New results from Newspoll, Essential Research and Morgan has put BludgerTrack back to the position of two-party parity it was at three weeks ago, after which Labor was up to 51.8% and then 50.9%. They have also ironed out the brief slump recorded by the Greens last week, who have progressed from 11.3% to 8.9% to 10.4%. This week’s gain has come entirely at the expense of Labor, with the Coalition vote unchanged. On the seat projection, the Coalition is back in majority government territory, the meter having ticked in their favour by two seats in New South Wales and one each in Queensland and Western Australia. After a quiet spot last week, new leadership figures have emerged from Newspoll and Essential Research, and they find Tony Abbott with a rare lead over Bill Shorten on net approval, although preferred prime minister remains in the stasis it assumed in early December.
Also note that coverage of the Western Australian Senate count is ongoing on the dedicated thread, with a Liberal victory in the final seat looking increasingly likely.
Dio @96 An understatement, if ever there was one.
The Jewish lobby could go Carr using the RDA.
But it’s easier for them to just call him a bigot because he doesn’t agree with them.
I got to give Carr and danby credit. They have managed to take the limelight today. Managed to even get Bigots and the RDA back into the discussion.
Well done
CC
[Or, do you think the Scottish are morons?]
Hardly but a lot are told they are “too poor, too wee and too stupid”
[Or, just maybe, your claims are bunkem.]
Haha. As a famous Scottish writer of the 18th Century said “facts are stubborn things” (Tobias Smollent).
Just one example.
The BBC published statistics on wealth in UK 2012 (map on left). Nice figures if exclude oil and gas. The more accurate map is on the right.
https://twitter.com/stephenkidd56/status/448434397662810112/photo/1/large
Dio
[The Jewish lobby could go Carr using the RDA. ]
I think this a small publicity seeking imbroglio that no one will be talking about in a few days time.
How convenient
[IAN MACDONALD’s business partner, who is considered a ”crucial witness” in a corruption inquiry is understood to have checked himself into a mental-health centre.
John Gerathy, the business partner and lawyer of disgraced former minister Ian Macdonald, has told the Independent Commission Against Corruption he is ill and unable to give evidence.]
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/macdonalds-business-partner-books-into-mental-care-unit-20130213-2eddv.html#ixzz2yRR11Mg9
Let’s just restore Israel to the 1947 borders and sit back and watch what happens. We all know that the Palestinians and the rest of the Arab World are gentle, peace loving peoples.
Or perhaps just reverse the 1947 establishment of Israel and let them all peacefully coexist.
CTar1
A quick edit needed.
[ I think this a small publicity seeking imbroglio that no one will be talking about in a
fewdays time.]CTar1/poroti
It is hilarious watching the msm getting sucked in
[Climate Change deniers big backers have moved on to the next stage .From denying man made climate change to accepting it BUT saying it is all good.]
Or else they admit it’s real, and admit we have to do something about right away but, when asked about specific events – bushfires, cycloines, droughts, floods etc. – deny that any of them are down to climate change, indeed implying that climate change has no discernable effects at all.
Victoria
[IAN MACDONALD’s business partner, who is considered a ”crucial witness” in a corruption inquiry is understood to have checked himself into a mental-health centre.
John Gerathy, the business partner and lawyer of disgraced former minister Ian Macdonald, has told the Independent Commission Against Corruption he is ill and unable to give evidence.]
That was last year and ICAC accepted the bloke was genuinely ill.
[102
Diogenes
The Jewish lobby could go Carr using the RDA.]
Maybe he has made remarks that would give rise to offense or insult. If he has he would almost certainly be able to rely on s18.d to defend himself.
A psephos arbitration on the Danby Carr imbroglio would be entertaining.
Scots are 5.3 million of the UK’s 63.7 million people – about one in twelve. An independent Scotland will be comparable in population to Denmark, Finland, Slovakia, Singapore (and Queensland and Victoria) and a bit more than Ireland and New Zealand. There’s no obvious impediment to Scotland being a viable independent nation, if that’s what the Scots want, especially with North Sea oil.
