The return of Newspoll, along with the usual weekly result from Essential Research, has docked both major parties slightly on the primary vote, with One Nation continuing to go onward and upward. The difference on two-party preferred is slightly in favour of Labor, who also pick up one in Queensland on the seat projection. Leadership ratings from Newspoll send both leaders downward on net satisfaction, with no change on preferred prime minister.
BludgerTrack: 53.3-46.7 to Labor
The BludgerTrack poll aggregate continues to record incremental movement to Labor on two-party preferred, and One Nation on the primary vote.
Matt31,
As Kate Ellis drily observed on Q&A tonight…as if Labor would negotiate through the Minerals Council!
Labor would be seen to be working with business.
Labor don’t need a summit, with all it’s distractions and potential to go arse up, to do that. A few meetings with the relevant parties and a commitment from them to get on the front foot (preferably in advance of Labor’s announcement in order to insure against them backsliding) will more than do.
Don’t forget that a BIG part of why we’re where we are is because Copenhagen turned to shit. The Chinese are clearly making real efforts to move to renewables, so you’d think they’d be onside. Clearly Rudd and pretty much everyone else thought they were in Dec 09 and that he’d return victorious. Chinese still ratfucked him. And the rest as they say is history.
It would only take one company at this magical summit to pull a dog act and say Labor’s efforts are all wrong to set us back years. Even if all the other participants thought Labor’s plans were the best thing since sliced bread the only story would be nay sayer. Maybe a bit at the end of the story about how everyone else was pleased would be provided for ‘balance’.
Labor has absolutely no need for such silly ideas. They need to control the message as best they can. Giving a platform for some mongrel to shit can you isn’t conducive to controlling the message.
Oh yes. Building design is the biggest wwater of all. For example, NSW has 5GW less demand today than last Friday. THAT’S ABOUT FIVE FUCKING GIGAWATTS OF AIR CONDITIONING.
You price electricity network access proportional to peak power usage over a year, or in proportion to something like the 5 peak 30 minute periods. It’s a thing, called “demand charging” here in Aus, but other places have better names, such as power-based pricing.
Once you face a demand charge your incentives to invest in energy efficiency appear front and centre. Using the oven on a 35 degree day with the aircon on while iron and making a cup of tea with dishes in the dishwasher and the washing machine on, while also watching the telly? That’ll be $2000 before energy costs thanks. Of course, if someone is doing all that at 3am, maybe we should them some slack.
Ratsak
Yet Paris turned that around. Why? Obama had control.
Thats why a Labot led summit would work.
If the LNP had control I agree the sunnit would be a cover up not revealing facts.
Is an energy summit a risk for Labor? Sure. But I suggest it is a far bigger one for the cons in government.
It would allow the chance to expose the government’s incompetence, deceit, and fealty to Big Carbon, while allowing Labor to put a serious workable agenda on the table and let the voters do their own compare and contrast.
Timing might be right for it. Public’s mind is currently well primed and ready for considering such matters.
You rarely get the luxury of choosing your timing in politics, and this may be as good a chance as Labor are going to get anytime soon to crank up the volume on energy issues, and their relation to climate policy.
If not now, in the middle of our hottest ever summer, with widespread and avoidable energy blackouts, on one of the most critical of all policies, where the government has firmly locked itself into a hopelessly compromised and blatantly idiotic position, and is already well on the nose on many other issues, even teetering on collapse,…
If not now, then when?
We can’t afford to wait another 2.5 years to reset our politics. The sooner this government fails and we get to an election, the better.
Tuesday’s West Australian front page – NEW FACE OF ONE NATION
https://twitter.com/westaustralian/status/831121288240340992
After watching Q&A I conclude that Australia’s problems can be immediately solved by replacing all politicians with 25-year-old Muslim women.
Galaxy Federal Poll…..2PP….51-49 to Coalition (Qld )
https://twitter.com/GhostWhoVotes
What was the 2PP in Qld at last federal election.?
Here is another expert view that needs exposing.
http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(17)30329-X/fulltext
Yes The Lancet warning of health hazard Australia opening a new coal mine poses to the world.
Yes its paywalled. Look at headline.
Plus business wants certainty and isn’t getting it from the incumbents who trail lumps of coal into parliament and offer empty energy security platitudes. Business would be up for it I’m sure.
Sorry should of researched before I last posted.
According to last election result the LNP won the 2PP by 54-46 (rounded)
http://results.aec.gov.au/20499/Website/HouseTppByState-20499.htm
A swing away from the LNP.
That West headline was just begging to be born. We joked about it here yesterday.
