The Guardian reports that the latest reading of the Essential Research fortnight rolling average, which has been delayed a day due to Monday’s public holiday, has Labor’s two-party lead unchanged at 52-48, after it fell from 53-47 last week. Primary votes will have to wait until later today. UPDATE: Full report here, with primary votes at Coalition 38% (down one), Labor 36% (down one), Greens 10% (steady), One Nation 8% (up two).
Other reported findings focus on terrorism and a low emissions target, with the former including a 47% approval rating for Malcolm Turnbull’s handling of the terror threat, compared with 56% in October 2015, and 24% disapproval, compared with 17%; 74% saying the terrorism threat in Australia has risen over recent years; 46% saying the government should be spending more on counter-terrorism, compared with only 9% for less; and 44% saying there should be more restrictions on rights and freedoms to combat terrorism, with only 12% saying current restrictions go too far, and 19% believing the current balance is right.
With respect to carbon emissions, 44% favour a low emissions target and 20% an emissions intensity scheme, with 36% opting for don’t know; and 27% saying capture and storage from coal generation should count as a low emissions energy source, compared with 29% who disagreed.
Also this week:
• The Australia Institute has published a ReachTEL poll of the Environment Minister Josh Frydenberg’s seat of Kooyong, which after incorporating prompting responses for the undecided finds primary votes of Liberal 48.9% (58.2% at the election), Labor 25.5% (19.8%) and Greens 17.0% (18.9%), and a respondent-allocated two-party result of 56-44 to Liberal (63.3-36.7). The poll also records a 77.9-15.5 split in favour of a clean energy target,
• Western Australian Senator Chris Back has announced he will retire as of the end of July, leaving a vacancy for a three-year term that runs to mid-2019. Andrew Burrell of The Australian identifies two possible successors: Slade Brockman, former chief-of-staff to Mathias Cormann, who is rated the front-runner; and Matt O’Sullivan, chief operating officer of Andrew Forrest’s GenerationOne indigenous youth employment scheme, who ran unsuccessfully in the southern Perth seat of Burt at last year’s federal election.
AB11,
Front page of the AFR is the big jump in electricity prices. AT least it will send people rushing to solar, I suppose.
IF you can afford Solar.
IF you aren’t living in Rental Accommodation and your landlord doesn’t want to spend their money on Solar for you.
Chances are, all that will be the result is that Electricity Bills will keep going, ‘up and up and up’, for those who can least afford it. Those who can afford Solar, will do Solar. It has ever been thus.
It’s also why I love my Pink Batts. They were free and they have saved me money and distress from the heat in summer and the cold in winter….Plus the PB AC. 🙂
Putin sarcastically offers Comey political asylum in Russia
MOSCOW — Wading into the furor surrounding the investigations of the Trump White House, President Vladimir Putin used a national call-in show Thursday to disparage what he called U.S. ‘‘political infighting’’ that is blocking better relations with Russia.
The Russian leader even sarcastically offered political asylum to fired FBI Director James Comey.
https://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2017/06/15/putin-sarcastically-offers-james-comey-political-asylum-russia/Zn86BZRFGbGphNOw1t6GdK/story.html
grimace @ #893 Friday, June 16, 2017 at 12:50 am
I am in Victoria and my club meets in the CBD.
Sorry, I had to go to bed before you replied to me.
Zoomster – Laura really is a fool.
Don
‘Perhaps I misunderstood, but Itza seemed to be saying that we should never have started agriculture in the first place.’
Speaking for myself, it was more about the attractions of agriculture (as I said, on paper at least, nomadism is in many ways superior) and the inevitable consequences of a settled life – which include the demise of agriculture…
…people did manage to eat before agriculture, after all.
geoffrey @ #897 Friday, June 16, 2017 at 3:16 am
Name one?
Some may start off with some natural ability that gives them a bit of a head start, but I suggest even the very best have worked hard to develop their skills further.
Best answer for critics about Shorten not being a scripted polished performer.