So if they gained independence I expect that they would take on about one twelth of the debt (so a bit over £100 billion), one twelth of the defence assets, local roads and hospitals and an equitable agreement regarding North Sea oil.
But from what I’ve read, the polls are against it and with a well-funded No campaing gearing up in the coming months, I am not expecting to see any change.
vic – Slow news day …
Cambell Newman holding a press conference to tell us what the BoM has been telling us for around 5 days.
Employment stats will be out soon so that should give us something to talk about.
How many jobs has Abbott lost in March?
Shellbell
My bad. I meant to show this tweet first, and refer to what happened at last ICAC hearing about witnesses being unable to give evidence due to illness. It all seems rather convenient to me
[Solicitor Dennis Vuaran has provided medical certificate saying he is suffering an “elevated heart rate”, cant presently give evidence #iac
10:10am – 10 Apr 14]
davidwh
[How many jobs has Abbott lost in March?]
None – he still seems to be there.
Diogenes@96
He “claims” he did so in the public interest.
I wonder how many pages he devoted to telling people what he knew about the corruption of Obeid etc and what he did about it?
Yes he had retired, but it must have developed on his watch and he was still a senior Labor figure while the corruption flourished.
That is far more in the public interest.
He may think he is smart writing the stuff he did. I see him as just another arsehole who ‘achieved’ fcuk all in his time as FM.
All he is doing is tearing the scab of destructive infighting within Labor yet again – and spitting in the faces of Labor voters.
Good riddens to him.
@davidwh/117
Commsec posted on twitter last night March only added 11,000, Unemployment still 6.0%.
Dave
I don’t mind him saying he thought Gillard was too pro Israel, but to include private text messages is not even close to being acceptable.
CommSec @CommSec 2m
Jobless rate falls to 5.8% (mkt expected 6.1%). 18,100 jobs created in Mar; significantly better than market forecasts. #jobs #ausecon ^SD
Updated.
ABC ‘Unemployment rate falls from 6 per cent to 5.8 per cent in March’.
The NT confiscation legislation which the High Court okayed today seems to permit the government to take property which is legitimately acquired if used as part of a criminal pursuit eg – conduct criminal business from it.
[Jobless rate falls to 5.8% (mkt expected 6.1%). 18,100 jobs created in Mar; significantly better than market forecasts. ]
That’s a great result for Australia and Abbott.
I’m sure everyone here will be pleased. 🙂
[Good riddens to him.]
Bob Carr never leaves
http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/6202.0
[TREND ESTIMATES (MONTHLY CHANGE)
Employment increased to 11,531,600.
Unemployment increased to 730,400 from a revised February 2014 estimate.
Unemployment rate increased by less than 0.1 pts to 6.0%.
Participation rate remained steady at 64.7%.
Aggregate monthly hours worked increased 2.8 million hours (0.2%) to 1,615.6 million hours.]
No big change in labour market trends in March. Job growth exists, but at a rate that is slower than labour supply/ population growth. Unemployment continues to edge upwards.
CommSec @CommSec 2m
Aust Mar Jobs Report – Unemployment 5.8% Aggregate monthly hours worked up 2.8Million hours (0.2%) to 1,615.6M hours. #ausbiz
But again still has nothing to do with this government 🙂
Since they have no policy in creating jobs, but cutting policies in the budget are in the pipe line, and hockey’s words are ‘wide ranging cuts’.
Dio that is positive news if it is confirmed.
dio
As per the link briefly posted. Nothing good about the job numbers at all
davidwh
It is not positive news. Check out briefly’s link.
[Let’s just restore Israel to the 1947 borders and sit back and watch what happens. We all know that the Palestinians and the rest of the Arab World are gentle, peace loving peoples.