Greg
Bludgertrack mirrors the Galaxy result! It gives Labor an extra 5 seats in Queensland which is a sensational result!
Did someone mention Morrison and blackmail related to he NDIS? Surely you remember when he threatened to keep children locked up indefinitely unless the crossbenchers agreed to TPV’s? He literally held children hostage in exchange for supporting government policy. Made Ricky Muir cry from memory. How can anyone ever be surprised at him acting in an entirely amoral way that seems all too common amongst the outwardly religious?
Interesting that The West Australian appears to be having a serious crack at Barnett.
Not known for being too critical of the Liberals in an election campaign.
Plus business wants certainty and isn’t getting it from the incumbents who trail lumps of coal into parliament and offer empty energy security platitudes. Business would be up for it I’m sure.
————
Aside from Big Carbon, the business community have nothing to gain from bad and uncertain energy policy.
Goodnight
Very good Qanda tonight.
Far less interference by TJones and good contributions by all the women, notwithstanding the couple of minutes of screaming.
And Paterson got comeuppance from all directions on numerous occasions. BTW he gives the impression of being an unfeeling automaton ……. shows no feelings whether being supported or condemned by others.
Lambie was good on some policies (ie she sees them as I do!!!!!) but then suddenly goes overboard and bigoted. But she is always an unpredictable thorn in the side for the Conservos, and sounds like she has absolutely no love lost for them. So that’s good.
Xenophon and Hanson Mk2 on the other hand do seem to be closet Conservos with a default position to be in agreement with Conservos.
The key problem is neoliberal organisation of electricity supply:
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=35345
Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago club has a new feature: Watch the president discuss top secret security issues!
President Donald Trump’s lax security is raising eyebrows, particularly among observers who remember his harsh criticisms of Hillary Clinton’s private email server during the 2016 presidential election.
When Trump was informed that North Korea had launched an intermediate-range ballistic missile during his Mar-a-Lago dinner on Saturday night, he and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe did not leave the room. Instead they made crucial foreign policy decisions right there in front of their guests, allowing the event to be plastered all over social media
http://www.salon.com/2017/02/13/donald-trumps-mar-a-lago-club-has-a-new-feature-watch-the-president-discuss-top-secret-security-issues/
Psyclaw
I enjoyed it, too. Usually it bores my socks off.
Jacquie Lambie needs someone to educate her on the real Muslims, not the mad mullahs.
Mar-A-Lago member posts photo of himself with officer carrying the ‘nuclear football’ at Trump event
A member of the private club owned by President Donald Trump apparently posed for a photo during a party with a military aide who carries the so-called “nuclear football.”
Trump hosted a party for Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Saturday night at his Mar-A-Lago resort in Palm Beach, Florida, where the president took a national security phone call over dinner — and within earshot of his guests — on North Korea’s ballistic missile test.
http://www.rawstory.com/2017/02/mar-a-lago-member-posts-photo-of-himself-with-officer-carrying-the-nuclear-football-at-trump-event/
The Qld government faces potential loss at their next election but still caves in to the rail union. Now that is power! The inquiry found that the QR culture was part of the problem and external drivers should be let in but no, they will only take former QR drivers. Plus they stick to the fiction that it takes 12 months to learn how to drive a QR train, even if you know how to drive a train.
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/queensland-rail-wants-new-train-drivers-but-theres-a-catch-20170213-gubgwe.html
“Xenophon and Hanson Mk2 on the other hand do seem to be closet Conservos with a default position to be in agreement with Conservos.”
I think Xenephon really outed himself as a closet conservative when he attacked renewable energy immediately after the SA blackout, before any evidence was released. Unlike Talkbull he did not lie, but the assumption exposed his real attitudes.
Good Morning
Wall to wall bad news for the LNP in today’s media. The Dawn Patrol is going to be very Schaundenfraude.
Lizzie, Phoenix
You can see why Putin assisted Trump into office. Who needs the KGB when you can just get the US president to breach all their security rules.
While waiting for Dawn Patrol I will give the big scoop from last night a link.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/feb/13/linking-welfare-cuts-to-ndis-dumb-politics-xenophon-warns-coalition?CMP=share_btn_tw
This means all the cuts to welfare to punish the poor fails. The government has lost the numbers 🙂
Trump Just Humiliated Himself In Front Of Canadian PM Justin Trudeau And The Entire World
Trump was asked if he believed the northern border is secure.
He answered, “You can never be totally confident, but through the incredible efforts already I see it happening of formerly General Kelly, now Secretary Kelly we have really done a great job. We’re actually taking people that are criminals, very very hardened criminals in some cases with a tremendous track record of abuse and problems, and we’re getting them out, and that’s what I said I would do. I’m just doing what I said I would do when we won by a very very large Electoral College vote.”