Look at results for Mr Corbyn. Its being too scripted and polished that is the problem. People can spot fake a mile off
Bloomberg New Energy Finance underlines the rubbish modelling by Jacobs that was used by Finkel when compiling his ridiculous report.
http://reneweconomy.com.au/how-wind-and-solar-will-kill-coal-sooner-than-finkel-suggests-92750/
Morning bludgers
As mentioned in past, the problem of this fire risk cladding as well as products comprising asbestos is a scandal. The feds and state authorities have known about this for ages. In fact, state projects have been caught up using these faulty products.
As also stated in past, the evil trade unions have been railing about this for ages too. But of course, our esteemed govt and our msm are more interested in telling all and sundry that the unions are just evil, blah blah. . .sigh………..
I’ve seen speeches of Bill’s in Parliament which were simply electrifying.
It’s possible, of course, that all this scrutiny is cramping his style (even Tingle implied he’s usually a better performer at the Winter Ball than Turnbull).
Of course the agenda is apparent. Turnbull does reckless humour so blame Mr Shorten for not getting attention by doing something outrageous.
Meanwhile Turnbull has taken a calculated risk parodying Trump.
Turnbull would know more than most, where the Trump imbroglio is headed, and therefore probably felt on safe ground parodying him.
But, and there is a but. As PM and ally of the US, I don’t think it was an appropriate thing to do just yet. And everyone knows My feelings about Trump.
PS
My partner works in a business that is a tenant in a large regional shopping mall. Representatives of the mall visited her yesterday to discuss power options, as they are about to cover the entire roof with solar, and offer tenants cheaper power i.e. behind the meter.
This will be the norm, not an exception.
It shows why Finkels estimate of 350% increase in rooftop solar by 2030 is a ridiculous underestimate, and example of political expediency rather than objective fact.
2020 will be nearer to the mark.
Several RWNJs are really getting worried:
Not wanting to enter the energy wars, I thought however I would post this from Crowe’s article linked by BK.
From our friends at the Mineral Council:
“The Minerals Council of Australia estimates the added cost of battery storage could push the cost of wind power from $92 per megawatt hour to anywhere between $304 and $727 per megawatt hour.
“The inclusion of the costs of back-up battery storage would make a substantial difference in the overall cost impact of the CET scheme,” it said in its summary.”
This is the sort of information being given to the coalition backbench, and why alternative energy plans have to be credible.
Note I am not commenting on figures mentioned here, just making the point that for the right, this is a ideological war.
ccroucher9: Quote from Bill Shorten’s office:
This is completely wrong. Senator Cormann should apologise for this disgraceful lie. twitter.com/ccroucher9/sta…
ccroucher9: “Bill Shorten will have to clarify today whether it is true that his office was behind leaking those secret recordings”
– Mathias Cormann pic.twitter.com/1IfCyQVLIl
https://twitter.com/ccroucher9/status/875488208909287425
Trog – With electricity/gas prices going through the roof, surely people will start flocking to solar panels. The big energy coys are strangling the golden goose.
Mike Pence Just Lawyered Up As The Vice President Also Has Huge Russia Problems
The news that Vice President Mike Pence has hired a private lawyer to represent him is a sign that Pence may go down with Trump for the Russia scandal.
Mike Pence has lied about everything from Mike Flynn to James Comey. The Vice President is far from clean in this scandal, and his lawyering up demonstrates, Pence has his own serious Russia problems.
http://www.politicususa.com/2017/06/15/mike-pence-lawyered-vice-president-huge-russia-problems.html
trog sorrenson @ #959 Friday, June 16, 2017 at 8:59 am
Christ, Trog – are you still being sucked in by RenewEconomy bullshit …
The Finkel report says the opposite of this. You can certainly question the figures Finkel uses (which I have posted here twice already) but for goodness sake you can’t simply lie about them and hope people won’t notice.
Labor should start installing solar power on all social housing for tenants of same. Lead by example. Won’t help people in Liberal states but may shame them.
trog sorrenson @ #964 Friday, June 16, 2017 at 9:08 am
A 350% increase by 2020? You are drinking too much of the RenewEconomy Kool Aid.
‘as people hate Malcolm Turnbull more for the unforgivable sin of overthrowing an elected prime minister..’
People adored Malcolm Turnbull for overthrowing Abbott. He was never more popular. It’s that he didn’t then do at least some of the things they hoped he would that p*ssed them off.