]
Supporters of Israel should perhaps be a little smarter than relying on a belief, founded only fundamental racism, that somehow the ‘Arab World’ is somehow innately more violent than any other race or part of the world. It is more silly than the frequent suggestion that the military might of the Arab world is a real and present danger to the ongoing viability of the Israeli state such that all manner of the grossest and most vile human rights abuses are not only defensible but somehow honorable.
zoidlord people can’t have it both ways, blame Abbott when the rate goes up but say it’s nothing to do with him when the rate goes down. I can live with a consistent opinion either way. Personally I think governments have some impact on jobs but usually not a significant impact. Of couse when you have multi-billion $ stimulus programs then the impact becomes more significant.
Grog makes the pertinent point
[If you think the seasonally adj figure is the one to report, then March had the 4th biggest drop in unemployment rate in the past decade]
@davidwh/130
It’s not actually.
From what I’m reading, Unemployment still ground in the thousands.
Unemployment rate is based upon a Bureau of Statistics sanple of about 300,000 people. For typical unemployment rates (i.e under 10%), the margin of error is about 0.1%. So the rate will tend to jump around by 0.1% from month to month, but a drop from 6.1% to 5.8% does look like good news.
Another tweet from Grog
Lulz, WA seas adjusted unemployment rate falls from 5.9% to 4.9%!!! While trend went from 5.1% to 5.3%.
@davidwh/134
Abbott promised before and during election, that they will help workers find jobs, and give money to those who get a job and help stay in it.
Well, those are no longer being talked about.
Remember, Abbott said:
$6500 for those who get a job and stick with it.
2 million jobs in a decade.
And few other things.
And another
[Trend is your friend. Unemployment rate Seas adj *falls* from 6.1% to 5.8%, while trend goes from 5.9% to 6.0%]
Of course Tony Abbott et al will claim credit for the drop in unemployment. Had the rate gone up, they’d have blamed Labor.
So we are saying that when the forecast was for less jobs to be created and the unemployment rate to increase when in fact jobs created was higher and the unemployment rate actually reduced is not positive news.
Sigh … I surrender.
@davidwh/142
We been saying that Unemployment still out ranks Employment.
18,000 Per month is what is required.
davidwh
Not what we are saying
TREND ESTIMATES (MONTHLY CHANGE)
[Employment increased to 11,531,600.
Unemployment increased to 730,400 from a revised February 2014 estimate.
Unemployment rate increased by less than 0.1 pts to 6.0%.
Participation rate remained steady at 64.7%.
Aggregate monthly hours worked increased 2.8 million hours (0.2%) to 1,615.6 million hours.]
You have to hand it to Bob Carr, he knows how to sell a book.
Gary
Indeed.
Gary
I’m almost tempted to buy it.
What are these “steel cut oats” he eats for breakfast?
zoidlord I understand all that and accept the employment market is still weak. Still a lot of hard work to be done to get back to where we were in 2008. I just take some comfort that the situation is better than expected. I guess I am just a glass half-full type of person.
WWP @133
You make a lot of inferences not based on facts.
Has not Israel fought a number of wars against Arab neighbours and suffered constant Terrorist attack? Pointing out the facts is not about race.
As for you rclaims about human rights abuses – the IDF and Israeli justice system takes action against Israeli soldiers who break the law against Palestinians. Have the Palestinians ever done such a thing?
Re my 141 – apologies – that was incorrect – I must have mixed it up with something else.
http://www.abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/Lookup/6202.0Explanatory%20Notes1Mar%202014?OpenDocument
“The Labour Force Survey is based on a multi-stage area sample of private dwellings (currently approximately 26,000 houses, flats, etc.) and a list sample of non-private dwellings (hotels, motels, etc.), and covers approximately 0.32% of the civilian population of Australia aged 15 years and over.”
So the sample size would be closer to about 50,000 people and the margin of error would be about 0.2%. The drop is still good news.