For the record, Trump’s Electoral College win wasn’t large. His margin of victory ranks near the bottom in the history of presidential elections.
Trump’s constant insecurity about losing the popular vote is causing him to humiliate himself in front of foreign leaders and the entire world. President Trump is so desperate for legitimacy that he suggested the US/Canadian border is not secure, and that he is making it secure.
http://www.politicususa.com/2017/02/13/trump-humiliated-front-canadian-pm-justin-trudeau-entire-world.html
political_alert: Prime Minister @TurnbullMalcolm will speak at the Redfern Statement Breakfast, 7:30am, Parliament House #auspol
Is Pauline getting a little above herself? 😆
‘political_alert: Prime Minister @TurnbullMalcolm will speak at the Redfern Statement Breakfast, 7:30am, Parliament House #auspol’
Like anyone gives a shit.
Good Morning Bludgers 🙂
Tired C@t is up early because someone has to drive #2 Son up to Newcastle today for a job interview. 🙁
Back later today.
Tomorrow will be for sitting around in the Bludger lounge. All day! 🙂
I thought James Ashby was Pauline’s Brain?
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/helen-caldicott-the-fukushima-nuclear-meltdown-continues-unabated,10019#.WKDIqaPHSLM.facebook
Poor old Malcolm. He thought that as soon as he was sworn in he would be Australia’s answer to Winston Churchill. Instead, he finds himself leading the Nazi Party and following orders. It’s hard work, isn’t it Malcolm? Ripping off investors was a lot easier. I very much doubt he is, right now, Australia’s happiest PM.
Looks like Nick Xenophon isn’t a Little Lib regarding the Dog’s Breakfast, er, ‘Omnibus Welfare Bill’, after all.
It’s clear that Hanson is more that anything else anti-labor that is nothing new but it should give some voters pause.
She is not the workers friend.
From the discussion last night on coal.
For the first 16 years of my life I lived in a North of England mining village. (I am now well into my 70s)
My father, all my uncles, grand and great grandfathers worked in the mines (there was no other work around and the danger if known was dismissed) All died bar one in their sixties all with lung problems. One uncle died in his seventies, again with lung problems. I think none was able to work to the retirement age of 65.
My dad was unable to work from the age of 54, going on to die with lung cancer ‘black lung’ at aged 62. Even today with a greater knowledge of the danger, black lung still exists in Australian mines. Coal should be no longer used in Australia or mined for use in third world countries! Put simply it’s a killer.
Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
A leading Washington expert on Asia policy says that the last few days have witnessed a “recalibration”. We now see “Trump 2.0”. Peter Hartcher looks at this statement.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/how-malcolm-turnbull-played-a-part-in-the-rise-of-donald-trump-20-20170213-gubjzr.html
Islamic State has taken aim at several Australian religious scholars in its latest propaganda video, calling on followers to kill the sheikhs because they discourage violence. I give up!
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/australian-muslim-leaders-targeted-in-islamic-state-propaganda-video-20170213-gublgc.html
Principals are asking parents to sign statutory declarations to ensure families are not gaming strict enrolment policies as public schools in Sydney continue to struggle with overcrowding.
http://www.smh.com.au/national/education/sydney-school-principals-asking-for-stat-decs-to-stop-parents-gaming-enrolments-20170210-gua6v8.html
The CA Royal Commission lets fly at the Anglicans in this report. Just disgusting!
http://www.smh.com.au/national/a-network-of-sexual-perpetrators-operated-in-anglican-church-youth-group-royal-commission-finds-20170213-gubi81.html
This has been coming all week. Paul Bongiorno writes a beauty on how Turnbull and Co are making an embarrassing mess of energy policy. It’s a cracker!
http://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2017/02/13/malcolm-turnbull-renewable-energy-attack/
Andrew Street announces that the Liberals-Nats marriage is on the rocks.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/view-from-the-street/as-the-liberals-make-eyes-at-one-nation-their-marriage-with-the-nationals-is-on-the-rocks-20170212-gubckf.html
Shaun Carney sees the PHON preference deal as a huge risk for the Liberal Party. Google.
/news/opinion/preference-deal-with-pauline-hansons-one-nation-is-a-huge-risk-for-liberal-party/news-story/10bf42c59763903c0cb6f495e138ea4d
David Crowe is of a similar opinion as he writes that furious Nationals are turning on their Liberal colleagues over a preference deal in Western Australia that puts One Nation ahead of the Nationals, raising fears of similar pacts across the country that would weaken the Coalition. Google.
