Essential Research’s fortnightly rolling aggregate ticks a point to the Coalition this week, putting Labor’s two-party lead at 52-48. The only change on the primary vote is a one point gain for the Coalition to 40%, with the balance being lost in rounding. This leaves Labor on 39%, the Greens on 10% and Palmer United on 4%.
The poll finds a decline in climate change skepticism, with 56% attributing climate change to human activity and 30% to normal fluctuation, respectively the equal highest and lowest results out of nine going back to 2009; and 52% professing greater concern about it than they felt two years ago, versus 9% less concerned. However, only 12% favour an emissions trading scheme out of three options to deal with it, with 50% backing incentives for renewable energy and 10% the government’s direct action policy.
There appears a rather indelicate mindset so far as the balance of freedom and security is concerned: 50% want more restrictions on rights and freedoms for some people in the interests of national security, with 34% opting for current laws strike the right balance (oddly, there is no option for less restrictions); and 59% support detention without charge in relation to terrorism allegations, with 24% opposed. However, 71% are concerned about privacy and surveillance of social media, compared with 25% not concerned.
53% profess themselves concerned about ABC funding cuts, compared with 39% not concerned.
596 comments on “Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor”
Always when you’re around with your no-value comments sinjin.
Here’s some music for you:
Quite appropriate for you!
Sent Morgan a please-explain on Twitter re their NSW 2PP from their poll, which I consider way too low (I’d say 55-56 off those primaries.) Will report any useful response on my site.
Lateline guest tonight is Mr Bill Shorten
Why does anyone give this idiot oxygen: http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2014/oct/01/tony-abbott-adviser-bureau-meteorology-warming-inquiry?commentpage=1
Couple of questions for the blog
Dee, do you have a link to that story about bowel cancer / drugs??
Why is ESJ such an obnoxious prat??
Who said this shite?
[I am sorry such topics bore you both though, and to be provocative here, if and when a greater proportion of females start to fill the body bags coming home from our military engagements, then discussion about what type of equipment they may have got and how helpful it has been in ensuring they survive, might not be quite so “boring”.]
Excuse me while I puke.
What a bloody load of nonsense.
War doesn’t BORE women so much as it ENRAGES them.
Women don’t want their children to kill each other.
What’s so hard to understand?
And the reason women aren’t filling body bags is because they’re not so stupid to rush to fill them.
Or to find out what military hardware will reduce the possibility by a nanosecond.
What the fuck is really wrong with men?
It’s not that you want to protect us, we feeble women, you run away from us at the least hint of warfare, you just want to go on your own glory run, and then expect women, and your fathers, to respect your suicide mission.
I couldn’t give a stuff about your sophisticated weapons, or if indeed they’re not. Just stop your fucking warmongering.
Education and limiting reproduction is the right fight for scarce resources, NOT KILLING OFF THOSE WHO ARE ALREADY HERE.
What’s the point. I’m talking to the deaf hand of the would-be-if-they-could-be dead soldiers.
[War doesn’t BORE women]
Kezza, I don’t think you should presume to go around speaking on behalf of women, all but a few of whom deserve better. The words used by Lizzie, to which BW was responding, were “boring and unproductive”.
And I wasn’t responding to BW, nor to lizzie
I was responding to Tricot.
And, I think I can speak more on behalf of women then you can, thank you very much.
Okay, Tricot then. My point still stands, because that indeed was the context in which the word “boring” was used. And if you ever catch me presuming to speak on behalf of women then by all means call me out for it – not that that will ever happen.
Best post for many a day! 😆
Just watching Melissa Parke on the ABC News presenting her well-founded objections to the toughened anti terrorism laws to a near-empty House. In particular, her Labor collegues were absent.
No. Your point doesn’t stand.
And I’d like to ask you, which point of mine women would disagree with?
1. women don’t want their children to kill each other.
2. Women are not so stupid to rush to fill body bags.
3. women don’t care if science reduces the ability to fill body bags by a nanosecond.
4. women don’t want to stand at a shrine to our stupid fallen pseudo-heroes
5. Education and limiting reproduction is the best way to protect limited resources.
And don’t you ever let me catch you presuming to speak on behalf of women or I’ll rip your bloody arms off,
And don’t ever accuse me of speaking on behalf of all women when I would never presume to do so, especially in the snide way you did so, as if I’m not worthy of calling myself a woman.
Well, keazz2@559, perhaps you should reconsider re-reading a few post back rather than let your strong emotional response cloud what was actually written and the context thereto.
I don’t normally get involved in your skirmishes but let my backtrack for you……..
Both Lizzie@393 and Mari@397 were having a dig at “boys” being boys when it comes to war and its toys.
If you care to read both these posts they were expressing the view that they could not understand why the blokes got bogged down with all the war talk stuff in their posts here and they both came to the conclusion that is was “boring” – their words rather than mine – though I think it was Lizzie who actually used the word “boring”. I sense Mari felt much the same way.
Then came my post @481 – which you might care to re-read – in which I explained the context of my response to both above.
This was later referred to again by Lizzie@486 and by another poster who stated my comments were “sensible”.
Now you have got on some kind of crusading horse to flay all men……….”What the fuck is really wrong with men…” (sic) while the real problem is your seeming inability to read straight what others have written.
Your passionately held views against war are not held by you alone, and such views are nothing to do with gender.
That you should get it so wrong is one thing – however, your holier-than-thou, sanctimonious post (and you have a history of this approach) adds nothing to your credibility.
