Essential Research’s fortnightly rolling aggregate ticks a point to the Coalition this week, putting Labor’s two-party lead at 52-48. The only change on the primary vote is a one point gain for the Coalition to 40%, with the balance being lost in rounding. This leaves Labor on 39%, the Greens on 10% and Palmer United on 4%.
Also:
• The poll finds a decline in climate change skepticism, with 56% attributing climate change to human activity and 30% to normal fluctuation, respectively the equal highest and lowest results out of nine going back to 2009; and 52% professing greater concern about it than they felt two years ago, versus 9% less concerned. However, only 12% favour an emissions trading scheme out of three options to deal with it, with 50% backing incentives for renewable energy and 10% the government’s direct action policy.
• There appears a rather indelicate mindset so far as the balance of freedom and security is concerned: 50% want more restrictions on “rights and freedoms for some people” in the interests of national security, with 34% opting for “current laws strike the right balance” (oddly, there is no option for less restrictions); and 59% support detention without charge in relation to terrorism allegations, with 24% opposed. However, 71% are concerned about privacy and surveillance of social media, compared with 25% not concerned.
• 53% profess themselves concerned about ABC funding cuts, compared with 39% not concerned.
I suggest that over time:
(1) more male posters than female posters have posted on Bludger
(2) more male posters than female posters have stopped posting on Bludger.
Perhaps whether Bludger is congenial to female posters is not necessarily a statistical thing…
I am quite certain the gender ratio at present is the same as it’s always been.
Re William Bow @373: consider if the situation were reversed and it was a question of a Senate inquiry into a State Labor Premier. Tony Abbott would have given the matter close and detailed consideration for about 3 nanoseconds before agreeing that the Liberals support it.
Labor should go for it, damage the Liberals any way they can. Clive is also an enemy of Murdoch. Maybe Labor could encourgae him to call for an enquiry that would damage Newcorp Australia.
lizzie
[I simply do not remember Labor mocking and bullying like this.]
PJK?
[ Boring and unproductive. ]
But not so much as the repeating kezza / zoom conflict. 🙂
lizzie
Did you see the reports of the woof woof figures on the decline in animal populations?
I really don’t get complaints about something being boring…
If I find someone’s posts boring I scroll right on by.
I fully expect people who find my posts boring, which many apparently do, to do the same thing.
Boerwar
If you mean the 50% decline, yes I did. I’m past finding anything to say, now. I’m just glad I was alive when there was hope we could change things.
Boerwar
Definitely a few short planks wandering our streets.
A woman of Caucasian appearance, wearing ballet flats, has set fire to the Australian flag at the Sydney War Memoral. Police are unsure whether she is a disgruntled Swannies supporter. Anyhoo, here is a list of people who might reasonably be said to have a Caucasian appearance, living as they do, in the Causcasus:
Georgians
Mingrelians
Lazs
Abkhaz
Abaza
Circassians
Adyghe
Kabarday
Cherkess
Ubykhs
Avars
Andi people
Akhvakh people
Karata people
Botlikh people
Godoberi people
Chamalal people
Bagvalal people
Tindi people
Tsez (Dido) people
Tsez people
Hinukh people
Bezhta people
Hunzib people
Khwarshi people
Aguls
Lezgians
Rutuls
Tabasarans
Tsakhurs
Udins
Archins
Dargins
Khinalug
Laks
Bats
Chechens
Kists
Ingush
Did I detect a new line of attack in the House of Reps today against Old Kero Head Madamme Speaker.
Request for more detailed explanations to her rulings.
Tomorrows QT could be a fun session
Puff, the Magic Dragon @ 390
It seems many of the women have left this blog.
How do you detect a woman contributor unless they “out” themselves? Is Edwina really a woman?
poroti
The main, and I mean main, difficulty I have with Abbott and the like is that the empower short planks at home and abroad.
[ Request for more detailed explanations to her rulings. ]
Oh dear, that will strain her obviously limited intellectual capacity. Will Pyne come to her rescue?? 🙂
Oh please. Hartcher writes:
[The barbarians are the worst kind of oppressors. Australia is going to war to defeat them. ]
F*ck that. We are NOT “going to war”. And we cannot defeat “them”. You can’t defeat an idea, no matter how screwed up it is… especially one based on religion.
