The Australian’s Troy Bramston tweets that Newspoll has the Coalition leading 57-43, down from 58-42 last time. However, the poll has Labor’s primary vote below 30% for the first time this year, down one to 29%, with the Coalition also down a point to 48% and the Greens steady on 9%. Tony Abbott’s lead as preferred prime minister has reached a new peak of 45-33, up from 43-35 at the last poll three weeks ago, but personal ratings are little changed: Julia Gillard is steady at 28% approval and 62% disapproval, while Abbott is down one to 36% and steady at 53%.
UPDATE (Essential Research): Essential Research has Labor down on a point on the primary vote for the second week in a row, now down to 34% with the Coalition and the Greens steady at 47% and 8%. The Coalition’s lead on two-party preferred is up from 54-46 to 55-45. Also covered were intention to vote for a different party in the Senate (9% yes, 67% no); leaders attributes (Julia Gillard for some reason doing better than when the question was last asked in April, and Tony Abbott slightly worse); support for a long list of decisions made by the Rudd-Gillard government, the only net negative result being for the carbon tax; Tony Abbott’s intention to scrap the Gonski education reforms (32% approve, 44% disapprove); and sexism and discrimination against women.
UPDATE 2 (Morgan): The weekly Morgan multi-mode poll reverses an unusually good result for Labor last week, with the Coalition up 2.5% to 47% and Labor down the same amount to 30.5%, with the Greens unchanged at 9%. The Coalition’s two-party preferred lead is up from 54.5-45.5 to 56.5-43.5 on preferences from the previous election, and from 53.5-46.5 to 55.5-44.5 on respondent allocation.
BB
Wiser heads would have advised against and left Jenkins sitting in the chair.]
I’ll bite
.. if you can name ANY wise heads in parliament currently.. and you can’t choose Harry Jenkins… I’d like to consider them!!!
[abc730 @abc730 4m
See the business questions facing @clivefpalmer as he spruiks his election campaign, as @p_mccutch reports: http://www.abc.net.au/7.30/content/2013/s3788633.htm … #auspol]
ABC takes up the OO line. No surprises there.
#qanda We need Tony Abbott and what do we get? Judith Sloane!
It was a statement solely aimed at the Coalition and the lack of diversity of its front bench. Tony Abbott wears the blue tie to project a safe conservative image, Gillard wanted to portray that same image as stultifying.
No aspersions were meant towards other men who wear blue ties.
[I invite you to imagine it, a prime minister, a man with a blue tie, who goes on holiday to be replaced by a man in a blue tie. A treasurer, who delivers a budget wearing a blue tie, to be supported by a finance minister – another man in a blue tie.]
[1196
zoidlord
@Gaffhook/1186
Except Barnett gov lost it’s tripple AAA.
Interestly:
http://www.abc.net.au/worldtoday/content/2013/s3710987.htm
ELEANOR HALL: As Treasurer, how much blame do you accept for the rising debt in this state putting the state’s AAA credit rating on a negative watch?
TROY BUSWELL: Well, I don’t think debt is something you need to take blame for. I’m actually proud of the infrastructure program that that’s debt delivered. Every single dollar that we have borrowed has been invested in infrastructure.]
Yup..all that money wasted on a football stadium and Elizabeth Quay…and so little put into rail infrastructure in both the city and the country. We now have about $10,000 per capita in state debt, a mining boom that is deflating, falling per capita revenue and deep cuts to public spending in education and training….The LNP have done it again.
the speech was idiotic because it hijacked an important issue and just looked desperate – thus making anybody else with genuine concerns on the topic look like a desperate partisan too. Furthermore, by injecting the issue into an unwinnable race, she’s risked making the election a question on abortion and, if Abbott wins, he can claim a mandate to limit it.
However, she actually made some valid points. It’s just her timing was completely wrong and it didn’t seem genuine but rather a desperate stunt.
That’s it. If you feel it was an attack on your (microscopic) manhood or was literally about people who wear blue ties, then you’re wrong.
Meguire ‘Batty’ Bob will be delighted to know that Judith Sloan just referred to ‘hypothetical polls’ on QANDA.
He no longer stands alone. 😀
briefly
Gillard’s gender credentials are non-existent anyway. As pointed out rather effectively earlier tonight:
[RT @jonkudelka: 5 stars RT @marcusod – “As a gay man, I will not be lectured on discrimination by Julia Gillard” http://t.co/ieyw2VTRrU via @fakeedbutler]
[bemused
Posted Monday, June 24, 2013 at 9:42 pm | PERMALINK
Meguire ‘Batty’ Bob will be delighted to know that Judith Sloan just referred to ‘hypothetical polls’ on QANDA.
He no longer stands alone. ]
Bob is a great cover name Judith 🙂
[ The likelihood increases every day that we are going to have a recession whether we “need” one or not.
Why do you say this, btw? You do seem rather pessimistic lately. ]
It’s all part of the “meme”. By definition, nothing good can possibly have resulted from Gillard being PM, hence we must be headed for a recession.
Stupid, yes – but no worse than anything else the LNP and their friends the Ruddiots are trying to get away with at the moment.
