ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor

After a fortnight in which Nielsen found the Coalition back in front and Newspoll found Labor further ahead than ever, the monthly result from ReachTEL has Labor maintaining the lead it recorded in the previous poll a month ago.

GhostWhoVotes relates that a ReachTEL poll, which I take to be its monthly poll for the Seven Network, has Labor’s lead unchanged on a month ago at 53-47, from primary votes of 40.3% for the Coalition, 39.2% for Labor and 10.5% for the Greens. The poll also finds Malcolm Turnbull to be favoured over Tony Abbott by 53.2% of respondents with only 27.7% opting for Abbott (and 19.1% for Joe Hockey), but this is down to a massive disparity between Coalition supporters, 58.6% of whom favour Abbott versus 27.6% for Turnbull and 13.8% for Hockey, and Labor supporters, of whom 76.5% favour Turnbull, 17.9% favour Hockey, and only 5.6% favour Abbott.

UPDATE: Essential Research has the Coalition up 51-49, reversing the result from last time. The Coalition is up two on the primary vote to 44%, with Labor and the Greens each down a point to 38% and 8%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,525 comments on “ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor”

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  4. Darren L:

    You should’ve seen the image on the front page of the dead tree edition of the West today. I didn’t know whether to laugh of cry.

  5. AA

    I await a statement from the Environment Minister that we have too many national parks and too much forest being protected, not enough acidic sludge being dumped on the Great Barrier Reef and not enough CO2 going into the atmosphere.

    You know it makes sense.

  6. Rossmg

    The ALP are reasonably respectful when a parliamentarian is ill regardless their affiliations.

    Unlike the tories!

    Who could forget Rudd’s personal medical records mysteriously surfacing in the public domain and exploited by the tories to demonstrate he had no ticker.

  7. Boerwar:

    Didn’t Hunt inform us earlier that loggers are actually the real environmentalists? Unlike those fake environmentalists who cleverly hide their slash the forests agenda behind a plan to to expand national parks so nobody can tell what’s really going on?

  9. But unlike the traditional greek tragedies, there are three choruses.

    One chorus can see the flaws in Rudd that led to an inevitable tragedy.

    The second chorus can see the tragedy but believe the flaws were not in the hero of the tragedy but in others.

    The third chorus can see the tragedy but believes that some of the flaws were in the hero of the tragedy and some of the flaws were in others.

    This third chorus was what provided the tragedy.

    Sadly many observers allowed their in-born prejudices to fixate on an earlier chorus. This coloured their opinions and helped to provide the far more disfunctional Abbott Government.

    How sad for Australia and its workers. The country deserved far better!

  10. Dee

    I daresay the rumour mill is in full swing but I believe the fact that nobody is talking tends towards a serious issue. Maybe I look in the wrong websites, I am sure the truth is out there somewhere … Or a truckload of untruth.

  11. [It has been rumoured that Buswell is in post op after having a chair removed from his nose.]

    Thanks for that I needed a good laught.

  16. [ You should’ve seen the image on the front page of the dead tree edition of the West today. I didn’t know whether to laugh of cry.]

    Fess, the sad part is that there is no end to self-promotion.

    He could take the Jimmy Carter approach, but I doubt he can ever be humble enough to engage with “ratf*ckers” and other unworthies on the international stage.

    There is a lot to be said for a quiet retirement, returning to your home province – so much for Queensland being “god’s country”, he couldn’t get far away quick enough!

  17. Mod Lib must have loved this from QANTAS

    [“We have said that the price on carbon is a cost to our business that we have not been able to recover through fare increases, because of the intensely competitive market we operate in. Domestically, it cost us $106 million in FY13 and $59 million in HY14,” the airline said.

    “It is among the significant challenges we face, including an uneven playing field, capacity increases in the international market and record high fuel prices.”]

  18. William

    Bill hassell … I was only wondering about him the other day when the Tories in Queensland were firing up about ID for voters. Remember when hassell led the march up St George’s terrace against the Australia card? the qld legislation on illegal gathering by three people would also warm the cockles of his heart. Or are you too young to remember all that?

  19. I don’t particularly remember him leading the march against the Australia Card. However, I do remember Section 52b, or whatever it was, even though I was about 10 years old at the time.

  20. 1. carbon tax- shouldn’t make QANTAS less competitive than Virgin

    2. I don’t know about this uneven playing field. What is it referring to? Government subsidies of other airlines

    3. Capacity increase in the international market just sounds like they don’t like competition

    4. Record fuel prices- shouldn’t the high Aussie dollar buy more fuel. And isn’t high fuel costs a problem for all airlines?

    It sounds like QANTAS won’t admit why they are doing so badly.

  21. William

    Section 54b of the Police Act it was. For others who don’t remember the law made it illegal for three people to hold a demonstration without police permission. It was open season on union picket lines for a while.