‘ “Bill Shorten will have to clarify today whether it is true that his office was behind leaking those secret recordings”’
Laurie Oakes made it pretty clear that it came from a journalist.
**************
John Reidy
Friday, June 16, 2017 at 9:10 am
Not wanting to enter the energy wars, I thought however I would post this from Crowe’s article linked by BK.
From our friends at the Mineral Council:
“The Minerals Council of Australia estimates the added cost of battery storage could push the cost of wind power from $92 per megawatt hour to anywhere between $304 and $727 per megawatt hour.
“The inclusion of the costs of back-up battery storage would make a substantial difference in the overall cost impact of the CET scheme,” it said in its summary.”
********************
I wonder where they are getting their figures from?, and what parameters are they using?
This link says that a very low cost solar plant in the US will provide battery storage for four hours at 30 MW, probably enough for the purpose envisaged.
http://reneweconomy.com.au/stunning-new-lows-in-solar-and-battery-storage-costs-13929/
***********************
Stunning new lows in solar and battery storage costs
By Giles Parkinson on 24 May 2017
Print Friendly
A new contract signed by a utility in Arizona has set a new low price for large-scale solar power in that country, but more importantly has also smashed expectations of the combined cost of large-scale solar and battery storage.
Tucson Electric Power (TEP) this week announced it would buy solar energy from a new 100MW solar plant at the historically low price of less than US3c/kWh – less than half of what it had agreed to pay in similar contracts over the last few years.
The project will also include 30MW/120MWh of battery storage, and the company says that the power purchase agreement for the combined output is “significantly less” than US4.5c/kWh – nearly two-thirds cheaper than the previous such contract struck in Hawaii, and well below the cost of a gas-fired peaking plant.
********************
So what do they want this to be a distraction from today?? More Gloriousness from Bishop??
You know, if only the RWNJobbies of various degrees could STFU, they would be having less trouble advancing their agenda.
I think that comments on Katherine Murphy articles have become a distinct art-form. Someone should compile them in a book.
imacca
I think Bill Shorten’s office has nailed it.
As wages stagnate, energy prices rise steeply and households face a myriad of day-to-day challenges, all the LNP can do is fight amongst themselves and continue screaming about terrorists and pledges of allegiance.
Little wonder that, on current trends, they are facing electoral defeat.
FM news this morning played a few seconds of Turnbull on Trump, followed by loud laughter from a (probably) drunk crowd at the very incestuous midwinter ball. Turnbull’s jokes do absolutely nothing to improve the lives of ordinary Australians and people will see it this way.
[Citizen
Friday, June 16, 2017 at 9:09 am
Several RWNJs are really getting worried:
Two-faced Shorten on track to be PM?
BILL Shorten is getting away with gross political hypocrisy as people hate Malcolm Turnbull more for the unforgivable sin of overthrowing an elected prime minister, writes Sharri Markson. (DT headline)]
Unforgivable? Sin???
Sharri must live in an alternative universe to me. The overwhelming response across the Nation to the unforgivable sin of dumping Abbott was relief. It was reflected in the polls immediately and the sense of relief from Abbott PM lingers strongly.
Citizen
The damage to Turnbull from that humour being leaked is that he is the two faced one. Thats why the articles about Shorten hypocrisy. Its do distract from the hypocrisy of Turnbull who in “private” shows his real views.
P1
(At the risk of being sucked in by your dissembling.)
It is Bloomberg New Energy finance – not RenewEconomy – here is the original report:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-06-15/solar-power-will-kill-coal-sooner-than-you-think
Nice try at deflection P1. Something at which you are adept, I must concede.
I am not lying about it, simply quoting the reneweconomy article, which is actually generous to Finkel.
I agree with you that the Finkel review does not accurately address the costs of different power sources, if that is what you are implying.
The real point is that Finkel relies on Jacobs, who has grossly underestimated the cost of renewables – probably for political reasons.
Hah this says it better than I did.
Brocklesnitch: Turnbull sucks up to Trump in public & does this behind his back. Again proving he is a messy bitch who loves the drama
The glorious bishop fund seems to have sunk without a trace today ??