/national-affairs/one-nation-wa-preferences-deal-sparks-split-in-coalition/news-story/58ebaa22b69188bd8cf661fb1109b0d4
Amy Remeikis opines that Turnbull may be signalling an end to the Medicare rebate freeze.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/medicare-rebate-pm-gives-strongest-indicator-yet-the-doctors-long-winter-is-almost-over-20170213-gubs86.html
Michelle Grattan has it worked out at last as she writes ,”Whether it’s the awkward politics of preferences for One Nation or the extremely complex policy conundrum of improving Australia’s energy security, the Turnbull government’s default position is to attack Labor.”
https://theconversation.com/there-is-a-difference-between-a-strong-contest-of-views-on-energy-policy-and-counter-productive-hyper-partisanship-72903
Section 2 . . .
Michael West exposes how yet again the banks are skilling millions from its customers.
http://www.michaelwest.com.au/cash-lurk-banks-skim-millions-from-customers-again/
Trump just then humiliated himself in front of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau by suggesting that the northern border is not secure and lying about the size of Electoral College win.
http://www.politicususa.com/2017/02/13/trump-humiliated-front-canadian-pm-justin-trudeau-entire-world.html
We may be careering towards war and climate change disaster and 4,444 victims of child sexual abuse may have been revealed, but “clean coal” and halal certification is what our politicians have focussed on this week, writes John Passant.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/coal-trump-pell-and-halal-certification,10020
Washington state’s attorney general has promised to uncover “what truly motivated” President Donald Trump’s executive order on immigration, an approach that could prompt a rare public examination of how a U.S. president makes national security decisions.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/2017/02/13/washington-state-attorney-general-promises-to-uncover-what-trul/?utm_hp_ref=au-homepage
Stephen Koukoulas on why the Aussie dollar is riding high,
https://thekouk.com/item/460-why-the-aussie-dollar-is-flying-high.html
Andrew Wilkie in introducing a bill on robo-debt yesterday really piled into the government.
http://www.canberratimes.com.au/national/public-service/robodebt-government-plain-wrong-and-misleading-says-andrew-wilkie-20170213-gubkmt.html
The federal government’s Child Support tech wreck is costing taxpayers at least $100,000 a day as public service bosses scramble to finish the job.
http://www.canberratimes.com.au/national/public-service/govts-child-support-tech-wreck-chews-up-100000-a-day-20170208-gu85fu.html
Human Services Minister Alan Tudge has accused the Community and Public Sector Union of putting its own interests and those of the Labor Party above union members working at the giant Department of Human Services. This has been going on in DHS and other departments for years – and it’s not just the unions that are to blame.
http://www.smh.com.au/national/public-service/disgraceful-human-services-minister-alan-tudge-blames-cpsu-for-pay-dispute-20170212-gubcrh.html
Adam Gartrell and the reaction to Morrison’s omnibus bill that pits vulnerable struggling Australians against the NDIS. From what we hear this morning the cross bench and Labor won’t have a bar of it.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/turnbull-government-ties-welfare-cuts-to-ndis-funding-20170213-gubmxs.html
Peter Martin hops right into Morrison.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/federal-election-2016-opinion/memo-treasurer-scott-morrison-there-aint-no-ndis-jam-jars-20170213-gubtjh.html
Section 3 . . .
And Laura Tingle gives Christian Porter a good tip. Don’t pick on disabled people!. Google.
/news/heres-a-tip-dont-pick-on-disabled-people-20170213-gubzwq
Greg Jericho on the problems with the government’s company tax reduction policy. As usual he writes a thoughtful article sustained by the presentation of compelling factual data.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2017/feb/14/the-governments-company-tax-cut-policy-has-two-major-problems
Mark Kenny on the current standard of political debate.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/hypocrisy-thy-name-is-politics-20170213-gubl8d.html
Paul McGeough starts his article with “US President Donald Trump’s pick of a wild conspiracy theorist as his national security adviser was always a time bomb, but who’d have thought that retired general Michael Flynn’s credentials would become the stuff of national debate in the same news cycle as North Korea’s seeming provocation of the new administration with another missile test?” He says there’s blood in the water and sharks abound.
http://www.theage.com.au/world/donald-trumps-security-adviser-michael-flynn-in-trouble-over-calls-to-russian-envoy-20170213-gubh53.html
Steve Ciobo is just stupid!