  22. Darren L:

    He simply invites ridicule because of his behaviour. Whether it’s tweeting cringeworthy photos of him cutting himself shaving (I mean seriously, who the hell does that?), or trying to insert himself by stealth into current day diplomatic crises, it’s just so shield your eyes from the train wreck embarrassment.

  23. Interesting regarding Section 54b Police Act seems similar laws to VIC/QLD, but QLD seems to have more resistance, to such laws…

  24. Dio

    Qantas management is just part of a new Australian whingeocracy…

    They seem to simply resent everything associated with operating an airline… Fuel costs, competition, wages, etc.

    A bit like a surgeon complaining about operations, patients and nurses!

    Or worse, a tree surgeon complaining about bark! 😉

  25. Dio:

    As I said earlier, if we take Joyce at his word on the effect carbon pricing is having on Qantas’ operations (and why shouldn’t we?), then surely it comes down to poor strategic planning on the airline’s part.

    Every large scale business in the country would’ve been alert to the very real prospect of carbon pricing becoming law after the 2007 election, and planned accordingly. It seems to me from hearing Joyce’s remarks that Qantas didn’t do this.

    The only other explanation is that Joyce has modified the earlier press statement because a) he felt pressured to do so, and/or b) believed the company might receive more favourable treatment from the govt if it could lay everything at the feet of carbon pricing.

  30. [ Kiev Kev is here to help…]

    Sadly this stuff just writes itself.

    Rudd is the gift that keeps giving to the LNP and its supporters.

  34. Yes, fair enough….lets post the whole thing! :devil:

    [Diogenes
    Posted Wednesday, March 5, 2014 at 10:07 pm | PERMALINK
    Mod Lib must have loved this from QANTAS

    “We have said that the price on carbon is a cost to our business that we have not been able to recover through fare increases, because of the intensely competitive market we operate in. Domestically, it cost us $106 million in FY13 and $59 million in HY14,” the airline said.

    “It is among the significant challenges we face, including an uneven playing field, capacity increases in the international market and record high fuel prices.”]

    Thanks zoidlord……that was great fun for me, getting to repeat the post!

  35. “our business that we have not been able to recover through fare increases, because of the intensely competitive market we operate in” = Incompetent Management.

  38. Some here seem a bit selective in their skepticism about the press gallery. The Kevin Rudd story relies on the word of unidentified “Australian diplomatic officials”. For all any of us knows, this could mean Alexander Downer and Nick Minchin.

  39. Hey mimhoff, yep, Im back!

    Wait no more:

    [mimhoff
    Posted Wednesday, March 5, 2014 at 7:26 pm | PERMALINK
    Why do you argue that it was Cabinet pressure that made Qantas make the statement AFTER Cabinet.

    Then what was it that made them change their statement?

    on Wednesday saying the tax “is among the significant challenges we face’’ despite on Monday saying it was “not a significant issue” for the company’s sustainability.]

  41. Mad Lib@1381

    Diogenes
    Posted Wednesday, March 5, 2014 at 10:07 pm | PERMALINK
    Mod Lib must have loved this from QANTAS


    Bingo!

    So if the carbon tax were to be removed and the ACCC ensured that fares were reduced by the amount saved, how would Qantas be any better off?

  42. [zoidlord
    Posted Wednesday, March 5, 2014 at 10:47 pm | PERMALINK
    @Mod Lib/1387

    You callin me fat then eh?]

    ….actually, if you were following my posts it would be the exact opposite.

    It doesn’t surprise me that you didn’t follow! :devil:

  43. bemused

    QANTAS are saying they haven’t put fares up by the full amount of the carbon tax so they wouldn’t have to drop them by the full amount.

    I doubt one could prove or disprove that claim.

  45. [bemused
    ….So if the carbon tax were to be removed and the ACCC ensured that fares were reduced by the amount saved, how would Qantas be any better off?]

    Prices would drop and more people would fly.

    More people fly and Qantas makes more money.

  47. 1388

    Are Downer and Minchin currently diplomatic officials, let alone Australian diplomatic officials?

    If not they they should at least say former.

  48. Ausdavo re Rudd 13259
    ____________
    Your brilliant analogy re Rudd and a Greek Tragedy was the best think I have ever read about the whole busness

    Great stuff…and it explained something about the Greek drama and the chorus I had never fully understood
    Brilliant
    You are wasted here ..,.,have you thought of a career as a theatre critic ??

  50. Diogenes@1393

    bemused

    QANTAS are saying they haven’t put fares up by the full amount of the carbon tax so they wouldn’t have to drop them by the full amount.

    I doubt one could prove or disprove that claim.

    Ah, yes, I have heard that said.
    But Tone has assured us that when (if) the carbon tax is removed, the ACCC will ensure that the benefit flows in full to consumers.
    Qantas would have shot itself in the foot and be worse off. 👿

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