GhostWhoVotes reports a Galaxy poll for tomorrow’s News Limited tabloids, conducted yesterday and today, has the Coalition’s lead unchanged at 55-45. On the primary vote, Labor is steady at 32%, the Coalition is down one to 47% and the Greens are up one to 12%. Kevin Rudd’s lead over Julia Gillard as preferred Labor leader has widened still further, from 49-34 to 53-32 I believe this is in comparison with November, when Gillard was at the peak of her fortunes. More to follow.
UPDATE: Full tables here. The poll also has Tony Abbott leading Julia Gillard as preferred prime minister 37-33; 59% believing Gillard will lead Labor to the next election against 21% for Rudd; 47% still favouring an election in September against 44% for as soon as possible, compared with 55% and 38% last time (I’m guessing most of those in the election now camp aren’t on top of the half-Senate election timetable); 53% believing Labor made the wrong decision in rejecting Kevin Rudd and endorsing Julia Gillard against 32% who thought it the correct decision; and three further question of dubious utility.
UPDATE (25/3/13): Essential Research has Labor dropping two points on the primary vote to 33%, but the dividend goes to the Greens (up two to 11%, their best result since July last year) rather than the Coalition (steady on 47%). The Coalition’s two-party lead is steady at 54-46. Respondents were also asked how likely it was that they might change their mind, with results following the usual pattern for such questions where the more strongly supported party also has the firmer voting intention. The most popular rationale for Labor voters is that they don’t want Tony Abbott to be Prime Minister (35%), while Coalition voters were most likely to offer that the Labor Party has been a poor government (34%).
Further questions gauged support for and knowledge of media regulation, with 43% saying they were happy with existing media regulation, 29% wanting more and 10% wanting less. Twenty-nine per cent supported the federal government’s recent much-criticised proposals against 34% opposed, a fairly even result allowing for the tone of media coverage.
UPDATE 2 (25/3/13): Now Morgan chimes in earlier than usual with its fourth multi-mode poll combining face-to-face and internet surveys, this time scoring 3494 responses, and it shows a Labor gain from last week reversed: Labor down on the primary vote from 33% to 30.5%, the Coalition up half a point to 46.5% and the Greens steady on 10.5%. The Coalition’s two-party lead is up from 54.5-45.5 to 57-43 on respondent-allocated preferences, and 54-46 to 56-44 on previous election preferences.
457 brining the worlds smart people to Australia, no wonder the unions are against it.
[rummel
Posted Monday, March 25, 2013 at 10:04 pm | PERMALINK
Kevin Rudd won the election against JWH, a mighty achievement.]
Howard went one too many elections and Rudd had one too few!
Why does Jones continually try to interrupt?
All ABC interviewers are on a monthly quota of interrupts.
TJ stops Brendon trying to answer. Turd!
Two AS drowning gets big coverage on “our” ABC but so far zero on this. All deaths sad BUT..
[Long-serving scientists who had held senior positions within the CSIRO were the four victims of a fatal helicopter crash just north of Wollongong last week.
Former deputy chief of operations at CSIRO Dr Tony Farmer, retired head industrial physicist Dr Gerry Haddad, CSIRO fellow Dr Don Price and former senior research scientist Dr John Dunlop all died in the crash at Bulli Tops at 12pm last Thursday]
: http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/csiro-rocked-by-helicopter-deaths-20130325-2gptc.html#ixzz2OY4BtDyU
OMG Mouth from the South says the minister hasn’t given one clear eg of rorting. He was trying to speak earlier when Jones shut him down!
@kevinbonham: Correction to earlier tweet – it is Ind/Others vote up in #Morgan not Greens #auspol
[Howard went one too many elections and Rudd had one too few!]
Modlib, it’s still worth noting that JWH and Kevin Rudd won a majority in elections… Gillard has never archived that.
When will all and sundry realize that immigration policy and letting in short term workers are not one and the same?
Like your adjustment to the TPP aggregate Kevin!
Good work IMO.
Mr Gale is NOT a boofhead.
A C is making a lot of sense. He has a brain …
And Howard lost his own seat too.
What a miracle worker.
Why don’t we bring in a few thousand lawyers on 457 visas to help bring down the cost of legal services? With some basic training I’m sure the immigrants could make themselves very useful.
Would the Libs (especially the lawyers amongst them) support that concept?
