BludgerTrack: 52.0-48.0 to Labor

One new poll on voting intention and one on leadership ratings find the BludgerTrack poll aggregate maintaining its recent boring form.

The BludgerTrack poll aggregate has provided remarkably little excitement since it resumed two months ago, with the two-party preferred reading never moving more than a few fractions of a point away from 52-48 in favour of Labor, and the seat projections never changing at any stage, either in aggregate or at the state level. This week is no exception, the only new addition being a lightly weighted result from Essential Research. The Roy Morgan results that were reported in the previous post have been added to the leadership ratings, without effecting any change worth mentioning.

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Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,330 comments on “BludgerTrack: 52.0-48.0 to Labor”

Comments Page 23 of 27
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  3. I don’t think one word of Dutton’s answer was true from what I heard. $150k lolly pop lady & $149k cfmeu fees.
    He should go for lying to parliament.

  4. All those communications specialists working for Potatohead must spend their time making up smartarsed criticisms of Labor.

    Or he’s been taking lessons from Rudd.

  6. John Harwood retweeted
    Stuart Rothenberg
    4h4 hours ago
    Stuart Rothenberg ‏@StuPolitics
    Dow Futures jump 220 points after FBI ends Clinton e-mails probe. The Street clearly prefers HRC.

  11. Upulie Divisekera ‏@upulie · 6h6 hours ago

    It’s pretty insulting that Roberts is getting the kind of coverage climate scientists can only dream of

  15. The Oz view: See? Always Labor’s fault.

    Australian Politics Verified account 
    ‏@aus_politics
    Bill Shorten did everything he could to turn Monday into a day of chaos and dysfunction, writes @CroweDM. http://bit.ly/2fRpArw #qt

  16. $500mill- to 2.5billion to build an interconnector? (From Socrates from earlier).
    Need a RC into costs of building nationally significant infrastructure. The Productivity Commission report highlighted the need for more study into these costs and my 2bob is its public/private contracts wrapped up in the loss of functioning public sector works departments.

  17. Lizzie,
    Yep. That was the Hansard transcript as posted by Lane sainty, Buzzfeed journo. When you read it in it’s entirety and correct for obvious transcription errors, all you can do is sit there gobsmacked that Dutton thought it witty. When in actual fact it was simply bizarre.

  18. Sky News Australia
    Sky News Australia – Verified account ‏@SkyNewsAust

    Tonight 6pm AEDT on #TheLatest with @ljayes: One Nation’s @SenatorCulleton and Shadow Attorney-General @markdreyfusQCMP
    Embedded image
    8:54 PM – 6 Nov 2016

  20. Simon Katich

    $500mill- to 2.5billion to build an interconnector?

    Or we could just invest the same amount in more wind/solar energy with battery storage and get virtually free energy once the infrastructure is paid off.
    Trouble is, the above solution has insufficient spiv value, and doesn’t match Tony Abbott’s view of the world.

  22. trog sorrenson @ #1120 Monday, November 7, 2016 at 4:05 pm

    Simon Katich

    $500mill- to 2.5billion to build an interconnector?

    Or we could just invest the same amount in more wind/solar energy with battery storage and get virtually free energy once the infrastructure is paid off.
    Trouble is, the above solution has insufficient spiv value, and doesn’t match Tony Abbott’s view of the world.

    So you don’t recognise any need to distribute energy?
    What if it is a still night in SA but windy elsewhere?

  25. Gt

    For reasons of form, the petition should be held to be deficient and incurable and as such should not be considered by the Court of Disputed Returns … “better view” is he wasn’t duly elected

    I know it’s said and most likely right that Gleeson is very smart.

    But this is legal goobligook … how about some ‘plain English’?

  27. ctar1 @ #1125 Monday, November 7, 2016 at 4:30 pm

    Gt

    For reasons of form, the petition should be held to be deficient and incurable and as such should not be considered by the Court of Disputed Returns … “better view” is he wasn’t duly elected

    I know it’s said and most likely right that Gleeson is very smart.
    But this is legal goobligook … how about some ‘plain English’?

