GhostWhoVotes relates that the first Nielsen poll since the leadership change has Labor bouncing from 57-43 behind to dead level, from primary votes of 39% for Labor (up 10), 44% for the Coalition (down three) and 9% for the Greens (down two). Kevin Rudd’s personal ratings are 51% approve and 43% disapprove, while Tony Abbott is on 41% (down three) and 56% disapprove (up three). Rudd leads as preferred prime minister by 55-41. More to follow.
UPDATE: Full tables plus leadership attributes results, courtesy as usual of the ghost with the most.
UPDATE 2 (Essential Research): The ever inflexible Essential Research still has the Coalition lead at 52-48, although Labor is up a point on last week to 39% with the Coalition steady on 46% and the Greens down one to 7%. Also featured are personal approval ratings, with Kevin Rudd on 50% approve and 35% disapprove against 39% and 51% for Tony Abbott, with Rudd leading 50-35 as preferred prime minister. There is also very strong support for Kevin Rudd’s notion that party leaders should be chosen by members as well as caucus, with 56% approval and 19% disapproval. A question on the state of the economy finds a sharp deterioration since April, with good down nine points to 36% and poor up four to 30%, with the usual huge disparities according to voting intention. Thirty-eight per cent thought the economy headed in the right direction, up two since July, against 42% for the wrong direction, up three. There is also a question on respondents’ personal involvement in the past week, showing 56% had watched federal politicians on television, 50% discussed federal politics with friends and family, and 43% had seen television advertising by the parties.
UPDATE 3 (Morgan): Morgan has both Labor and the Coalition up on the primary vote, respectively by half a point to 42% and 1.5% to 41%, with another bad poll showing for the Greens who are down 1.5% to 7%. This causes last week’s attention-grabbing 54.5-45.5 lead on two-party preferred to rein in to 52.5-47.5, but the size of Labor’s lead last week was inflated by a blowout in respondent-allocated preferences which has come down somewhat this week. On the stable measure of two-party preferred using preference flows from the previous election, the change is from 52.5-47.5 to 51.5-48.5. And bless their hearts, they are continuing to provide weekly state breakdowns, which find the position in Queensland returning to a believable situation of parity between the two parties after last week’s blowout of 57-43 to Labor.
[ Opposition Leader Tony Abbott has made an embarrassing gaffe during a visit to Tasmania, forgetting the name of the Liberal candidate for a key seat. ]
Yes, I heard ABC radio reporting this, and the reporter was definitely ridiculing Abbott.
When your own media starts ridiculing you, you know you’re finished.
Time for Credlin to execute “Plan B” – if she’s got one, of course. And if she doesn’t, I’ll bet some members of the LNP do!
[Well that’ s 5 posts. A record for me. Problem with the IPad. Did Rudd answer the question on the mining tax. I don’t think so.]
Rudd was asked today about his public service sackings.
Instead he went on a 10 minute rant about Campbell Newman. Not too good on answering the hard questions our Rudd the Dudd
http://andrewelder.blogspot.com.au/2013/07/sweetening-base.html
How is the Coalition responding to Labor’s switch from Gillard to Rudd? They could be reaching out to voters who were upset or unsure about that change, in the way that Labor’s changes to the Premiership of NSW in 2008 saw voters dump the party to a far greater extent than they did the leader. Instead, they have gone back to shoring up their base at the very time that Rudd is reaching out to uncommitted voters
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Mod Lib
I will type this slowly so you understand.
Community Cabinet. 😛
“jeffemu, the next expansion teams will be a second Brisbane team and Perth.
Seriously, WTF are people suddenly betting on a Labor win today? Does someone know something we don’t? The constant narrowing of the odds today is, well, odd.”
not odd at all. more realistic imo. Should be about $1.90 labor at this stage .
Adam 2117
Yeah the circumstances seem pretty shocking in Zimmerman’s case but it seems that the law was on his side. This is the reverse of OJ Simpson when everyone knew he was the murderer yet thousands of black supporters celebrated and cheered when he was acquitted, just because he was black. The law doesn’t always get justice right but in a democracy the law should be respected.