[457 brining the worlds smart people to Australia, no wonder the unions are against it.]
I think what people object to is the bringing of lots of very average people here. I don’t think anyone objects to those who bring great skills here and help train others in Australia. It is the horde of middle level management that is neither smart nor needed and who do not train people while in Australia.
Just say no to “Big Australia”.
Jones, shut SHUT UP!
Only one thing to say about 457, if they are good enough to come here they are good enough to stay.
Gillard hasn’t achieved losing her own seat either…
[3314
Tom Hawkins
Posted Monday, March 25, 2013 at 10:13 pm | PERMALINK
Why don’t we bring in a few thousand lawyers on 457 visas to help bring down the cost of legal services? With some basic training I’m sure the immigrants could make themselves very useful.
Would the Libs (especially the lawyers amongst them) support that concept?]
Great thinking….
A few more political hacks with overseas smarts are needed as well because the one in the PM’s office is obviously not enough to help Labor .
O’Connor skewers the OO and gets applause.
Brendan gets applause, Kelly not so much.
Good slam by O Connor re Media and Hanson.
Tom Hawkins@3314
Not a bad idea!
Do you think we could get a decent Opposition Leader on a 457 visa?
There’d certainly be no difficulty in proving that there is no-one suitably qualified here in Australia.
Yeah, when he finally got a go!
O is doing quite well.
James J?
Tom Hawkins@3326
There are two Os …
I like your thinking Player One
TLBD:
I don’t think there will ever be a left poster on PB ever posting anything remotely resembling a compliment towards a right politician!
And now Christine skewers the shockjocks.
poroti@3109
http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2013/03/23/galaxy-55-45-to-coalition-2/?comment_page=63/#comment-1593711“>poroti@3109
Oh so the haters have decided to shut up have the?
Hairy nose did some stats on this earlier in the day and by a huge margin the mentions came from the haters. Proving what idiots they are IMHO.
Why do we take economic refugees who fly half way around the world, pay thousands of dollars to people smugglers and then dump there phone and papers getting on the boat. STop the boats and take African camp sitters who cant afford a meal yet alone a plane ticket half way around the world.
This was the other part of the pledge, but I don’t expect others to sign up to it:
[And I make a further personal pledge that I will not respond to any comments whatever from Thomas.Paine, Bemused or ShowsOn. I condidered adding Jaundiced View to that list, but he does sometimes make sensible comments.]
Brendan is another Minister with FACTS. L-platers? I think not!
Ummm. Labor facing it’s biggest weakness, they followed the Liberals down the sewer.
Psephos,
Have you tried musrum’s excellent STFU?
Bemused, I would never have described your opinion as humble.
[Why do we take economic refugees who fly half way around the world, pay thousands of dollars to people smugglers and then dump there phone and papers getting on the boat. STop the boats and take African camp sitters who cant afford a meal yet alone a plane ticket half way around the world.]
Because we have suckered by a flock of bleating left-wing idiots such as Sarah Fartoo-Young, the people at GetUp and everyone at The Age and the ABC.
[Why do we take economic refugees who fly half way around the world, pay thousands of dollars to people smugglers and then dump there phone and papers getting on the boat. STop the boats and take African camp sitters who cant afford a meal yet alone a plane ticket half way around the world.]
Ask Abbott why he didn’t support that the Malaysian solution.
Someone on Twitter reporting 57-43 Newspoll from GWV…
‘Wittyfan’
Gillard approval down a whopping 10 pts
Don’t know if official
Jones doesn’t like facts.
[Ummm. Labor facing it’s biggest weakness, they followed the Liberals down the sewer.]
We just don’t like being alone, with the libs and greens down there we had to join in. And we may all live in the gutter but labor looks to the light on the hill.
poroti
That is certainly true but its a puerile response.
The biggest problem quite a few people have with Rudd is that he is a constant, uncomfortable reminder of what a bunch of mindless lemmings they were between 2007 and 2010.
Nothing on GWV twitter that I can see
[This was the other part of the pledge, but I don’t expect others to sign up to it:]
I never respond to TP.
I rarely respond to bemused, except to given him a whack to the head on very infrequent occasions.
I rarely respond to JV unless s/he posts abject idiocies as s/he did tonight with the Leigh Sales thing.
Put the boat people on 457 visas.
Mega is showing his Green credentials.
George for PM & C!
Well said Mega!!