    Reads to me as though he was advising on the likelihood of the private action to declare Culleton ineligible. He is saying that the petition is not in the correct form and would need modification by the court in order to be considered, which might not be possible. However, on the substantive point he thinks that Culleton was not validly elected. Therefore, another action (such as referral by the Senate pursuant to the Electoral Act) would be likely to succeed.

  28. Bemused

    So you don’t recognise any need to distribute energy?
    What if it is a still night in SA but windy elsewhere?

    We would still have the existing interconnector, but a proportion of the load could be taken up by local storage. The idea would be to have sufficient local distributed storage to survive for a reasonable time if the connector went down. Battery storage also improves local energy security. The Coalition recipe for maintaining large centralised power sources actually works against energy security, not for it.
    All of this is not to deny the importance of the grid. When the wind is blowing in Victoria but not in SA it makes sense to import this energy, but only if it required and is more cost effective than other sources.
    An extended grid combined with adequate local storage provides the best of both worlds.

  31. Confessions @ 3.30pm

    FMD

    Ms Teflon from WA can’t help herself.

    I invite her glued on supporters to count the times yesterday and today she has taken the opportunity to reply to a non RvG comment with an anti Rudd post.

    Surprisingly not one Teflonite supporter /protector has counselled her about the provocation.

    Perhaps if she changes her name to Bemused ……….

  33. MTBW

    Have you not been taught that a characteristic of intelligent and articulate persons is that they can modify their language style to the requirements of the particular forum in which they are presently speaking.

    So in answer to your question, yes, there is a vast difference between the language one might use on a blog Vs as an MP in parliament (and Vs pub talk, and Vs at a BBQ, and Vs to the cop who has just pulled you over).

  38. Bemused

    A bit more redundancy is a good idea.

    Local storage delivers redundancy, and greater energy security because the risk is distributed. It’s like the Internet. You can take out whole regions but the remaining bits still function perfectly OK.

  41. trog sorrenson @ #1138 Monday, November 7, 2016 at 5:00 pm

    Bemused

    A bit more redundancy is a good idea.

    Local storage delivers redundancy, and greater energy security because the risk is distributed. It’s like the Internet. You can take out whole regions but the remaining bits still function perfectly OK.

    I wasn’t arguing against renewables and storage.
    I just see redundant links as part of the mix.

  42. Two rotten apples sitting on the wall.
    If one rotten apple should accidentally fall
    That leaves one rotten apple sitting on the wall.
    I do hope that both parties have learned not to stuff around with sociopaths cum narcissists.
    It always works out badly.

  43. Another day another bridge crash with a truck carrying an ISO 40′ container.
    http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/traffic-chaos-in-footscray-after-truck-hits-bridge-20161107-gsjtt8.html
    Napier Street is in Footscray and carries the Williamstown and Werribee lines.
    Geelong services are unaffected as they travel now via Sunshine.
    Given the amount of container trucks that use Napier St how can a driver NOT know about the dimensions of their load.
    Inexcusable.

  44. Bw

    I do hope that both parties have learned not to stuff around with sociopaths cum narcissists.

    Turnbull a different type but just as ‘strange’.

  46. Steven it’s strange that, given the number of containers that have struck that bridge in the last couple of years, drivers even use that route. I suppose heavy containers might just squeeze through but empties and light loads must ride just that bit higher on the suspension. I wonder if they were standard containers or high cubes.

  47. kevjohnno @ #1146 Monday, November 7, 2016 at 5:30 pm

    Steven it’s strange that, given the number of containers that have struck that bridge in the last couple of years, drivers even use that route. I suppose heavy containers might just squeeze through but empties and light loads must ride just that bit higher on the suspension. I wonder if they were standard containers or high cubes.

    So why don’t they just lower the road or raise the bridge sufficient to cope with all expected loads?

  49. Good points Bemused. I read an article about an earlier crash (April) there that said about 3000 trucks go under the bridge every day. You would think mitigation steps might have been considered at some stage. I send containers to the port down there so when ever I see these thing I mentally reach for our insurance policies.

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