http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/one-nation-more-economically-responsible-than-labor-steve-ciobo-20170213-guc3rz.html
Those running Australia’s network of detention camps in the Pacific could be charged with crimes against humanity under a fresh push for international prosecutions writes Daniel Flitton.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/push-to-charge-operators-of-private-companies-for-alleged-abuses-on-nauru-and-manus-20170213-gublsk.html
Professor Emma Johnston in a call to arms to scientists in this post-truth era.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/emma-20170213-gubnah.html
Embattled pizza giant Domino’s faces calls for an independent compensation scheme for exploited workers as well as heightened scrutiny from the workplace regulator and the Senate amid allegations of widespread wage fraud. More from Adele Ferguson.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/allan-fels-calls-for-compensation-scheme-for-dominos-workers-20170213-gubwll.html
Here’s a personal account of the sort of things Domino’s has been doing.
http://thenewdaily.com.au/money/work/2017/02/13/tosif-varsi-dominos-scandal/
Jenna Price tells Trump to keep his hands off women’s ovaries.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/donald-trump-get-your-hands-off-my-ovaries-20170212-gubctq.html
Section 4 . . .
Toll Group is expected to shed 200 jobs this week.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/workplace-relations/australian-toll-group-workers-face-the-brunt-of-job-cut-drive-20170213-gubp8t.html
The chief executive of Ansell said the Australian company was investigating how it could shift more assembly and production work to the United States, in light of President Trump’s protectionist agenda that has included the floating of possible tariffs and a tax of up to 20 per cent on imports. Some years ago I spent two days in its latex glove factory in Juarez, Mexico, just over the border from El Paso. El Paso is a bit of a shithole itself but nothing like as bad as Juarez.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/well-shift-work-to-the-us-if-trump-makes-us-says-ansell-20170213-guboiz.html
Spurious modern management practices are on display as Comcare is investigating Australia Post over allegations that some senior managers manipulated data on injured employees’ absences from work to meet key performance indicators and secure hefty bonuses. Google.
/news/policy/industrial-relations/australia-post-investigated-over-alleged-manipulation-of-injury-rate-for-bonuses-20170213-gubgg0
It looks like the Theory of Constraints will be on show at Alexandria as WestConnex takes shape.
https://www.domain.com.au/news/alexandria-residents-fear-disaster-as-westconnex-plans-morph-and-expand-20170210-guaeyv/
What a pathetic effort is this one from Mark Kenny. It’s almost all lifted straight out of Hansard.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/malcolm-turnbull-sharpens-attack-on-labors-renewable-policies-20170213-gubx6h.html
Meanwhile Letters to the Editor in the SMH push back very strongly at Turnbull’s lies and hypocrisy over the SA blackouts.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/smh-letters/blackout-lies-betray-extreme-negligence-20170213-gubuyh.html
Turning a blind eye to drug abuse is getting us nowhere.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/turning-a-blind-eye-to-drug-abuse-is-getting-us-nowhere-20170213-gubrnc.html
John Birmingham on the idiocy of bringing the lump of coal into parliament.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/blunt-instrument/old-king-coal-will-still-be-fiddling-with-his-lump-as-the-world-burns-20170213-guc0xj.html
Section 5 . . .
Cathy Wilcox on the gaming of school catchment boundaries.
Alan Moir nicely sums up Turnbull’s unfortunate position.
Mark David with a rather preoccupied Turnbull.
Broelman with a couple of good ones about the WA preference deal with PHON.
David Rowe and the omnibus.
David Pope with Turnbull’s problem with One Nation.
Cathy Wilcox and Australian values.
Ron Tandberg with extreme vetting in the US.
Mark Knight alludes that it’s all over for the old taxi industry.
http://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/b26f5d0a40a8e202d0dbe9ffc8883c8e?width=1024
Jon Kudelka with the preference troubles.
http://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/db45880449c34ca4d2ace1fd4a92475c
When things are going really badly for Malcolm, Kenny does his absolute best to besmirch both sides of politics.
Labor in Power – It’s all Labor’s fault;
Liberals in Power – People are tired of the political antics of both parties.
Alan – thank you. Very sobering. Morrison should be told that if he wants a coal future, he should dig it up himself.
JR – I don’t think Hanson is helping the LNP in any way. She’s just dragging them to the right and making sure that Labor is the only non-ON party. This is great stuff!
I note the Galaxy Qld poll seems to be about in line with the other national polls. About a 3% shift to Labor since the election.
If Turnbull and his ABC are suddenly canvassing pumped hydro, I wonder who is promoting it to him, who benefits?
Thanks BK, the paper copy of the GG has a banner headline ‘One Nation Sparks Split in Government ‘.
Perhaps one of the press gallery will pen an article along the lines of
‘Malcolm Turnbull has done the Coalition a service by forcing them to confront policy differences…’