IF – and it’s a big “IF”- we get the OK to participate from the Americans, we will drop laser-guided bombs on relatively stationary, defenceless targets from 35,000 feet, with not a snowball’s chance in Hell of any counter-attack (as ISIS doesn’t have SAMs or anything like them that could shoot down a modern jet fighter).
We are playing not much more than a video game with ISIS. We are taking no real risks in doing so. It is a complete sham of a “war”.
REAL men and women went to war in 1914. REAL men and women went to war in 1939. They fought and died. They didn’t sit in pressurized cocoons and kill people they couldn’t even see, utterly unworried about retaliation.
This is NOT War. It’s styled as “war”. It’s written up as “existential”. The dog whistle is that it’s a titanic clash of Barbarism (Hartcher’s word, not mine) against Civilization.
It’s nothing of the sort. It’s a few high trained pilots killing from afar and doing so free of danger. It’s costing a fortune. This “war” can’t be explained, can’t be justified and has no real purpose other than for Abbott to strut his stuff as a wannabee Churchill.
It’s not a war. It’s a turkey shoot.
Boerwar
Exactly. Like “father” like “son”. Howard did the same with Hanson’s lot.
Bushfire
Bloody expensive turkey shoot. Now we have to have a mini-budget to pay for it, but pretending it’s still because of Labor’s D & D D.
Re Corio @412: Edwina was formerly Edward. He/she announced on this blog around Christmas last year that he/she’d changed sex and was henceforth to live as a woman. So that would have increased the percentage of women here.
[382
Libertarian Unionist]
gurgle
Good to see you Puff 🙂
wb puff
Actually I don’t care whether someone’s male or female or any other combination. It’s the variety of posts and opinions that I enjoy. No variety, no enjoyment.
You said it much more eloquently Briefly.
[ and was henceforth to live as a woman. ]
Which proves that gender is irrelevant as to whether or not someone is a fwarkwit.
[Edwina was formerly Edward. He/she announced on this blog around Christmas last year that he/she’d changed sex and was henceforth to live as a woman. ]
And if you believe any of that can I offer you an investment package with a guaranteed 850% return?
I believe $1 million winning Lotto tickets are going for $10k.
The ad at the top of my page only promises 350%.
[423
davidwh]
I think yours had more warmth, d.
[The ad at the top of my page only promises 350%.]
Whatever. If you believe *anything* Edwin(a) says you deserve all you cop in return.
Steve777 @ 418
Edwina was formerly Edward. He/she announced on this blog around Christmas last year that he/she’d changed sex and was henceforth to live as a woman
Do you believe that?
I prefer talking about war to talking about Edwina.
I have to admit that I had previously heard about only six of the Caucasian peoples.
I feal reasonably sure that the Mingrelians, the Leshgians, the Bats and the Rutuls would have stuck in my mind.
A veritable bevy of Morgan state based polling today
http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/5836-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-nsw-vic-qld-qa-sa-tas-201410010501
Re Corio @430: no, I don’t – I just repeated what he/she told us. In fact I see I’ve broken my rule about only commenting on other bloggers comments, not the bloggers themselves.
s
See upstring.
Edwina M/F is a front for a YoungLib cabal sent to troll this blog
http://kevinbonham.blogspot.com.au/2014/10/recent-polling-in-four-states.html
Recent Polling in Four States
…has been updated following the Morgan that came out almost as soon as it was originally released. It could be called Recent Polling in Six States but the WA and Tas samples are very small.
A mixed bag. Their 2PPs look inaccurate in two states (badly so in NSW) but their poll overall doesn’t look skewed, except a bit to the Greens.
The much-less-concerning beheadings of our key allies the Saudis:
http://aattp.org/saudi-arabia-beheads-26-people-in-1-month-some-for-sorcery-us-fox-has-nothing-to-say-about-it/
These beheadings are for proper legal things, like Sorcery and Witchcraft.