BreakfastNews: .@barriecassidy on Turnbull: “I don’t think anything journalists organise should be off the record. It’s the antithesis of what we’re about” pic.twitter.com/FbaQOCQygr
https://twitter.com/breakfastnews/status/875472266774970368
P1
Solar pv has been installed at a compound annual growth rate of 46% for several years.
If you take the installed base as say, 100 units, at December 2016 and apply 46% compound growth for 4 years – you get 454 units at the end of 2020 i.e. 454%.
So yes, it is entirely feasible – as should be obvious to anyone who understands simple arithmetic. 350% is probably an underestimate.
Or do you, P1, in your wisdom, believe that with current power prices going through the roof, that people are going to start slacking off on solar pv installation, and the long established rate of growth in solar pv is going to fall?
NewClimateEcon: New @BloombergNEF report predicts #wind and #solar to make up 48% of world’s installed capacity by 2040 ow.ly/8Ex430cCfJo pic.twitter.com/uQxtsvkBLI
https://twitter.com/newclimateecon/status/875353484446642176
trog sorrenson @ #981 Friday, June 16, 2017 at 9:29 am
Not half as adept as you and RenewEconomy …
If repeating lies is not lying, then you are simply being suckered by RenewEconomy.
No, I am implying that you don’t know what you are talking about, and that you continually rely on single a dodgy source for all your information.
I’ll assume this is a Freudian slip, and not comment further : )
should be overestimated
For once P1 is correct.
trog sorrenson @ #985 Friday, June 16, 2017 at 9:40 am
I also understand how growth works in the presence of constraints, which you apparently don’t.
P1
What constraints are you referring to?
Be specific.
This has an amazing graph. Someone commented that it’s the biggest switch in favourability ratings for leaders since Cromwell and Charles 1.
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/06/15/theresa-may-now-almost-unpopular-pre-campaign-corb/
Jared Kushner Is Now Under Special Counsel Investigation For His Financial Dealings With Russia
The investigation into Kushner – Trump’s son-in-law and most trusted advisor – appears to have escalated yet again.
Previously, it was reported that Kushner worked to establish a secret channel of communication between Moscow and the Trump team during the post-election transition phase.
With Thursday’s reporting, the investigation into Kushner – Trump’s son-in-law and most trusted advisor – appears to have escalated yet again, and it’s destroying the myth perpetuated by Trump and his allies that there is nothing to see here.
http://www.politicususa.com/2017/06/15/jared-kushner-special-counsel-investigation-financial-dealings-russia.html
Goodness me! Isn’t it amazing what you find when you actually bother looking …
From http://pv-map.apvi.org.au/analyses (my bold) …
And then have a look at the graph on this page, showing growth in installed solar capacity from 2001 to now. Excuse my arithmetic ignorance, but to me that graph looks amazingly linear.
Of course, this data has not been “massaged” by RenewEconomy – it comes straight from the Australian Photovoltaic Institute – so can you really trust it?
The answer for Turnbull is simple.
It is not to blame Shorten for his own embarrassing public indiscretions.
It is to behave as a statesman at all times, not like an irresponsible fool when he thinks no one is watching.
From page 15 of today’s AFR, CBS offered a lifeline to Ten,by cutting the costs of programming but this was rejected,and finance was pulled.
P1
That was a truly gross distortion of the data. You must hoping that no PBers actually look at your link – http://pv-map.apvi.org.au/analyses- otherwise they will realise immediately how much bullshit you are spouting.
15% from 2001 to 2017 is correct, but this includes damn near 70% annually from 2010 -2017 which are the recent years here. My 46% is a global figure – clearly the annual rate in Australia is much higher.
If we apply your data from the Australian Photovoltaic Institute then we extrapolate growth rates of 70% annually. This will give 835% increase in solar by 2020!
P1, you bullshitter, answer my question about constraints you project for solar pv.
Rachel Siewert on drug testing of welfare recipients:
http://rachel-siewert.greensmps.org.au/articles/labor-sides-government-motion-abandon-drug-testing-income-support-recipients-voted-down
‘But, and there is a but. As PM and ally of the US, I don’t think it was an appropriate thing to do just yet. And everyone knows My feelings about Trump.’
Yes, and imagine the outcry if Shorten had done this.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-06-16/labor-mps-push-opposition-reject-citizenship-overhaul/8622636