My twitter feed has just lit up like heaven knows what with #qanda.
Can only mean something or someone outrageous. 😆
“Meguire ‘Batty’ Bob will be delighted to know that Judith Sloan just referred to ‘hypothetical polls’ on QANDA.
He no longer stands alone.”
I see your meds are much the same – when WB allowed you back I was hopeful they’d changed them and you had changed as a result.
No breakthrough yet?
Oh where, oh where has that whistle-blower gone?
Oh where, oh where can he be?
With his beard cut short and his glasses on
Oh where can that whistle-blower be?
The best story of the last week, still providing new twists & turns: Edward Snowden fails to show up for flight from Moscow to Havana – live coverage: Whereabouts of former CIA analyst whose leaks to Guardian have caused global controversy a mystery after he does not catch expected flight to Cuba
[My colleague Miriam Elder didn’t manage to get on that plane to Cuba – but she’s very glad, since it seems Edward Snowden never got on it either. I just spoke to her.
She said Aeroflot officials had told her “with a little smirk” that they had been expecting Snowden too.
But Miriam pointed out that Snowden had never actually been sighted in Moscow, and there was actually no real evidence that he had ever been in Russia at all.
Meanwhile a planeload of journalists are now off to spend the day in Cuba]
Where’s Monty Python’s Flying Circus when we need it?
PO:
The Unhingement with Gillard is just astonishing. You’d think she’d taken this country to an illegal war, crashed the sustainability of our budget, showed untold disrepect to migrants, indigenous Australians, women, failed to hold a hung parliament together and so on.
Dio
Yep.
[ Gillard’s gender credentials are non-existent anyway. ]
You just break me up every time, JV!
You hate Gillard so much that you are willing to risk Abbott instead.
Well, you probably deserve him.
But the rest of us don’t.
One person on QandA wants to talk about policy and not leadershit
I haven’t seen Matt Thistlethwaite before. He seems quite impressive on Q & A.
BK @WEDeming 1m
I can’t watch this #qanda crap any more! Bed time. When will gutless Abbott appear? Will the Great Wall of Credlin prevail?
Can William please make a promise than on election night if Meguire Bob is here making another bold prediction after Labor is annihilated that he will be given a time out.
I don’t think I could stand his absolutely pig shit stupidity any longer.
“I don’t think I could stand his absolutely pig shit stupidity any longer.”
What’s the problem? We put up with yours.
ST
Can William please make a promise than on election night if Sean Tisme is here making another set of stupid, nasty, personal comments that he will be given a time out.
I don’t think I could stand his absolutely pig shit stupidity any longer.
There. Fixed.
You and me both, BK
A la manana ..
[Sean Tisme
Posted Monday, June 24, 2013 at 9:52 pm | PERMALINK
Can William please make a promise than on election night if Meguire Bob is here making another bold prediction after Labor is annihilated that he will be given a time out.
I don’t think I could stand his absolutely pig shit stupidity any longer.]
i disagree, MB is great and will still be going on about a Gillard victory and the fake polls a month after the election 🙂
Tom 1 def Shows On 0.
http://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Senate/Powers_practice_n_procedures/odgers13?file=chapter07§ion=01
But the practice in Aust is not to prorogue, except both houses together prior to the general election, except on odd occasions eg before Queens descend from their regal heaven.
So yes, it would be tricky, perhaps in both senses.
The GG must have a PM; Gillard can resign but GG has to commission someone. Why on earth would Gillard ask her to commission anyone other than the caucus choice? And why would indies/Rudd do anything other than engineer an election on or more likely before Sept 14?
confessions
[The Unhingement with Gillard is just astonishing. You’d think she’d taken this country to an illegal war, crashed the sustainability of our budget, showed untold disrepect to migrants, indigenous Australians, women, failed to hold a hung parliament together and so on.]
Well you hit a few nails on the head in that list, in fact. She has maintained our presence in Afghanistan for no good reason but extreme forelock tugging to the US; stuffed up the budget with a coward’s mining tax; demonised refugees and s457 workers; continued the NT intervention; punished single mums; and failed to lead.
Also be fair about critics of Gillard, I haven’t seen anyone spelling Gillard’s name with an asterisk like a year 8 kid pretending it’s a rude word that can’t be published verbatim, as you do with Rudd’s. How puerile.
Player One
You are mistaken
Gillard is just front of house. It’s the whole cabal of empty careerist bosses who installed her that I want to see the back of; and their caucus hold broken utterly.
While Sean left such an easy free kick lying there with that last sentence, I will leave it alone on account of the retort being waaaay too obvious! 😆
As for his point about Meguire Bob, I disagree. I want him and similar posters on the board all night. I want to read their denialism (“WA HAVEN’T STOPPED VOTING YET! THE ELECTION WILL BE DECIDED IN THE WEST!” “ONLY 50% OF THE VOTE HAS BEEN COUNTED! IT’S TOO EARLY TO CALL!”) slowly degrade into anger and genuine disbelief… ah, who am I kidding? It will still be denial (“THERE ARE STILL THOUSANDS OF POSTAL VOTES TO COUNT! IT’S NOT OVER! LABOR VOTERS LIKE TO TRAVEL MORE THAN LIBS!”)