@Sean/2152
Rudd is just doing what Liberals do.
Blame the other party.
Said to a friend today that I was pleased to see the return of our women Ministers to the public ALP stage.
Plibersek, for one, is always great.
Like to see a bit more of the women in pressers.
Yes, I heard ABC radio reporting this, and the reporter was definitely ridiculing Abbott.
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I so it would of been Hobart based abc.
the abc here is rather good, they have lot of news coverage on both sides
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University of Queensland; Miami State High School; Ballina High School.
Denison’s challenge Tasmania News – The Mercury – The Voice of …
http://www.themercury.com.au/article/2013/06/…/381928_tasmania-news.html
Jun 21, 2013 – Tanya Denison, 39, of New Town, boasts a resume built on a degree … Ms Denison said that despite hailing from Queensland, she could be an …
Liberal candidate defends GST carve up comment – ABC News …
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-06-21/liberals-name-denison…/4771072
Jun 21, 2013 – Liberal candidate for federal seat of Denison, Tanya Denison. … She has previously worked for a regional council in Far North Queensland
Temporary borrowings?
Rudd getting applaud for the comment about newman
zoidlord,
Rudd is going to sack mass amounts of public servants and he’s gotten off scott free doing so.
The media are still getting their Rudd sugar hit and I think it’s time his policies were put under some scrutiny.
Rudd draws tons of applause after dissing Little Big Man;s slash and burn.
PLAYER ONE
SORRY I FORGOT put your name on your post
my say
Posted Tuesday, July 16, 2013 at 7:16 pm | Permalink
Yes, I heard ABC radio reporting this, and the reporter was definitely ridiculing Abbott.
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I so it would of been Hobart based abc.
the abc here is rather good, they have lot of news coverage on both sides
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University of Queensland; Miami State High School; Ballina High School.
Denison’s challenge Tasmania News – The Mercury – The Voice of …
http://www.themercury.com.au/article/2013/06/…/381928_tasmania-news
Thanks to the invisible Sky bloke, no not Fox or Turnbull, for the mysterious link to ABC24 on line.
Both Foxtel and TV reception are buggered here.
Rudd doing extremely well, I would have thought. I hope he uses that line about school halls and libraries more in the campaign – take on Abbott’s nonsense head-on.
However, this is certainly a partisan crowd isn’t it? I assume fairly well vetted.
Fifteen minutes overtime, Rudd says. Why? Because of waffling upon waffling before questions. It took a good 10 minutes or more to introduce all the ministers, followed by a 15 minute speech by Rudd, and all that came after an interminable speech by the local member.
Sean Tisme
It will come. Be patient and watch Rudd implode.
‘Yes, I heard ABC radio reporting this, and the reporter was definitely ridiculing Abbott.
When your own media starts ridiculing you, you know you’re finished’.
Even Latika had a bit of a go at that.
@Sean/2162
Disagree.
p.s. you say he is going to (prediction) and then say he’s gotten off scott free (past tense).
[Mickey Arthur to Sue Cricket Australia For $4 million Claiming Racial Discrimination]
Read more: http://www.theage.com.au/sport/cricket/mickey-arthur-to-sue-cricket-australia-for-4-million-claiming–racial-discrimination-20130716-2q26s.html#ixzz2ZCN96HH4
He was sacked for being a crap man manger, not for being a seth.
crikey whitey
[
Plibersek, for one, is always great.]
They say you are getting old when you start thinking the police are looking very young. I’ve added another one. You are getting old when cabinet ministers start looking young.:)
Watch Rudd’ s lower lip quiver when he gets the hint of a difficult question. Wait till he gets some serious questions from journalists.
[Sean Tisme
It will come. Be patient and watch Rudd implode.]
Hmmm. Many here have been adopting that strategy on Abbott for more than 3 years and it hasn’t worked…yet.
