone, I think could be said to have made a reasonable effort.
Outside Left,
I’ve seen the movie but don’t even recall what it was about let alone who was in it.
Still think X knows he might go so resigned his position early just in case.
Won’t Joyce simply contest the by-election and get re-elected anyway?
Thanks, PR, for all your answers to my questions! : )
Confessions
He will contest but he wont like all the opposition he will get and all the campaigning he will have to do all over again.Windsor is bound to stand again too making his life as difficult as possible.
Confessions @ #1182 Sunday, October 15th, 2017 – 3:43 pm
Yes, but his and Turnbull’s especially, credibility, will be severely dented as a result.
Xenophon should have known Cyprus was a British colony at that time.
I’ll just be happy to see the smug Malcolm Roberts chucked out on his ear.
cupid:
It will just be an annoyance for Joyce but a temporary ‘leave of absence’ from the HoR. The one I really want to see gone is Malcolm Roberts. He really adds nothing of any value to our parliament.
Canavan and Roberts are the two I would like to see gone (coal and CC), but Canavan seems to have something on his side.
C@tmomma
Thanks, PR, for all your answers to my questions! : )
**************************
Well I proved my memory is not the best with bridges but hopefully more correct with the dreadful Trump….
Confessions
Roberts may not “add anything” but at least he is not “subtracting” like APVMA Adani Joyce is as he pork barrels his way around
:large
Malcolm Roberts is a loony version of Barnyard as if he isn’t bad enough.Maybe they are related?
I think Turnbull is secretly shitting himself over the prospect of losing this case in the HC.What a joke of a man he has become.
cupidstunt
Truffles is certainly looking more and more nervous when he’s on TV.
lizzie:
Love that image!
He will be doing Tonys stuttering soon.Ah Ah Ah er er er.
Has Trump noticed the Californian fires yet?
http://www.theage.com.au/world/unwieldy-beast-california-fire-death-toll-rises-as-thousands-evacuate-20171014-gz159x.html
Guardian AustraliaVerified account @GuardianAus 44m44 minutes ago
Catholic archbishop urges no vote, saying state should ‘keep out of the bedroom’
An intern at the Trump campaign data firm, Cambridge Analytica, left sensitive voter targeting tools online for nearly a year
An intern at the data mining and analysis firm Cambridge Analytica left online for nearly a year what appears to be programming instructions for the voter targeting tools the company used around the time of the election, raising questions about who could have accessed the tools and to what end.
Social media analyst and data scientist Jonathan Albright discovered the election data processing scripts — or programming instructions — on what he said was the intern’s personal GitHub account.
The tool was used to find and group people on Twitter that talked about, or responded to, specific keywords in retweets.
What is more interesting, he said, is how the tool appeared to retrieve people’s recent tweets and favourites to “expand” Cambridge Analytica’s body of keywords “around specific objects of election ‘outrage’ sentiment’” — like abortion, citizenship, naturalization, guns, and Planned Parenthood.
“That’s a security issue, in my opinion,” Albright added. “Could Russia find this and use it? Absolutely.”
Read more at https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-campaign-data-russia-cambridge-analytica-2017-10#MUagyBKwmAheqsUs.99
lizzie @ #1196 Sunday, October 15th, 2017 – 3:12 pm
Why would he? California votes Democrat, like Puerto Rico.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-10-15/great-barrier-reef-50-years-on-campaigners-return-ellison-reef/9050106