I don’t wish to engage in any kind of back and forth with you as I usually scroll past your comments, and with good reason, as this most recent post of yours @556 suggests should be a normal response.
[And don’t you ever let me catch you presuming to speak on behalf of women or I’ll rip your bloody arms off]
Not the smartest metaphor to employ, under the circumstances.
Anyway, I’ve had enough of Kezza, whose every last utterance is nasty and stupid.
[ or I’ll rip your bloody arms off ]
Ahh….some light relief with kezza channeling Aunty Jack. 🙂
If you are around, welcome back Puffy.
Just lay of the rampant misandry which is offensive to men who otherwise agree with what you say.
[ Just lay of the rampant misandry ]
FFS bemused, do you have to be such a complete dick?? Do you ever think why and to what purpose before you comment?
You may enjoy it, but I am offended by it.
Kevin #552 the QLD 2PP result seems to be kind to Labor as well given the primary numbers and OPV?
This tendency to reduce every conversation to a gender war on PB tires me out. Utterly lacks nuance and wit.
Just an endless repetition of fixed ideological positions and hostile empty sniping from both sides of the fence. Like some stuck vinyl record.
Everything would be fine if us males just accept the fact we are all MCP’s and go from there 🙂
We are in furious agreement on that.
I don’t care about gender. Male or Female, Edward/Edwina St John is an idiot.
It was a woman who assaulted the Moslem woman on a Melbourne train recently and 2 men who went to the victims aid.
The point is, idiocy is gender independent.
[We are in furious agreement on that.]
You’ve got no idea at all, have you.
Well I don’t.
I met with my female mentee this afternoon.
Then I went to a professional networking event where I took pains to get 3 new attendees involved. 1 was male, 2 were female and one wore a hijab.
I don’t give a dam about their gender, religion or any other irrelevant factors.
BTW, I had a great time doing what I did. 😀
I seem to have a little more than you junior.
Bemused … Lets put it this way. If I had to name the chief protagonists in the PB gender wars you’d be up there in the top 3.
Then you would be wrong.
There you go, Rossmore. You wouldn’t name Bemused as one of the chief protagonists. You merely think you furiously disagree with Bemused, with whom you are in fact in furious agreement.
I am not interested in gender wars which I think are just stupid.
I abhor any form of discrimination based upon gender.
I also abhor domestic violence regardless of the gender of the perpetrator. While most are male, some are female.
I have great disdain for any who try to pit men against women or vice-versa in some concocted gender war.
[Just watching Melissa Parke on the ABC News presenting her well-founded objections to the toughened anti terrorism laws to a near-empty House. In particular, her Labor collegues were absent.]
Speaking of which:
Alex Ellinghausen @ellinghausen
National Security Legislation debate – how many backbenchers does it take to make the chamber look full on tv? pic.twitter.com/o65IVEr1Vt
Bemused, you’re in complete denial old chum. You feature in pretty much every PB gender war,
The discourse trajectory in every case is boringly predictable, resulting in angry upset people, usually women, and a banning or two.
Afraid not. The only thing I ever do is oppose concocted gender wars where some try to whip up misandry.
I am just not interested in gender wars and would be delighted if William could ban them.
[ I am just not interested in gender wars ]
You could, on some occasions, express that disinterest by simply choosing not to participate perhaps? That would make the above a tad more credible statement.
I am not particularly interested in your mistaken opinions either.
Goodnight all. I am off to the land of nod to dream of a gender wars free world. 😀
“I am just not interested in gender wars and would be delighted if William could ban them.”
You want a men only PB site then? Or a site in which the only women allowed are those that happen to agree entirely with you?
Sometimes the best, as opposed to seemingly correct, way to react is just to let it go through to the keeper.
I agree and said so on my site. I make Queensland more like 52-48, and since it’s Morgan, it’s less likely rounding is the excuse.
The 2PPs they’ve published are quite compatible with them just plain forgetting that NSW and Qld are OPV. Frankly I’d be happier with that than with them using some kind of respondent-allocated thing which might be especially inappropriate for (i) OPV (ii) SMS polling.
Nett_NEWS++™ by @Otiose94 http://bit.ly/1nAtjp1 #Terrorism, #Racism, Burqa Ban by David Rowe © http://bit.ly/1BzRvvE
Dearest Mr Bowe & Bludgers,
I read this blog everyday. I come here to get distilled national political & poll driven information. Every doorstop, press release & news conference is posted here by some one or other at least once. I comment rarely except to rubbish newspoll who I think are massaging the figures since the last election to some degree – but that’s another story.
My apologies Mr Bowe, but I think you should hand out a few yellows & reds to keep some Dickheads in line.
Too many are playing the man & not the ball in recent weeks. It is thoroughly tiresome to have to scroll through all the sniping by the same protagonists every day.
I do feel your pain SM – assuming we’re thinking about the same people, which I can never take for granted in these situations. And I have actually become a little more activist over the past few days.
If you are around, welcome back Puffy.
Just lay of the rampant misandry which is offensive to men who otherwise agree with what you say.]
You really are a malicious, supercilious, bullying piece of shit at times, bemused. This is just another gratuitous insult in a long sequence of similar self-gratifying jibes. Instead of reproaching P for something she has not done, why don’t you try behaving with some forbearance and dignity, proving to yourself at least that arrogance is not your only personality trait.
One thing I’ve learnt from the climate change debate, if big sciency dudes in robes disagree, this means the measure is not working and bound to fail. 😛