It’s quite interesting. A lot of the rhetoric from the Coalition hacks on here is eerily familiar to the rhetoric we heard from the Labor hacks up until a few weeks ago. Very telling.
crikey
I missed the ABC people taking the mickey out of Abbott. It would have been enjoyable.
[Watch Rudd’ s lower lip quiver when he gets the hint of a difficult question. Wait till he gets some serious questions from journalists.]
Watch Abbott’s whole body quiver when he gets a hint of a difficult question. Shit happens, eh?
Watch Abbott run when he gets some serious questions from a journalist.
Can you explain that a bit more Carey?
[It only goes to show that the media have caught the scent of blood re Abbott. It’s not going to end well for him, methinks.]
The bloodlust from getting Gillard wouldn’t have been satisfied for more than a week or two. The pack are looking for a new target. The News Ltd hacks and shock jocks obviously tried to draw blood with Rudd to no effect. Others have had a bit more success nipping at Abbott’s heels. It doesn’t won’t long for the rest (including News) to pile in for the kill.
It makes for far more interesting stories (in their minds) than actually writing about policy.
Gauss
[Watch Rudd’ s lower lip quiver when he gets the hint of a difficult question. Wait till he gets some serious questions from journalists.]
Hilarious!!
After 3 years still waiting for Tabbott to be asked a “difficult” question… talk about a protected species.
crikey whitey@2158
Plibersek is a star.
Her QANDA appearances have all been great.
Poroti
I like the idea of Tanya being young.
Not too sure about cops.
[Watch Abbott run when he gets some serious questions from a journalist.]
Watch Abbott run BEFORE he gets some serious questions from a journalist
[Can you explain that a bit more Carey?]
“Rudd will implode any day now!”
“Wait until people hear about when Rudd did x!”
“Rudd keeps dodging the question and playing the audience etc!”
I am waiting for the complaints about the MSM stealing it for Rudd…
BK
7:30 your chance
I liked the Oz story on the Snowy scheme, Tanya’s dad liked the tiny room he had because it was the first time in his life he did not have to share, he had a place of his own.
Evening all.
I missed the CC, but triton reminds me why I’m not bothered by that:
[It took a good 10 minutes or more to introduce all the ministers, followed by a 15 minute speech by Rudd, and all that came after an interminable speech by the local member.]
guytaur
What’s on? We get it 30 minutes later here in SA.
Oh, Don’t tell me it’s the Puff Adder!
[Plibersek is a star.]
I agree, one of the best Ministers in the Government.
Of course, Gauss, Mod Lib, Rummel, Tisme, think Dutton is the ideal Health Minister ….
God-doG “Liberals” are funny!!!!
BK
Just ABC ridiculing Abbott
The 7.30 reporter just said “renamed carbon price”, not quoting anyone, just describing the change.
guytaur
Phew!!!
BK
Couldn’t go so far as to say Latika was taking the mickey.
She seemed to be startled out of her stupor, however. Enough to note that Kev was sticking it up Abbott.
Doesn’t do jiggle, though.
Actually, I quite like Plibersek.
She is a bad liar, which is unfortunate for her in this game, and her disgust for Rudd was clear for all to see when she shook his hand as he walked into the chamber again as Prime Minister!
[Opposition Leader Tony Abbott has made an embarrassing gaffe during a visit to Tasmania, forgetting the name of the Liberal candidate for a key seat.]
I’m sure this has already been discussed, but good heavens, the gaffes are coming almost daily now.
Sabra Lane said that, just to get it on the record.
Liked the point by Dennis from Australian Institute.
Now Abbott has to explain how his scheme is cheaper than a tax cut
UHlman repeats the tax terminated line
[Opposition Leader Tony Abbott has made an embarrassing gaffe during a visit to Tasmania, forgetting the name of the Liberal candidate for a key seat.]
Was just thinking, does anybody remember, years ago, when Kim Beazley (who was leader at the time) came to SA and was stumped to name the Labor Senators for the state, and it was portrayed as a sign that he wasn’t “with it”? This just reminds me of it.
Does anyone else get the idea that Mark Butler doesn’t like the idea of “terminating the carbon tax” but was forced into it?