[The Senate inquiry into the Queensland Government might be legitimate, but whether it is wise – or will be able to do its job – is another matter, writes Anne Twomey.
As a general principle, governments avoid inquiring into the actions of other governments. Governments know that whatever they do unto another is likely to be done unto themselves 10 times over.
This is why it was unwise of the Abbott Government to inquire into the actions of the previous government – it creates a nasty precedent for the next government to do the same, or worse, to the Abbott Government.]
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-10-01/twomey-inquiry-into-the-queensland-government/5783010
BW
[is it unreasonable in the current bout of Australian hysteria where Muslim women are being bashed and thrown off trains, spat upon, yelled at, and so on and so forth, to expect muslim women to trust non-muslim Australians?]
It’s unwise to generalise about how Muslim women might feel, but the requirements for modesty don’t exclude non-Muslim women. Friends if mine have been at gatherings where there have been no men and on those occasions the women with hejabs and in one case a niqab have been only too keen to get them off and socialise in greater comfort.
lefty e
Beheadings in Saudi are for soft on crime Saudi judges. The tough on crime judges…………….
[Last-ditch plea to stop crucifixion of jewellery thief in Saudi Arabia]
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/saudiarabia/9909667/Last-ditch-plea-to-stop-crucifixion-of-jewellery-thief-in-Saudi-Arabia.html
[417
lizzie
Bushfire
Bloody expensive turkey shoot. Now we have to have a mini-budget to pay for it, but pretending it’s still because of Labor’s D & D D.]
I heard Hockey on the radio today, claiming he still needed to find cuts so that next time there’s a financial crisis the budget will be in sound shape.
It’s a weird sort of line for a Treasurer to run with. It’s implies there’s a fairly high probability of shock. Since it won’t be possible to balance the budget without revenue reform (something he seems not to be able contemplate), if there is a shock it’s likely Hockey will be blamed twice over – once for the shock itself and then for failing to be prepared as well.
The LNP have put themselves in a wedge of their own making when it comes to fiscal policy. They have promised their more ardent supporters a surplus, but they cannot deliver one without also inflicting some fiscal pain on these same voters.
The really Big Question is how to re-boot income growth. The LNP seem to think it will happen simply because they occupy the Treasury Benches. But they are discovering this is not enough. The economy needs to be reformed, but they have no idea what particular reforms are needed nor how to achieve them.
We need reform in the tax system and in banking, science, technology, education, trade and environmental polices. We are going to get nothing from the LNP. Absolutely nothing.
Bluey sacked.
Essendon decides not to appeal ASADA legal loss but Hird is going to appeal, despite his statements about just wanting the truth to come out.
What a knob.
WB
And may I enquire as to what that ratio is? It may well be the same but what is that sameness?
Zoomster
[Hubby and his mates greeted each price rise with “Now, if we’d only bought it when it was at 80, we’d have made XXX by now..”]
That’s like those stories about the horse you could have got 100/1 on which went on to win the race. 😉
I usually ask: so what stopped you from putting on $10?
I’m yet to get a sensible reply.
More kindly, when bad things happen, people often try imagining how minor alternative options they might have taken would have foreclosed the bad thing. “If only … ” is often an attempt to make sense of anomaly and to feel more in control.
In my experience though, occasions when ‘if only’ really is a teachable moment are the exception rather than the rule. Mostly, people know why they did or did not do the things they might have done to stand better. Your husband probably knew that raising $80k to buy a car that might appreciate in value would have been hard to set up and have exposed him to enormous downside risk if he had managed it.
Puff, the majority of posters use pseudonyms, and I’m no better placed to determine their gender than yourself.
The other Bluey is in his rock pool, waiting…….. waiting…..
Fran
Fair enough.
WB
True.
I did not think of that.
Boerwar
[
The other Bluey is in his rock pool, waiting…….. waiting…..]
Speaking of Bluey, blue lights and Boers.
[Dutch designer creates lamp powered by octopus bacteria ]
http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/gadgets-and-tech/news/dutch-designer-creates-lamp-powered-by-octopus-bacteria-9762593.html