[The Unhingement with Gillard is just astonishing.]
Indeed, Fess! And with but 1 week 2 hrs (1 sec past midnight next monday) until all that nasty Gillard legislation is implemented – inc the MRRT – unless Gillard is rolled, Rudd installed, Parliament recalled, Indies refuse to back anyone but Gillard & Tony Gutless finally brings on the No Confidence Motion he’s been promising since Sept 2011!
But, just in case Oz’s MSM geniuses get it wRONg yet again, pause a moment to shed a few tears for all those poor, downtrodden squillionaires – especially Gina, who might even have to pay a little tax for a change! Oh! The Humanity! The Humanity!
[ The Unhingement with Gillard is just astonishing. ]
Isn’t it, though? You just have to shake your head at the hysteria here on PB and trust that the rest of Australia has a bit more maturity and perspective. Which I think it has – most people I talk to these days are not generally interested in “leadershit” – they are starting to think about policies, and wondering why Abbott seems to have just vanished down a foxhole.
But I expect PB will continue to unhinge even more all the way to the election. The Ruddiots here will go down to the wire screaming for their hero to save them from that nasty woman, and wonder why he hasn’t.
Then the hate-fest will really begin!
jaundiced view@1226
I thought R**dd is a reverence thing, sorta like how orthodox Jews spell God as G*D.
Gillards “men in blue ties” speech was her equivalent of Romneys 47% speech.
Divisive and downright stupid, although well tailored to their audience.
Yesiree Bob
Ha! Maybe it is…
Brandis got cornered with the rat comment!
Tonight:
Chicken Kiev
Blanched Green Beans, slivered almonds and garlic infused olive oil
Dio
What is wrong with Italy that you are spending time on Bludger?
Thistlewaite is doing OK in difficult circumstances.
[Gillards “men in blue ties” speech was her equivalent of Romneys 47% speech.
Divisive and downright stupid, although well tailored to their audience.]
No it wasn’t. Romney actually did specifically insult almost half of the voting population. “I’ll never convince [the 47%] they should take personal responsibility and care for their lives.”
@JV
Where are those names & numbers?
[ Player One
You are mistaken
Gillard is just front of house. It’s the whole cabal of empty careerist bosses who installed her that I want to see the back of; and their caucus hold broken utterly. ]
Yes, yes – heard it a zillion times from you. The Catholic union-hugging faceless zionist cabal that secretly runs the ALP. Or something.
Good luck with convincing the IPA to support same-sex marriage, JV!
Sean Tisme
Posted Monday, June 24, 2013 at 9:18 pm | PERMALINK
I think things here will go absolutely ballistic come Thursday night.
are you a prophet? gambler? sage? staffer?
Lol @ CC’s menu – chicken kev and blanched greens.
Yes minister party games comes to mind regarding rudd vs gillard.
JV 1227. So do you think a big Abbott victory would achieve the goal of a “careerist bosses cleanout” of the ALP.
[Gillards “men in blue ties” speech was her equivalent of Romneys 47% speech. ]
This really digs at you conservative types, doesn’t it?
Gillard has managed to pin you all to the board with a single figure of speech which resonates with most Australians. And you simply can’t stand it, can you?
very true and well said
Diogenes
Posted Monday, June 24, 2013 at 10:01 pm | PERMALINK
Gillards “men in blue ties” speech was her equivalent of Romneys 47% speech.
Divisive and downright stupid, although well tailored to their audience.
BW
We did the Vatican and St Peters this morning for four hours. The kids have crashed for the afternoon and then we are off on a Rome by Night tour after dinner.
I’m off to a little church nearby with three Caravaggios while they relax.
[ I don’t think I could stand his absolutely pig shit stupidity any longer. ]
Fair’s, fair, ST – he has to put up with yours as well!
So Labor basically sent a nightwatchman out to bat for them on Q&A this week.
[Tom 1 def Shows On 0.
http://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Senate/Powers_practice_n_procedures/odgers13?file=chapter07§ion=01
But the practice in Aust is not to prorogue, except both houses together prior to the general election, except on odd occasions eg before Queens descend from their regal heaven.]
You don’t have a clue how the Australian Senate works.
The Senate sitting schedule is determined by a vote of the Senate. If the Government doesn’t want the Senate to sit, but the Senate itself votes for a certain sitting arrangement, then the Senate can sit even if every Government MP votes against that schedule.
Unlike State upper houses, the Senate doesn’t even need the presence of a minister in order to sit.
hah?! something said resonating with most australians? only conservatives would not like this inverted discriminatory nonsense. player one must be a staffer.
Player One
Posted Monday, June 24, 2013 at 10:08 pm | PERMALINK
Gillards “men in blue ties” speech was her equivalent of Romneys 47% speech.
This really digs at you conservative types, doesn’t it?
Gillard has managed to pin you all to the board with a single figure of speech which resonates with most Australians. And you simply can’t stand it, can you?